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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-05-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49333 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: Brown commie promises brown immigrants <free stuffs> paid for by white people. Got it.> This is so bad that even <HeMateMe!> is worried about government spending for the first time in his life.
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
   Nov-03-25 Memorable Quotes chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: From Chessgames - Politics <perfidious wrote: I claim no familiarity with Edward Teller but was amused to read that he blamed Jane Fonda for his 1979 heart attack. > <johnlspouge: I am sure it wasn't your intention, but my imagination took a prurient turn here.>
 
   Nov-03-25 B Jacobsen vs I Hausner, 1969
 
OhioChessFan: "Bo Jac Horseman"
 
   Nov-01-25 A Brkic vs F Oro, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Sorry I missed it.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 49 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-27-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <OhioChessfan> are you still there? you predicted round 8 instead of 9!
Jan-27-09  chessmoron: ♔ Corus 09: <Round 9> ♔ Results

<Karjakin-Movsesian, 1-0 in 68 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['chancho', '1-0', '38']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<van Wely-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '50']]
===
<Kamsky - Aronian 0-1 80 moves.--SHOCKER!>

No One got any POINTS.
===
<Adams-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
===
<Dominguez-Stellwagen, 1-0 in 51 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['NakoSonorense', '1-0', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '40']]
===
<Morozevich-Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 24 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
Smeets-Yue, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '27']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['just a kid', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Jan-27-09  chessmoron: <<Moves Ranker> - <--==Through Round 9==-->>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

61, imag, 3, 6, 1
50, chessmoron, 3, 6, 0
41, OhioChessFan, 2, 5, 0
37, lostemperor, 2, 3, 1
37, Robin01, 3, 4, 0
27, chancho, 1, 2, 1
26, NakoSonorense, 2, 0, 2
19, just a kid, 3, 0, 1
14, Ragh, 0, 2, 0
7, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 1, 0
3, Doktorn, 1, 0, 0

<<Bonus Ranker> - <--==Through Round 9==-->>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

58, NakoSonorense, 2, 11, 2, 4
54, Ragh, 6, 5, 4, 3
50, chessmoron, 6, 8, 2, 3
41, chancho, 3, 2, 2, 4
38, just a kid, 4, 3, 2, 3
33, imag, 1, 3, 4, 1
31, Robin01, 3, 3, 2, 2
30, OhioChessFan, 1, 3, 1, 3
27, lostemperor, 6, 2, 1, 2
7, Doktorn, 1, 3, 0, 0
6, jessicafischerqueen, 1, 0, 1,

<<Moves+Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 9==-->>

Score, UserID

100, chessmoron
94, imag
84, NakoSonorense
71, OhioChessFan
68, Ragh
68, chancho
68, Robin01
64, lostemperor
57, just a kid
13, jessicafischerqueen
10, Doktorn

<<Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER)> - <--==Round 9==-->>

Score, UserID

10, imag
9, chessmoron
8, Robin01
7, OhioChessFan
6, lostemperor
4, chancho
4, just a kid
4, NakoSonorense
2, Ragh
1, Doktorn
1, jessicafischerqueen

Jan-27-09  chessmoron: Movsesian – Wang Yue 1/2 39
Radjabov – Smeets 1/2 40
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2 36
Carlsen – Dominguez 1/2 51
Aronian – Adams 1/2 20
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 1/2 28
Karjakin – van Wely 1/2 36
Jan-27-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: LOL, I got up early to shovel snow and was sleep picking. Oh well.
Jan-27-09  just a kid: Round 10:

Movsesian – Wang Yue 1/2-1/2 34
Radjabov – Smeets 1-0 45
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2-1/2 28
Carlsen – Dominguez 1/2-1/2 56
Aronian – Adams 1-0 42
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 0-1 54
Karjakin – van Wely 1/2-1/2 24

Jan-27-09  NakoSonorense: R.X

Movsesian – Wang Yue 1-0 44
Radjabov – Smeets 1-0 46
Stellwagen – Morozevich 0-1 47
Carlsen – Dominguez 1/2 35
Aronian – Adams 1-0 45
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 0-1 45
Karjakin – van Wely 1-0 49

Jan-27-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Movsesian – Wang Yue 0-1 41
Radjabov – Smeets 1-0 30
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2 28
Carlsen – Dominguez 1-0 29
Aronian – Adams 1/2 16
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 1/2 22
Karjakin – van Wely 1-0 34
Jan-27-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Round 10

Movsesian – Wang Yue 1/2 40
Radjabov – Smeets 1-0 42
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2 38
Carlsen – Dominguez 1-0 50
Aronian – Adams 1/2 32
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 1/2 43
Karjakin – van Wely 1-0 38

Jan-28-09  imag: Round 10:

Movsesian – Wang Yue 1/2 35
Radjabov – Smeets 1/2 37
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2 33
Carlsen – Dominguez 0-1 41
Aronian – Adams 1/2 29
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 1/2 25
Karjakin – van Wely 1/2 32

Jan-28-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: There is snow in Ohio but it is 4 degrees Celcius in Wijk aan Zee:)

Round 10:
Movsesian – Wang Yue 1/2 34
Radjabov – Smeets 1-0 48
Stellwagen – Morozevich 1/2 44
Carlsen – Dominguez 1/2 45
Aronian – Adams 1/2 26
Ivanchuk – Kamsky 1-0 46
Karjakin – van Wely 1/2 32

Jan-28-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <imag> I swear I did not look at your predictions there but we have some similarities.. not that it mean much:)
Jan-28-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Movsesian - Wang Yue 1/2 in 37
Jan-28-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh wait Movsesian - Wang Yue 1/2 was in 22 moves!! 37 moves was the the analysis at http://www.chessok.com/broadcast/?k... LOL

But it could have been if had they had played on what they absolutely should!! :-)

Well it is hard as it is to predict the correct result, it is an ungrateful business to predict the amount of moves.

I'm way off in Aronian - Adams 1-0 45!
Carlsen Dominguez 1-0 in 39 though these were possible.

Jan-28-09  chessmoron: ♔ Corus 09: <Round 10> ♔ Results

<Movsesian-Yue, 1/2-1/2 in 22 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['just a kid', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===
<Radjabov-Smeets, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '37']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
===
<Stellwagen-Morozevich, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '28'], ['just a kid', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===
<Carlsen-Dominguez, 1-0 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '29']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chancho', '1-0', '50']]
===
<Aronian-Adams, 1-0 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['NakoSonorense', '1-0', '45']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['just a kid', '1-0', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Ivanchuk-Kamsky, 1/2-1/2 in 57 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Karjakin-van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '32'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['just a kid', '1/2-1/2', '24']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-28-09  chessmoron: <<Moves Ranker> - <--==Through Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

68, imag, 3, 7, 1
58, chessmoron, 3, 7, 0
55, OhioChessFan, 2, 7, 0
40, lostemperor, 3, 3, 1
37, Robin01, 3, 4, 0
36, NakoSonorense, 2, 0, 3
34, chancho, 1, 3, 1
29, just a kid, 4, 1, 1
21, Ragh, 0, 3, 0
7, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 1, 0
3, Doktorn, 1, 0, 0

<<Bonus Ranker> - <--==Through Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

59, chessmoron, 7, 9, 3, 3
59, Ragh, 7, 7, 4, 3
58, NakoSonorense, 2, 11, 2, 4
49, just a kid, 4, 3, 3, 4
43, imag, 1, 5, 4, 2
41, chancho, 4, 2, 2, 4
37, Robin01, 3, 3, 2, 3
33, lostemperor, 6, 2, 1, 3
30, OhioChessFan, 1, 3, 1, 3
7, Doktorn, 1, 3, 0, 0
6, jessicafischerqueen, 1, 0, 1,

<<Moves+Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID

116, chessmoron
111, imag
94, NakoSonorense
85, OhioChessFan
80, Ragh
78, just a kid
76, chancho
74, Robin01
73, lostemperor
13, jessicafischerqueen
10, Doktorn

<<Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER)> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID

11, imag
10, chessmoron
9, OhioChessFan
8, Robin01
7, lostemperor
6, just a kid
6, NakoSonorense
5, chancho
3, Ragh
1, Doktorn
1, jessicafischerqueen

Jan-28-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Round 11:

van Wely – Movsesian 40
Kamsky – Karjakin 1-0 38
Adams – Ivanchuk 0-1 36
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 42
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2 44
Smeets – Stellwagen 1/2 32
Yue – Radjabov 1/2 30

Jan-28-09  imag: Round 11:

van Wely – Movsesian 1-0 39
Kamsky – Karjakin 0-1 44
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2 31
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 35
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2 39
Smeets – Stellwagen 1/2 24
Yue – Radjabov 1/2 36

Jan-28-09  just a kid: Round 11:
van Wely – Movsesian 1-0 44
Kamsky – Karjakin 1/2-1/2 51
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2-1/2 26
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2-1/2 34
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2-1/2 45
Smeets – Stellwagen 0-1 54
Yue – Radjabov 1/2-1/2 29
Jan-28-09  chessmoron: van Wely – Movsesian 0-1 40
Kamsky – Karjakin 1/2 25
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2 34
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 27
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2 43
Smeets – Stellwagen 1/2 30
Yue – Radjabov 1-0 40
Jan-29-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Chancho> you skipped the Van Wely game result.
Jan-29-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: van Wely – Movsesian 1/2 40 Sorry about that.
Jan-29-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: van Wely – Movsesian 0-1 36
Kamsky – Karjakin 1/2 25
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2 20
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 28
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2 35
Smeets – Stellwagen 1/2 34
Yue – Radjabov 0-1 40
Jan-29-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 11
van Wely – Movsesian 1/2 44
Kamsky – Karjakin 1/2 29
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2 31
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 26
Morozevich – Carlsen 1/2 37
Smeets – Stellwagen 1/2 42
Wang – Radjabov 1/2 28
Jan-29-09  NakoSonorense: R.XI

van Wely – Movsesian 0-1 41
Kamsky – Karjakin 1/2 44
Adams – Ivanchuk 1/2 44
Dominguez – Aronian 1/2 44
Morozevich – Carlsen 1-0 41
Smeets – Stellwagen 1-0 45
Yue – Radjabov 0-1 45

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