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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Oct-13-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49269 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Oct-12-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: How do we fix this> What's the problem? They'll vote for Democrats next election. All is well.
 
   Oct-10-25 Knaak vs Velimirovic, 1972
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun.
 
   Oct-09-25 Lasker vs Capablanca, 1935 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 66YO Lasker taking it to Capa... unbelievable. Among the usual suspects for GOAT, I think Lasker is the most unappreciated.
 
   Oct-09-25 Rodan Keiter
 
OhioChessFan: Excuse me, Paul Bunyan never fought Rodan.
 
   Oct-08-25 C Shock vs P Rohwer, 1991 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "It Was a Dark and Stormy Knight"
 
   Oct-08-25 offramp chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <The rain, in big drops, began to descend, and the thunder-peals, with louder and more deafening crash, to shake the zenith, till the long-protracted war, echoing from cavern to cavern, died, in indistinct murmurs, amidst the far-extended chain of mountains> Sounds like ...
 
   Oct-07-25 Chessgames - Music (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Classic Rock Albums Reinterpreted in the Distinctive Styles of the 1950s and 1960s> https://laughingsquid.com/1950s-196...
 
   Oct-07-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Dave Roberts constantly makes impossibly bad in game decisions.
 
   Oct-04-25 Topalov vs Kasparov, 1995 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Funny pun, nice game.
 
   Oct-01-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: Sorry, I missed this request and in the meantime, I forgot the source. I get a lot of puzzles as YouTube suggested videos and think that was the source.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 369 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 5 Tue June 18
Gelfand - Morozevich 1-0 40
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 38
Nakamura - Andreikin 1-0 38
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 41
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 42
Jun-18-13  whiteshark: Round 5

Gelfand - Morozevich 1-0 46
Carlsen - Anand 1-0 62
Nakamura - Andreikin 1-0 37
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1-0 35
Kramnik - Karjakin 1-0 50

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Nevertheless, I still enjoy this prediction contest but I did opted for a slightly different scoring system. For example:

12 (or 15) points for an exact prediction

9 (or 10) points for the contestant with the best prediction (no matter over or under) (if there is no exact prediction)

6 points for the correct 5 points -group Eg. 35-39, 40-44, 45-49 moves etc

3 points correct first digit (10-points group) Eg. 30-39, 40-49, 50-59

This is and easy system for the contest manager to work with and does not distinct between over or under predictions. It is fairer and has a lot of advantages IMO

In case the <Karjakin-Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves> prediction:

Exact, 12 points (or 15):
<wordfunph> 1/2-1/2 43

Correct 5-points group 6 points:
<twinlark> 1/2-1/2 42 <lostemperor> 1/2-1/2 44 <chessmoron> 1/2-1/2 40

(In case there was no exact prediciton twinlark and lostemperoro would have gotten 9 (or 10) points for being best prediction regardless over or under)

Correct 10-points group 3 points:
<WinKing> 1/2-1/2 45

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Btw. what happened to <Over, 3 points: [] >

in <Karjakin-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves>? Why is not that awarded?

Jun-18-13  twinlark: Round 5

Gelfand - Morozevich 1/2 34
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 28
Nakamura - Andreikin 1-0 44
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 34
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 40

Jun-18-13  wordfunph: Round 5

Gelfand - Morozevich 1/2 44
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 36
Nakamura - Andreikin 1/2 44
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 44
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 36

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Gelfand - Morozevich 1/2 36
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 39
Nakamura - Andreikin 1-0 45
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1-0 19
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 29

Jun-18-13  whiteshark: <Round 5> Rien ne va plus...
Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <lostemperor: Btw. what happened to <Over, 3 points: [] > in <Karjakin-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves>? Why is not that awarded?>

It wasn't awarded because there was an exact. If there is an exact or an under, then the closest over will be second. Per the instructions on my header:

<<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.>

As for the idea of 5 point groupings, that's interesting, but I kind of like how hard it is to score.

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Okay that figures I think;)

Well it is up to <chessmoron>, if he will consider a different score system where no one gets heavily disadvantaged for predicting over instead of under and may be better off to predict lower rathe than higher. Contestants should be encouraged to predict exactly what he or she expects without extreme disadvantages.

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ♔ In game update ♔

Vishy blundered early and Carlsen won an easy game in 29 moves. Naka and Andreikin played a harmless 23 move draw. Gelfand is winning early against Moro. 28 moves in, Kramnik-Karjakin looks like a quick draw. Mamedyarov-Caruana is even but seems to have a lot of play on both sides.

Jun-18-13  chessmoron: ♔ Tal 2013: <Round 5> Results ♔

<Carlsen-Anand, 1-0 in 29 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '38']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '41']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['whiteshark', '1-0', '62']]

===

<Gelfand-Morozevich, 1-0 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '38']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '40']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['whiteshark', '1-0', '46']]

===

<Kramnik-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedyarov-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 46 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '61']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Andreikin, 1/2-1/2 in 23 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '37']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Jun-18-13  chessmoron: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<twinlark> and <chessmoron>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 11 points <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

45, wordfunph, 0, 5, 1
27, PinnedPiece, 2, 3, 0
17, chessmoron, 0, 1, 1
17, whiteshark, 1, 2, 0
10, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 0
10, Ragh, 1, 1, 0
10, twinlark, 0, 0, 1
7, lost in space, 0, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0
0, The Last Straw, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

42, lostemperor, 0, 3, 0, 6
32, WinKing, 1, 2, 3, 2
14, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 1, 1
13, Robin01, 2, 3, 1, 0
11, wordfunph, 0, 0, 1, 1
9, twinlark, 1, 1, 0, 1
8, chessmoron, 1, 1, 1, 0
8, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1, 0
8, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0, 1
7, The Last Straw, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, Ragh, 1, 0, 1, 0
5, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 1, 0
5, whiteshark, 3, 1, 0, 0
0, lost in space, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

56, wordfunph
49, lostemperor
32, WinKing
27, PinnedPiece
25, chessmoron
22, whiteshark
20, Robin01
19, twinlark
18, OhioChessFan
17, Golden Executive
16, Ragh
8, Penguincw
7, The Last Straw
7, lost in space
5, SwitchingQuylthulg

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

6, wordfunph
5, PinnedPiece
3, whiteshark
2, chessmoron
2, OhioChessFan
2, Ragh
1, Golden Executive
1, lost in space
1, lostemperor
1, Robin01
1, twinlark
0, Penguincw
0, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, The Last Straw

0, WinKing

Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: No changes in the leaders today. A 9 round tournament seems mighty short. 4 rounds to go.
Jun-18-13  Robin01: Round 6 Predictions:

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 36
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 35
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 0-1 43
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 35
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 36

Jun-18-13  chessmoron: Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 36
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 32
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 35
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 40
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 37
Jun-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 41
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 30
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 47
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 28
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 44
Jun-19-13  WinKing: Round 6 Wed June 19

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 37
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 37
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 37
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 37
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 37

Jun-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 6:

Morozevich - Karjakin 0-1 43
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 30
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Anand - Nakamura 1-0 45
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 26

Jun-19-13  Golden Executive: Round 6

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 35
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 35
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 35
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 35
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 35

Jun-19-13  twinlark: Round 6:

Morozevich - Karjakin 1-0 38
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 37
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 44
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 32
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 45

Jun-19-13  whiteshark: Round 6

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 55
Caruana - Kramnik 1-0 43
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 28
Anand - Nakamura 0-1 47
Gelfand - Carlsen 1-0 39

Jun-19-13  wordfunph: Round 6

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 44
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 43
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 37
Anand - Nakamura 1/2 32
Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 43

Jun-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 6:

Morozevich - Karjakin 1/2 38
Caruana - Kramnik 1/2 40
Andreikin - Mamedyarov 1/2 39
Anand - Nakamura 0-1 23
Gelfand - Carlsen 0-1 30

Jun-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 6 games have started.
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