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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-22-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49372 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-21-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Best singer in a band is Freddie Mercury. Best woman singer in a band is Grace Slick. Best singer ever is Sam Cooke. Best female ever is Aretha Franklin. Quick takes on some others mentioned: Dylan is painfully bad. Sinatra is off key 75% of the time. Jim Croce had the best ...
 
   Nov-21-25 S J Stevens vs Gracie, 1878
 
OhioChessFan: White to make his 18th move would be a decent Tuesday puzzle.
 
   Nov-21-25 A Niyibizi vs Cheda, 2014 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun. Patience paid off.
 
   Nov-19-25 W Hug vs Korchnoi, 1978 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 18. Ne4 opened up the middle to Black's Queen and LSB. 18. Nb1 was fine.
 
   Nov-18-25 Chessgames - Music (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, that is awesome. Here's Alvin Lee in his early days: 10 Years After-Love Like a Man https://youtu.be/K2nsJIjF5E4?si=Iwx...
 
   Nov-18-25 S P Sethuraman vs C Anto, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: <redundant> I never noticed that. I had 5 semesters of college German so I have a basic knowledge of the language. I guess the different languages of "time" in the same sentence render it acceptable. Monty Python just doesn't work for me. I like maybe 10% of their stuff.
 
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
   Nov-13-25 D Moody vs D Helf, 1976
 
OhioChessFan: "Dewey, I'm Cut in Helf Pretty Bad"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 611 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-26-17  Robin01: Round 3

Vaganian - Ponomariov 1/2 33
Georgiadis - Bacrot 1/2 38
Morozevich - Harikrishna 1/2 34
Studer - Navara 1/2 38
Leko - Hou 1/2 33

Jul-26-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Games have started.
Jul-26-17  sea otter: round 4

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 40
Navara − Leko 1/2 41
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 40
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 40
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1-0 43

Jul-26-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 4

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 36
Navara − Leko 1/2 34
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 55
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 38
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 42

Jul-26-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 4

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1-0 47
Navara − Leko 1/2 41
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 45
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 40
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 43

Jul-26-17  chessmoron: ♔ Biel 2017: <Round 3> Result ♔

<Georgiadis-Bacrot, 1/2-1/2 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<Leko-Hou, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '33']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Morozevich-Harikrishna, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

===

Morozevich-Harikrishna, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '43'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

===

<Studer-Navara, 1/2-1/2 in 83 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Vaganian-Ponomariov, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

Jul-26-17  chessmoron: Round 3 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 9 points: <juan31>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

21, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 3, 0
14, Penguincw, 0, 2, 0
7, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0
3, sea otter, 1, 0, 0
3, Robin01, 1, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

13, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 1, 1
11, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1, 1
9, juan31, 0, 2, 1, 0
8, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0, 1
7, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, offramp, 1, 0, 1, 0
5, chessmoron, 1, 2, 0, 0
1, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, sea otter, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 3>

Score, UserID

34, alfamikewhiskey
25, Penguincw
15, OhioChessFan
14, wordfunph
12, chessmoron
10, Robin01
9, juan31
6, offramp
4, Golden Executive
3, sea otter

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 3>

Score,UserID

3, alfamikewhiskey
2, Penguincw
1, chessmoron
1, Golden Executive
1, OhioChessFan
1, Robin01
1, sea otter
1, wordfunph
0, juan31,
0, offramp

Jul-26-17  WinKing: I see that you have counted <Robin01>'s predictions for Round 3 even though he clearly turned in his predictions after all five games had started. I hope this courtesy is extended to all of us in the future if & when we ever turn our predictions in late.
Jul-26-17  Robin01: I am not sure how late I was. I noticed the time and jumped on and submitted them. I did not look at any of the games in progress. However, if everybody feels my round 3 should not count, then please do not count my round 3 games. Thanks.

Round 4 Predictions:

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 39
Navara − Leko 1/2 31
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 38
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 33
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 33

Jul-26-17  wordfunph: Round 4:

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 36
Navara − Leko 1/2 36
Harikrishna − Studer 1/2 36
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 36
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 36

Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 4:

Ponomariov - Hou Yifan 1/2-1/2 42
Navara - Leko 1/2-1/2 44
Harikrishna - Studer 1/2-1/2 58
Bacrot - Morozevich 1/2-1/2 37
Vaganian - Georgiadis 1/2-1/2 36

Jul-27-17  Golden Executive: Round 4:

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 40
Navara − Leko 1-0 36
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 30
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 40
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 40

Jul-27-17  alfamikewhiskey: Round 4

Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1-0 36
Navara − Leko 1/2 38
Harikrishna − Studer 1/2 38
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 38
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 34

Jul-27-17  chessmoron: Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1-0 38
Navara − Leko 1/2 42
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 38
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 41
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 40
Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 3 Recap **

Massive controversy as non-participant <WinKing> decided to challenge <chessmoron> about a scoring decision. Fortunately, the situation quickly calmed down when <chessmoron> stood up to his full 7' 6" height and glared down at <WinKing>. Adding to the confusion, <OhioChessFan> made an inexplicable post long after the games had started, and long after <WinKing> had already posted it, that "games have started".

As we all take a deep breath and remember just how intense the competition is here, <amw> has ignored all the controversy and focused on his picks, which is pretty rare in this contest. In any case, he is leading all 4 Rankers! <Penguincw> is beside himself as he is second in all 4 Rankers. <Penguin> reportedly was found walking the banks of the St. Lawrence River, mumbling "Why did that stupid <amw> guy have to play this time anyway?" Meanwhile, <juan31> hasn't hit a #1 pick since Donald Trump had hair.

Will there be any new and exciting controversies? Will anyone be dumb enough to challenge Yao Ming Incarnate aka <chessmoron>? Can <amw> make a serious run at a quadruple crown? Will <Penguincw> have a coronary or whatever penguins have if that happens? Will <juan31> hit a #1 before Donald Trump is impeached? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other penetrating questions. 6 rounds to go.

Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Ponomariov − Hou Yifan 1/2 36
Navara − Leko 1/2 40
Harikrishna − Studer 1-0 40
Bacrot − Morozevich 1/2 45
Vaganian − Giorgadis 1/2 32
Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 4 has started (a while ago).
Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: chessmoron are you doing Sinquefield also?
Jul-27-17  sea otter: Round 5.

Giorgadis−Ponomariov 1/2 40
Morozevich−Vaganian 1/2 36
Studer−Bacrot 0-1 37
Leko−Harikrishna 1/2 46
Hou Yifan−Navara 0-1 44

Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 5

Giorgadis−Ponomariov 1/2 39
Morozevich−Vaganian 1-0 43
Studer−Bacrot 1/2 39
Leko−Harikrishna 1/2 40
Hou Yifan−Navara 1-0 39

Jul-27-17  wordfunph: Round 5:

Giorgadis−Ponomariov 0-1 46
Morozevich−Vaganian 1-0 46
Studer−Bacrot 0-1 46
Leko−Harikrishna 1/2 36
Hou Yifan−Navara 1/2 46

Jul-27-17  chessmoron: ♔ Biel 2017: <Round 4> Result ♔

<Bacrot-Morozevich, 1-0 in 40 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Harikrishna-Studer, 1-0 in 24 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executivee', '1-0', '30']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '38'], ['Robin01', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['sea otter', '1-0', '40']]

===

<Navara-Leko, 1-0 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Ponomariov-Hou, 1/2-1/2 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['sea otter', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Vaganian-Georgiadis, 0-1 in 39 moves.>--No one got it!

Jul-27-17  chessmoron: Round 4 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 7 points: <sea otter> and <Robin01>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

21, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 3, 0
21, Penguincw, 0, 3, 0
13, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 0
7, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, Robin01, 1, 0, 0
3, sea otter, 1, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

14, Robin01, 0, 2, 2, 0
13, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 1, 1
11, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1, 1
9, juan31, 0, 2, 1, 0
8, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0, 1
7, chessmoron, 1, 3, 0, 0
7, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0, 1
7, sea otter, 1, 0, 0, 1
7, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, offramp, 1, 0, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

34, alfamikewhiskey
32, Penguincw
20, Golden Executive
17, Robin01
15, OhioChessFan
14, chessmoron
14, wordfunph
10, sea otter
9, juan31
6, offramp

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

3, alfamikewhiskey
3, Golden Executive
3, Penguincw
1, chessmoron
1, OhioChessFan
1, Robin01
1, sea otter
1, wordfunph
0, juan31,
0, offramp

Jul-27-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: <chessmoron> in round 4 I beat to HariKrishna winner, don't count ? Thank you
Jul-27-17  chessmoron: <juan31> Since the game itself finished in 24 moves, <sea otter> (40) gets the last point than you (45).
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