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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-04-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49331 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
   Nov-03-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <HeMateMe: On Tuesday the 'socialist' Mamdani will be elected mayor of NYC. He promises "free busses, free subway and lower rents on apartments." I do wonder who pays for all of this generosity? We new Yorkers are already the highest taxed people in the country. Levying a ...
 
   Nov-03-25 Memorable Quotes chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: From Chessgames - Politics <perfidious wrote: I claim no familiarity with Edward Teller but was amused to read that he blamed Jane Fonda for his 1979 heart attack. > <johnlspouge: I am sure it wasn't your intention, but my imagination took a prurient turn here.>
 
   Nov-03-25 B Jacobsen vs I Hausner, 1969
 
OhioChessFan: "Bo Jac Horseman"
 
   Nov-01-25 A Brkic vs F Oro, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Sorry I missed it.
 
   Oct-31-25 K Traxler vs J Hamr, 1893 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: It's not Hamr Time.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 56 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-01-09  NakoSonorense: R.X

Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 44
Anand - Dominguez 1-0 44
Carlsen - Yue 1-0 45
Grischuk - Ivanchuk 1/2 33

Mar-02-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 10
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 36
Anand - Dominguez 1-0 44
Carlsen - YueWang 1/2 45
Grischuk - Ivanchuk 1/2 29
Mar-02-09  chessmoron: ♔ Linares 09: <Round 10> ♔ Results

<Anand-Dominguez, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['DCP23', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Grischuk-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['NakoSonorense', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['DCP23', '1/2-1/2', '30']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Radjabov-Aronian, 1-0 in 56 moves.--SHOCKER!>

No Points
===
<Carlsen-Yue, 0-1 in 64 moves.--SHOCKER!>

No Points

Mar-02-09  chessmoron: <<Moves Ranker> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

38, NakoSonorense, 1, 5, 0
34, Robin01, 0, 2, 2
34, imag, 1, 3, 1
23, DCP23, 2, 1, 1
17, chessmoron, 0, 1, 1
17, lostemperor, 1, 2, 0
14, chancho, 0, 2, 0
14, just a kid, 0, 2, 0
14, nikooshu, 0, 2, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
14, Ragh, 0, 2, 0

<<Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

39, DCP23, 1, 0, 4, 3
34, chancho, 0, 1, 4, 2
32, Robin01, 1, 2, 3, 2
27, lostemperor, 2, 4, 1, 2
27, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 1, 3
26, NakoSonorense, 1, 1, 1, 3
24, Ragh, 0, 1, 2, 2
15, chessmoron, 1, 2, 2, 0
14, imag, 0, 1, 0, 2
13, cromat, 0, 1, 1, 1
12, just a kid, 2, 2, 0, 1
7, nikooshu, 1, 3, 0, 0

<<Moves+Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID

64, NakoSonorense
62, DCP23
56, Robin01
48, chancho
48, imag
44, lostemperor
41, OhioChessFan
38, Ragh
32, chessmoron
26, just a kid
21, nikooshu
13, cromat

<<Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER)> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID

6, NakoSonorense
5, imag
4, DCP23
4, Robin01
3, lostemperor
2, chancho
2, chessmoron
2, just a kid
2, nikooshu
2, OhioChessFan
2, Ragh

Mar-02-09  chessmoron: Round 11

Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 42
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 0-1 50
Wang Yue-Anand 1/2 23
Domínguez-Aronian 1/2 42

Mar-02-09  NakoSonorense: R.ELEVENTH

Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 33
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1-0 45
Wang Yue-Anand 1/2 46
Domínguez-Aronian 0-1 44

Mar-02-09  DCP23: R11:

Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 31
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 44
Wang Yue - Anand 1/2 24
Dominguez - Aronian 0-1 49

Mar-02-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <OhioChessFan> I noticed that at <YouRang>'s forum, I posted 1/2 for Ivanchuk - Carlsen. Could you please delete my post above? Thanks.

This is the correct one:

Rd 11

Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 44
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1/2 48
Wang Yue-Anand 1/2 42
Domínguez-Aronian 1/2 46

Mar-03-09  Ragh: Round 11:

Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 40
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1/2 45
Yue - Anand 0-1 50
Domínguez-Aronian 1/2 41

Mar-03-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 37
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 0-1 40
Yue-Anand 1/2 42
Domínguez-Aronian 1/2 32
Mar-03-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 11
Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 38
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1-0 46
Wang Yue-Anand 1/2 26
Domínguez-Aronian 0-1 44
Mar-03-09  imag: Round 11:

Grischuk-Radjabov 0-1 51
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1/2 35
Yue-Anand 1/2 33
Dominguez-Aronian 1-0 47

Mar-03-09  Robin01: Round 11 prediction:

Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 33
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 42
Yue - Anand 1/2 35
Dominguez - Aronian 1/2 29

Mar-03-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Results so far:
Wang Yue- Anand 1/2 27 :)
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 22 :(
Mar-03-09  chessmoron: ♔ Linares 09: <Round 11> ♔ Results

<Dominguez-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 55 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '46']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Grischuk-Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Ivanchuk-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 22 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chancho', '1/2-1/2', '48']]

===
<Yue-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '26']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['DCP23', '1/2-1/2', '24']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '23']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['imag', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Mar-03-09  chessmoron: <<Moves Ranker> - <--==Round 11==-->>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

38, NakoSonorense, 1, 5, 0
37, imag, 2, 3, 1
34, Robin01, 0, 2, 2
31, chancho, 0, 3, 1
24, lostemperor, 1, 3, 0
23, DCP23, 2, 1, 1
17, chessmoron, 0, 1, 1
14, just a kid, 0, 2, 0
14, nikooshu, 0, 2, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
14, Ragh, 0, 2, 0

<<Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 11==-->>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

45, DCP23, 1, 0, 4, 4
36, Ragh, 0, 2, 3, 2
35, chancho, 1, 1, 4, 2
33, Robin01, 2, 2, 3, 2
32, chessmoron, 1, 2, 3, 2
27, lostemperor, 2, 4, 1, 2
27, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 1, 3
26, NakoSonorense, 1, 1, 1, 3
16, imag, 0, 2, 0, 2
13, cromat, 0, 1, 1, 1
12, just a kid, 2, 2, 0, 1
7, nikooshu, 1, 3, 0, 0

<<Moves+Bonus Ranker> - <--==Round 10==-->>

Score, UserID

68, DCP23
66, chancho
64, NakoSonorense
57, Robin01
53, imag
51, lostemperor
50, Ragh
49, chessmoron
41, OhioChessFan
26, just a kid
21, nikooshu
13, cromat

<<Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER)> - <--==Round 11==-->>

Score, UserID

6, imag
6, NakoSonorense
4, chancho
4, DCP23
4, lostemperor
4, Robin01
2, chessmoron
2, just a kid
2, nikooshu
2, OhioChessFan
2, Ragh

Mar-03-09  DCP23: R12:

Radjabov - Dominguez 1/2 35
Aronian - Yue 1/2 40
Anand - Ivanchuk 1/2 28
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 44

Mar-04-09  Robin01: Predictions for last three rounds:

Round 12: Thu, 05Mar2009
Radjabov - Dominguez 0-1 62
Aronian - Yue 1/2 1/2 44
Anand - Ivanchuk 1/2 1/2 25
Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 45

Round 13: Fri, 06Mar2008
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 41
Grischuk - Anand 1/2 1/2 62
Ivanchuk - Aronian 1/2 1/2 33
Yue - Dominguez 0-1 44

Round 14 Sat, 07Mar2008
Radjabov - Yue 1/2 1/2 28
Dominguez - Ivanchuk 0-1 42
Aronian - Grischuk 1/2 1/2 25
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 1/2 25

Mar-04-09  chessmoron: Radjabov - Dominguez 1/2 40
Aronian - Yue 1/2 25
Anand - Ivanchuk 1/2 35
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 40
Mar-04-09  imag: Round 12

Radjabov - Dominguez 1/2 32
Aronian - Yue 1/2 31
Anand - Ivanchuk 0-1 42
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 36

Mar-04-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Radjabov - Dominguez 0-1 45
Aronian - Yue 1-0 35
Anand - Ivanchuk 1-0 30
Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 42
Mar-04-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Rd 12

Radjabov - Dominguez 1/2 44
Aronian - Yue 1/2 36
Anand - Ivanchuk 1-0 36
Carlsen - Grischuk 0-1 43

Mar-04-09  Ragh: Round 12

Radjabov - Dominguez 1-0 40
Aronian - Yue 1-0 40
Anand - Ivanchuk 1-0 40
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 40

Mar-05-09  NakoSonorense: R.XII

Radjabov - Dominguez 1/2 44
Aronian - Yue 1/2 45
Anand - Ivanchuk 1/2 47
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 45

Mar-05-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 12
Radjabov - Dominguez 1-0 46
Aronian - Yue 1/2 42
Anand - Ivanchuk 1/2 42
Carlsen - Grischuk 1/2 43
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