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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-09-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49344 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 286 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-21-12  Golden Executive: Ronda 8:

Topalov - Aronian 1/2 31
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 31
Giri - Gashimov 1/2 31
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 31
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 31
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 31
Karjakin - Nakamura 1/2 31

Jan-21-12  bubuli55: Round 8:
Topalov - Aronian 1/2 47
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 47
Giri - Gashimov 1-0 37
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 37
Gelfand - Kamsky 0-1 37
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 47
Karjakin - Nakamura 1-0 47
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Topalov - Aronian 1/2 51
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 23
Giri - Gashimov 1/2 30
Navara - Van Wely 1-0 32
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 40
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 55
Karjakin - Nakamura 1/2 36
Jan-21-12  SloVice: Round 8:

Topalov - Aronian 1/2 33
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1-0 45
Giri - Gashimov 1-0 45
Navara - Van Wely 0-1 45
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 33
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 33
Karjakin - Nakamura 1/2 33

Jan-22-12  WinKing: Round 8 - Sunday the 22nd

Topalov - Aronian 1/2 37
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 47
Giri - Gashimov 1/2 47
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 37
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 43
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 43
Karjakin - Nakamura 1/2 37

Jan-22-12  twinlark: Round 8

Topalov - Aronian 1-0 45
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 47
Giri - Gashimov 1-0 56
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 44
Gelfand - Kamsky 1-0 55
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 43
Karjakin - Nakamura 0-1 36

Jan-22-12  WinKing: Games have started.
Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: My Predictions

< Topalov-Aronian 1/2-1/2 28
Caruana-Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 28
Giri-Gashimov 1/2-1/2 28
Navara-Van Wely 1/2-1/2 28
Gelfand-Kamsky 1/2-1/2 28
Radjabov-Carlsen 1/2-1/2 28
Karjakin-Nakamura 1/2-1/2 28 >

Actual So Far

< Topalov-Aronian 1/2-1/2 28
Caruana-Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 21
Giri-Gashimov 0-1 38
Navara-Van Wely ? 46
Gelfand-Kamsky ? 40
Radjabov-Carlsen ? 41
Karjakin-Nakamura 1/2-1/2 35 >

So far so good!

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Unofficial results: One decisive game. Gashimov won with Black against Giri in 38 moves (Some sites say 39, but I think 38 is correct) Everything else was a draw. Games went:

Topalov - Aronian 1/2 28
Caruana - Ivanchuk 1/2 21
Giri - Gashimov 0-1 38
Navara - Van Wely 1/2 62
Gelfand - Kamsky 1/2 44
Radjabov - Carlsen 1/2 44
Karjakin - Nakamura 1/2 31

Jan-22-12  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2012: <Round 8> Results ♔

<Caruana-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 21 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '23']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

===

<Gelfand-Kamsky, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Gashimov, 0-1 in 38 moves.>--No on got it!

===

<Karjakin-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

===

<Navara-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 62 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Radjabov-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '47']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '55']]

===

<Topalov-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '28']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Jan-22-12  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Penguincw> and <Golden Executive>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 18 points <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

62, Robin01, 1, 7, 1
62, WinKing, 1, 7, 1
33, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 2
33, lostemperor, 2, 1, 2
31, twinlark, 0, 3, 1
30, Penguincw, 1, 1, 2
26, OhioChessFan, 3, 1, 1
23, SloVice, 3, 2, 0
21, bubuli55, 0, 3, 0
20, chessmoron, 1, 1, 1
20, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

60, lostemperor, 1, 4, 3, 6
56, wordfunph, 7, 3, 5, 3
49, Robin01, 2, 4, 3, 4
45, SloVice, 1, 8, 2, 3
44, bubuli55, 1, 4, 1, 5
42, Penguincw, 2, 3, 2, 4
42, chessmoron, 4, 3, 4, 2
35, Golden Executive, 1, 3, 2, 3
32, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 2, 3
32, WinKing, 3, 3, 1, 3
3, twinlark, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

111, Robin01
94, WinKing
93, lostemperor
76, wordfunph
72, Penguincw
68, Golden Executive
68, SloVice
65, bubuli55
62, chessmoron
58, OhioChessFan
34, twinlark
0, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

9, Robin01
9, WinKing
5, Golden Executive
5, lostemperor
5, OhioChessFan
5, SloVice
4, wordfunph
3, bubuli55
3, chessmoron
4, Penguincw
4, twinlark
0, Diademas

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Moves Ranker: Robin01 and WinKing dominate a top of the standings. It seems like now it's a matter of who's going to grab the next medal.

Bonus Ranker: lostemperor, wordfunph and Robin01 lead the way while several others are close behind.

Moves+Bonus Ranker: Robin01 leads that contest by a fair margin while WinKing and lostemperor are close to each other and battle for second.

Moves Ranker: Just like the other moves ranker, Robin01 and WinKing dominate the top so it's a matter of who will take the next medal.

BTW: How do you award medals? Is it "strictly" like YouRang or "gentle" as in Top 3 performers.

Jan-22-12  wordfunph: Round 9

Nakamura - Topalov 1/2 45
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 52
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2 35
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2 45
Gashimov - Navara 1-0 52
Ivanchuk - Giri 1/2 45
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 48

Jan-22-12  chessmoron: Tomorrow is a rest day, I believe and also Chinese New Year. :)
Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Medals are awarded gently. Tomorrow is a rest day.

http://www.khonkaen.ws/wp-content/u...

Jan-23-12  twinlark: 9th round:

Nakamura - Topalov 1-0 55
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 33
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2 38
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2 69
Gashimov - Navara 0-1 39
Ivanchuk - Giri 1/2 47
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 71

Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: == Round 9 - Tuesday Jan 24th
Nakamura - Topalov 1/2 35
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 51
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2 36
Van Wely - Gelfand 0-1 47
Gashimov - Navara 1/2 53
Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0 50
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 45

== Round 10 - Wednesday Jan 25th
Topalov - Caruana 1-0 44
Giri - Aronian 1/2 44
Navara - Ivanchuk 1/2 44
Gelfand - Gashimov 1/2 44
Radjabov - Van Wely 1/2 54
Karjakin - Kamsky 1-0 54
Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2 34

== Round 11 - Friday Jan 27th
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 46
Kamsky - Nakamura 1/2 46
Van Wely - Karjakin 1/2 42
Gashimov - Radjabov 1/2 32
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1-0 48
Aronian - Navara 1-0 45
Caruana - Giri 1/2 51

== Round 12 - Saturday Jan 28th
Topalov - Giri 1-0 46
Navara - Caruana 1/2 45
Gelfand - Aronian 1/2 24
Radjabov - Ivanchuk 1/2 46
Karjakin - Gashimov 1-0 49
Nakamura - Van Wely 0-1 54
Carlsen - Kamsky 1-0 48

== Round 13 - Sunday Jan 29th
Kamsky - Topalov 1/2 37
Van Wely - Carlsen 1/2 45
Gashimov - Nakamura 1/2 45
Ivanchuk - Karjakin 1/2 40
Aronian - Radjabov 1/2 42
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 42
Giri - Navara 1/2 45

Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < OhioChessFan: Medals are awarded gently. Tomorrow is a rest day. >

Ok. Thanks for it "gently". That means that if I'm correct, currently there will be 6 gold medals, 8 silver and 6 bronze. :)

Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Happy Chinese New Year!
Jan-23-12  bubuli55: Jan-22-12
Round 9
Nakamura - Topalov 1/2 21
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 41
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2 47
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2 31
Gashimov - Navara 1/2 21
Ivanchuk - Giri 0-1 47
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 41
Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I see that I am doing much better here than in <YouRang> or <lostemperor> prediction games! :)

Also that there are 11 exact number of moves predicitons. That means one every 5.09 games (almost 20%!) what is pretty awesome.

Jan-23-12  WinKing: <chessmoron: Tomorrow is a rest day, I believe and also Chinese New Year. :)>

Rest days are good & New Year's celebrations are even better. Happy Chinese New Year!

Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Got nothing to lose and everything to gain (literally!) so here I go:

Nakamura - Topalov 1/2-1/2 35
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 35
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 35
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 35
Gashimov - Navara 1/2-1/2 35
Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 35

Jan-23-12  Golden Executive:

<Penguincw> You are missing the number of moves here:

<Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0>

Jan-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Golden Executive:

<Penguincw> You are missing the number of moves here:

<Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0> >

Whoops. I think it's obvious what the # of moves is, bit I'll just re-post for chessmoron's convience,

Nakamura - Topalov 1/2-1/2 35
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 35
Kamsky - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 35
Van Wely - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 35
Gashimov - Navara 1/2-1/2 35
Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0 35
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 35

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