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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49344 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 169 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-13-10  YouRang: <playground player: <YouRang> "Given enough time, anything can happen"--many mathematicians believe the chance evolution of life has not had enough time to happen. But I do not believe that given enough time, life evolves by chance--no more than a pile of dictionaries would evolve into the collected works of Shakespear, given enough time.>

I'm not claiming that "given enough time *anything* can happen". The 'thing' that is to happen must have a non-zero probability. The analogy with dictionaries evolving into the works of Shakespeare is a rather odd and irrelevant construct, IMO.

This 'mathematical' argument makes all sorts of baseless assumptions about the probabilites of evolution occurring, since those probabilities are clearly unknown. Your cite "many mathematicians". Who are they? Where do they get their data? You know, I could just as easily cite 'many mathematicians' who say evolution is probable -- but I don't because I think that it's an equally bogus argument.

But yes, even an extremely unlikely event (say one out of X, where X is an inconceivably large number) is almost certain to occur if, in all of time and space, there are 100 times X opporunities for it to occur.

<The reason I am agnostic about the age of the earth is that I believed in Old, Old Earth for most of my life and have only recently come to reject it. That's not something that happens overnight. I would love to be able to simply adopt Young Earth: but the Scriptures aren't shouting it at me.>

Fine. This confirms my point that you have honorable reasons for being reluctant to accept young-earth ideas, and that an ardent young-earthist would be wrong to say that your motives are just to be "on the world's good side". And again, for the same reasons, I would argue that you have no right to say that about people who disagree with your views.

<Meanwhile, go ahead--convince me that the Bible allows Darwinism. I don't think it does, but I might change my mind if you can show me otherwise-- from Scripture.>

Well, without promising to convince you, suppose that God did create using natural processes over billions of years, as scientific observations seem to suggest. The process going from the big bang to life on earth would obviously be complex beyond comprehension to humans. How would God describe it to Moses?

Might he not give a summary of those events from the most simple perspective? What could that perspective be?

How would God measure time? Time itself moves at a different rate at different places, depending on matter and velocity (as shown by Einstein). It would seem to make sense that time would be measured from the point of the big bang (or at least the point where our portion of the visible universe began). Let's call that point X.

So point X expands, coalesces into matter, forms galaxies, stars, planets, etc. Eventually, through natural processes, life emerges on a planet called earth, and eventually evolves into a man we'll call Adam.

From Adam's perspective, here on earth, the whole process would have taken about 15 billion years. But how long would it have taken time were measured from the perspective of point X? It would definitely be less time because time travels slower in the presence of immense mass and immense velocity, which certainly was the case at point X. In fact, it has been demonstrated that the elapsed time measured at point X would be just six days (i.e. six 24 hour periods) -- interestingly, in agreement with Genesis.

Anyway, none of this is my idea. I first saw it proposed by a Jewish physicist (PhD from MIT) and author named Gerald Schroeder. If you are interested, you can read his ideas (including how he justifies it with the Hebrew scriptures and ancient oral traditions) here:

http://www.aish.com/ci/sam/48951136...

BTW, I'm not saying that Schroeder is right. However, it appears to be an intellectually honest attempt to reconcile the Bible with science.

Rather than 'convince' you, the main points I want to make are: (1) Other viable interpretations of Genesis, besides the simplist literal interpretation, are possible. (2) Consideration of other interpretations do not warrant accusations of lying, or being foolish, or having worldly motives.

Jun-14-10  cormier: hi <<YouRang>>, have a good day ... for me your big bang is the Word of God, Jesus said i am the way, the thruth(word) and the life .... he is also the light, the cornerstone and an infinity of titles and facets(enought for all of humanity ++) ..... tks
Jun-14-10  cormier: for point X expanding i and time it's comparable to a drop of water to the Eternel Presence ... i've read about about material and temporel and the spiritual .... Time x Space = Speed so Eternity x Infinite space = Living Love(mobility, miracle) ..... tks
Jun-14-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061410.shtml
Jun-14-10  playground player: <YouRang> First things first... wow! That was some article by Dr. Schroeder. Fascinating! Thank you... it's a feast for thought.

I do think you've misunderstood my saying that theistic evolution is an attempt to be faithful to God while staying on the world's good side. OK, I could've phrased it less combatively.

But, really--who does not want to stay on the world's good side? Who does not long for human approval? This is a serious temptation! The Bible gives us fair warning, but even then we still succumb... at least occasionally.

Meanwhile, I'm going to spend some time, lots more time, digesting Dr. Schroeder's ideas. I guess I'll have to read his book.

Jun-14-10  YouRang: <playground player> You're welcome, and I'm happy to see that you are at least receptive to considering an alternative view.

In the article I gave you, Dr. Schroeder mostly deals with cosmology. He has another article that discusses how the Hebrew texts and ancient commentary permit the concept of evolution.

And yes, when you said "staying on the world's good side", I took it to mean compromising one's faith to be popular with people. Is that not what you meant?

Whether you accept Schroeder's ideas or not, I hope you at least appreciate that such ideas can be proposed or accepted by people without warranting an accusation that they are lying, compromising, being foolish, etc.

Jun-14-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <Through The Wormhole With Morgan Freeman> was most interesting. Anyone here (other than me) saw it?
Jun-14-10  cormier: <<chancho>> about 1 1/2 week ago freeman was interviewed by colbert and i was wondering what they were joking about, i thought it was about hawking, tks
Jun-15-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061510.shtml ..... tks
Jun-15-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: You're welcome, and I'm happy to see that you are at least receptive to considering an alternative view.>

Are you receptive to considering the young earth position?

Jun-15-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <YouRang: You're welcome, and I'm happy to see that you are at least receptive to considering an alternative view.>

Are you receptive to considering the young earth position?>

More than that, I actually *did* believe it a number of years ago.

However, after taking the time examine both sides of the debate, I became convinced that the young earth creationist ideas were indefensible, and thus there had to be a better way to understand Genesis (whether I ever found it or not).

- The evidence for an old earth and old universe is overwhelming.

- The idea that all these scientists are collaborating in a lie just to have an excuse to not believe a particular interpretation of Genesis was hard to swallow, completely unnecessary, and very likely a false accusation.

- The idea that God created all this evidence of an old earth (light and radiation in space from events that never happened, false uranium decay, layers of ice & sediment, craters on Mercury, etc, etc, just to create the "appearance of age" is completely contrived, unsupportable by either sense or scripture.

So to answer your question: I have already been receptive to it, and I would again if I were convinced that all these hurdles could be overcome. But to me, the hurdles are only getting taller.

Jun-15-10  cormier: <<YouRang>> hi, have a good day ... i can say "i am" ... you can say "i am" also .... God is saying "i am" with you ..... tks
Jun-16-10  0003: 47 minutes ago
Israel and the Vatican agreed Tuesday to take the contentious issue of sovereignty over the Last Supper Room in Jerusalem out of the basket of bilateral issues being discussed, to facilitate movement in glacial negotiations on other ...
Jun-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: John 7:17, NIV If anyone chooses to do God's will, he will find out whether my teaching comes from God or whether I speak on my own.

Jesus claims if anyone wants to obey God, they will determine if what Jesus says is truly from God or not.

Jun-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang> the Bible is rife with occasions where what by any apparent reasonable understanding, what God said isn't true. As one example of many, before the feeding of loaves and fishes, the apostles were bewildered where they'd get enough food for the crowd. By man's reckoning, it couldn't happen. Maybe that doesn't fit perfectly as an analogy but I trust you understand what I am getting at. Anyway, while I simply don't agree with your viewpoint that the evidence cited points to an older earth, even if it did, I am not shocked that God might test man with such a challenge.

<0003> I don't know if you're old enough to remember the old Saturday Night Live running gag about the Middle East, but they would do a news blurb where they read off a list of countries over there......and then just tail off. ie, "In the Middle East today, Israel, Syria, Jordan, Iran, Iraq....." And the point was to highlight how nothing ever changed from all those summits, etc.

Jun-16-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061610.shtml
Jun-16-10  playground player: <YouRang> Actually what I was talking about was the universal, natural, and sometimes irresistible urge to remain on the world's good side and enjoy the approval of others. There are those who make this compromise on purpose, but many others who do it unawares. It's a tremendous temptation and I don't know anyone who's immune to it.

As for Dr. Schroeder, it's impossible for me to form an opinion of what he's saying because I lack the requisite background in physics, and I'm not all that well-versed in medieval Jewish scholars. So I've persuaded a physicist whom I know to read the book and tell me what he thinks.

It would be way cool if it turned out that you and <OhioChessFan> were both right about the age of the earth, and I was the only one who was wrong.

Jun-16-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan><As one example of many, before the feeding of loaves and fishes, the apostles were bewildered where they'd get enough food for the crowd. By man's reckoning, it couldn't happen.>

Sure. But that's not the issue I'm addressing.

If we asked a scientist if it were possible for five small loaves of bread and two fish could be multiplied (without adding anything) such that it would provide satisfying meals for over 5,000 hungry people, I suspect he/she would say "no" (perhaps citing scientific law called the "conservation of mass").

I would not accuse this scientist of being a liar. Perhaps you would.

<Anyway, while I simply don't agree with your viewpoint that the evidence cited points to an older earth, even if it did, I am not shocked that God might test man with such a challenge.>

So you think that maybe God gives evidence that the earth is old, and we are to be blamed for observing this evidence and thus reasoning that the earth is old. If we are to accept your view, then why should we ever use reason?

Conversely, I think we are *expected* to use our reason, and we are more likely to be blamed for failing to use it. Maybe God is challenging us, but instead of challenging us to throw away our reason, He is challenging us to use it with humbleness and kindness. At least *that* challenge would be more consistent with Biblical teaching IMO.

Jun-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <YouRang: So you think that maybe God gives evidence that the earth is old, and we are to be blamed for observing this evidence and thus reasoning that the earth is old.>

No, I don't think what you just concluded about my position. I think with certain assumptions, someone might conclude the earth is old and I think God might test man with that.

<If we are to accept your view, then why should we ever use reason?>

No comment.

<Conversely, I think we are *expected* to use our reason, and we are more likely to be blamed for failing to use it. >

I have said repeatedly that I believe my position is reasonable and defensible.

<Maybe God is challenging us, but instead of challenging us to throw away our reason, He is challenging us to use it with humbleness and kindness. At least *that* challenge would be more consistent with Biblical teaching IMO.>

Maybe He is challenging us to believe what His word plainly says and consider that He is unchanging and not prone to self serving suppositions and assumptions that a priori prove a position.

Jun-16-10  YouRang: <No, I don't think what you just concluded about my position. I think with certain assumptions, someone might conclude the earth is old and I think God might test man with that.>

I was commenting on the <even if it [the evidence] did [point to an older earth]> clause of your earlier comment. You qualify with "certain assumptions", although those assumptions are perfectly logical assumptions -- the same sort of assumptions that scientists make all the time and which prove to be highly successful.

<I have said repeatedly that I believe my position is reasonable and defensible. >

Frankly, I've been trying for some time to get you to defend your position. I've gotten a lot of strawman arguments (e.g. sarcasm), wrong ideas about science, inconsistencies, bald assertions, and lately, a lot of "no comments".

<Maybe He is challenging us to believe what His word plainly says and consider that He is unchanging and not prone to self serving suppositions and assumptions that a priori prove a position.>

You assume that people who interpret differently than yourself do so only for self serving reasons. One may just as well call that a self serving assumption on your part.

Anyway, this is ground already covered.

Jun-16-10
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <You assume that people who interpret differently than yourself do so only for self serving reasons. >

I do?

<Anyway, this is ground already covered.>

Yes.

Jun-17-10  playground player: <YouRang> Do you reject the actuality of all the miracles described in the Bible? If Christ did not feed a multitude with a few loaves and fishes, did not walk on water, did not heal with a touch or even a word, did not raise anyone from the dead... if He did none of these things, which the Bible says He did, then what is the whole Bible? Why accept any of it?

We are getting hung up on the age of the earth--all right, it's OK to get hung up on that.

My question is, "Why does the physical universe, which God created, APPEAR TO US TO BE SO OLD?" Maybe Dr. Shroeder has figured that out. Maybe we have drawn the wrong conclusions from nature, misinterpreted what we see. The ancient-looking terrain, created in a matter of days by the eruption of Mt. St. Helen's, springs to mind.

God created us and gave us, along with other faculties, reason. Modern man has made an idol of reason. And in so doing, his reason was taken away little by little and replaced by pride, and he never knew the difference...

Jun-17-10  YouRang: <OhioChessFan: <You assume that people who interpret differently than yourself do so only for self serving reasons. > I do? >

That's what I inferred from your comment. But let's see: Do you think someone can accept an interpretation that agrees with mainstream science, for honest reasons that are not self serving?

Jun-17-10  YouRang: <playground player: <YouRang> Do you reject the actuality of all the miracles described in the Bible?>

No. I presume you got that idea from my statement that I would not call a scientist a liar just because he/she said the miracles were impossible. This scientist is simply confirming that it's a miracle.

<My question is, "Why does the physical universe, which God created, APPEAR TO US TO BE SO OLD?">

I think the most sensible answer is: "because it IS so old".

<God created us and gave us, along with other faculties, reason. Modern man has made an idol of reason. And in so doing, his reason was taken away little by little and replaced by pride, and he never knew the difference...>

Reason = one's earnest desire to seek truth. A good thing that we are taught to do.

Pride = one's false assumption that he/she is superior enough to judge others. A bad thing that we are taught not to do.

Jun-17-10  cormier: http://www.usccb.org/nab/061710.shtml
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