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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 105 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <square ranker 9>
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation

Score,UserID
484,YouRang
482,cromat
477,SwitchingQuylthulg
441,lostemperor
440,CHESSBOOKIE
436,rogge
435,moronovich
432,ELO
418,Penguincw
414,wordfunph
397,Ragh
396,Aurora
364,OhioChessFan
306,WannaBe

Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 9>

Earnings in $,UserID
36.24,cromat
17.08,rogge
12.99,SwitchingQuylthulg
8.84,YouRang
1.76,Aurora
1.56,OhioChessFan
-4.37,moronovich
-4.53,wordfunph
-5.32,CHESSBOOKIE
-5.76,ELO
-6.48,lostemperor
-11.00,Ragh
-20.24,Penguincw
-20.79,WannaBe

Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$14.00,Anand-equal-Grischuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$14.00,Anand-equal-Ivanchuk, rogge

$14.00,Gelfand-above-Kramnik, cromat

$14.00,Gelfand-equal-Karjakin, rogge

$14.00,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, cromat

$14.00,Karjakin-above-Kramnik, OhioChessFan

Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Things are tightning up with two double rounds to go!
Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ha ha.My chances of winning the last place award are still alive.
Mar-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: I am not, <NOT> paying you the 20.79$ !!! =)
Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <<<ROUND 10 UPDATE>

AMBER BLINDFOLD/RAPID TOURNAMENT 2011>

Standings 10
1. Aronian 14½
2. Carlsen 13½
3. Anand 11
4. Ivanchuk 10½
5. Grischuk 10
6. Gashimov 9½
Gelfand 9½
Nakamura 9½
7. Karjakin 9
Topalov 9
8. Giri 7
Kramnik 7 >

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS:

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 10> Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation

Score,UserID
51,rogge
48,cromat
46,SwitchingQuylthulg
45,YouRang
42,CHESSBOOKIE
42,moronovich
40,ELO
40,lostemperor
39,Aurora
39,Penguincw
39,wordfunph
31,Ragh
30,OhioChessFan
23,WannaBe

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 10>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation

Score,UserID
491,YouRang
487,SwitchingQuylthulg
484,cromat
474,rogge
454,moronovich
444,CHESSBOOKIE
440,ELO
434,lostemperor
431,Penguincw
417,wordfunph
397,Ragh
394,Aurora
384,OhioChessFan
302,WannaBe

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 10>

Earnings in $,UserID
40.51,cromat
20.77,rogge
5.09,SwitchingQuylthulg
4.08,OhioChessFan
3.67,YouRang
-1.43,wordfunph
-1.86,moronovich
-4.66,lostemperor
-6.06,Penguincw
-6.88,CHESSBOOKIE
-7.90,Ragh
-10.24,ELO
-11.47,Aurora
-23.63,WannaBe

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$14.00,Gashimov-equal-Nakamura, lostemperor

$14.00,Gelfand-above-Kramnik, cromat

$14.00,Gelfand-above-Topalov, rogge

$14.00,Gelfand-equal-Nakamura, rogge

$14.00,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, cromat

$14.00,Karjakin-above-Kramnik, OhioChessFan

$7.00,Grischuk-above-Kramnik, cromat + YouRang

$7.00,Grischuk-above-Topalov, OhioChessFan + SwitchingQuylthulg

$7.00,Karjakin-equal-Topalov, ELO + Penguincw

$4.67,Aronian-above-Carlsen, Aurora + moronovich + WannaBe

$4.67,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe

$4.67,Gelfand-above-Karjakin, cromat + Ragh + wordfunph

$3.50,Ivanchuk-above-Kramnik, cromat + moronovich + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$3.50,Kramnik-below-Nakamura, moronovich + OhioChessFan + Ragh + YouRang

$3.50,Kramnik-below-Topalov, cromat + Ragh + wordfunph + YouRang

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Three leaders in three different rankers <rogge>, <YouRang> and <cromat>! Will we have three sets of medals this time? Will <YouRang> win two gold in a row after winning Tata Steel tournament? Something if Im correct only <WannaBe> has achieved before.

With things in Monaco also close, places 3 - 10 only 2 points apart, a Grand Final is expected with one double round to go, one blindfolded! /-)

Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Right, <rogge> also won Tata Steel with <Ragh> and <YouRang>! Hopefully I haven't forgotten anyone else haveing won two tournaments in a row <percyblakeney>, <cromat> perhaps?

(I must be surprised you popping up at the top of the absolute ranker so suddenly <rogge> ;))

Mar-24-11  rogge: It's all about stamina ;)
Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Well,it looks like WannaBe is running away with the last place trophy.
Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Can't wait for my pawn ♙ award...
Mar-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I am hoping to medal in pairs ranker and overtake <Wannabe> for last in the other categories.
Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <<<LE GRAND FINALE D'AMBER MONACO 2011!!>

BLINDFOLD /RAPID TOURNAMENT>

FINAL STANDINGS:
1. Aronian 15½
2. Carlsen 14½
3. Anand 13
4. Grischuk 11
Ivanchuk 11
6. Gashimov 10½
Gelfand 10½
Nakamura 10½
Topalov 10½
10. Karjakin 10
11. Kramnik 8
12. Giri 7 >

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: FINAL PREDICTION STANDINGS AMBER BLINDFOLD/RAPID TOURNAMENT 2011:

<ABSOLUTE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72 (arbitrary)

Score,UserID
♔52,cromat
♕48,rogge
♖47,YouRang
~~~~~~~~
44,CHESSBOOKIE
44,lostemperor
44,SwitchingQuylthulg
43,ELO
42,moronovich
42,wordfunph
41,Aurora
39,Penguincw
34,Ragh
29,OhioChessFan
25,WannaBe

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <FINAL SQUARE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

Score,UserID
515,cromat
505,YouRang
483,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~~~~~~~
469,rogge
465,CHESSBOOKIE
460,lostemperor
454,ELO
452,moronovich
449,wordfunph
439,Penguincw
425,Ragh
416,Aurora
382,OhioChessFan
333,WannaBe

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <FINAL PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID
$39.99,cromat
$21.49,SwitchingQuylthulg
$9.16,rogge
~~~~~~~~~~
$6.75,YouRang
$0.76,lostemperor
$-0.53,OhioChessFan
$-1.95,wordfunph
$-4.99,Aurora
$-6.46,moronovich
$-7.41,CHESSBOOKIE
$-8.42,Ragh
$-12.51,ELO
$-17.66,Penguincw
$-18.21,WannaBe

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Second consecutive tournament I finish in the top 3 in the Square Ranker but don't get any medals...

Can't we make Square Ranker the main ranker? ;-)

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <cromat> ♔♔♔ 'Triple Crown' winner!! (Rules decide only one set of medals is awarded in the absolute ranker, if the winner(s) of the different rankers is/are the same person(s))

After a disatrous Tata Steel tournament <cromat> shows great resilience in winning AMBER TOURNAMENT 2011!

Second places for <rogge> ♕♖, <YouRang> ♕♖, and <SwitchingQuylthulg> ♕♖ in respectively absolute, square, and pair betting ranker! All three also won a third place in one ranker!

Great showing of consistency by <YouRang> and <rogge> after winning Tata Steel tournament 2011! Also <SwitchingQuylthulg> has won a second place in Tata Steel square ranker.

Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Sorry about that <SwitchingQuylthulg>. I understand your frustration! ;)
Mar-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I hope you enjoyed the tournament and the contest all, especially those who participated (I most certainly did). Thanks!!
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