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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-05-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49333 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: Brown commie promises brown immigrants <free stuffs> paid for by white people. Got it.> This is so bad that even <HeMateMe!> is worried about government spending for the first time in his life.
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
   Nov-03-25 Memorable Quotes chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: From Chessgames - Politics <perfidious wrote: I claim no familiarity with Edward Teller but was amused to read that he blamed Jane Fonda for his 1979 heart attack. > <johnlspouge: I am sure it wasn't your intention, but my imagination took a prurient turn here.>
 
   Nov-03-25 B Jacobsen vs I Hausner, 1969
 
OhioChessFan: "Bo Jac Horseman"
 
   Nov-01-25 A Brkic vs F Oro, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Sorry I missed it.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 256 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Sep-28-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Much obliged <lark> The historians/bio writers on this site are an international treasure.
Sep-28-11  chessmoron: ♔ Bilbao 2011: <Round 3> Results ♔

<Aronian-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 46 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['NakoSonorense', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '32']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

3rd Over, 1 point: []

===

<Vallejo-Carlsen, 1-0 in 42 moves.>--No one got it.

===

<Anand-Ivanchuk, 0-1 in 69 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SloVice', '0-1', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Sep-28-11  chessmoron: Round 3 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<NakoSonorense>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <twinlark>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

17, NakoSonorense, 0, 1, 1
10, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 1
10, onesax, 0, 0, 1
7, SloVice, 0, 1, 0
7, twinlark, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, Ragh, 1, 0, 0
0, Artsemthon, 0, 0, 0
0, Boratco, 0, 0, 0
0, chancho, 0, 0, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

12, WinKing, 1, 0, 1, 1
9, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0, 1
8, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0, 1
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, chancho, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, twinlark, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1, 0
5, Ragh, 0, 0, 1, 0
4, onesax, 0, 2, 0, 0
2, NakoSonorense, 0, 1, 0, 0
2, SloVice, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, Artsemthon, 1, 0, 0, 0
1, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

19, NakoSonorense
18, OhioChessFan
14, onesax
13, twinlark
12, WinKing
9, Golden Executive
9, SloVice
8, Ragh
8, wordfunph
7, Robin01
6, chancho
5, chessmoron
1, Artsemthon
0, Boratco

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 3>

Score,UserID

2, NakoSonorense
1, OhioChessFan
1, onesax
1, Ragh
1, SloVice
1, twinlark
1, wordfunph
0, Artsemthon
0, Boratco
0, chancho
0, chessmoron
0, Golden Executive
0, Robin01
0, WinKing

Sep-28-11  wordfunph: == Round 4, Sao Paulo Thu Sep30

Ivanchuk - Carlsen, 1/2 33
Nakamura - Vallejo, 1/2 35
Anand - Aronian, 1/2 36

Sep-28-11  twinlark: Round 4

Ivanchuk - Carlsen, 1-0 34
Nakamura - Vallejo, 1/2 44
Anand - Aronian, 1/2 50

Sep-29-11  Golden Executive:

Round 4

Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 33
Nakamura - Vallejo 1/2 48
Anand - Aronian 1-0 56

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 35
Nakamura - Vallejo 1-0 39
Anand - Aronian 1/2 24
Sep-29-11  NakoSonorense: Round 4

Ivanchuk - Carlsen, 1/2 36
Nakamura - Vallejo, 1/2 43
Anand - Aronian, 1/2 31

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Round 6: October 6

Ivanchuk - Nakamura 1/2 44
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 37
Vallejo - Aronian 1/2 46

Round 7: October 7

Vallejo - Ivanchuk 1/2 29
Aronian - Carlsen 0-1 45
Anand - Nakamura 1-0 57

Round 8: Saturday, October 8

Ivanchuk - Anand 0-1 34
Nakamura - Aronian 1/2 36
Carlsen- Vallejo 1-0 32

Sep-29-11  onesax: Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 35
Nakamura - Vallejo 1-0 31
Anand - Aronian 1/2 26
Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: A little off day entertainment:
http://www.okcupid.com/tests/the-wh...

And my results are..........An Outer Black Pawn

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 3 rounds in, we have 2 HOFers leading the categories, <NakoSonorense> and <WinKing>. If this is your first contest, don't lose heart if you haven't scored yet. It can be <extremely> difficult to score. And sometimes, you can win the entire contest based on one good round. FWIW, I think the Gold Standard for this contest is the Moves+Bonus Ranker, but I'm happy to take the gold in any of the 4.
Sep-29-11  chessmoron: Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 40
Nakamura - Vallejo 1-0 33
Anand - Aronian 1/2 39
Sep-29-11  morfishine: Good to see you posting over here at the POTD

BTW: I'm for Ivanchuk

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: The link I provided is to a personality quiz. It's called "What Chess Piece Are You?" I doubt any great revelation, but mildly interesting.

http://www.okcupid.com/tests/the-wh...

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <morf> I have some real life issues that have greatly affected my concentration. I've been about worthless in the World game and POTD I might comment on the early days of the week. Today was so easy it might as well have been a Tuesday. It's nice though, the site lends itself to picking what you want/can deal with.
Sep-29-11  Travis Bickle: Hey Elvis here's a guitar riff for ya.

http://youtu.be/kqKHqWaTv9g

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Bum buh bum! Bum bu bum!
Sep-29-11  WinKing: Round 4, Sao Paulo 30/9

Aronian - Ivanchuk 1/2 32
Vallejo - Anand 0-1 47
Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0 37

Sep-29-11  WinKing: Hey <OCF> I think some people may have the rounds mixed up. I'm pretty sure for round 4 for the match-ups are:

Round 4, Sao Paulo 30/9

Aronian - Ivanchuk
Vallejo - Anand
Carlsen - Nakamura

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <WinKing> you are correct. I am not sure where the wrong pairings are from. I just copied them from somewhere and haven't noticed there was a problem. I'm shocked it's just coming up now. Could everyone please look over their 4th round pairings? These ARE the correct pairings:

Round 4, Sao Paulo 30/9

Aronian - Ivanchuk
Vallejo - Anand
Carlsen - Nakamura

Sep-29-11  WinKing: The official Bilbao site pairings:

http://www.bilbaomastersfinal.com/e...

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I will list the people who I think have the wrong pairings for Round 4. I am guessing Rounds 4 and 5 are reversed.

<Ragh> <Robin01> <wordfunph> <twinlark> <GoldenExecutive> <OhioChessFan> <Nakosonorense> <chessmoron>

Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I see 3 posts in a row back on page 254 that have this wrong pairing. I have no idea where it came from, but it appears legit. I will try very hard to contact the people involved and leave it to <chessmoron> discretion what to do. If you are fixing your pairings for this contest, be sure to get to <YouRang> and fix them there also.
Sep-29-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It's okay for <ragh> and <Robin> since they picked Round 4 and 5 both. I will try to chase down the rest.
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