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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 107 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-18-10  kormier: every new day it's a new earth and a new sky(heaven).....tks
Mar-19-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: What about Earth's impact craters, are those complete fakes like the starlight?

<Yes, the rate of decay is entirely consistent in radiometric dating.>

Do you have any reason, <other> than radiometric dates not being consistent with your preconceived idea of Earth's age, to think radiometric dating would <completely consistently> return the age of one layer a few thousand years old as 70 million years, another as 50 million years, and another as the correct few thousand years? If those layers formed at the same time, tiny changes in the rate of decay would make no difference; in fact, even a sudden 100000-fold increase in the rate of decay would make no difference.

<But you've never given any thought to this? You've never had this hypothesis presented to you?>

Guess what, I've seen this hypothesis many times before, usually as the textbook example of an easily refuted idea. The only problem is deciding which of the many weak points to hit. What about this, since you were so eager to suggest the contrary: the fossils aren't grouped by mobility. Some very mobile creatures' fossils always turn up above those of a less mobile creature, call it creature X, while the fossils of other equally mobile creatures always turn up below creature X. (The fossils aren't grouped by any other similar attribute, either.) This is the same problem you earlier completely ignored when we talked dinosaurs: there are very different types of dinosaur, they would have behaved completely differently in a situation like that - nevertheless, they're all deep-downers. Furthermore, if there's no link between era and depth, why are zero per cent of animals still existing deep-downers? Why do we only find their bones or fossils near the top? If the flood hypothesis of fossil layer creation was correct, you'd expect to find some modern animals in every layer; instead, we only find them at the top.

Mar-19-10  kormier: Happy <<St-Josephe>> to all, he is the <Canadians St-Patron>.....tks
Mar-19-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010...
Mar-19-10  whatthefat: <OCF>

Impressive find - if only it was always so easy! :)

Mar-19-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It's surprising we have as many finds as we do.
Mar-20-10  kormier: i was thinking, who's the <Chinesse St-Patron>...i will google....lol.....tks
Mar-20-10  kormier: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9Sg...
Mar-21-10  playground player: <Ohio Chess Fan> Uniformitarianism and gradualism have been the twin pillars of geology since the science was invented, along with the law of superposition to determine relative age.

The problem is that sometimes we can observe that changes in the earth occur neither gradually nor uniformly. Dramatic changes, for instance, were caused by the eruption of Mt. St. Helen's, and recorded on film. Some of them look like they took millions of years to occur, but we know it was only a matter of days or weeks. And if the earth gets tossed around violently enough, even superposition of rock layers may not be reliable.

So you might as well stick to your guns and proclaim Young Earth. I know we are all supposed to fall down and worship radiometric dating; but in light of all the other sure-fire dating methods that preceded it, I'm not impressed.

Biblical inerrancy is too important a principle to sacrifice to fleeting trends in "science."

Mar-21-10  The Chess Express: <playground player, Ohio Chess Fan> Do you guys believe in the biblical account of the great flood? Do you guys believe that the Bible is a guide for moral behavior?
Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I realize I've left a few points unaddressed. Let me make a few quick observations:

<YouRang: It's only a deception if one is forced to accept the premise that God created the universe within just the past 10,000 years. >

I don't think it's a deception even then and feel I've made a good case for that. I have to reiterate my point that believing the witnesses cited in the Bible is my evidence for accepting what the Bible has to say on other issues beyond the historic. It's not like I had an a priori inclination to believe what the Bible says. It stands up to examination. To suggest scientists should give that no weight would be the same as saying scientists should ignore what 100 witnesses said about the death of Abraham Lincoln and should appeal only to whatever issues of science they can distill out.

<whatthefat addressing my point of the consistency of processes besides radiometric dating: Which processes are we talking about?>

My point from March 12: <The decay of the magnetic field, the breakdown of hydrogen into helium, the orbits of comets, etc, are all processes, observable, predictable, and all point to a young earth. >

<Switching: Do you have any reason, <other> than radiometric dates not being consistent with your preconceived idea of Earth's age, to think radiometric dating would <completely consistently> return the age of one layer a few thousand years old as 70 million years, another as 50 million years, and another as the correct few thousand years?>

There have been some obvious examples of false ages produced by radiometric dating. Mt. St. Helen's is the last but there's a bundle of others.

<Switching: Furthermore, if there's no link between era and depth, why are zero per cent of animals still existing deep-downers? >

Google "Living fossils" and you'll find a lot of evidence that your statement is incorrect.

<whatthefat: Impressive find - if only it was always so easy! >

I wish I could find oil like that. I was greatly amused by the story.

<TCE: Do you guys believe in the biblical account of the great flood? Do you guys believe that the Bible is a guide for moral behavior?>

Yes. Yes.

<Everyone> I am encouraged that we can have differing viewpoints on these important matters and not have any meltdowns. I am prone to fits of sarcasm and arrogance and try hard to keep them in check.

Mar-21-10  whatthefat: <OCF: The decay of the magnetic field, the breakdown of hydrogen into helium, the orbits of comets, etc, are all processes, observable, predictable, and all point to a young earth.>

Could you please expand on these? I'm not aware of any findings in these fields that contradict the currently accepted age of the Earth.

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <OCF: There have been some obvious examples of false ages produced by radiometric dating. Mt. St. Helen's is the last but there's a bundle of others.>

Of course radiometric dating occasionally produces ages far from real. This occurs when a) your equipment malfunctions or wasn't properly prepared (=contained either the parent nuclide or the decay product to begin with) or b) you're measuring something radiometric dating doesn't work with. b) occurs when the decay product is present in the system to begin with, or the system has in fact remained open (so that either the parent nuclide or the decay product could have entered or left the system). a) doesn't apply with so many measurements taken by so many different parties; b) just possibly might (in the specific case of sedimentary layers), but if it did, measurements for any given layer (or any given isotopes) wouldn't be nearly so uniform. There are other cases where it's very hard to see b) applying even with those caveats; I don't see any reason to suspect for example the reliability of uranium->lead dating in zircon.

The "obvious false ages" at Mt. St. Helens, on the other hand, were not reliable at all. <One> group of researchers (who were, incidentally, creatonists) applied <one> dating method to a very small number of samples (in fact, I believe, <one> sample). The one dating method they used (with nothing else to back their results up) was developed for measuring much older ages, and is therefore extremely susceptible to even tiny problems with either a) or b). I'm sure you can see the difference between this and hundreds of researchers applying dozens of (much more appropriately picked) dating methods to thousands of samples.

<whatthefat: Could you please expand on these? I'm not aware of any findings in these fields that contradict the currently accepted age of the Earth.>

Ditto. "Orbits of comets" is particularly interesting. Comets and asteroids (and their orbits) in fact point to plenty of evidence that the Earth (and the universe) aren't young.

For instance, the amount of impact craters on Earth and the rate at which comets and asteroids impact are completely incompatible with a young Earth. (Not to mention the fact that some of the biggest impactors made Noah's flood look like a junior angel's half-hearted attempt at smiting. In other words, people would have noticed if any were around.) And it's not just Earth: every solid Solar System body is much, much more cratered than could be expected if they were young.

We also have so-called asteroid families: asteroids composed of similar material and with similar orbits, i.e. almost certainly sharing a common origin in the breaking up of a larger body. But though the orbits are similar, there are in many cases still enough differences in the orbital elements (semi-major axes, eccentricities, inclinations etc.) that a very long time of perturbations by other bodies is required to explain them.

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Switching? Of course radiometric dating occasionally produces ages far from real. This occurs when a) your equipment malfunctions or wasn't properly prepared (=contained either the parent nuclide or the decay product to begin with) or b) you're measuring something radiometric dating doesn't work with.>

Or c) the underlying assumptions are wrong.

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: "Decay of magnetic field" probably refers to this: http://www.infidels.org/library/mod...

Talking of the magnetic field, its polarity has reversed many times. Radiometric datings put even the most recent safely a long time away (well before the supposed creation of the Earth), but on a young Earth timescale some of the reversals would pretty much have to occur after the Chinese invention of compass...

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <c) the underlying assumptions are wrong.>

What would these be? As far as I can see, there is only one underlying assumption: the half-lives of the decaying nuclides used have remained constant, or at least close enough to constant not to interfere with the dating. Is that it?

Mar-21-10  The Chess Express: <OhioChessFan> How do you explain these problems with the story of Noah, the ark, and a global flood?

1. The ark described in the bible would not have been big enough to hold all the animals plus food enough for six months.

2. There isn't enough water. To flood the earth up over the Himalayas would take five times the amount of water in all the oceans.

3. A global flood as described in the bible would have made the atmosphere so heavy that people would have drowned by breathing air.

There are some places in the Bible that can be used as a guide for moral behavior, but other places that cannot. Here are a few examples.

Deuteronomy 21:21 Should we stone our children to death?

Exodus 21:7 Should we sell our daughter's into slavery?

Exodus 35:2 Should we kill those who work on Sundays?

I've always found this passage amusing.

1 Corinthians 11:14 Doth not even nature itself teach you, that, if a man have long hair, it is a shame unto him?

Is Jesus himself not commonly portrayed as having long hair? Is it not nature that gives men long hair?

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <TCE: How do you explain these problems with the story of Noah, the ark, and a global flood?

<1. The ark described in the bible would not have been big enough to hold all the animals plus food enough for six months. >

Why do you think that?

<2. There isn't enough water. To flood the earth up over the Himalayas would take five times the amount of water in all the oceans. >

The mountains rose after the flood. There is a great deal of water in the earth's mantle. A recent discovery found that a reservoir at least as large as the Arctic Ocean is under Asia.

<3. A global flood as described in the bible would have made the atmosphere so heavy that people would have drowned by breathing air. >

What makes you think that?

<There are some places in the Bible that can be used as a guide for moral behavior, but other places that cannot. Here are a few examples.

Deuteronomy 21:21 Should we stone our children to death?>

No, but if you were a person answerable to Deut. 21:21, you should.

<Exodus 21:7 Should we sell our daughter's into slavery? >

No, but if you were answerable to Ex. 21:7, you could.

<Exodus 35:2 Should we kill those who work on Sundays?

I've always found this passage amusing. >

No, but if you were answerable to Ex. 35:2, you should.

<1 Corinthians 11:14 Doth not even nature itself teach you, that, if a man have long hair, it is a shame unto him?

Is Jesus himself not commonly portrayed as having long hair? Is it not nature that gives men long hair?>

Yes. If men don't cut their hair, then they will eventually have long hair because of the natural process of hair growth.

Mar-21-10  kormier: Once more he measured off a thousand,
but there was now a river through which I could not wade; for the water had risen so high it had become a river that could not be crossed except by swimming.
He asked me, <“Have you seen this, son of man?”> Then he brought me to the bank of the river, where he had me sit. Along the bank of the river I saw very many trees on both sides. <He said to me,
“This water flows into the eastern district down upon the Arabah, and empties into the sea, the salt waters, which it makes fresh. Wherever the river flows,
every sort of living creature that can multiply shall live, and there shall be abundant fish,
for wherever this water comes the sea shall be made fresh. Along both banks of the river, fruit trees of every kind shall grow; their leaves shall not fade, nor their fruit fail.
Every month they shall bear fresh fruit,
for they shall be watered by the flow from the sanctuary. Their fruit shall serve for food, and their leaves for medicine.”>
Mar-21-10  kormier: Ez 47,1-9.12.....tks
Mar-21-10  The Chess Express: <<<<<TCE>>>> The ark described in the bible would not have been big enough to hold all the animals plus food enough for six months.>

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> Why do you think that?>

Because it's true. Think about it.

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> The mountains rose after the flood.>

Why do you think that? Do you not accept that mountains are formed when continents collide? Does the Bible not say that the flood waters rose up over the highest mountains?

Genisis 7: 18-19 The waters rose and increased greatly on the earth, and the ark floated on the surface of the water. 19 They rose greatly on the earth, and all the high mountains under the entire heavens were covered.

According to the Bible mountains were present long before the great flood.

<<<<<TCE>>>>3. A global flood as described in the bible would have made the atmosphere so heavy that people would have drowned by breathing air.>

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> What makes you think that?>

Science knows that this is true. Too much water would have evaporated into the atmosphere.

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>> No, but if you were a person answerable to Deut. 21:21, you should.

No, but if you were answerable to Ex. 21:7, you could.

No, but if you were answerable to Ex. 35:2, you should.>

I don't understand these answers. Are the passages of the bible only relevant if we wish to be "answerable" to the authors?

1 Corinthians 11:14 Doth not even nature itself teach you, that, if a man have long hair, it is a shame unto him?

<<<<<TCE>>>>Is Jesus himself not commonly portrayed as having long hair? Is it not nature that gives men long hair?>

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>>Yes. If men don't cut their hair, then they will eventually have long hair because of the natural process of hair growth.>

That doesn't really answer the question. Is it a shame or not? How does nature teach us that it is a shame?

Mar-21-10  YouRang: Howdy <OhioChessFan> :-)

<I don't think it's a deception even then and feel I've made a good case for that. I have to reiterate my point that believing the witnesses cited in the Bible is my evidence for accepting what the Bible has to say on other issues beyond the historic.>

My issue with you has never been about what *you* choose to believe based on your faith in the Bible. My issue is that you expect science to also believe what you choose to believe based on your faith in the Bible. They don't, and thus you have accused the majority of scientists of being liars. I think this is a false accusation.

Scientists cannot come to conclusions based on the writings of ancient witnesses. I'm sure you are aware that there are all sorts of myths and legends among ancient writings, and they are all useless for the purposes of science.

<To suggest scientists should give that no weight would be the same as saying scientists should ignore what 100 witnesses said about the death of Abraham Lincoln and should appeal only to whatever issues of science they can distill out.>

In one case, you have Moses writing a simplistic explanation (subject to interpretation) for the creation of the unfathomably complex universe which happened long before he was born and doesn't agree with independent scientific observation.

In the other case, you have 100 independent witnesses who actually saw an event, whose testimony agrees among themselves and with the observed facts of a dead president with a fatal bullet wound and an identified assassin.

If you think these cases get equal (or even remotely similar) weight, then we really disagree.

Mar-21-10  kormier: <TCE> <You Rang> http://www.bible.ca/ef/expository-i... _________have a spiritual fun .....tks
Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <TCE> I think the ark was plenty big enough to hold the animals.

Per the flood, yes, there were mountains before the flood but they rose even higher after the flood.

Per the atmosphere, I guess <Science knows that this is true> doesn't persuade me. What I suspect it means is "I read this on an anti-Christian website and copy/pasted it over here." A lot of water would make the earth uninhabitable?

Per the OT commands you read about on another website, if you were a Jew living under the law of Moses, those would have direct application to you.

Mar-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1 Corinthians 11:14 Doth not even nature itself teach you, that, if a man have long hair, it is a shame unto him?

<<<<<TCE>>>>Is Jesus himself not commonly portrayed as having long hair? Is it not nature that gives men long hair?>

<<<<<OhioChessFan>>>>Yes. If men don't cut their hair, then they will eventually have long hair because of the natural process of hair growth.>

<TCE: That doesn't really answer the question. Is it a shame or not? How does nature teach us that it is a shame?>

You really didn't ask the question "Is it a shame or not?" It is a shame. I am aware a man might have long hair that is obviously masculine (think Fabio), and a woman might have short hair that is obviously feminine (think Demi Moore). Nature teaches us that a man with a feminine haircut is a shame, and a woman with a masculine haircut is a shame, whatever length either happens to have. I think that is more the point Paul is getting at, not the length itself.

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