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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-12-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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4. Complete the Olympiad
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49346 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: I promise you that you have nothing better to do for the next five minutes than to listen to this: Liszt-Liebestraum No. 3 in A Flat Performed by Rubinstein https://youtu.be/fwtIAzFMgeY?si=ebV...
 
   Nov-11-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I guess I'm glad the Schumer Shutdown is over. I can't say it had any impact on my life.
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 315 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Oct-05-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I was thinking about that post last week and trying to remember the details. I'm not sure what makes a person a veteran, though extensive participation in the World Game seems to be a shortcut.
Oct-05-12  rapidcitychess: <OCF>

I've been extensively inconsistent, with sometimes sandpapering lines carefully, and sometimes skimming the current kibitzing.

Oct-07-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here we go:

== Round 6: Monday, Oct 8
Vallejo - Anand 1/2 42
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2 26
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 44

== Round 7: Tuesday, Oct 9
Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 43
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 36
Aronian - Anand 1/2 40

== Round 8: Wednesday, Oct 10
Vallejo - Aronian 0-1 50
Anand - Caruana 1-0 45
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 38

== Round 9: Friday, Oct 12
Karjakin - Vallejo 1-0 45
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 42
Caruana - Aronian 1/2 43

== Round 10: Saturday, Oct 13
Vallejo - Caruana 0-1 46
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 36
Anand - Karjakin 1/2 40

Oct-07-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ♔ Round 6 Announcement ♔

The correct pairings this round are:
Vallejo - Anand
Karjakin - Aronian
Carlsen - Caruana

Oct-07-12  WinKing: Corrected pairings for Rd.6

Round 6, 10/8

Vallejo - Anand 0-1 45
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2 45
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 45

Should be right now.

Oct-07-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Vallejo - Anand 0-1 44
Karjakin - Aronian 0-1 46
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 38
Oct-07-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: (Deleting a few extraneous posts about the pairings)
Oct-07-12  wordfunph: Ronda 6:

Vallejo - Anand 1/2 42
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2 47
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 48

Oct-07-12  chessmoron: Vallejo-Anand 1/2 43
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 37
Carlsen-Caruna 1-0 42
Oct-08-12  Golden Executive:

Vallejo-Anand 1/2 36
Karjakin-Aronian 1/2 36
Carlsen-Caruana 1-0 36

Oct-08-12  Barok Espinosa: Round 6:

Vallejo - Aland 0-1 48
Karjakin - Aronian 1/2 47
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 50

Oct-08-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 6 games have started.
Oct-08-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <chessmoron> your call on the Round 6 business. I don't know if it'd be fair to accept the Carlsen-Caruana predictions when someone guessed a draw, since the result is the same, but that's one possible fix. Or you can use the <YouRang> method and run 2 sets of results. I am guessing it won't matter in the end.
Oct-08-12  hms123: <OCF> I was just out for a little fun with the d-man. All's well that ends well--thanks.
Oct-08-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: No such luck on the Carlsen - Caruana situation. Results today: Carlsen beat Caruana in 66 moves. Vallejo drew Vishy in 39. Karjakin drew Aronian in 35 moves.
Oct-08-12  wordfunph: Round 7: Tuesday, Oct 9

Carlsen - Vallejo 1/2 50
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 43
Aronian - Anand 1/2 38

Oct-08-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7

Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 40
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40
Aronian - Anand 1/2-1/2 40

Oct-08-12  chessmoron: ♔ Bilbao 2012: <Round 6> Results ♔

<Karjakin-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

===

<Vallejo-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

===

<Carlsen-Caruana, 1-0 in 66 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Oct-08-12  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary (without Carlsen-Caruana game):

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest score(s) in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <Penguincw>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

21, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0
14, Robin01, 0, 2, 0
10, Barok Espinosa, 1, 1, 0
10, chessmoron, 1, 1, 0
10, WinKing, 0, 0, 1
7, Diademas, 0, 1, 0
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

25, chessmoron, 3, 0, 2, 2
21, Barok Espinosa, 0, 2, 1, 2
20, lostemperor, 0, 2, 2, 1
18, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0, 3
17, wordfunph, 1, 2, 0, 2
11, WinKing, 0, 0, 1, 1
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 1, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

41, lostemperor
35, chessmoron
31, Barok Espinosa
25, Penguincw
21, Robin01
21, WinKing
17, wordfunph
13, OhioChessFan
10, Golden Executive
7, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

3, lostemperor
2, Barok Espinosa
2, chessmoron
2, Robin01
1, Diademas
1, Golden Executive
1, OhioChessFan
1, Penguincw
1, WinKing
0, wordfunph

Oct-08-12  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary (with Carlsen-Caruana game):

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest score(s) in the Bonus Ranker: 8 points <Golden Executive>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

21, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0
17, chessmoron, 1, 2, 0
14, Robin01, 0, 2, 0
10, Barok Espinosa, 1, 1, 0
10, WinKing, 0, 0, 1
7, Diademas, 0, 1, 0
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

25, chessmoron, 3, 0, 2, 2
21, Barok Espinosa, 0, 2, 1, 2
20, lostemperor, 0, 2, 2, 1
18, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0, 3
17, wordfunph, 1, 2, 0, 2
11, WinKing, 0, 0, 1, 1
9, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0, 1
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, OhioChessFan, 1, 0, 1, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

42, chessmoron
41, lostemperor
31, Barok Espinosa
25, Penguincw
21, Robin01
21, WinKing
17, wordfunph
16, Golden Executive
13, OhioChessFan
7, Diademas

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

3, chessmoron
3, lostemperor
2, Barok Espinosa
2, Robin01
1, Diademas
1, Golden Executive
1, OhioChessFan
1, Penguincw
1, WinKing
0, wordfunph

Oct-08-12  chessmoron: Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 41
Caruana - Karjakin 1-0 37
Aronian - Anand 1/2 37
Oct-09-12  Golden Executive: Round 7

Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 36
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 36
Aronian - Anand 1/2 36

Oct-09-12  WinKing: Round 7, 10/9

Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 42
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 42
Aronian - Anand 1/2 42

Oct-09-12  Barok Espinosa: Round 7:

Carlsen - Vallejo 1/2 46
Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 43
Aronian - Anand 1/2 38

Oct-09-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Carlsen - Vallejo 1-0 51
Caruana - Karjakin 1-0 41
Aronian - Anand 1-0 42
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