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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-12-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49346 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: I promise you that you have nothing better to do for the next five minutes than to listen to this: Liszt-Liebestraum No. 3 in A Flat Performed by Rubinstein https://youtu.be/fwtIAzFMgeY?si=ebV...
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I guess I'm glad the Schumer Shutdown is over. I can't say it had any impact on my life.
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 150 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: "The charge that the construction of the geologic scale involves circularity has a certain amount of validity."—*David M. Raup, "Geology and Creationism," Field Museum of Natural History Bulletin, March 1983, p. 21. “Contrary to what most scientists write, the fossil record does not support the Darwinian theory of evolution, because it is this theory (there are several) which we use to interpret the fossil record. By doing so, we are guilty of circular reasoning if we then say the fossil record supports this theory.” *Ronald R. West, “Paleontology and Uniformitarianism, ” in Compass, May 1968, p. 218.

"The intelligent layman has long suspected circular reasoning in the use of rocks to date fossils and fossils to date rocks. The geologist has never bothered to think of a good reply, feeling the explanations are not worth the trouble as long as the work brings results" (American Journal of Science, 1976, 276:51).

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <The original issue was that you cited the WWF event as a prediction of creationism. >

You lost me here. I believe the WWF would predict the geologic record as we have it today. An explosion of fossils, the marine life appearing first, the fossils found on mountaintops, etc all suggest a catastrophic flood. I don't think that's the same as saying the flood predated the creation of man.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Agnostics want to get rid of God?!>

Of course. In public, they clamor to remove from "in God we trust" from our money. They don't want our President participating in a National Day of prayer. In private, they'd just as soon not hear about God from anyone else.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: And yet *every* great scientific discovery in history started out as the "guise of some yet to be discovered natural explanation.">

Please cite which of those were based on an assumption not observable, not testable, not repeatable and not proveable. That is what we are discussing here. You default back to correct statements like this: <A theory may be proposed that explains the observed fossil record.> while we are discussing a theory that has never been observed. I really can't believe you don't see that you are doing this.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Achieve> I think <JFQ> will get back to you. I rarely have 5 minutes to myself on Mondays, and I realize other people have certain hot spots in their week where they just don't have the time for a reasoned discussion.
May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <lark: The communications technology that enables them to have these sorts of arguments with people they've never met and never will, the engines that run their cars and factories, the machines that make their household goods and extract the fossil fuels that power their civilisation via the harnessing of electricity, the medical technology that rovides them with a reasonable expectation of reaching four score years...all this has arisen from the type of bogus thinking described above? >

No, but none of those have the moral quality under discussion in the Creation/Evolution debate. To a lesser degree, the point is evident in the climate change debate.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: http://www.apologeticspress.org/art...
May-04-10  whatthefat: <OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Agnostics want to get rid of God?!>

Of course. In public, they clamor to remove from "in God we trust" from our money. They don't want our President participating in a National Day of prayer. In private, they'd just as soon not hear about God from anyone else.>

You seem to be confusing secularism with agnosticism.

May-04-10  whatthefat: <OhioChessFan: http://www.apologeticspress.org/art... >

Biggest strawman ever. This is what happens when you let bible students with blogs look at a science textbook for the first time.

May-04-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan>

<<YouRang: And yet *every* great scientific discovery in history started out as the "guise of some yet to be discovered natural explanation.">

OCF: Please cite which of those were based on an assumption not observable, not testable, not repeatable and not proveable.>

If you take out 'proveable' and have a proper understanding of the other terms, then the answer is "none" -- including evolution.

<OCF: That is what we are discussing here. You default back to correct statements like this: <A theory may be proposed that explains the observed fossil record.> while we are discussing a theory that has never been observed. I really can't believe you don't see that you are doing this.>

The fact of evolution has never been observed. The theory of evolution has been tested.

May-04-10  whatthefat: <YouRang: The fact of evolution has never been observed.>

It has been observed, many times. Whether it is the mechanism by which all species developed is the theory.

May-04-10  YouRang: <whatthefat> Ack! Total typo on my part. I don't know where that "never" came from. :-p

We are in agreement.

May-04-10  whatthefat: I suspected so, but it needed checking!
May-04-10  achieve: In agreement at your peril.

It is well established that current definitions for access to scientific acceptance have since long been dominated by the promoted material being in concordance with scientific consensus. Regrettably often arbitrarily applied facing little main stream criticism.

Point is that both Maths desires more precise academic rigour from applied mathematical Physics, whose demands are in turn miles away from a Theory that even can not formulate a definitive definition for what a SPECIES is. I'll elaborate later on.

Questioning contemporary "wet" Biology is obligatory and inserting it into Neo-Darwinism requires the same critical attitude and scientifical firmness.

That regretfully, as per what should be expected, isn't there. Emotions related to- and forming age old axiomata rule.

ENdoctrination.

I have to stress that the apologetics link by <OCF>, IMO, lacks in density and would be thrashed in an imaginary objective court of law.

<OCF> can, and will, do better.

I will try - and will do - better, in the near future.

EVIDENCE!

May-04-10  YouRang: <achieve: In agreement at your peril. >

I stated that I was in agreement with <whatthefat>'s statement:

<It [the fact of evolution] has been observed, many times. Whether it is the mechanism by which all species developed is the theory.>

There is peril in this?

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvg4...
May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Biggest strawman ever. >

I'm glad I don't have to pay someone every time they toss that unaccompanied statement out.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: And yet *every* great scientific discovery in history started out as the "guise of some yet to be discovered natural explanation.">

<OCF: Please cite which of those were based on an assumption not observable, not testable, not repeatable and not proveable. That is what we are discussing here. >

<YouRang: The fact of evolution has never been observed. The theory of evolution has been tested.>

Nonresponsive. The point under discussion was the assumption life came from nonlife. And again, please cite all great scientific advances predicated on an original assumption that was not observable, not testable, not repeatable and not proveable.

May-04-10  whatthefat: <OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: Biggest strawman ever. >

I'm glad I don't have to pay someone every time they toss that unaccompanied statement out.>

Given the discussions here, I thought the flaws of the article were self-evident. But if you need me to elaborate:

<The song has been playing like a broken record for decades: “Evolution is true. Evolution is a fact. Evolution is true. Evolution is a fact....” As long as this mantra is repeated by enough intellectuals, it seems many will become and/or remain enamored with evolutionary theory—even when the underlying evidence is shown continually to be inadequate and at odds with reality. Many evolutionary-laden science textbooks declare that natural selection (e.g., English peppered moths), mutations, embryology, homology, the fossil record (e.g., the horse “family tree”), etc. all prove the General Theory of Evolution. In actuality, none of these proves what evolutionists claim.>

1. It is impossible to "prove" a scientific theory (as discussed ad nauseum here).

2. No evolutionist claims that these observations "prove" the theory of evolution (as discussed ad nauseum here).

3. The author (like all creationists, it seems) can't distinguish "facts" from "theories" (as discussed ad nauseum here).

The author then goes on to say:

<Creationists recognize the fossil record, similarities among living things, natural selection, and mutations, ...>

[Amusingly, if he were competent in scientific terminology, he would realize this literally equates to "Creationists accept evolution as fact"]

<... but we have observed nothing that proves humans descended from amphibious creatures that crawled out of the water hundreds of millions of years ago.>

Nor have scientists, and nor have they claimed otherwise (as discussed ad nauseum here).

May-04-10  YouRang: <Nonresponsive. The point under discussion was the assumption life came from nonlife. And again, please cite all great scientific advances predicated on an original assumption that was not observable, not testable, not repeatable and not proveable.>

Ah, a misunderstanding.

I was led astray by your phrase: <...while we are discussing a <<theory>> that has never been observed.>

You seem to be referring a *theory*, so I assumed you meant evolution, which is a theory.

To my knowledge, there isn't yet a theory yet that deals with life coming forth from nonlife.

At this point, the existence of a natural explanation for how life came from nonlife is just an *assumption* -- not a theory.

I thought I already explained that.

Oh wait, I did! Here: OhioChessFan chessforum and here: OhioChessFan chessforum, and here: OhioChessFan chessforum

May-04-10  cormier: Jesus said to his disciples:

“Peace I leave with you; my peace I give to you.

Not as the world gives do I give it to you.

Do not let your hearts be troubled or afraid.

You heard me tell you,

‘I am going away and I will come back to you.’

If you loved me,

you would rejoice that I am going to the Father;

for the Father is greater than I.

And now I have told you this before it happens,

so that when it happens you may believe.

I will no longer speak much with you,

for the ruler of the world is coming.

He has no power over me,

but the world must know that I love the Father

and that I do just as the Father has commanded me.”

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen: <Ohio>

Evolutionary science does not assume that "life came from non life" is a fact. Most evolutionary scientists working on this particular issue, at the present moment, find the idea that "life came from non life" to be the most likely, or plausible, explanation. But nobody has proven this is what happened. It's not an "assumption derived from fact." It's an informed guess derived from plausibility or liklihood. This liklihood is in turn derived from what material facts are known at the present- viz, the nature of polypeptide chains and how they may have come to be in the first place.

However, at the end of the day you don't even need the assumption that "life came from non life" to explore evolutionary science. It's not a requirement to solve this issue in order to understand speciation or any of the other topics that evolutionary science explores.

With regard to the relationship between ID and science, there *is* no relationship.

It's the central assumption of ID that makes it "not science."

"Biological structures are too complex not to have been designed by an intelligent agent."

That's the original premise of ID, and there's nothing more to ID than this one premise/assumption.

That's precisely because this assumption is <not observable, not testable, not repeatable, and not proveable>.

That's precisely why ID is not science, and it's precisely why ID should not be allowed to be taught in a science class at a public institution.

The originary assumption/premise of ID can't be disproven either, which is another reason it doesn't belong in a science class.

Further, I find the argument "it couldn't possibly exist unless <a> and <b> are true" to be counter intuitive.

Why? Because the objects under scrutiny *do* exist.

The ID argument starts on exactly the same epistemological ground as does Eric Von Daniken's argument that space aliens built the pyramids.

Von Daniken: The pyramids couldn't have been built unless aliens supplied humans with the technological know how.

???

Why not "The pyramids couldn't have been built unless five legged demons from Hell supplied humans with the technological know how."

That's actually precisely the same argument, and not one whit less silly than Daniken's original argument.

The pyramids *do* exist. They *were* built.

Science attempts to explain how they were built by first exploring the most likely, or plausible, scenarios.

"When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras."

It's possible that aliens told humans how to build pyramids. However, it's such an implausible notion that, in the absence of strong evidence, or any evidence for that matter, why on earth would anyone suppose the notion to be true?

This is the reason- the sole reason- that pyramid scholars aren't spending time and money pursuing the "Aliens had to have built them" theory.

It's also the reason- the sole reason- why evolution scholars aren't spending time and money pursuing the ID theory.

Post script for Von Daniken fans:

He publicly admitted in a televised interview that he not only didn't believe his own theory, but that he had fabricated it in order to "have a little fun" and "sell a few books."

I saw this interview on CBC television. Von Daniken actually started giggling when he said this.

May-04-10  achieve: YouRang>-<There is peril in this?> Course not! But if you are unable to hear the humorous undertone in that silly-ish statement, then yes.

;p

And if it then will distract you from the contents and addressing of the rest of the post, then yes.

Are you even processing... Oh wait! You brought up the same argument here, and here, and here...

Come on man, get to the contents, ignore the playful gibberish.

May-04-10  achieve: Speaking of: <It [the fact of evolution] has been observed, many times.> Depends on how you interpret and define "evolution" - eg as change and adaptation over time, or accepting the darwinian adaptationism and natural selection explaining that in the genealogical tree, if node A traces back to node B, then species B arose from species A by a process of natural selection, and the path between the nodes corresponds to the operation of that process.

causation <---> natural selection

Now I may be speeding ahead, and wouldn't want to confuse "matters" by skipping posts and the problems I referred to within and among related fields in Science, eg I could expand it to the fields of Biology and (neo-)Darwinism.

Actually I already did... Upto you(rang;)) to either address it or not.

May-04-10  achieve: <YR> Added to that I will only be able to get into detail and specific later this week (saturday), by which point the thread in this forum may well have proceeded massively, and I may have missed the opportunity to read and react to your reply. In which case i may skip over to your forum to give it its due attention, if that's OK with you. Conducting a discussion among various (multiple) participants in one forum is difficult, and requires precision and patience. Spreading it over various forums even more so.
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