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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-15-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49359 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
   Nov-14-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: As for <plang> : <plang: I think, combat veterans diagnosed with PTSD (Post-traumatic stress disorder) can't prove that they have suffered harm because they often don't have visible scars but most human beings would acknowledge their condition.> They indeed can ...
 
   Nov-14-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Last living student of Sergei Rachmaninoff...
 
   Nov-13-25 D Moody vs D Helf, 1976
 
OhioChessFan: "Dewey, I'm Cut in Helf Pretty Bad"
 
   Nov-12-25 Nakamura vs T Dokka, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: "Dokka Shame"
 
   Nov-12-25 J Bars vs M Hohlbein, 2024 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, what an amazing game to review.
 
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 544 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-01-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7:

Caruana - Giri 1/2-1/2 45
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1/2-1/2 30
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 45
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2 40
Eljanov - Hou Yifan 1/2-1/2 45

Jun-02-16  chessmoron: Caruana - Giri 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1-0 41
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 37
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2 38
Eljanov - Hou 1/2 41
Jun-02-16  Golden Executive: Round 7:

Caruana - Giri 1/2 33
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1/2 41
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 33
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1-0 28
Eljanov - Hou 1/2 33

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 7: 

Caruana - Giri 1/2 42
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1-0 42
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 42
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1-0 42
Eljanov - Hou 1/2 46

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7:

Caruana - Giri 1-0 23
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1/2 30
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 41
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2 41
Eljanov - Hou 1-0 25

Jun-02-16  WinKing: Round 7

Caruana - Giri 1/2 43
Mamedyarov - Safarli 1/2 30
Karjakin - Radjabov 1/2 43
Harikrishna - Mamedov 1/2 40
Eljanov - Hou 1/2 43

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7 games have started.
Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Switch. In game update:

Caruana-Giri was a 38 move draw. Mamedyarov is winning against Safarli. Eljanov-Hou is drawish. Karjakin-Radja are in a strangely unbalanced position and the engines can't quite agree how things stand. Mamedov with Black is much better against Harikrishna.

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I am going to be really unhappy if Mamedyarov blows this.
Jun-02-16  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2016: <Round 7> Result ♔

<Caruana-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Execuitve', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

===

<Eljanov-Hou, 1-0 in 60 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '25']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Harikrishna-Mamedov, 1/2-1/2 in 52 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Radjanov, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

===

<Mamedyarov-Safarli, 1-0 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '42'], ['lostemperor', '1-0', '42'], ['juan31', '1-0', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '41']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jun-02-16  chessmoron: Round 7 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 14 points: <chessmoron>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

73, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 9, 1
54, Golden Executive, 2, 4, 2
37, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 2
27, WinKing, 2, 3, 0
27, wordfunph, 1, 2, 1
24, chessmoron, 0, 2, 1
20, Penguincw, 1, 1, 1
17, juan31, 1, 2, 0
17, lostemperor, 1, 2, 0
0, capafan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

41, OhioChessFan, 3, 2, 2, 4
39, WinKing, 4, 3, 1, 4
37, juan31, 3, 3, 2, 3
35, chessmoron, 5, 1, 2, 3
34, Penguincw, 2, 2, 2, 3
28, lostemperor, 3, 4, 1, 2
17, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 0, 2
17, wordfunph, 0, 3, 1, 1
15, SwitchingQuylthulg, 2, 4, 1, 0
5, capafan, 0, 0, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

88, SwitchingQuylthulg
78, OhioChessFan
71, Golden Executive
66, WinKing
59, chessmoron
54, Penguincw
54, juan31
45, lostemperor
44, wordfunph
5, capafan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 7>

Score,UserID

10, SwitchingQuylthulg
8, Golden Executive
5, OhioChessFan
5, WinKing
4, wordfunph
3, chessmoron
3, juan31
3, lostemperor
3, Penguincw
0, capafan

Jun-02-16  chessmoron: Giri-Hou 1/2 41
Caruana-Mamedyarov 1-0 41
Radjabov-Harikrishna 1/2 39
Mamedov-Eljanov 1/2 36
Safarli-Karjakin 1/2 38
Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: < Round 8>

Giri-Hou 1-0 43
Caruana-Mamedyarov 1/2 40
Radjabov-Harikrishna 1/2 39
Mamedov-Eljanov 1/2 36
Safarli-Karjakin 0-1 39

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 8:

Giri - Hou Yifan 1/2-1/2 40
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 40
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2-1/2 40
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2-1/2 35
Safarli - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 39

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 7 Recap **

<Switch> continued to wreak havoc on the contest, as he leads in 3 rankers. <OCF> leads the other. The Bonus Ranker in particular is wide open, as 5 contestants are separated by only 7 points.

With only 2 rounds to go, the tension is building among the contestants, and the excitement is building among the spectators. Can anyone catch <Switch> in his quest for 3 golds? Can someone have a big round in Bonus Ranker to take the lead there? Will <Karposian> finally put in an appearance? Stay tuned for the answer to these and many other questions. 2 rounds to go in our exciting contest.

Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Giri - Hou Yifan 1-0 40
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1/2 42
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2 45
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2 41
Safarli - Karjakin 1/2 41
Jun-02-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Giri - Hou 1-0 46
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1-0 48
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2 38
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2 38
Safarli - Karjakin 1/2 40
Jun-03-16  Golden Executive: Round 8:

Giri - Hou 1-0 36
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1-0 36
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2 33
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2 33
Safarli - Karjakin 0-1 36

Jun-03-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 8:

Giri - Hou 1/2 41
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2 33
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2 41
Safarli - Karjakin 1/2 42

Jun-03-16  WinKing: Round 8

Giri - Hou 1/2 40
Caruana - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
Radjabov - Harikrishna 1/2 30
Mamedov - Eljanov 1/2 40
Safarli - Karjakin 1/2 40

Jun-03-16  WinKing: Games have started.
Jun-03-16  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2016: <Round 8> Result ♔

<Radjabov-Harikrishna, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '33'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '30']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Safarli-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 22 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<Caruana-Mamedyarov, 0-1 in 58 moves.>-No one got it!

===

<Giri-Hou, 1/2-1/2 in 104 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedov-Eljanov, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jun-03-16  chessmoron: Karjakin-Caruana 1/2 40
Mamedyarov-Giri 1/2 42
Eljanov-Radjabov 1/2 38
Hou-Mamedov 1-0 43
Harikrishna-Safarli 1-0 41
Jun-03-16  WinKing: You have a few scoring errors <chessmoron>. First off in the Mamedov - Eljanov game <SwitchingQuylthulg> had 41 moves not 42 moves.:

<<Mamedov-Eljanov, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []>

<lostemperor> should have 5pts. as third under. This will change the scoring significantly.

Jun-03-16  Golden Executive: <<Mamedov-Eljanov, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []>

Should be:

Mamedov-Eljanov, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']],[['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

2nd Under, 6 points:
[['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

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