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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 501 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-06-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  OhioChessFan: Grischuk - Giri 1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Topalov 1/2 40
Caruana - Nakamura 1/2 44
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 51
Adams - Aronian 1-0 30
Dec-06-15  whiteshark: Round 3

Grischuk - Giri 1/2 35
Vachier-Lagrave - Topalov 1/2 44
Caruana - Nakamura 1/2 47
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 38
Adams - Aronian 1/2 45

Dec-06-15  Golden Executive: The games have begun.
Dec-06-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  Penguincw: Round 4:

Giri - Aronian 1/2-1/2 40
Carlsen - Adams 1-0 40
Nakamura - Anand 1/2-1/2 35
Topalov - Caruana 0-1 45
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 40

Dec-06-15  alfamikewhiskey: Round 4:
Giri - Aronian 1/2 33
Carlsen - Adams 1-0 45
Nakamura - Anand 0-1 35
Topalov - Caruana 1/2 40
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 43
Dec-06-15  chessmoron: ♔ London Chess Classic 2015: <Round 3> Result ♔

<Adams-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '34']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Fiona Macleod', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

===

<Anand-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '51']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caruana-Nakamura, 1/2-1/2 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Grischuk-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 47 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Fiona Macleod', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<MVL-Topalov, 1-0 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Dec-06-15  chessmoron: Round 3 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Karposian>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 17 points: <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

19, chessmoron, 3, 0, 1
17, WinKing, 0, 1, 1
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
13, Karposian, 1, 0, 1
10, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1
7, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 0
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, whiteshark, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
6, Robin01, 2, 0, 0
3, Fiona Macleod, 1, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

24, WinKing, 1, 0, 1, 3
17, Fiona Macleod, 2, 2, 1, 1
17, Penguincw, 1, 3, 2, 0
15, Karposian, 0, 2, 1, 1
15, lostemperor, 0, 2, 1, 1
15, Robin01, 0, 2, 1, 1
12, chessmoron, 0, 1, 2, 0
9, whiteshark, 1, 1, 0, 1
7, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, juan31, 1, 0, 1, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0, 0
3, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 0, 0
1, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

41, WinKing
31, chessmoron
28, Karposian
27, Penguincw
22, lostemperor
21, Robin01
20, Fiona Macleod
17, OhioChessFan
16, whiteshark
14, wordfunph
10, Golden Executive
8, alfamikewhiskey
6, juan31

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 3>

Score,UserID

4, chessmoron
2, Karposian
2, OhioChessFan
2, Robin01
2, WinKing
1, alfamikewhiskey
1, Fiona Macleod
1, Golden Executive
1, lostemperor
1, Penguincw
1, whiteshark
1, wordfunph
0, juan31

Dec-06-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  juan31: < Round 4>

Giri - Aronian 1/2 39
Carlsen - Adams 1-0 42
Nakamura - Anand 1/2 40
Topalov - Caruana 1/2 41
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 39

Dec-06-15  Karposian: Round 4:

Giri-Aronian 1/2 32
Carlsen-Adams 1-0 50
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 36
Topalov-Caruana 1/2 37
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 35

Dec-06-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  OhioChessFan: ** Round 3 Update **

After working until 10 PM Saturday night and starting at 4 AM Sunday morning, for 15 hours, <OhioChessFan> decided it was time to make his first recap appearance of the tournament. 2 Hall of Famers have the lead in 2 rankers each, <chessmaroon> and <Winky>. Everyone is on the scoreboard, which is always a relief.

Dec-06-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  Penguincw: C'mon <juan31>! As soon as you score once in Moves Ranker, everyone will be on the scoreboard for every ranker. I'm cheering for you. :)
Dec-06-15  chessmoron: Giri-Aronian 1/2 38
Carlsen-Adams 1-0 41
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 35
Topalov-Caruana 1/2 39
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Dec-07-15  Golden Executive: Round 4:

Giri-Aronian 1/2 36
Carlsen-Adams 1-0 36
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 36
Topalov-Caruana 0-1 30
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 36

Dec-07-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  OhioChessFan: Giri-Aronian 1-0 32
Carlsen-Adams 1-0 43
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 39
Topalov-Caruana 1/2 35
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38
Dec-07-15  wordfunph: Round 4:

Giri-Aronian 1/2 48
Carlsen-Adams 1/2 50
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 38
Topalov-Caruana 1/2 46
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 45

Dec-07-15  whiteshark: Round 4:

Giri - Aronian 1/2 45
Carlsen - Adams 1-0 55
Nakamura - Anand 1-0 47
Topalov - Caruana 1-0 38
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 35

Dec-07-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  lostemperor: Round 4 Monday 7-Dec 16:00

Giri-Aronian 1/2 40
Carlsen-Adams 1-0 47
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 40
Topalov-Caruana 0-1 44
Grischuk-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 44

Round 5 Tuesday 8-Dec 16:00

Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 42
Caruana-Grischuk 1-0 42
Anand-Topalov 1/2 47
Adams-Nakamura 1/2 50
Aronian-Carlsen 1/2 42

Dec-07-15  WinKing: Round 4

Giri - Aronian 1/2 34
Carlsen - Adams 1-0 47
Nakamura - Anand 1/2 41
Topalov - Caruana 1/2 41
Grischuk - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38

Dec-07-15  Golden Executive: Round 4 is underway.
Dec-07-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  Penguincw: Round 5:

Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2-1/2 40
Caruana - Grischuk 1/2-1/2 40
Anand - Topalov 1/2-1/2 40
Adams - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 40
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40

Dec-07-15  chessmoron: ♔ London Chess Classic 2015: <Round 4> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Adams, 1/2-1/2 in 78 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '50']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Fiona Macleoad', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '32']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '34']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<Grischuk-MVL, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['fiona Macleod', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '44']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Anand, 1-0 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['whiteshark', '1-0', '47']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Topalov-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 83 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '62']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Dec-07-15  chessmoron: Round 4 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<alfamikewhiskey>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 13 points: <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

26, chessmoron, 3, 1, 1
17, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 1
17, Penguincw, 0, 1, 1
17, WinKing, 0, 1, 1
16, Robin01, 3, 1, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
14, wordfunph, 0, 2, 0
13, Karposian, 1, 0, 1
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, whiteshark, 0, 1, 0
3, Fiona Macleod, 1, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

37, WinKing, 1, 1, 2, 4
29, Fiona Macleod, 2, 2, 1, 3
21, Karposian, 0, 2, 1, 2
17, lostemperor, 0, 3, 1, 1
17, Penguincw, 1, 3, 2, 0
15, Robin01, 0, 2, 1, 1
13, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 2
12, chessmoron, 0, 1, 2, 0
11, juan31, 1, 0, 2, 0
11, whiteshark, 1, 2, 0, 1
9, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 1, 0
9, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 0, 1
1, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

54, WinKing
38, chessmoron
34, Karposian
34, Penguincw
32, Fiona Macleod
31, Robin01
27, wordfunph
24, lostemperor
23, OhioChessFan
18, alfamikewhiskey
18, whiteshark
16, Golden Executive
11, juan31

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

5, chessmoron
4, Robin01
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, Karposian
2, OhioChessFan
2, Penguincw
2, WinKing
2, wordfunph
1, Fiona Macleod
1, Golden Executive
1, lostemperor
1, whiteshark
0, juan31

Dec-07-15  alfamikewhiskey: Round 5:
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2 38
Caruana - Grischuk 0-1 37
Anand - Topalov 1/2 36
Adams - Nakamura 1-0 42
Aronian - Carlsen 0-1 51
Dec-07-15
Premium Chessgames Member		  juan31: < Round 5 >
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2 38
Caruana - Grischuk 0-1 40
Anand - Topalov 1-0 43
Adams - Nakamura 1/2 39
Aronian - Carlsen 0-1 44
Dec-07-15  Karposian: Round 5:

Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 37
Caruana-Grischuk 1/2 38
Anand-Topalov 1/2 34
Adams-Nakamura 1/2 30
Aronian-Carlsen 1/2 36

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