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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-08-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49342 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Yes. A couple trivial lines. 1. Rb7+ Ka8 2. Ra7+ Kb8 is clearly a repetition. If Black underpromotes, the White Rook draws.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 476 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-20-15  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov Memorial 2015: <Round 4> Result ♔

<Adams-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

===

<Kramnik-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<MVL-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '36']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '48']]

===

<So-Mamedov, 1-0 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '39']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '36']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '45']]

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <WinKing> had Adams-Carlsen in 40, good for a 2nd over.
Apr-20-15  chessmoron: Mamedov - Adams 1/2 38
Anand - So Wesley 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 35
Caruana - Giri 1/2 40
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 39
Apr-20-15  bubuli55: Round 5
Mamedov - Adams 1/2 35
Anand - So Wesley 1/2 35
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 40
Caruana - Giri 1/2 40
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Apr-20-15  WinKing: <<So-Mamedov, 1-0 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '39']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '36']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '45']]>

<wordfunph> had So - Mamedov 1-0 37

Apr-20-15  WinKing: <Robin01> had Adams - Carlsen 1/2 43 good for 3rd over. - 1pt.
Apr-20-15  Karposian: Round 5:

Mamedov - Adams 1/2 37
Anand - So 1/2 38
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 30
Caruana - Giri 1/2 30
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 48

Apr-20-15  chessmoron: *corrected
Round 4 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Karposian>, <chessmoron>, and <juan31>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 20 points: <Golden Executive>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

41, chessmoron, 0, 3, 2
37, Karposian, 1, 2, 2
27, juan31, 0, 1, 2
24, WinKing, 0, 2, 1
17, lostemperor, 0, 1, 1
17, PinnedPiece, 1, 2, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

45, Golden Executive, 2, 2, 3, 4
38, WinKing, 2, 3, 0, 5
35, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 2, 0, 5
22, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 2
21, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 2, 1
20, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 4, 0
16, Penguincw, 1, 0, 3, 0
14, chessmoron, 1, 1, 1, 1
13, lostemperor, 3, 2, 0, 1
10, Karposian, 0, 2, 0, 1
9, wordfunph, 2, 1, 1, 0
8, bubuli55, 0, 1, 0, 1
8, juan31, 1, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

62, WinKing
55, chessmoron
47, Karposian
45, Golden Executive
42, SwitchingQuylthulg
37, PinnedPiece
35, juan31
30, lostemperor
28, OhioChessFan
22, Robin01
16, Penguincw
16, wordfunph
11, bubuli55

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

5, chessmoron
5, Karposian
3, juan31
3, PinnedPiece
3, WinKing
2, lostemperor
1, bubili55
1, OhioChessFan
1, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, wordfunph
0, Golden Executive
0, Penguincw
0, Robin01

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 5

Mamedov - Adams 1-0 41
Anand - So 1/2 45
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 0-1 39
Caruana - Giri 1/2 40
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 39

Apr-20-15  chessmoron: <WinKing> Can you sub for me to post results tomorrow? I have a plane to catch.
Apr-20-15  WinKing: <chessmoron: <WinKing> Can you sub for me to post results tomorrow? I have a plane to catch.>

Sure thing <chessmoron>. No problem. :)

Apr-20-15  PinnedPiece: == Round 5 - Tue Apr 21
Mamedov - Adams 1/2 30
Anand - So Wesley 1/2 30
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 30
Caruana - Giri 1/2 30
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 39
Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Mamedov - Adams 1/2 40
Anand - So Wesley 1/2 32
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 36
Caruana - Giri 1/2 44
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 35
Apr-21-15  Golden Executive: Round 5:

Mamedov - Adams 1/2 40
Anand - So 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 40
Caruana - Giri 1/2 40
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40

Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 5
Mamedov - Adams 1/2 40
Anand - So Wesley 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 30
Caruana - Giri 1/2 50
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 50
Apr-21-15  WinKing: Round 5

Mamedov - Adams 1/2 40
Anand - So 1/2 40
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 41
Caruana - Giri 1/2 44
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 40

Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Mamedov - Adams 1/2 38
Anand - So 1/2 38
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 37
Caruana - Giri 1-0 4
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 39

Apr-21-15  WinKing: I will be filling in for <chessmoron> today. After the rounds have begun I will post all of our picks in my forum. You can peak in every now & then to see how you are doing...& the other guy is doing. ;)
Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Games have started.
Apr-21-15  WinKing: ♔ Gashimov Memorial 2015: <Round 4> Result ♔

<Mamedov-Adams, 1/2-1/2 in 50 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['GoldenExecutive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Anand-So, 1-0 in 44 moves.> NO ONE GOT IT!

===

<Mamedyarov-Kramnik, 1-0 in 76 moves.> NO ONE GOT IT!

===

<Caruana-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '44'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemoperor', '1/2-1/2', '50']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Vachier-Lagrave, 1-0 in 54 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '39'], ['juan31', '1-0', '39'], ['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '39'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1-0', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-21-15  WinKing: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<OhioChessFan> and <WinKing>

Highest score in the Bonus Ranker: 16 points: <chessmoron>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

41, chessmoron, 0, 3, 2
41, WinKing, 0, 3, 2
37, Karposian, 1, 2, 2
27, juan31, 0, 1, 2
17, lostemperor, 0, 1, 1
17, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1
17, PinnedPiece, 1, 2, 0
14, wordfunph, 0, 2, 0
7, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 1, 0
3, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

56, Golden Executive, 2, 2, 4, 5
46, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 2, 1, 6
44, WinKing, 2, 3, 0, 6
30, chessmoron, 1, 1, 3, 2
27, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 2, 2
27, Penguincw, 1, 0, 4, 1
26, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 4, 1
22, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 2
21, lostemperor, 3, 3, 0, 2
19, juan31, 1, 1, 2, 1
13, bubuli55, 0, 1, 1, 1
10, Karposian, 0, 2, 0, 1
9, wordfunph, 2, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

85, WinKing
71, chessmoron
56, Golden Executive
53, SwitchingQuylthulg
47, Karposian
46, juan31
44, OhioChessFan
43, PinnedPiece
38, lostemperor
27, Penguincw
23, wordfunph
22, Robin01
16, bubuli55

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

5, chessmoron
5, Karposian
5, WinKing
3, juan31
3, PinnedPiece
2, lostemperor
2, OhioChessFan
2, wordfunph
1, bubili55
1, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, Golden Executive
0, Penguincw
0, Robin01

Apr-21-15  WinKing: <GoldenExecutive> & <Penguincw> please check over the results & see if any corrections might be needed - Thanks.
Apr-21-15  Golden Executive: Results are OK. Good job <Winking>!
Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I'm busy at the moment, so will have to check the results at home. However, I have serious doubts that there are any errors (but I'll check it at home anyway, so I can get some practice).
Apr-21-15  WinKing: Thanks guys! :)
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