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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-24-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49604 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-23-26 Abdusattorov vs D Gukesh, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks <messiah> Gukesh saw it before Abdusattorov reached for his piece.
 
   Jan-22-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: The View, MSNOW, CNN all figured out the truth of Renee Good . Rogoff libs predictably hold firm. https://youtu.be/B2n-sdw6_1M?si=srv...
 
   Jan-21-26 Niemann vs Abdusattorov, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: A draw in 30 at 100-1 seems reasonable.
 
   Jan-20-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Turn this thing up to 11. Cream-Politician https://youtu.be/vlvA0sMvnqo?si=_b1...
 
   Jan-20-26 C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks for the live game.
 
   Jan-20-26 Memorable Quotes chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <troller> on a live game: <Aravindh seems in prep after 15.g4 but engine is not impressed. Weird position though, looks to me both players are worse.> C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026
 
   Jan-19-26 D Ghizdavu vs I Roebuck, 1966 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "Sears Roebuck"
 
   Jan-18-26 E Moskow vs A Lesiege, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Moskow Under Lesiege"
 
   Jan-18-26 A Erigaisi vs Praggnanandhaa, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I had no idea on the pun until I googled it.
 
   Jan-15-26 Julien Song (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 90 minute games today and tomorrow. Next day the rapids. Fourth day the blitz. Am I the only one with no audio on the chess.com stream?
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 701 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-19-18  Golden Executive: Round 2:

Caruana - Aronian 1-0 40
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 43
So - Nakamura 1/2 41
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 34
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 44

Aug-19-18  wordfunph: Round 2:

Caruana - Aronian 1/2 42
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 42
So - Nakamura 1/2 42
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 42

Aug-19-18  DerDiemer: <Diademas: Could we agree to use the live game page to discuss the current games>

Wish there was one <Diademas>, even if there was one, the discussions will be anything but chess and the answers very sarcastic

Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Caruana - Aronian 1-0 43
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 0-1 37
So - Nakamura 1/2 40
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 49
Aug-19-18  chessmoron: Caruana - Aronian 1/2 39
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 41
So - Nakamura 1/2 37
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 43
Aug-19-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 2:

Caruana - Aronian 1/2 42
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1-0 32
So - Nakamura 1/2 36
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 42

Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Round 2:
Caruana - Aronian 1-0 37
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 46
So - Nakamura 1/2 36
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 44
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 57
Aug-19-18  DerDiemer: Round 2:
Caruana - Aronian 1/2 38
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2 38
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 45
Aug-19-18  WinKing: Round 2

Caruana - Aronian 1/2 43
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 43
So - Nakamura 1/2 43
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 47

Aug-19-18  Count Wedgemore: Round 2:

Caruana - Aronian 1-0 35
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 31
So - Nakamura 1/2 35
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 33
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 35

Aug-19-18  AlphaXerox: Round 2:
Caruana - Aronian 1/2 39
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 39
So - Nakamura 0-1 39
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 39
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 44
Aug-19-18  DerDiemer: <Winking> please discard my 1st predictions and replace it with the following: Round 2:
Caruana - Aronian 1/2 38
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2 38
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38
Carlsen - Karjakin 1-0 48

Thanks and good luck to all the guessers

Aug-19-18  WinKing: Games have started.
Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 2
Caruana - Aronian 1/2 40
Grischuk - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
So - Nakamura 1/2 39
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 43
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 40
Aug-19-18  WinKing: ♔ Sinquefield 2018: <Round 1> Result ♔

<Anand - Vachier-Lagrave, 1/2-1/2 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '37'] Under, 7 points: []

2nd Under, 6 points: ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '34']

3rd Under, 5 points: ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '33']

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: ['DerDiemer', '1/2-1/2', '38']

3rd Over, 1 point: ['AlphaXerox', '1/2-1/2', '39']

===

<Carlsen - Karjakin, 1-0 in 88 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: ['offramp', '1-0', '70']

2nd Under, 6 points: ['Diademas', '1-0', '57']

3rd Under, 5 points: ['Robin01', '1-0', '55']

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point: []

===

<Caruana - Aronian, 1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: ['DerDiemer', '1/2-1/2', '38'] Under, 7 points: [']

2nd Under, 6 points: ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '37']

3rd Under, 5 points: ['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '36']

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['AlphaXerox', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

===

<Grischuk - Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 24 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []

Over, 3 points: ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '31']

2nd Over, 2 points: ['Robin01', '1/1-1/2', '36']

3rd Over, 1 point: ['AlphaXerox', '1/2-1/2', '39']

===

<So - Nakamura, 1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []

Over, 3 points: ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '35']

2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Diademas', '1/1-1/2', '36'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point: ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']

===

Aug-19-18  WinKing: Round 2 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to

<DerDiemer> & <Robin01>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 13 points: <Robin01>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

20, Robin01, 0, 0, 2
14, offramp, 0, 2, 0
13, DerDiemer, 1, 0, 1
9, Count Wedgemore, 3, 0, 0
7, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0
7, Diademas, 0, 1, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0
0, AlphaXerox, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

25, Robin01, 0, 1, 1, 3
10, Count Wedgemore, 0, 0, 2, 0
10, DerDiemer, 0, 2, 0, 1
8, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 1, 1, 0
8, Diademas, 0, 1, 0, 1
8, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0, 1
8, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0, 1
7, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 0, 1
7, WinKing, 1, 0, 0, 1
6, chessmoron, 2, 2, 0, 0
6, AlphaXerox, 2, 2, 0, 0
5, offramp, 0, 0, 1, 0
2, juan31, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, wordfunph, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID

45, Robin01
23, DerDiemer
19, Count Wedgemore
19, offramp
15, Diademas
13, chessmoron
8, alfamikewhiskey
8, lostemperor
8, Penguincw
7, Golden Executive
7, WinKing
6, AlphaXerox
2, juan31
1, wordfunph
0, OhioChessFan

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 2>

Score,UserID

3, Count Wedgemore
2, DerDiemer
2, offramp
2, Robin01
1, chessmoron
1, Diademas
0, alfamikewhiskey
0, AlphaXerox
0, Golden Executive
0, juan31
0, lostemperor
0, Penguincw
0, WinKing
0, wordfunph

===

Aug-19-18  WinKing: <juan31> I am sorry my friend but I could not count your predictions as they came too late.
Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It gives me great joy to point out this typo in the Round 2 results:

< ♔ Sinquefield 2018: <Round 1> Result ♔ >

Aug-19-18  WinKing: lol...you got me <ocf>. So long as it is not a scoring error I can live with it.
Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Ok < WinKing>
Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 2 Recap **

No, that's not a typo in the header. Despite reports to the contrary, that was indeed Round <2> in our fiercely waged contest. <Robin01> continues his impossible to believe rampage in this tournament. Only <Count Wedgemore> is keeping him from a lead in all 4 categories. After the round, <Robin> was seen walking around the playing floor, whining, "How can I predict a 55 move decisive game and only get a 3rd place out of it?" <OhioChessFan> admires that kind of competitive spirit.

In other news, <OhioChessFan> is still hugely embarrassed to have not scored a point. He's blaming confusion on what round it is for his poor showing. <WinKing> showed his true colors and set aside his Mr. Nice Guy routine when he disallowed <juan31's> entry this round. It would have scored 1 point, like that's a big deal or something. It might be to <OCF> but that's another story.

We're 2 rounds in and already have a contestant threatening to run away from the field. Is it time for <Winky> to start pencil whipping points away from <Robin01>? Can someone step up and stop that runaway train? Will <OCF> ever score a point? Who'll be next, hopefully, to find a <WinKing> mistake? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other penetrating questions. 7 rounds to go in our exciting contest.

Aug-19-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 3
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 39
Karjakin - Anand 0-1 42
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 40
Nakamura - Grischuk 0-1 43
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 39
Aug-20-18  Golden Executive: Round 3:

Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 40
Karjakin - Anand 1/2 30
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1-0 42
Nakamura - Grischuk 1-0 44
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 40

Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 3:

Aronian - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 37
Karjakin - Anand 0-1 37
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2-1/2 37
Nakamura - Grischuk 1/2-1/2 37
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2-1/2 37

Aug-20-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:

Round 3:
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 54
Karjakin - Anand 1/2 41
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 30
Nakamura - Grischuk 1/2 28
Mamedyarov - Caruana 1/2 30
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