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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49346 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: I promise you that you have nothing better to do for the next five minutes than to listen to this: Liszt-Liebestraum No. 3 in A Flat Performed by Rubinstein https://youtu.be/fwtIAzFMgeY?si=ebV...
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I guess I'm glad the Schumer Shutdown is over. I can't say it had any impact on my life.
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 151 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-04-10  cormier: Let all your works give you thanks, O LORD,

and let your faithful ones bless you.

Let them discourse of the glory of your kingdom

and speak of your might.

Making known to men your might

and the glorious splendor of your kingdom.

Your kingdom is a kingdom for all ages,

and your dominion endures through all generations.

May my mouth speak the praise of the LORD,

and may all flesh bless his holy name forever and ever.

<Your friends make known, O Lord, the glorious splendor of your kingdom.

Alleluia>

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <JFQ: However, at the end of the day you don't even need the assumption that "life came from non life" to explore evolutionary science. It's not a requirement to solve this issue in order to understand speciation or any of the other topics that evolutionary science explores. >

It's not a requirement, but every observation/interpretation is run though that assumption. I guess there's some nuance I'm missing there.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <JFQ: "Biological structures are too complex not to have been designed by an intelligent agent."

That's the original premise of ID, and there's nothing more to ID than this one premise/assumption.

That's precisely because this assumption is <not observable, not testable, not repeatable, and not proveable>.>

So life from nonlife is <not observable, not testable, not repeatable, and not proveable> but passes muster for the scientist since it's all a matter of possibilities. Whereas ID is <not observable, not testable, not repeatable, and not proveable> and therefore must be rejected. Am I understanding you correctly?

May-04-10  Travis Bickle: Life on earth came from comet fragments with life forms in them. These fragments traveled 800 billion light years through an oxygen devoid frozen outer space. Then when these comet fragments landed on earth they thawed out for 3.1 trillion years and out jumped a pair of bunny rabbits.
May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <JFQ: It's possible that aliens told humans how to build pyramids. However, it's such an implausible notion that, in the absence of strong evidence, or any evidence for that matter, why on earth would anyone suppose the notion to be true?>

It's possible life came from nonlife, morality came from organic matter, and a Big Bang created a world full of order. However, in the absence of strong evidence, or any evidence for that matter, why on earth would anyone suppose the notion to be true?

May-04-10  whatthefat: <OCF: It's not a requirement, but every observation/interpretation is run though that assumption. I guess there's some nuance I'm missing there.>

The theory of evolution doesn't care how the first life form arrived. We've been through this.

<So life from nonlife is <not observable, not testable, not repeatable, and not proveable>>

Wrong, wrong, wrong, and right. Any specific theory of how life developed from non-life is observable, testable, and repeatable. No scientific theory is provable, by definition. We've been through this.

ID is unfalsifiable, so by definition it is not a scientific theory. Any scientific theory must be falsifiable. We've been through this too. Christ, this is getting boring.

May-04-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Please, share with us the observations of life coming from nonlife.
May-04-10  whatthefat: <OhioChessFan: Please, share with us the observations of life coming from nonlife.>

Are you even reading what I'm saying anymore?

May-05-10  achieve: <JFQ>: <It's not a requirement to solve this issue in order to understand speciation or any of the other topics that evolutionary science explores. > I think this is correct and obvious; scientific exploration can be started up at any point in the "timeline", separately from a related but granted essential issue, and cornerstone of the "only natural explanations etc. ..." principle.

<OCF>: <It's not a requirement, but every observation/interpretation is run though that assumption. I guess there's some nuance I'm missing there.>

It's not a nuance, but rather a conscious choice to explore speciation in-depth by tracing back how all existing forms of Life on earth are related <from where we are *now* > -- and have a common ancestor, as per Darwin's hypothesis. Just zooming in and go where-ever the "evidence" leads, or so one would expect...

Fortunately Darwin was very clear and frank-- Fossile record in the Cambrian stratum was a "mystery" (Sudden Appearance) to him, at the time of writing

'Origin of Species', Chapter X. On the Imperfection of the Geological Record, On the sudden appearance of groups of allied species in the lowest known fossiliferous strata -->

"There is another and allied difficulty, which is much more serious. I allude to the manner in which species belonging to several of the main divisions of the animal kingdom suddenly appear in the lowest known fossiliferous rocks."

"To the question why we do not find rich fossiliferous deposits belonging to these assumed earliest periods prior to the Cambrian system, I can give no satisfactory answer."

-- Text from: http://www.classicreader.com/book/1...

May-05-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen: <Niels> I'm sorry I got high handed with you- I was angry because it seemed like you were yelling at me.

However, I'm not angry now and I've just read your kind post above there.

Thanks for taking the time to explain.

Jess

May-05-10  achieve: <Any specific theory of how life developed from non-life is observable, testable, and repeatable.> Wrong tense for the verb "to develop" in this context. How it "developed" supposedly "at the time" is not testable and thus hardly repeatable. Duplication of conditions then is impossible. Modern day Lab experiments on how life "develop<s>" - can/could develop - from non-life *are* testable, repeatable. Regardless of whether the experiment is successful.

A related point, and correct me if and where I'm wrong; --the assumption of there being a natural, ergo scientific- explanation and thus a developmental process causing life to "to <have> developed" from non-life, is as untestable and unprovable as the ID proponents' hypothesis that there *must* be some form of intelligent cause, to explain the sudden astronomical amount of influx of selective information data, which in turn should explain and account for "irreducable complexity" as found in eg the construction as observed in the bacterial flagellum.

Now we get into the realm or field of Philosophy of Science, and precise definitions are needed, as to what we deem to be Life, irreducable complexity... the lot.

And now I am late for work.

May-05-10  cormier: I rejoiced because they said to me,

“We will go up to the house of the LORD.”

And now we have set foot

within your gates, O Jerusalem.

Jerusalem, built as a city

with compact unity.

To it the tribes go up,

the tribes of the LORD.

According to the decree for Israel,

to give thanks to the name of the LORD.

In it are set up judgment seats,

seats for the house of David. (dissernement+++++++ +! is needed, stay in Him = Love)

<Let us go rejoicing to the house of the Lord.

Alleluia.>

May-05-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <achieve: Fortunately Darwin was very clear and frank-- Fossile record in the Cambrian stratum was a "mystery" (Sudden Appearance) to him, at the time of writing >

Nothing much has changed there in the past 150 years.

May-05-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <achieve: a related point, and correct me if and where I'm wrong; --the assumption of there being a natural, ergo scientific- explanation and thus a developmental process causing life to "to <have> developed" from non-life, is as untestable and unprovable as the ID proponents' hypothesis that there *must* be some form of intelligent cause, to explain the sudden astronomical amount of influx of selective information data, which in turn should explain and account for "irreducable complexity" as found in eg the construction as observed in the bacterial flagellum.>

I read this far and had formulated in my mind the response "I believe we're in the realm of philosophy now." which I admit and those who assume in life from nonlife won't admit. I'm not sure I agree with that description of ID but I recognize it is in the ballpark for sure. Anyway, I had meant to make that point about logic driving assumptions being an issue of philosophy earlier.

<Now we get into the realm or field of Philosophy of Science, and precise definitions are needed, as to what we deem to be Life, irreducable complexity... the lot.>

And you beat me to it anyway.

May-05-10  twinlark: Good thing we're more than we believe in.
May-05-10  achieve: <OCF>: <I'm not sure I agree with that description of ID but I recognize it is in the ballpark for sure.> heh - neither was I, and corrections are in order, since the "info-bang" needed to get from Gn to G(n+1) - ie, from direct ancestor to "flagellum" - wasn't well laid out by me. Thus I was incoherent to an extent which in turn leaves room for speculation which we (I) ought to avoid at all cost.

I'll correct it and offer a revision when I get the proper time.

<Nothing much has changed there in the past 150 years.> Some even argue that "the plot has thickened" in that regard. Those who do so are not considered Scientists by The Community. But there is friction and substantial movement in that regard.

PS- it was not my intention to offer a "description of ID" (passing by for the moment that I am not sure if that is even possible) - as irreducible complexity is only one of several arguments they put forward.

Now I'm late for lunch... ;)

May-05-10  achieve: <Anyway, I had meant to make that point about logic driving assumptions being an issue of philosophy earlier.> Yes - that needs to be tackled. Major point... I'm in the middle of reading, digesting, a powerful essay on the subject.
May-05-10  cormier: Jesus said to his disciples:

“I am the true vine, and my Father is the vine grower.

He takes away every branch in me that does not bear fruit,

and everyone that does he prunes so that it bears more fruit.

<You are already pruned because of the word that I spoke to you.>

<Remain 1> in me, as I <remain 2> in you.

Just as a branch cannot bear fruit on its own

unless it <remains 3> on the vine,

so neither can you unless you <remain 4> in me.

I am the vine, you are the branches.

Whoever <remains 5> in me and I in him will bear much fruit,

because without me you can do nothing.

Anyone who does not <remain 6> in me

will be thrown out like a branch and wither;

people will gather them and throw them into a fire

and they will be burned.

If you <remain 7> in me and my words <remain 8> in you,

ask for whatever you want and it will be done for you.

<By this is my Father glorified,

that you bear much fruit and become my disciples.”>

May-05-10  whatthefat: <achieve: How it "developed" supposedly "at the time" is not testable and thus hardly repeatable. Duplication of conditions then is impossible. Modern day Lab experiments on how life "develop<s>" - can/could develop - from non-life *are* testable, repeatable. Regardless of whether the experiment is successful.>

Difficult perhaps, but not impossible. There are very few environments that cannot now be simulated in the laboratory. The problem is that a clear mechanistic theory is still lacking (i.e., which specific conditions/chemicals should be tested), although the RNA world theory is starting to gain ground I believe.

<A related point, and correct me if and where I'm wrong; --the assumption of there being a natural, ergo scientific- explanation and thus a developmental process causing life to "to <have> developed" from non-life, is as untestable and unprovable as the ID proponents' hypothesis that there *must* be some form of intelligent cause, to explain the sudden astronomical amount of influx of selective information data, which in turn should explain and account for "irreducable complexity" as found in eg the construction as observed in the bacterial flagellum.>

Sure, the assumption that all phenomena have a natural explanation is essentially an axiom of science. You could argue that it is derived from Occam's razor, since invoking any supernatural explanation to explain the goings on of the natural world is undoubtedly less parsimonious than a purely natural explanation.

Now that's not to say that there aren't phenomena which:

(a) *cannot* be explained in this fashion (e.g., if God did magic life into existence, then no natural explanation will be able to account for this),

or

(b) appear to have a natural explanation because they were supernaturally created to look that way (e.g., God created the illusion - purposely or not - of past events, such as supernovae and transitional fossils, without these things ever having actually happened).

In the latter case, the natural explanation could not be rejected by any of the existing evidence, because it would all appear to be consistent with the theory.

And in fact one can invent an infinite number of such supernatural explanations, not one of which is falsifiable: e.g., the world was created 1.5 seconds ago, or 16.2 seconds ago, or 106 years ago, or ... There is no experiment one can do to distinguish which if any of these explanations are true, and for this reason they cannot be considered scientific theories. The same goes for ID. Science makes no attempt to prove nor disprove ID because it is untestable. By contrast, any specific theory of how life began can in principle be tested experimentally. You may argue that the central axiom of science (that there is a natural explanation) is flawed because this falls under one of the two cases above. But this is very different to saying that ID itself satisfies the criteria for a scientific theory.

May-05-10  cormier: <Modern day Lab experiments on how life "develop<s>" - can/could develop - from non-life *are* testable, repeatable. Regardless of whether the experiment is successful.> of course experiments in lab are to a degree feasible but if the result is under 0 or 0 no life is not accontable. As for a + result without God = Love ... is it worth it? .... it is better(easier) to choose(discern) what is free right now and construct on solid rock(<remain 9> the true vine) ..... tks
May-05-10  playground player: <Jessicafischerqueen> I don't mind your saying ID is not testable. What axioms are testable? But "naturalistic" or "mechanistic" science is also based on axioms which are not testable (spontaneous generation of life from non-life, for example). Even if you could somehow do it in a laboratory, that wouldn't prove that that was how it happened.

As a creationist, I object to saying "God created the fossils, distant galaxies, etc., to look old when they aren't." We really do have to do better than that. As the Scripture says, God is not a man, that He should lie. It's OK to say we don't understand and can't explain why these things appear to be so old.

Because we can't answer those questions, does not mean Evolution wins the argument by default. We view Darwinism as mythology--in spite of all the "overwhelming evidence" that never has to be presented.

May-05-10  achieve: <Whatthefat> : <[...] But this is very different to saying that ID itself satisfies the criteria for a scientific theory.> I think I never really did and on this point I agree with you. For good reason, mind you.

I go along with your exact reasoning, except that I would take time to review the cases in recent Biology of morphogenetical debates that date back to the early 1920s, and those which by definition demand of me to remain critical of the mainstream deductions included by neo darwinians and adaptational explorations and publications. (I'll name them if needed)

They have changed, in my presence...

"We're not defending <that> kind of Biology anymore", is often heard, and deep investigations have been conducted and arranged despite.

Once the input of those data is sufficiently addressed, and its shortcomings and problems, there is - or may be- a way to approach eachother and be of service to "Science".

May-05-10  cormier: for me i was not and now i am!!! ... why? .... Because of His Amazing Grace ..... tks
May-05-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <achieve: a related point, and correct me if and where I'm wrong; --the assumption of there being a natural, ergo scientific- explanation and thus a developmental process causing life to "to <have> developed" from non-life, is as untestable and unprovable as the ID proponents' hypothesis that there *must* be some form of intelligent cause, to explain the sudden astronomical amount of influx of selective information data, which in turn should explain and account for "irreducable complexity" as found in eg the construction as observed in the bacterial flagellum.>

OCF: I read this far and had formulated in my mind the response "I believe we're in the realm of philosophy now." which I admit and those who assume in life from nonlife won't admit...>

Once again, you say <won't admit> as if we're being fearfully evasive about something. You could avoid having to backpedal if you would just ask *before* accusing.

Sure, I'll "admit" that it's "in the realm of philosophy". I'm not sure what significance you place on this however.

Basically, I agree with <achieve>'s comment. These two assumptions, (1) that there is a natural explanation and (2) that there is a divine explanation, may be deemed as two philosophical approaches to understanding this universe that we observe and the life within it.

The first is the philosophical approach used by science, while the second is the philosophical approach of religion. Frankly, I've made this *same* point multiple times myself. I'm perfectly happy with this "admission".

THE PROBLEM is that some on the divine philosophy side aren't happy with this arrangement. They want the natural-explanation philosophers to accept their divine-explanation philosophy. And they go as far accusing them of bias and dishonesty for refusing!

Why the divine-explanation philosophers do this is another matter...

~~~~~

IMO, it's because they are fearful. Their assumption of divine explanations doesn't leave much room for deeper understanding. They are limited to conflicting interpretations of their holy books.

Meanwhile, the science side has no such limitations (although their work is much harder). Over the centuries, they have deepened their understanding immensely. They have every reason to be pleased with the natural explanation philosophy.

Worse (from the religionist view), several of the views once held dearly as "obviously divine" (e.g. rainbows, lightning, geocentrism) have proven to have better natural explanations. Although the natural explanations have often faced religious opposition, those "obviously divine" views are now seen as "obviously natural" to most people -- even to most religious people.

As "obviously divine" views fall to natural explanations, many of the divine philosophers fear a decreasing sense of relevance. At a minimum, they fear having to admit that their earlier interpretations -- once forcefully defended to the point of attacking dissenters as liars -- were in fact wrong, and that their accusations were false. A deeply embarrassing position for those who represent the side of "divine intelligence".

Amazingly, they don't learn. Today, the views still being held as "obviously divine" are the origin of the universe and the origin of life. They evidently think "this time it will be different". But it's the same story as has happened in the past. I predict it will have the same conclusion.

May-05-10  cormier: Galatians 6:7 "Be not deceived; God is not mocked: for whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap. 8 For he that soweth to his flesh shall of the flesh reap corruption; but he that soweth to the Spirit shall of the Spirit reap life everlasting."
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