User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙

♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 104 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-19-11		lostemperor: Right:) <<This is what came out of round 7 (by heart)> Actual standings: 1. Aronian 2. Carlsen 3. Anand 4. Grischuk 5. Ivanchuk 5. Topalov 7. Karjakin 7. Gelfand 7. Gashimov 10. Nakamura 11. Kramnik 12. Giri>

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: Predition standings <ABSOLUTE RANKER> Score,UserID 52,cromat 48,lostemperor 48,YouRang 44,rogge 42,Aurora 41,SwitchingQuylthulg 41,wordfunph 39,moronovich 37,Penguincw 33,Ragh 28,OhioChessFan 28,WannaBe

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER> Score,UserID 527,cromat 487,YouRang 472,lostemperor 462,SwitchingQuylthulg 448,rogge 448,wordfunph 432,moronovich 421,Penguincw 413,Ragh 411,Aurora 379,OhioChessFan 354,WannaBe

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER> Earnings in$,UserID 46.60,cromat 9.73,OhioChessFan 8.07,YouRang 0.81,lostemperor -0.62,rogge -2.53,wordfunph -2.55,SwitchingQuylthulg -4.88,Aurora -8.61,moronovich -9.36,Ragh -18.16,WannaBe -18.51,Penguincw

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: Sorry about that pair betting place <Penguincw>. I know you'll be back;) Four rounds to go!

Mar-19-11		Penguincw: Uh.. :(

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: Statistics: Average predictions AvgRnk,Player,Highest predictionRank,LowestP 2.42,Carlsen,1.0,6.0 2.63,Anand,1.0,6.0 3.08,Aronian,1.0,5.0 4.83,Kramnik,1.0,8.5 5.75,Ivanchuk,1.0,9.0 5.75,Nakamura,3.0,9.0 6.29,Topalov,3.0,10.0 7.75,Karjakin,2.0,11.0 8.21,Grischuk,6.0,10.5 9.96,Gelfand,7.0,12.0 10.38,Giri,8.0,12.0 10.96,Gashimov,8.0,12.0

Mar-19-11		lostemperor: Kramnik does worse also as far as deviation in predictions and actual standings is concerned followed by Nakamura. Grischuk does best. Deviations per player: Deviation,Player 74,Kramnik 51,Nakamura 51,Grischuk 36,Gashimov 30,Topalov 28,Gelfand 25,Aronian 22,Karjakin 20,Giri 18,Ivanchuk 18,Anand 13,Carlsen

Mar-20-11		WannaBe: I'm in last place, woo!!! I can't wait for my ♙ award!!

Mar-20-11		Penguincw: < WannaBe: I'm in last place, woo!!! I can't wait for my award!! > I'm in last.

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: Here the expectations according to ELO the ratings. I took the live ratings after Tata steel tournament of our man Frogbert http://chess.liverating.org/ (A difference of 5 rating points should be the same rankings) 1. Anand 1. Carlsen 3. Aronian 4. Kramnik 5. Ivanchuk 5. Karjakin 5. Topalov 5. Nakamura 9.Gashimove 10. Grischuk 11. Gelfand 12. Giri

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: Here the rankings according to the <CHESSBOOKIE> odds of the chessgames.com Bookie game. The complete players' betting odds see Amber Combined: Winner 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 3. Aronian 4. Kramnik 5. Ivanchuk 6. Topalov 7. Nakamura 8. Grischuk 9. Karjakin 10. Giri 11. Gelfand 12. Gashimov

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: <<<ROUND 8 UPDATE> AMBER BLINDFOLD/RAPID TOURNAMENT 2011> standings: 1. Aronian 2. Carlsen 3. Anand 3. Ivanchuk 5. Grischuk 5. Gashimov 7. Nakamura 7. Topalov 9. Gelfand 9. Karjakin 11. Giri 12. Kramnik>

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 8 <ABSOLUTE RANKER> Score,UserID 46,YouRang 45,cromat 45,SwitchingQuylthulg 44,CHESSBOOKIE 44,rogge 42,Aurora 42,lostemperor 42,moronovich 41,ELO 39,Penguincw 39,wordfunph 33,Ragh 29,OhioChessFan 25,WannaBe

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER> Score,UserID 482,YouRang 481,cromat 477,SwitchingQuylthulg 447,rogge 446,lostemperor 446,moronovich 444,CHESSBOOKIE 444,ELO 424,Penguincw 417,wordfunph 403,Ragh 401,Aurora 367,OhioChessFan 310,WannaBe

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER> Earnings in $,UserID 37.32,cromat 26.43,rogge 3.98,YouRang 2.84,Aurora 2.64,OhioChessFan -1.01,SwitchingQuylthulg -3.07,lostemperor -3.29,moronovich -3.41,ELO -3.45,wordfunph -4.24,CHESSBOOKIE -9.92,Ragh -19.16,Penguincw -25.65,WannaBe

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $14.00,Anand-equal-Ivanchuk, rogge $14.00,Gelfand-above-Kramnik, cromat $14.00,Gelfand-equal-Karjakin, rogge $14.00,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, cromat $14.00,Karjakin-above-Kramnik, OhioChessFan $7.00,Gashimov-equal-Grischuk, lostemperor + rogge $7.00,Grischuk-above-Kramnik, cromat + YouRang $7.00,Grischuk-above-Topalov, OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg $7.00,Nakamura-equal-Topalov, Aurora + ELO $4.67,Aronian-above-Carlsen, Aurora + moronovich + WannaBe $4.67,Gashimov-above-Gelfand, Aurora + ELO + lostemperor $3.50,Ivanchuk-above-Kramnik, cromat + moronovich + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang $3.50,Kramnik-below-Nakamura, moronovich + OhioChessFan + Ragh + YouRang $3.50,Kramnik-below-Topalov, cromat + Ragh + wordfunph + YouRang

Mar-21-11		lostemperor: <YouRang> manages to take pole position again in the ABSOLUTE and SQUARE ranker! But it is just too close too call. <cromat> holds the lead in the PAIR BETTINGS. <WannaBe> wins the battle of the bottom seed and is on top if he holds his screen upside down as he once suggested ;) Three more double rounds to go!

Mar-21-11		Penguincw: Oh darn it.I want the award. :(

Mar-22-11		lostemperor: Talk about putting the screen upside down, something I wanted to do but often forget. Back again to the average predictions (now included are ELO and CHESSBOOKIE) Rank,AvgRnk,Player 1. 2.25,Carlsen 2. 2.50,Anand 3. 3.07,Aronian 4. 4.71,Kramnik 5. 5.75,Ivanchuk, 6. 5.89,Nakamura, 7. 6.29,Topalov, 8. 7.75,Karjakin 9. 8.32,Grischuk 10. 10.11,Gelfand 11. 10.46,Giri 12. 10.89,Gashimov

Mar-22-11		lostemperor: Which brings us to: Preditions that differs most from the average predictions ( the bold, the brave and the fools :))! By simply turning the table upside down we see who made what predictions that differs most from the average predictions. As we can see, CHESSBOOKIE is, perhaps not surprisingly, most in line with the average predictions. That of <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <OhioChessFan>, <cromat> are the most off-beat/unorthodox ones. See here the results: ♗♘♙<THE MOST OFF-BEAT/UNORTHODOX PREDICTIONS>♗♘♙ Absolute (Maximum score is 72) Score,UserID 49,SwitchingQuylthulg 49,OhioChessFan 49,cromat ~~~~~~ 50,WannaBe 53,Ragh 54,rogge 56,YouRang 56,wordfunph 56,moronovich 57,lostemperor 57,Aurora 61,ELO 63,Penguincw 65,CHESSBOOKIE

Mar-22-11		lostemperor: If we look at the square ranker the results are slightly different. Here the 5 most unorthodox: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572 503,WannaBe 503,OhioChessFan 503,cromat 504,SwitchingQuylthulg 524,Ragh

Mar-22-11		rogge: Cool stats :) Go Kramnik, I'm still hoping for a prize!

Mar-22-11		Penguincw: Yay.I get the high score. :)

Mar-23-11		lostemperor: <<<ROUND 9 UPDATE> AMBER BLINDFOLD/RAPID TOURNAMENT 2011> standings: 1. Aronian 13 2. Carlsen 12 3. Anand 9½ Grischuk 9½ Ivanchuk 9½ 6. Gashimov 9 7. Nakamura 8½ Topalov 8½ 9. Gelfand 8 Karjakin 8 11. Giri 6½ 12. Kramnik >

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