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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-22-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49375 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-22-25 Miles vs Andersson, 1980
 
OhioChessFan: Offbeat opening, I didn't have a clue what was going on. Miles crushed the h file.
 
   Nov-22-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Four best harmony songs I know: Blackbyrds-Walking in Rhythm https://youtu.be/Vxg-a8a2UuY?si=cph... Beach Boys-Sloop John B https://youtu.be/nSAoEf1Ib58?si=nS6... Eagles-Seven Bridges Road https://youtu.be/73x16ne6auo?si=NVC... Earth Wind and Fire-September ...
 
   Nov-21-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Best singer in a band is Freddie Mercury. Best woman singer in a band is Grace Slick. Best singer ever is Sam Cooke. Best female ever is Aretha Franklin. Quick takes on some others mentioned: Dylan is painfully bad. Sinatra is off key 75% of the time. Jim Croce had the best ...
 
   Nov-21-25 S J Stevens vs Gracie, 1878
 
OhioChessFan: White to make his 18th move would be a decent Tuesday puzzle.
 
   Nov-21-25 A Niyibizi vs Cheda, 2014 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun. Patience paid off.
 
   Nov-19-25 W Hug vs Korchnoi, 1978 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 18. Ne4 opened up the middle to Black's Queen and LSB. 18. Nb1 was fine.
 
   Nov-18-25 S P Sethuraman vs C Anto, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: <redundant> I never noticed that. I had 5 semesters of college German so I have a basic knowledge of the language. I guess the different languages of "time" in the same sentence render it acceptable. Monty Python just doesn't work for me. I like maybe 10% of their stuff.
 
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 691 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 4 Recap **

It was another feeble effort by our competitors, as only 41 points total were scored that round, and 15 of them were by <Penguincw>, including 7 points on his ridiculous pick of a draw in Georgiadis - Carlsen. The contestants were quite nervous as they tried to slink away without <chessmoron> calling them out again. In any case, due to his stu-errr, creative picks, <Penguin> charged to the lead in 2 Rankers. <WinKing> is still hanging on to the lead in the other 2 Rankers.

In other news, <Penguincw> plans to pick England to win the World Cup. <juan31> still hasn't scored a point, which is becoming a source of major embarrassment. 6 people haven't picked a #1 yet, so there's 12 more 0's on the scoreboard. The crowd is getting rather upset with the contestants, as they are paying good money to watch what are supposed to be the chess world's best predictors. Instead, they are seeing the prediction equivalent of people who can't solve Monday puzzles. Here's hoping things pick up soon or <chessmoron> will trot out his Infamous Glare to "encourage" better performance.

When will someone start to perform? Can <chessmoron> afford to return the spectator's admission fees? Can we start to get all those ugly 0's off the scoreboard? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other penetrating questions. 6 rounds to go in our thrilling contest.

Jul-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Svidler - Navara 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 40
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 52
Jul-25-18  WinKing: <OhioChessFan: The crowd is getting rather upset with the contestants, as they are paying good money to watch what are supposed to be the chess world's best predictors.>

lol...now that's funny!

Jul-25-18  WinKing: Hey <chessmoron> if you like I would be willing to take over the scoring after the rest day. That would be rounds 7,8,9 & 10. I figure you could use a break. Doing predictions back to back is tough. Let me know.
Jul-25-18  WinKing: <chessmoron> I'm assuming this is a typo in the 'Moves+Bonus Ranker':

<5, offramp>

Should be 15.

Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 5:

Svidler - Navara 1/2-1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1/2-1/2 40
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 40

Jul-26-18  Golden Executive: Round 5:

Svidler - Navara 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 40
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 33

Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 5:

Svidler - Navara 1/2 33
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 0-1 45
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 0-1 71

Jul-26-18  chessmoron: Svidler - Navara 1/2-1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 38
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 41
Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Svidler - Navara 1/2 46
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 43
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 41

Jul-26-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 5:

Svidler - Navara 1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 33
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1-0 44

Jul-26-18  WinKing: Round 5

Svidler - Navara 1/2 43
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 43
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 1/2 43

Jul-26-18  DerDiemer: Round 5:
Svidler - Navara 1/2 39
Vachier-Lagrave - Georgiadis 1-0 34
Carlsen - Mamedyarov 0-1 57
Jul-26-18  WinKing: Games have started.
Jul-26-18  WinKing: The leaderboard has tightened up a bit. We have a contest!
Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: <ROUND 6>

Svidler - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 39
Navara - Carlsen 1/2 40
Georgiadis - Mamedyarov 0-1 43

Jul-26-18  Schwartz: Svidler - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 33
Navara - Carlsen 1/2 33
Georgiadis - Mamedyarov 0-1 33
Jul-26-18  chessmoron: ♔ Biel 2018: <Round 5> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 67 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '52']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '48']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<MVL-Georgiadis, 1-0 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '36'], ['Schwartz', '1-0', '36']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['DerDiemer', '1-0', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1-0', '33']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40'], ['Count Wedgemore', '1-0', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '40']]

===

<Svidler-Navara, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['DerDiemer', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

Jul-26-18  chessmoron: Round 5 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Schwartz> and <wordfunph>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 12 points: <DerDiemer>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

28, Penguincw, 0, 4, 0
17, chessmoron, 0, 1, 1
14, Count Wedgemore, 0, 2, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
14, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 0
14, WinKing, 0, 2, 0
10, Schwartz, 0, 0, 1
10, wordfunph, 0, 0, 1
7, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0
6, offramp, 2, 0, 0
3, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 0, 0
0, DerDiemer, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

25, WinKing, 0, 2, 3, 1
21, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 3, 1
18, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0, 2
16, Count Wedgemore, 3, 1, 1, 1
14, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 2, 0
13, DerDiemer, 1, 0, 0, 2
11, Golden Executive, 2, 2, 1, 0
9, offramp, 0, 2, 1, 0
9, Schwartz, 1, 1, 0, 1
8, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0, 1
6, juan31, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, Penguincw, 1, 2, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 5>

Score, UserID

39, WinKing
33, Penguincw
30, Count Wedgemore
28, OhioChessFan
28, wordfunph
25, chessmoron
24, alfamikewhiskey
19, Schwartz
18, Golden Executive
15, offramp
14, SwitchingQuylthulg
13, DerDiemer
6, juan31

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 5>

Score,UserID

4, Penguincw
2, chessmoron
2, Count Wedgemore
2, offramp
2, OhioChessFan
2, SwitchingQuylthulg
2, WinKing
1, alfamikewhiskey
1, Golden Executive
1, Schwartz
1, wordfunph
0, DerDiemer
0, juan31

Jul-26-18  wordfunph: Round 6:

Svidler - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 34
Navara - Carlsen 1/2 48
Georgiadis - Mamedyarov 0-1 35

Jul-26-18  WinKing: <chessmoron> I think the Svidler-Navara game was 40 moves & not 41.

https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-t...

<chessbomb> has the game in 41 moves but I believe that is wrong. The arbiters place the king on e4 when a game is completed & the sensory game boards count it as a move when it is actually not. We have had this problem before. <chess24> has the correct score of the game.

Jul-26-18  WinKing: The 40 moves gives you & 4 other players an 'Exact' 10pts. instead of 7 pts. each.
Jul-26-18  WinKing: Of course if you only want 7pts. I won't argue. ;)
Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 6:

Svidler - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 39
Navara - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
Georgiadis - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 40

Jul-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Svidler - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Navara - Carlsen 1/2 35
Georgiadis - Mamedyarov 0-1 40
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