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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-09-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 283 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-16-12  Golden Executive:

<OhioChessFan:
Van Wely - Gashimov 1/2 28>

Jan-16-12  wordfunph: as audited by certified public accountant <Golden Executive> :)
Jan-16-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hmm. My chances are decaying rapidly.

Round 4

Topalov - Gashimov 1/2-1/2 31
Ivanchuk - Van Wely 1-0 32
Aronian - Kamsky 1/2-1/2 29
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 41
Giri - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 38
Navara - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 26
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 22

Jan-16-12  chessmoron: Round 3 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Robin01> and <WinKing>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 14 points <wordfunph>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

20, WinKing, 1, 1, 1
17, Robin01, 0, 1, 1
17, twinlark, 0, 1, 1
13, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 0
13, wordfunph, 2, 1, 0
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0
10, SloVice, 1, 1, 0
7, bubuli55, 0, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

29, wordfunph, 2, 3, 3, 1
23, bubuli55, 1, 2, 0, 3
19, chessmoron, 4, 2, 1, 1
19, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 2
16, SloVice, 0, 2, 0, 2
15, lostemperor, 1, 2, 2, 0
13, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1, 1
11, WinKing, 1, 2, 0, 1
9, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 1, 0
8, Penguincw, 1, 1, 1, 0
2, twinlark, 0, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

42, wordfunph
36, Robin01
31, WinKing
30, bubuli55
30, chessmoron
26, SloVice
22, Golden Executive
22, lostemperor
19, twinlark
18, Penguincw
16, OhioChessFan
0, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 3>

Score,UserID

3, Golden Executive
3, WinKing
3, wordfunph
2, Penguincw
2, Robin01
2, SloVice
2, twinlark
1, bubuli55
1, chessmoron
1, lostemperor
1, OhioChessFan
0, Diademas

Jan-16-12  Golden Executive:

<wordfunph: as audited by certified public accountant <Golden Executive> :)>

lol !

You are doing great (as usual). First at 3 of 4.

Go <wordfunph>!

Jan-16-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <OhioChessFan:
Van Wely - Gashimov 1/2 28>

I'm beginning to get a complex here!

Jan-16-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: http://aol.sportingnews.com/nba/sto...
Jan-16-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Topalov - Gashimov 1-0 32
Ivanchuk - Van Wely 1-0 32
Aronian - Kamsky 1/2-1/2 33
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 51
Giri - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 31
Navara - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 36
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 34
Jan-16-12  WinKing: Round 4 - Tuesday the 17th

Topalov - Gashimov 1/2 40
Ivanchuk - Van Wely 1-0 47
Aronian - Kamsky 1-0 50
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 40
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 40
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 40
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 36

Jan-17-12  Golden Executive: Round 4:

Topalov - Gashimov 1-0 40
Ivanchuk - Van Wely 30 1/2
Aronian - Kamsky 1-0 40
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 30
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 40
Navara - Karjakin 0-1 40
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 30

p.s.<Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

30, chessmoron>

Jan-17-12  SloVice: Round 4:

Topalov - Gashimov 1-0 43
Ivanchuk - Van Wely 1-0 43
Aronian - Kamsky 1/2 33
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 33
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 33
Navara - Karjakin 0-1 43
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 33

Jan-17-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Games started.
Jan-17-12  bubuli55: I so not see my entry. For I have fallen asleep before pressing post. Such must be the life with high cholesterol :)
Jan-17-12  Robin01: Picks 5-13:

== Round 5 - Thursday Jan 19th
Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 42
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 38
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 44
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 55
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 40
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 36
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 0-1 43

== Round 6 - Friday Jan 20th
Topalov - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Aronian - Gashimov 1-0 44
Caruana - Van Wely 1/2 56
Giri - Kamsky 1/2 60
Navara - Carlsen 0-1 43
Gelfand - Nakamura 0-1 56
Radjabov - Karjakin 1/2 40

== Round 7 - Saturday Jan 21st
Karjakin - Topalov 1/2 45
Nakamura - Radjabov 0-1 63
Carlsen - Gelfand 1-0 42
Kamsky - Navara 1-0 54
Van Wely - Giri 1/2 47
Gashimov - Caruana 0-1 55
Ivanchuk - Aronian 1/2 35

== Round 8 - Sunday Jan 22nd
Topalov - Aronian 1/2 36
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 53
Giri - Gashimov 1/2 56
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 34
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 36
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 42
Karjakin - Nakamura 1-0 57

== Round 9 - Tuesday Jan 24th
Nakamura - Topalov 0-1 66
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 48
Kamsky - Radjabov 0-1 56
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2 37
Gashimov - Navara 1/2 36
Ivanchuk - Giri 1/2 37
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 37

== Round 10 - Wednesday Jan 25th
Topalov - Caruana 1-0 47
Giri - Aronian 0-1 58
Navara - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Gelfand - Gashimov 1/2 35
Radjabov - Van Wely 1/2 48
Karjakin - Kamsky 1/2 55
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 49

== Round 11 - Friday Jan 27th
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 54
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 32
Van Wely - Karjakin 0-1 44
Gashimov - Radjabov 0-1 54
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2 34
Aronian - Navara 1-0 46
Caruana - Giri 1/2 66

== Round 12 - Saturday Jan 28th
Topalov - Giri 1/2 44
Navara - Caruana 1/2 36
Gelfand - Aronian 0-1 47
Radjabov - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Karjakin - Gashimov 1-0 37
Nakamura - Van Wely 1-0 38
Carlsen - Kamsky 1-0 48

== Round 13 - Sunday Jan 29th
Kamsky - Topalov 1/2 36
Van Wely - Carlsen 0-1 44
Gashimov - Nakamura 0-1 47
Ivanchuk - Karjakin 1/2 40
Aronian - Radjabov 1/2 39
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 38
Giri - Navara 1-0 44

Jan-17-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 4> Results ♔

<Aronian-Kamsky, 1-0 in 58 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '55']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '50']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '48']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caruana-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

===

<Gelfand-Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '22']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

===

<Giri-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 18 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

===

<Navara-Karjakin, 0-1 in 60 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '55']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '45']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['SloVice', '0-1', '43']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Topalov-Gashimov, 1/2-1/2 in 55 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-17-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <chessmoron>

Where is Ivanchuk-Van Wely?

Jan-17-12  chessmoron: The points has been added on the results already.

<Ivanchuk-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '32']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '54']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-17-12  WinKing: <<Giri-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 18 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']] >

Golden Executive had 1/2 in 40 moves.

OhioChessFan 1/2 in 31 moves should have 3pts., SloVice 1/2 in 33 moves 2pts. & wordfunph 1/2 in 35 moves 1pt.

Jan-17-12  Golden Executive:

<Golden Executive: Round 4
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 40>
:(

Jan-17-12  wordfunph: <wordfunph: Round 4
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 35
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 35>

:(

Jan-17-12  Golden Executive:

Hey <WinKing> you are doing my job !

Just kidding my friend. :)

Jan-17-12  wordfunph: Round 5:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 34
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 34
Nakamura - Navara 1/2 34
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 49
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 34
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 49
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 34

Jan-17-12  WinKing: <Golden Executive:

Hey <WinKing> you are doing my job !>

I know <chessmoron>'s job is not easy. It is very easy to to get the numbers mixed up when dealing with four categories & over a dozen players. We can help <chessmoron> keep the books straight. :)

Jan-17-12  chessmoron: Round 4 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive> and <lostemperor>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 17 points <wordfunph>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

38, Robin01, 0, 4, 1
27, WinKing, 1, 2, 1
23, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 1
17, lostemperor, 0, 1, 1
17, SloVice, 1, 2, 0
17, twinlark, 0, 1, 1
13, wordfunph, 2, 1, 0
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0
7, bubuli55, 0, 1, 0
6, OhioChessFan, 2, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

47, wordfunph, 3, 3, 4, 3
25, SloVice, 0, 4, 1, 2
23, bubuli55, 1, 2, 0, 3
21, chessmoron, 4, 3, 1, 1
21, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 1, 2
20, Penguincw, 2, 1, 2, 1
20, Robin01, 1, 1, 1, 2
19, WinKing, 1, 3, 0, 2
17, lostemperor, 1, 3, 2, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1, 1
2, twinlark, 0, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

60, wordfunph
58, Robin01
46, WinKing
44, Golden Executive
42, SloVice
34, lostemperor
31, chessmoron
30, bubuli55
30, Penguincw
20, OhioChessFan
19, twinlark
0, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

5, Robin01
4, Golden Executive
4, WinKing
3, SloVice
3, wordfunph
2, lostemperor
2, OhioChessFan
2, Penguincw
2, twinlark
1, bubuli55
1, chessmoron
0, Diademas

Jan-17-12  Golden Executive:

<wordfunph: Round 4
Giri - Nakamura 1/2 35
Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 35>

Gelfand - Radjabov 1/2 35 had no points because of this rule: <"<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over">

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