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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-09-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 284 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-17-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I wonder if YouRang has software to offer. :)
Jan-17-12  Golden Executive:

<WinKing> I was just kidding. Of course the more of us can help <chessmoron>, the better results we can get.

Now, lets go back to the battle,

On guard everybody!

Jan-18-12  bubuli55: Round 5:
Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 39
Karjakin - Gelfand 1-0 47
Nakamura - Navara 1/2 29
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 55
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 41
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 57
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1-0 45
Jan-18-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 5

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2-1/2 28
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 31
Nakamura - Navara 1/2-1/2 41
Carlsen - Giri 1/2-1/2 26
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2-1/2 23
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2-1/2 38
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 26

Jan-18-12  Golden Executive: Round 5:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 35
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 30
Nakamura - Navara 1/2 35
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 45
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 30
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 45
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 35

Jan-18-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Radjabov - Topalov 1-0 41
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 24
Nakamura - Navara 1/2 38
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 41
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 29
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 39
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 32
Jan-18-12  WinKing: Round 5 - Thursday the 19th

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 34
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 34
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 46
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 47
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 34
Van Wely - Aronian 0-1 42
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 34

Jan-18-12  SloVice: Round 5:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 35
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 33
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 43
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 45
Kamsky - Caruana 0-1 45
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 38
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 0-1 38

Jan-18-12  chessmoron: Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 40
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 38
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 43
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 47
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 37
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 44
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 36
Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 3:40 classic!! Better than that bald head lyric and he starts laughing.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHis...

Jan-19-12  twinlark: Round 5

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 52
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 64
Nakamura - Navara 1/2 47
Carlsen - Giri 0-1 36
Kamsky - Caruana 0-1 72
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 39
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1-0 37

Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: == Round 5 - Thursday Jan 19th
Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 33
Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2 44
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 55
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 46
Kamsky - Caruana 0-1 59
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 34
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2 41

== Round 6 - Friday Jan 20th
Topalov - Ivanchuk 1/2 37
Aronian - Gashimov 1-0 48
Caruana - Van Wely 1/2 42
Giri - Kamsky 0-1 52
Navara - Carlsen 0-1 47
Gelfand - Nakamura 1/2 45
Radjabov - Karjakin 1/2 34

== Round 7 - Saturday Jan 21st
Karjakin - Topalov 1/2 36
Nakamura - Radjabov 1/2 40
Carlsen - Gelfand 1/2 53
Kamsky - Navara 1-0 52
Van Wely - Giri 1-0 49
Gashimov - Caruana 1/2 46
Ivanchuk - Aronian 1/2 24

== Round 8 - Sunday Jan 22nd
Topalov - Aronian 1/2 26
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 42
Giri - Gashimov 1/2 44
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 43
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 41
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 31
Karjakin - Nakamura 1-0 50

Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Games started.
Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Live update: 3 decisive results so far. Naka beat Navara with White in 34 moves. Chucky beat Gashimov with Black in 35 moves. Gelfand beat Karjakin with Black in 44 moves.

In the other games, all draws, Carlsen survived with a draw against Giri in 64 moves. Radjabov drew Topa in 28 moves. VW drew Aronian in 31 moves.

Currently, Kamsky is trying to hold against Caruana.

Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Kamsky held the draw in 84 moves. So unofficially, this round went:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 28
Karjakin - Gelfand 0-1 44
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 34
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 64
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 84
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 31
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 0-1 35

Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I doubt I had a good round.

Actual

< Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 28
Karjakin - Gelfand 0-1 44
Nakamura - Navara 1-0 34
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 64
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2 84
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2 31
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 0-1 35 >

Mine.

< Radjabov - Topalov 1/2-1/2 28 Karjakin - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 31
Nakamura - Navara 1/2-1/2 41
Carlsen - Giri 1/2-1/2 26
Kamsky - Caruana 1/2-1/2 23
Van Wely - Aronian 1/2-1/2 38
Gashimov - Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 26 >

Except for a few games. :)

Jan-19-12  wordfunph: Round 6

Topalov - Ivanchuk 1/2 33
Aronian - Gashimov 1/2 33
Caruana - Van Wely 1/2 33
Giri - Kamsky 1/2 33
Navara - Carlsen 1/2 33
Gelfand - Nakamura 1/2 33
Radjabov - Karjakin 1/2 33

go Draw! :)

Jan-19-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 5> Results ♔

<Carlsen-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 64 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '55']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Gashimov-Ivanchuk, 0-1 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['SloVice', '0-1', '38']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '0-1', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Kamsky-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 84 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Gelfand, 0-1 in 44 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Nakamura-Navara, 1-0 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['SloVice', '1-0', '43'], ['chessmoron', '1-0', '43']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '44']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1-0', '46']]

===

<Radjabov-Topalov, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '28']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

===

<Van Wely-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Yes! I'm climbing into contention. Meanwhile, Robin01 is trying to become the second person to win a quadruple crown.

Round 6
Topalov - Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 26
Aronian - Gashimov 1/2-1/2 38
Caruana - Van Wely 1/2-1/2 25
Giri - Kamsky 1/2-1/2 41
Navara - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 26
Gelfand - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 38
Radjabov - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 32

8 rounds to go!

Jan-19-12  WinKing: Long way to go yet <Penguincw>. This tournament is a long distance marathon. Everybody is still in this thing. I'm still waiting to see a 30pt. day from someone.
Jan-19-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < WinKing: Long way to go yet <Penguincw>. This tournament is a long distance marathon. Everybody is still in this thing. I'm still waiting to see a 30pt. day from someone. >

I know. But it's always nice to be in contention. It's easier, but still not vacation. In this contest, what makes it exciting is that you probably can never secure first place a round to spare or something.

Jan-19-12  SloVice: Should I not be up to 5 in the Moves ranker with a first and a shared first in round 5?
Jan-19-12  SloVice: Round 6:

Topalov - Ivanchuk 1/2 33
Aronian - Gashimov 1-0 38
Caruana - Van Wely 1-0 45
Giri - Kamsky 1/2 33
Navara - Carlsen 0-1 43
Gelfand - Nakamura 1/2 39
Radjabov - Karjakin 1-0 45

Jan-19-12  chessmoron: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Penguincw>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 10 points <Robin01>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

45, Robin01, 0, 5, 1
27, WinKing, 1, 2, 1
23, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 1
23, SloVice, 3, 2, 0
20, lostemperor, 1, 1, 1
20, Penguincw, 1, 1, 1
17, twinlark, 0, 1, 1
14, bubuli55, 0, 2, 0
13, chessmoron, 1, 0, 1
13, wordfunph, 2, 1, 0
6, OhioChessFan, 2, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

48, wordfunph, 4, 3, 4, 3
30, Robin01, 1, 3, 1, 3
28, Penguincw, 2, 2, 2, 2
27, SloVice, 0, 5, 1, 2
26, chessmoron, 4, 3, 2, 1
23, bubuli55, 1, 2, 0, 3
21, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 1, 2
21, WinKing, 3, 3, 0, 2
19, lostemperor, 1, 4, 2, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1, 1
3, twinlark, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

75, Robin01
61, wordfunph
50, SloVice
48, Penguincw
48, WinKing
44, Golden Executive
39, chessmoron
39, lostemperor
37, bubuli55
20, OhioChessFan
20, twinlark
0, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

6, Robin01
5, SloVice
4, Golden Executive
4, WinKing
3, lostemperor
3, Penguincw
3, wordfunph
2, bubuli55
2, chessmoron
2, OhioChessFan
2, twinlark
0, Diademas

Jan-19-12  SloVice: <chessmoron>Thanks! Gotta try to keep within striking distance.

We have had 7 Exact predictions so far. Is this a high number? Is it low? I ask because I have yet to get an Exact prediction...not just this tournament, ever. I'm feeling left out and a little unlucky.

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