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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 159 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-20-10  cormier: <<ocf>> le spectacle du cirque du soleil ... las vegas elvis show .... the choice is all your's http://www.google.ca/#hl=en&q=las%2... ..... tks
May-20-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: I didn't (repeatedly) suggest that <OCF> go and read about this for no reason. It has been clear for a long time that scientific terminology (e.g., fact vs. theory, unobservable vs. not yet observed, etc.) has been causing confusion for him.>

Are you affirming you used the word "theory" when you didn't mean "theory"?

May-20-10  whatthefat: <OCF: Are you affirming you used the word "theory" when you didn't mean "theory"?>

No, I'm saying it is not unusual (in fact it is typical) for existing theories to still be in the stage of development and overhaul - that's the way of science, no theory is every rock solid. If you look at Einstein's theory of general relativity for instance, it underwent ~10 significant refinements before it reached the form we know it in today, and even then it took decades to be experimentally confirmed. The theories that are well known to the general public (e.g., gravity) are in an extremely privileged position, having been confirmed again and again. Most theories are in a state of flux or development, and abiogenesis is no different.

In line with this, you may notice that I have gone to great pains to repeatedly state that there is no existing <full mechanistic> theory of how life generated from non-life. Several of the processes underlying specific steps *have* been worked out (e.g., how amino acids might form, and how cells walls can spontaneously form), and they are components of the theory of abiogenesis (theories within a theory, if you like). But there are still missing links.

May-20-10  cormier: Seek and Ye Shall Find
May-20-10  cormier: New International Version (©1984)
But seek first his kingdom and his righteousness, and all these things will be given to you as well. <(seek first his kingdom and his justice, and all these things will be given to you as well.) cf: equity, N.C.>
May-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: and they are components of the theory of abiogenesis (theories within a theory, if you like). But there are still missing links.>

Is the theory of abiogenesis a theory of how life comes from nonlife?

May-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <whatthefat: It clearly requires a multi-step process, each step of which requires a theory in its own right, so the use of the phrase "theory for life from non-life" is as fuzzy as the definition of life itself. >

Each step has its own theory. Oh yeah, that's clear as a bell. Nothing like breaking a target down into an infinite number of moving parts so the whole shebang can't be challenged.

May-21-10  YouRang: <Is the theory of abiogenesis a theory of how life comes from nonlife?>

I'm not certain if your question was directed specifically at <whatthefat> or not, but my answer would be this:

~~~~

Yes.

However, one needs to understand that 'theory' is one of those overworked words that can mean different things in different situations.

==COMMON THEORY
This is the familiar, casual, everyday usage that just means "reasoned explanation".

<<This, IMO, is the correct understanding of 'theory' with respect to abiogenesis.>>

== SCIENTIFIC THEORY
In the field of science, there is also a 'scientific theory'. Although this is also a reasoned explanation, it is one that has passed the rigorous steps of the scientific method.

In order for an theory to be scientific, it need not only to explain the obersved facts, it must be testable. It must make predictions by which it could be falsified. The more "daring" the prediction, the better. That is, if the prediction calls for a result that would be completely unexpected if the theory were false, then it's a very strong test. It undergo peer review, and successfully pass tests for a good long time. Even so, since it depends on empirical observations, a scientific theory is never considered to be 'proven' -- even the best theory is provisional -- until some potential future observation undermines it.

Even though a scientific theory may serve as our best explanation for observed facts, we don't *know* that the observed facts came about according as the theory proposes. So, for example, even if a scientific theory for abiogenesis emerges (it hasn't yet), it doesn't prove that life actually emerged from nonlife as proposed by that abiogenesis scientific theory. It would merely be an the best natural explanation that we know of, and science will go forward from there.

== MATHEMATICAL THEORY
In mathematics, 'theory' can have yet another meaning. Instead of being based on empirical data, it is deduced. Hence, it is actually 'proven' to be true, given the truth of the theorems on which it is based, going all the way back to the axiomatic statements.

May-21-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan><Each step has its own theory. Oh yeah, that's clear as a bell. Nothing like breaking a target down into an infinite number of moving parts so the whole shebang can't be challenged.>

Well, now you're just being obstinate. :-(

You know perfectly well that something complex is best understood by breaking into smaller distinct units of understanding, and each of those units can be likewise divided further.

Very complex things (consider your computer or house for example) really cannot be properly understood any other way.

Certainly biology has more than enough complexity to require such multi-layered division without provoking criticism.

May-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I think I have it now. Any theory of life must be observable, unless we really don't mean a theory in the normal sense. In that case, if someone calls you on using the word theory in a non-normal sense, it is fair to accuse them of not understanding what the word means.
May-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: You know perfectly well that something complex is best understood by breaking into smaller distinct units of understanding, and each of those units can be likewise divided further. >

I guess an alternate explanation is that talking about indistinct units is a way of using fuzzy talk and sounding very scientific when doing so.

May-21-10  YouRang: <I guess an alternate explanation is that talking about indistinct units is a way of using fuzzy talk and sounding very scientific when doing so.>

Who mentioned 'indistinct' units?

Try to understand your computer without considering in termes of its distinct parts.

<OhioChessFan: I think I have it now. Any theory of life must be observable, unless we really don't mean a theory in the normal sense. In that case, if someone calls you on using the word theory in a non-normal sense, it is fair to accuse them of not understanding what the word means.>

I think you're trying to convince me that it pointless to try to explain anything to you.

We're not even debating science and religion anymore -- just English terminology. Yes, English *can* be confusing, but you seem intent on being confused, even though most people can understand these terms with little trouble.

You're mind is made up and closed for business.

May-21-10  cormier: this is happening after Simon Peter had denied knowing Jesus 3 time and the roster event ... N.C. .... <After Jesus had revealed himself to his disciples and eaten breakfast with them, he said to Simon Peter,

“Simon, son of John, do you love me more than these?”

Simon Peter answered him, “Yes, Lord, you know that I love you.”

Jesus said to him, “Feed my lambs.”>

He then said to Simon Peter a second time,

<“Simon, son of John, do you love me?”

Simon Peter answered him, “Yes, Lord, you know that I love you.”

He said to him, “Tend my sheep.”>

He said to him the third time,

<“Simon, son of John, do you love me?”

Peter was distressed that he had said to him a third time,

“Do you love me?” and he said to him,

“Lord, you know everything; you know that I love you.”

Jesus said to him, “Feed my sheep.> ..... tks

May-21-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: We're not even debating science and religion anymore -- just English terminology. >

After having my intelligence impugned over and over for the past month for not understanding what the word "theory" means, to have this new idea that we weren't really discussing a "theory" when using the word "theory" doesn't sit too well.

May-21-10  cormier: The Vatican newspaper, L'Osservatore Romano, called the synthetic cell "an interesting result" but stressed that it "must have rules, like all the things that touch on the heart of life."

The paper said genetic engineering can do good but acts on "a very fragile terrain."

"It's all about combining courage with caution," it said.

The inventors said the world's first synthetic cell is more a re-creation of existing life — changing one simple type of bacterium into another — than a built-from-scratch kind. <this i have not done any check if it's the actual church position, it might be>

May-21-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <YouRang: We're not even debating science and religion anymore -- just English terminology. >

After having my intelligence impugned over and over for the past month for not understanding what the word "theory" means, to have this new idea that we weren't really discussing a "theory" when using the word "theory" doesn't sit too well.>

Fine. Now that you've vented, is there still any confusion in your mind about 'scientific theory' (e.g. evolution) and 'casual theory' (e.g. abiogensis)?

May-21-10  cormier: Bless the LORD, O my soul;

and all my being, bless his holy name.

Bless the LORD, O my soul,

and forget not all his benefits.

<The Lord has established his throne in heaven.

Alleluia.>

May-22-10  cormier: For as the heavens are high above the earth,

so surpassing is his kindness toward those who fear<respect> him.

As far as the east is from the west,

so far has he put our transgressions from us.

<The Lord has established his throne in heaven.

Alleluia.>

May-22-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: Fine. Now that you've vented, is there still any confusion in your mind about 'scientific theory' (e.g. evolution) and 'casual theory' (e.g. abiogensis)? >

It's not fine. Here we are how far along and that is the first time that distinction has been affirmed? How many quotes from scientists should I line up that abiogenesis is a theory explaining how life came from nonlife? Here's one for starters:

"That is the subject of abiogenesis theory (also referred to as origin(s) of life science). Abiogenesis is basically a hybrid biochemical/geochemical explanation for the origin of life from non-living materials."

May-22-10  cormier: The LORD has established his throne in heaven,

and his kingdom rules over all.

Bless the LORD, all you his angels,

you mighty in strength, who do his bidding.

<The Lord has established his throne in heaven.

Alleluia.>

May-22-10  cormier: <The whole world spoke the same language, using the same words>.

While the people were migrating <in the east>,

they came <upon a valley in the land of Shinar> and settled there.

<They said to one another,

“Come, let us mold bricks and harden them with fire>.”

They used bricks for stone, <and bitumen for mortar>.

<Then> they said, “Come, let us <build ourselves a city

and a tower with its top in the sky>,

and so <make a name for ourselves>;

otherwise we shall be scattered all over the earth.”

<<<<<The LORD came down to see the city and the tower

that the people had built.

<<<<Then the LORD said: “If now, while they are one people,

all speaking the same language,

they have started to do this,

nothing will later stop them from doing whatever they presume to do.

<<<Let us then go down there and confuse their language,

so that one will not understand what another says.”

<<Thus the LORD scattered them from there all over the earth,

and they stopped building the city.

That is why it was called Babel .... [symbolically in Irak, city never to be usefull because of it's dupeness wickeness and corruptions in beleiving(obdience) to hate(lies) in <hiding disguised as light, namely = the fallen arch-angel Lucifer>)]. ..... .<N.C.>

May-22-10  cormier: May-22-10
cormier: i don't appreciate how GLOBAL CORPORATION OIL WORLD "treat control(manners) of fixing their prices", monopolisations as a tool are also unjustly employed and the result is fair competitions destroyed. Saying there's aint enought oil and danger drilling with unproper material and at pre-set tarket-sites(at will) destroying and destroying again with chemical-compound the sea-life, forcing(manipulating) under false-pretexts the working-force and reducing regional,state,country to bend because they are RED-GLOBAL, oil is only one basic ... they force US to us<E> .... the same goe's with food, clothe, house, mobilities, communication, education and any green-energies ..... N.C. tks <at KR forum>
May-22-10  YouRang: <It's not fine. Here we are how far along and that is the first time that distinction has been affirmed? How many quotes from scientists should I line up that abiogenesis is a theory explaining how life came from nonlife? Here's one for starters:

"That is the subject of abiogenesis theory (also referred to as origin(s) of life science). Abiogenesis is basically a hybrid biochemical/geochemical explanation for the origin of life from non-living materials.">

You make it sound as if there has been no effort made to explain it to you. I've explained that abiogenesis is NOT a scientific theory a number of times, and so has <whatthefat> (see his May 1st post that you quoted for example).

Scientists (and other people who take the time to understand science and its terminology) are not confused by the different ways 'theory' is used.

In the same way, mathemematicians will use the word 'theory' in the sense that is specific to their field, but that doesn't mean they are prevented from using 'theory' it its commonplace sense.

When you understand the context it's no big deal. If you don't understand the context, you can always ask for clarification -- preferably *before* you accuse them of being inconsistent.

May-22-10  cormier: Moses went up the mountain to God.

Then the LORD called to him and said,

“Thus shall you say to the house of Jacob;

tell the Israelites:

You have seen for yourselves how I treated the Egyptians

and how I bore you up on eagle wings

and brought you here to myself.

Therefore, if you hearken to my voice and keep my covenant,

<You shall be to me a kingdom of priests, a holy nation.>

That is what you must tell the Israelites.”

So Moses went and summoned the elders of the people.

When he set before them

all that the LORD had ordered him to tell them,

the people all answered together,

“Everything the LORD has said, we will do.”

On the morning of the third day

all the people in the camp trembled.

But Moses led the people out of the camp to meet God,

and they stationed themselves at the foot of the mountain.

Mount Sinai was all wrapped in smoke,

for the LORD came down upon it in fire.

The smoke rose from it as though from a furnace,

and the whole mountain trembled violently.

The trumpet blast grew louder and louder, while Moses was speaking,

and God answering him with thunder.

May-22-10  playground player: <You Rang> No, I don't mean to suggest that you have been guilty of defending abiogenesis by simply dismissing skeptics as ignorant.

Meanwhile, "life from non-life" is a FACT??? Somebody must have changed the definition of "fact" when we weren't looking.

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