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Chessgames Bookie
Member since Feb-10-06 · Last seen Mar-10-21
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   Chessgames Bookie has kibitzed 2101 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-08-21 Chessgames Bookie chessforum (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Thanks for the tip, WinKing. Hope it works because, to tell you the truth, I'm feeling a bit frustrated. ciao, jingo
 
   Jan-08-21 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: It would be great if we could get the Bookie site set up to start the new leg with the TATA Steel tournament about to begin in a week. Thanks
 
   Dec-26-20 Sargon chessforum (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Sargon, Could we get an adminstrator to close out the Fall Leg of the Chessbookie? Prizes and reset all to $1000, or more if we're not going to get a mid-leg payday? Thanks, jingo Gens una sumus!
 
   Oct-07-20 Norway Chess (2020) (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Please join us at the ChessBookie room for some fun wagering, play money. Tough competition! Altibox Norway 2020, Rd 6: Aronian-Caruana Thanks
 
   Oct-01-20 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Rub your lucky charm! Time to bet on the Winner of the upcoming Altibox tournament. Altibox Norway 2020: Winner! Gens una sumus
 
   Sep-16-20 Petrosian vs G Stoltz, 1952 (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: I had no idea that Kotov won that tournament, and with what a score!!
 
   Sep-15-20 St. Louis Rapid & Blitz (2020) (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: And how will Alireza do tomorrow against the Champ? St. Louis Rapid & Blitz, Rd 7 Rapid: Firouzja-Carlsen Place your bet (after checking your crystal ball, of course).
 
   Sep-13-20 Champions Showdown Chess 9LX (2020) (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Speaking of draws, how many today in round 7? Starts in a few hours. Only one in Rd 6 yesterday. Place your bets! Click ChessBookie at the top of the page to play!
 
   Apr-19-20 moronovich chessforum (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Hi moronovich, I'm jingohanson, the new Bookie. The Pick two is for day four of the event, with the games I posted. Sorry about the confusion. I should have put (Day 4) in the description. Thanks for welcoming me. Your suggestions are welcome. Ciao, jingohanson
 
   Dec-23-19 Biographer Bistro (replies)
 
Chessgames Bookie: Just for the record. Annie and Twinlark were volunteers. I posted more on my profile page. 😊
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 294 OF 501 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-21-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Sneaky: To the moooooooooooooooon!!!

<ACP Golden Classic rd 7: PICK THREE : Draw-Black-Black [cash in ticket] 2 YOU WIN! COLLECT 428> I'll keep putting down 2 bucks on every pick three nobody else wants, every day, all day.

Plus this didn't hurt:

<Dortmund rd 7: Ponomariov-Kramnik : Ponomariov [cash in ticket] 25 YOU WIN! COLLECT 151>

Kramnik is like that little girl the children's poem:

There once was a player,
A Kasparov slayer,
With quite an expansive forehead.
When he was good,
He was very good indeed,
But when he was bad he was horrid.

Jul-22-14  MarkFinan: Still not paid out for the Russian women's team? They've either played or they haven't, and... I need the dough bro 😄
Jul-23-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: <MarkFinan: Still not paid out for the Russian women's team? They've either played or they haven't, and...>

...the latter is the case. It would be a miracle if they <had> played, given that the first round is scheduled for August 2 - which, as it happens, is also the scheduled settlement date.

<Olympiad (Women)
RUSSIA ALLOWED TO PLAY?
MINIMUM BET: 5 CURRENT HANDLE: 4,229 CLOSES: Jul-19-14 <PAYS: Aug-02-14 >>

Jul-23-14  ChessWriter: Boy, oh, boy, WWW doesn't mean White, White, White: It means Win, Win, Win! Crazy catastrophe befalls Black today on the boards of Biel. ChessWriter rises again.
Jul-26-14  kereru: What's the deal with Timman and rook captures? Why is there an option to bet on this specifically?
Jul-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: <kereru> It's because I like to introduce unusual but (hopefully) interesting bets, and if I can combine them with oblique popular culture references, all the better.

There are several reasons for the Timman/rook capture bets. Firstly, Timman is one of the best-known (and, even today, strongest) players in the field, and people like to bet on players they know. Secondly, when one side is a heavy favorite (as Timman has been in these games) I like to spice things up; for instance, the Olympiad will soon begin, and in round one Russia will likely face a team of 2300 players. Rather than asking "will Russia win?" (to which almost everyone would reply 'yes, duh') I will probably ask "will Russia win 4-0?" Timman isn't nearly that heavy a favorite, but the same principle applies.

Thirdly, Timman's play has looked quite vulnerable in this tournament. For example, in round one he did win (without capturing anything with his rooks, incidentally), but he had to work hard for it; as late as around move 50, his opponent (rated 600 points lower) still had drawing chances. This vulnerability makes Timman bets interesting - anything can happen, as Timman vs J O Fries Nielsen, 2014 showed.

Fourthly, there's the oblique popular culture reference - in this case, to the band "America" and their 1974 hit song "Timman", in which they deplore the way he never seems to find much use for his Rs.

Jul-26-14  Tomlinsky: You like unusual bets <CB>? How about giving odds on how many times the word 'positional' will be uttered between each move in Chessgames Challenge: The World vs Naiditsch, 2014?
Jul-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: <Tomlinsky> Heh, that's a fun idea :) I would put the over/under somewhere around 25, but unfortunately the result would be too easy to manipulate.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 3 chessbux on Cuba!! Olympiad: WINNER
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: I am shocked, SHOCKED, that no one have placed any chessbux on England, Netherlands, Cuba, or Isreal... Probably win gazillion-jillion chessbux if you hit it.
Jul-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  eternaloptimist: It's kind of funny how wordfunph & Absentee keep leapfrogging each other over & over for the lead. This leg of bookie has gotten interesting already!
Jul-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Sneaky: I predict Carlsen won't even come close to losing a single game at the Olympiad. And his rating will drop. :-)
Aug-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Just out of curiosity: Would it be possible to not profit often a winning ticket?

For instance, I wager 5 chessbucks on this event, and it wins. The odds it will pay off at is 1.19. Doing the math, I will win 5.95 chessbucks. Obviously, I can't win 95 chess cents, so will it be rounded down to 5 chessbucks (as the rules say) or up to 6 (as the rules do not say)?

Aug-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: <Penguincw> It's entirely possible for a winning ticket to not make a profit. In your example, though, even if the odds were slightly higher I would suggest either making a larger bet or not betting at all; though single chessbucks do add up over time, in most cases there's little point to chasing a c$1 profit.
Aug-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  chessgames.com: The Bookie is 100% right about all of that, and let me add that it's impossible to actually lose money on a winning ticket. There are some brick and mortar pari-mutuel establishments where you can get back 1.90 on a 2.00 ticket if it was oversold, because the house takes a commission right off the top. In the ChessBookie! game that can't happen, because we only take juice off the pool of losing tickets.

Nevertheless, as the Bookie says, it doesn't make much sense to risk c$ 5 if all you can get back is c$ 5. It's up to you to do the math. The easiest solution is to bet more, but be sure to win as well ;-)

Also let me say that <SQ> has done an amazing job so far with this ChessBookie! leg. He has really raised the bar. His bets are thorough and fun, and he hasn't even asked me once for a correction on a payout. Bravo!

Aug-02-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Sneaky: Agreed, Bravo!
Aug-02-14  whiteshark: Mange takk for ingenting, Kjetil Lie (1/2) and JL Hammer (0) of NORWAY 1 for spoiling the Olympiad rd 1: LOVE SPECIAL
Aug-03-14  centralfiles: Did anyone compute the odds for the open section losing the clean sweep bet, it has to be a ridiculously low probability.
Aug-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < centralfiles: Did anyone compute the odds for the open section losing the clean sweep bet, it has to be a ridiculously low probability. >

Did you see Olympiad rd 1: Jordan-Russia: CLEAN SWEEP? 1.14 is pretty low (a minimum of 8 chessbucks is required to profit).

Aug-03-14  centralfiles: Chessbookie plz explain why women won clean sweep special there are 36 teams with 2/2 in the open but only 32 teams 2/2 in the women so didnt open win
Aug-03-14  centralfiles: This must be explained
Aug-03-14  centralfiles: i know your on as i kibitz i hope you can see this
Aug-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < centralfiles >

Were all those teams 8/8 on individual matches? They have to be 2/2 overall and 8/8 on individual games (unfortunately).

< If more teams will have 4 match points and 8 game points after round 2 in the open section than in the women's section, the 'Open' ticket will pay; ... >

Don't worry: I'm not happy about the rules either. :)

Aug-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chessgames Bookie: <centralfiles> As <Penguincw> noted, the clean sweep special was not about how many teams start the tournament with two wins, but rather about how many teams start the tournament with two clean sweeps (i.e. 4-0 wins):

<After round 1, 67 teams in the open section and 49 teams in the women's section have the maximum score of 2 match points <and 4 game points>. In which section will more of those teams also <sweep> their round 2 match? If more teams will have <4 match points and 8 game points> after round 2 in the open section than in the women's section, the 'Open' ticket will pay; if the two sections will have the same number of teams with <full match and game points>, the 'Tie' ticket will pay; if more teams will have full points in the women's section, the 'Women' ticket will pay.>

Of the 67 teams in the open section that swept their first round match, only eight also swept their second round match; of the 49 teams in the women's section that won their first round match 4-0, nine repeated that feat in round two. In other words, there are eight teams with 4 match points and 8 game points in the open section and nine in the women's section; thus, the women's section won this bet 9-8.

We apologize if the rules weren't sufficiently clear.

Aug-03-14  centralfiles: i totally missed it :(
Now I'M poor
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