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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-27-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49614 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-26-26 Kasparov vs C Oblitas, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: Pretty good pun. Hard to believe Kaspy performed so well in a clock simul against such strong competition. IIRC, he set an upper ELO limit of 2000 in most simuls. I would love to know if he also missed Qa4. I'm guessing yes.
 
   Jan-26-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: Completely reasonable question - <OCF> made a proffer and should be able to offer a word or two in motivation when asked reasonably.> I've seen such requests by the serial copy/pasters ignored any number of times. <What can be more reasonable than why? * *
 
   Jan-25-26 Abdusattorov vs Giri, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks for the game cg.c
 
   Jan-24-26 E Straat vs G de Brie, 1925 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Groaner of a pun, in a good way.
 
   Jan-23-26 Abdusattorov vs D Gukesh, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks <messiah> Gukesh saw it before Abdusattorov reached for his piece.
 
   Jan-21-26 Niemann vs Abdusattorov, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: A draw in 30 at 100-1 seems reasonable.
 
   Jan-20-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Turn this thing up to 11. Cream-Politician https://youtu.be/vlvA0sMvnqo?si=_b1...
 
   Jan-20-26 C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks for the live game.
 
   Jan-20-26 Memorable Quotes chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <troller> on a live game: <Aravindh seems in prep after 15.g4 but engine is not impressed. Weird position though, looks to me both players are worse.> C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026
 
   Jan-19-26 D Ghizdavu vs I Roebuck, 1966 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "Sears Roebuck"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 168 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-11-10  playground player: <YouRang> I have a closed mind because I think evolution is hogwash?

If it's a universal force of nature that even effects manmade objects like cities and computers, why has it not operated on horseshoe crabs, spiders, cockroaches, bacteria, gingkos, moss, etc., etc.? Even leaving aside all religious considerations, it still looks like bunk to me. Indeed, I don't even think the religious objections to Darwinism need be invoked--the mathematical objections alone ought to be enough to sink it.

As for disagreeing with what the Bible says--well, ain't spin wonderful? I know of, and have interviewed, so-called theologians who spin the Bible so as to allow virtually anything. This is just low cleverness, and it will not impress the Judge of All the Earth.

I suppose, in the end, I am arguing for humility. Too many people see God when they look in the mirror. If you think evolution is real, I think you're wrong. We can discuss it at length, even if it doesn't get us anywhere. But yes, I do think the Bible is an infinitely better guide than our own personal "wisdom" (or whatever else you want to call it), or anybody else's wisdom, reason, glib speech, whatever.

Jun-11-10  technical draw: I think evolution (or rather the theory of evolution) is hogwash too. Something "scientific" had to be invented to counter creation. So the best they could come up with is this swiss cheese theory of evolution. It wasn't meant to be taken seriously.
Jun-11-10  YouRang: <playground player: <YouRang> I have a closed mind because I think evolution is hogwash?>

Actually, I didn't say that. I said that *I* had a closed mind when *I* thought it was hogwash. That same doesn't necessarily apply to you since you've seen life from a different perspective than me.

However, I believe it was you who suggested that I lacked an open mind because I didn't think evolution was hogwash, when you said: "I think if you explore it [evolution] with an open mind, you will eventually conclude it's hogwash."

<If it's a universal force of nature that even effects manmade objects like cities and computers, why has it not operated on horseshoe crabs, spiders, cockroaches, bacteria, gingkos, moss, etc., etc.?>

Who says that those things didn't evolve? That's not the position of evolutionists.

<Even leaving aside all religious considerations, it still looks like bunk to me. Indeed, I don't even think the religious objections to Darwinism need be invoked--the mathematical objections alone ought to be enough to sink it.>

What mathematical objections?

<As for disagreeing with what the Bible says--well, ain't spin wonderful? I know of, and have interviewed, so-called theologians who spin the Bible so as to allow virtually anything. This is just low cleverness, and it will not impress the Judge of All the Earth.

I suppose, in the end, I am arguing for humility.>

I'm not sure if we're even arguing about anything here. I think you and I agree that most parts of the Bible can be understood quite clearly. I think you and I would also agree that some people spin the Bible to suit their own purposes, and they do so wrongly.

So let's put all that aside and try to see where we differ. I'll ask you plainly: Do you agree that honest people who truly want to understand what the Bible says may at times disagree about what some passage says?

If your answer is "yes", then (since you are arguing for humility) I'll ask: Which is more humble? (1) To accept that that passage is difficult and that *your* interpretation might be wrong; (2) To insist that your interpretation is THE correct interpretation, and that people who see it differently are dishonest.

If your answer is (1), then we agree on that.

Now, let me bring this matter into the context of this debate by re-asking the question I posed earlier: "Does the Bible teach that accepting evolution constitutes rebellion against God?".

Jun-11-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan> I don't know if you intend to participate in this debate anymore. If not, then it strikes me that it might be impolite for the rest of us to continue this discussion in your forum.

If you would like it to move elsewhere, please say so. Also, I realize that you may be hosting a moves prediction contest here before long, and that these discussions might would be a distraction. Again, just say "stop now" or "leave here" when you feel it's time.

Jun-11-10  cormier: << YouRang>> <<<(1) To accept that that passage is difficult and that *your* interpretation might be wrong; (2) To insist that your interpretation is THE correct interpretation, and that people who see it differently are dishonest.> ... interpretation must be done for actual purposeand in the Spirit of love> .... one can ask himself: what would Jesus do and make then how can i attain this same result which is convenient to me, other> ..... by by, tks God
Jun-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang> it's fine that you continue here. I've had a little time to get over it so I will just briefly state that I thought the 3 answers post was grade school, and the followup struck me as mocking. Those two put together really lit me up. OTOH, I wasn't phased at all by your last post where you described your view of my position. I disagree with nearly all of it, in particular this claim: <You alone have taken this debate into the realm of negativity> but I didn't take offense at it. After thinking about it, I know I've had people upset by things I thought rather tame so I will try to give you some benefit of the doubt on it.
Jun-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'll go ahead and offer an answer to the post:

<All of this calls the young earth hypothesis (that the earth is only ~10,000 years old) into question. What might you conclude?

1. God created the layers of ice in Greenland, the layers of sediment in the ocean, and the radioactive decay in the ash to create the appearance of age. Not only that, he (for some reason) made it all suggest a supervolcano eruption at Lake Toba 75,000 years ago, even though it never happened.>

The assumptions made going in force the answers coming out. I think I could present 3 examples to prove the earth is 100,000 years old, 2 million years old, 50 million years old, etc, etc.

<2. These scientists have nothing better to do that get involved in a massive conspiracy to produce evidence that the earth is older than 10,000 years. They do this to give people an excuse to not believe the Bible.>

I think there is a great deal of truth in this. I don't know about a conspiracy, but a prejudice that drives the assumptions and ergo, conclusions, is an important part of the problem. And yes, I think (some of)they do it to give people an excuse not to believe in the Bible.

<3. The young earth hypothesis, and thus your interpretation of Genesis, is wrong.>

I guess there's always a chance anyone is wrong, but from what I've seen, the argument here simply doesn't hold up to a natural reading of the Bible. I have read the case made for theological evolution and am completely unpersuaded.

Jun-11-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: I'll go ahead and offer an answer to the post: >

Well, thank you for answering.

<<YouRang: 1. God created the layers of ice in Greenland, the layers of sediment in the ocean, and the radioactive decay in the ash to create the appearance of age. Not only that, he (for some reason) made it all suggest a supervolcano eruption at Lake Toba 75,000 years ago, even though it never happened.>

OCF: The assumptions made going in force the answers coming out.>

So what is your point? Are you saying that these three scientists, working independently and presumably making false assumptions, arrive by sheer coincidence at the conclusion that this event took place 75,000 years ago? And that by dumb luck, it leads them to the discovery that lake Toba is a supervolcano?

Or are you agreeing that God presented them with this evidence?

<OCF: I think I could present 3 examples to prove the earth is 100,000 years old, 2 million years old, 50 million years old, etc, etc. <>>

To be precise, you could find example to prove that the earth is *at least* that old. But again, what is your point? You seem to be admitting that the old-earth evidence is there.

<<YouRang: <2. These scientists have nothing better to do that get involved in a massive conspiracy to produce evidence that the earth is older than 10,000 years. They do this to give people an excuse to not believe the Bible.>

OCF: I think there is a great deal of truth in this. I don't know about a conspiracy, but a prejudice that drives the assumptions and ergo, conclusions, is an important part of the problem.>

There is a great deal of truth in what? The idea that these scientists I discussed are prejudiced? Is it prejudice, for example, to count the annual layers in the ice tube from Greenland to estimate the age at each layer? It actually makes perfectly good sense.

It's much more reasonable to think that Young-Earthists are the prejudiced ones:

- Scientists draw conclusions about the age of the earth by applying sensible methods to observed evidence. They are willing to change their conclusions if the evidence demands it. That is, they start with evidence, and from it they make a judgment about the conclusions.

- Young-Earthists have *pre-judged* what the conclusions should be. They start with this conclusion, and judge the evidence. This is prejudice.

<OCF: And yes, I think (some of)they do it to give people an excuse not to believe in the Bible.<>>

It seems to me that people have always exercised their liberty to not believe the Bible. They don't need scientists for that.

<YouRang: <3. The young earth hypothesis, and thus your interpretation of Genesis, is wrong.>

OCF: I guess there's always a chance anyone is wrong, but from what I've seen, the argument here simply doesn't hold up to a natural reading of the Bible. I have read the case made for theological evolution and am completely unpersuaded.>

Is this sort of a general admission that you *might* be wrong, or do you mean "anyone *else*"?

How can you be so certain that your natural (literal) reading is the correct one?

Long before scientists knew the age of the earth and before evolution was even an idea, there were theologians who didn't assume that the age of the earth was revealed in Genesis. For example, the Jews counted days starting after the 6 days of creation. They referred to the prior time as "days of old". Why do you suppose that is? Is it possible that they realized something that you missed? Could it be that the book you are "naturally reading" is a translated & interpreted copy of the original, and that some information may have gotten lost in any of those steps performed by imperfect humans?

It seems that no matter what the evidence suggests, you will stick with your interpretation. Of course, there are still some geocentrists around who are sticking with their natural reading of the Bible. They would present the same sort of arguments to you that you are presenting to me. I think you are of the same ilk, only perhaps to a different degree.

Jun-11-10  cormier: the interpretation of the genesis i've learned it when i was 9 years young, very instructif specially the seperation of the waters, symbolically the spirit of good and the falling of the evil ... after it's choice to revolt against the Most-Highest and Supreme-Being .... btw the name of my guardian angel is Ayousta ..... tks ps. he ain't an imaginary friend, cause his work for me is !!!
Jun-11-10  YouRang: <cormier> Thanks. I think that helps with a point I was making. :-)
Jun-11-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Scientists draw conclusions about the age of the earth by applying sensible methods to observed evidence.>

And some conclude it's 10,000 years, some 75,000, some 2 million, some 200 million, etc, etc etc.

Jun-11-10  cormier: possibly in english it's the fallen archangels and it's 1/3 of the angels that hated rebelled ... <the Kingdom of God is united by the Holy-Ghost .... by it's justice he is everywhere, know that, we are His ..... tks>
Jun-12-10  playground player: <YouRang> Obviously there will be times when people disagree on the meaning of a passage in the Bible. How many times did Jesus have to explaine His parables to the disciples, when they didn't understand? Just as obviously, some moral situations are clearer than others.

"Theistic evolution", I think, is trying to be faithful to God while staying on the world's good side. I really see no support for it in Scripture.

But we were talking about rebellion. Let me see if I can explain my position by offering examples. 1) For a theologian or clergyman to say "God blesses homosexual activity" clearly constitutes open rejection of the plain meaning of Scripture. The only nuance here is totally imaginary. 2) For anyone to say "I believe God created everything by natural processes, including evolution" falls into a kind of gray area. I'm sure I have never called it rebellion, even if I do think it's in error. All rebellion against God begins with an error in doctrine: but not all errors lead to rebellion. Who can say which ones will and which ones won't?

I would not kick anyone out of my church (figuratively speaking: I have no power) for believing in theistic evolution. But it's certainly something that ought to be discussed within the church, at great length (as we are doing here).

"Mathematical objections"--simply put, the observation that the universe has not existed anywhere near long enough for life as we see it to have evolved by chance. This objection is not a religious objection and has been around since Darwin's lifetime.

Finally, if we reject the Bible as a guide because people disagree about the meaning of some verses, what should be our guide? "Reason"? Been there, done that--the French Revolution. No thank you!

Jun-12-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <Scientists draw conclusions about the age of the earth by applying sensible methods to observed evidence.> And some conclude it's 10,000 years, some 75,000, some 2 million, some 200 million, etc, etc etc.>

I am not aware of such different conclusions about the age of the earth among scientists.

Can you provide documentation to support your claim? For example, links to scientific journals in which one scientist concludes that the earth is 10,000 years old, another in which the conclusion is 75,000 years old, etc. etc.?

Jun-12-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Let's make this your affirmative. Your post affirming 3 different evidences the earth is 75,000 years old implies that is the consenus. Can you provide documentation to support that claim? For example, links to scientific journals in which it is affirmed the only scientific evidence we have for the age of the earth is 75,000 years?
Jun-12-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: Let's make this your affirmative. Your post affirming 3 different evidences the earth is 75,000 years old implies that is the consenus. Can you provide documentation to support that claim? For example, links to scientific journals in which it is affirmed the only scientific evidence we have for the age of the earth is 75,000 years?>

Do you honestly not see the illogic of your statement?!

If I had evidence that you were alive 10 years ago, would it be logical for me to conclude that you were just 10 years old? Of course not -- that would be a dumb conclusion, right? The only thing I can conclude is that your are *at least* 10 years old, right?

And yet that's the same dumb reasoning you are using here. My post gave evidence of an *event* that took place 75,000 years ago. It says nothing about the actual age of the earth, except that that is must be *at least* 75,000 years old. The general consensus among scientists is that the earth is much older than that -- around 4.5 billion years old.

Don't accuse *me* of "demeaning" your intelligence if you're going to make statements like that.

Jun-12-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <And yet that's the same dumb reasoning you are using here. My post gave evidence of an *event* that took place 75,000 years ago. It says nothing about the actual age of the earth, except that that is must be *at least* 75,000 years old. >

Okay, I missed that point.

Jun-12-10  cormier: <for the Eternel Himself(presence) time is at his service ... <he use it according to His Divine Plan of renewing, rebuilding the Eden garden for us and that with all his glorious He will come live with us as King of kings .... <the Eternel progress is constant and Him = the thruth keep's marching on ..... tks >>>
Jun-12-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061210.shtml ... here's the Boss at 12 years old of his Hmanity .... the Very Holy-Familly in a human event(circumstance) ..... tks
Jun-12-10  YouRang: <playground player> Our discussion is going off in some different directions, so I'll reply in two posts...

<"Theistic evolution", I think, is trying to be faithful to God while staying on the world's good side. I really see no support for it in Scripture.>

You seem to be saying that theistic evolutionist are trying to impress both God and man. If so, you are making a claim about the motivations of others. Why can't someone arrive at theistic evolution as a result of an honest effort to seek truth?

For example, you have stated that you're agnostic regarding the age of the earth. An ardent young-earthist might conclude that you are selling out your faith! You are doing so to stay on the world's good side. Would he be right about your motives?

Or, might you have honest motivations for holding your position? Perhaps you are not fully convinced that it's valid to draw conclusions about the earth's age by counting days mentioned in Genesis. Or maybe you've decided that all the scientific evidence that points to an old earth is more difficult to refute than a specific literal interpretation of Genesis.

Whatever the case, I don't have cause to doubt that your position is based on an honest motivation to seek truth. But for the same reasons, I don't think you have cause to doubt that theistic evolutionists have honest motives. Disagreement doesn't mean that you have to attack their motives. In fact, it's a logical fallacy to do so.

<For anyone to say "I believe God created everything by natural processes, including evolution" falls into a kind of gray area. I'm sure I have never called it rebellion, even if I do think it's in error. All rebellion against God begins with an error in doctrine: but not all errors lead to rebellion. Who can say which ones will and which ones won't?>

Indeed. But one Christian's gray area is another's Christian's black (or white) area. It's all a matter of how you process information to arrive at truth.

At one extreme, you have Christians who interpret the Bible a certain way, and dismiss any external evidence that seems to disagree with their interpretation. At the other extreme, you have those draw conclusions from the external evidence and interpret so loosely that they can justify their conclusions. Then there's the middle ground, where people try to find the balance between what the understand in the Bible, and what they understand from external evidence. There are all shades of gray in between, You are one shade, I am another.

Jun-12-10  YouRang: <playground player> <"Mathematical objections"--simply put, the observation that the universe has not existed anywhere near long enough for life as we see it to have evolved by chance. This objection is not a religious objection and has been around since Darwin's lifetime.>

I think this argument is flawed, as follows:

== FLAW #1
Who has decided what the probabilities are that life could emerge chance? How did they arrive at those probabilities? I ask because it's a question that has no valid answer.

(1) We don't yet understand what processes might cause life to form, so how then does one determine the probabilities of those processes occurring?

(2) We don't have a definite understanding of what conditions are necessary to support life. We only understand the forms of life that appear on earth, but that doesn't preclude the possibility of life emerging in very different environments. In fact, even on earth, we see life flourishing in extreme conditions, from cold depths of the sea to hot deserts. So, if we can't even say with certainty what conditions are necessary for life to form, how can one determine the probability for those conditions to occur?

== FLAW #2
Your statement seems to admit that there is *some* possibility -- however unlikely -- that life could emerge by chance. To put it another way, the probability of that happening may be arbitrarily tiny, but not zero. And yet, a nonzero probability is all that is needed to make it possible. Given enough time and enough space, even the tiniest non-zero probability will produce a certainty. BTW, we can't even begin to comprehend how much time and space there is.

== FLAW #3
You are not really arguing against theistic evolution. The point of theistic evolution isn't that life emerged by chance to the exclusion of God. It's simply being open to to that possibility that God created in a manner consistent with the things we observe. It is accepting that in some cases, the conclusions drawn from things we observe might be less flawed than conclusions drawn from things we interpret.

Jun-12-10  cormier: nothing's happen's for nothing ..... tks
Jun-13-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061310.shtml
Jun-13-10  cormier: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjkp...
Jun-13-10  playground player: <YouRang> "Given enough time, anything can happen"--many mathematicians believe the chance evolution of life has not had enough time to happen. But I do not believe that given enough time, life evolves by chance--no more than a pile of dictionaries would evolve into the collected works of Shakespear, given enough time.

The reason I am agnostic about the age of the earth is that I believed in Old, Old Earth for most of my life and have only recently come to reject it. That's not something that happens overnight. I would love to be able to simply adopt Young Earth: but the Scriptures aren't shouting it at me.

Meanwhile, go ahead--convince me that the Bible allows Darwinism. I don't think it does, but I might change my mind if you can show me otherwise-- from Scripture.

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