User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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♙♙

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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 118 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-23-12		lostemperor: I must say the competition is extremely fierce this tournament!

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: <<<ROUND 9 UPDATE> The hits just keep on coming! Carlsen - Karjakin 0-1 Ivanchuk - Giri 1-0 Aronian - Caruana 1-0 > Standings after round 9 1. Aronian, L. 6½ 2. Carlsen, M. Ivanchuk, V. Radjabov, T. 5½ 5. Nakamura, H. 5 6. Caruana, F. Karjakin, S. Van Wely, L. 4½ 9. Giri, A. Kamsky, G. Topalov, V. 4 12. Gashimov, V. Gelfand, B. 3½ 14. Navara, D. 2½ >

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: <TATASTEEL PREDICTION GAME STANDINGS> ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 66,SwitchingQuylthulg 64,wordfunph 64,YouRang ~~~~ 63,Golden Executive 63,rogge 61,SloVice 60,ELORATINGS 60,OhioChessFan 60,ooda 59,Dim Weasel 59,moronovich 57,mark jc. Garado 57,Penguincw 57,Ragh 57,Robin01 56,CHESSBOOKIE 55,WinKing 52,Diademas 52,Ezzy 52,WannaBe 47,Ibelox 44,lostemperor 44,siamesedream

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 9 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 802,SwitchingQuylthulg 795,wordfunph 776,rogge ~~~~ 756,YouRang 750,moronovich 748,ELORATINGS 744,Golden Executive 741,Dim Weasel 740,OhioChessFan 737,Robin01 736,SloVice 729,WinKing 728,CHESSBOOKIE 720,Ragh 719,ooda 707,mark jc. Garado 704,Penguincw 694,Diademas 670,Ezzy 661,WannaBe 650,Ibelox 636,siamesedream 609,lostemperor

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Earnings,UserID 52.42,SloVice 33.96,WannaBe 14.49,YouRang ~~~~ 14.37,ooda 12.36,rogge 10.06,SwitchingQuylthulg 9.99,Diademas 3.73,OhioChessFan -1.92,Penguincw -2.40,Golden Executive -3.33,Robin01 -5.09,wordfunph -5.73,moronovich -6.30,Ragh -6.47,mark jc. Garado -9.93,siamesedream -11.09,Dim Weasel -14.01,CHESSBOOKIE -14.41,Ibelox -14.98,ELORATINGS -15.12,Ezzy -18.44,WinKing -22.15,lostemperor

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results (Would be Jackpots/semi-Jackpots!): Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas $23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Giri-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Karjakin-equal-Van Wely, SloVice $11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-24-12		lostemperor: Some switching at the top. <SwitchingQuylthulg> now solely leads the ABSOLUTE RANKER and keeps the initiative in the SQUARE RANKER. <SloVice> has to let go on above rankers but still holds on strongly IN the PAIR BETTINGS. With 4 rounds to go an exciting finish is expected!

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: ... and indeed it was at <<<ROUND 10!! Black is OK> Wednesday the 25th Topalov, V. - Caruana, F. 0-1 Giri, A. - Aronian, L. 0-1 Navara, D. - Ivanchuk, V. 0-1 Karjakin, S. - Kamsky, G. 0-1 > Standings after 10 rounds 1. Aronian, L. 7½ 2. Ivanchuk, V. 6½ 3. Carlsen, M. Radjabov, T. 6 5. Caruana, F. Nakamura, H. 5½ 7. Kamsky, G. Van Wely, L. 5 9. Karjakin, S. 4½ 10. Gashimov, V. Gelfand, B. Giri, A. Topalov, V. 4 14. Navara, D. 2½ >

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: TATASTEEL PREDICITON GAME STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 63,SloVice 63,SwitchingQuylthulg 61,YouRang ~~~~ 59,rogge 57,Golden Executive 56,ELORATINGS 55,wordfunph 54,CHESSBOOKIE 54,moronovich 54,Penguincw 53,Dim Weasel 53,OhioChessFan 52,mark jc. Garado 52,Ragh 52,Robin01 52,WannaBe 52,WinKing 51,ooda 47,Ezzy 45,Diademas 40,Ibelox 40,lostemperor 37,siamesedream

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 781,SwitchingQuylthulg 746,YouRang 744,wordfunph ~~~~ 737,SloVice 733,rogge 728,ELORATINGS 700,Golden Executive 694,Dim Weasel 691,moronovich 689,mark jc. Garado 689,OhioChessFan 687,CHESSBOOKIE 685,WinKing 684,Penguincw 670,Robin01 664,Ragh 658,ooda 636,WannaBe 618,Ezzy 614,Diademas 600,Ibelox 577,siamesedream 574,lostemperor

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 10 Earnings in $,UserID 86.39,SloVice 43.79,WannaBe 27.61,YouRang ~~~~ 20.28,rogge 6.51,mark jc. Garado 4.28,Diademas -0.28,ooda -0.38,OhioChessFan -0.48,Golden Executive -2.86,moronovich -7.13,Penguincw -7.30,SwitchingQuylthulg -8.84,ELORATINGS -11.60,WinKing -11.80,wordfunph -13.56,Dim Weasel -14.04,siamesedream -14.84,CHESSBOOKIE -16.07,Robin01 -17.59,Ezzy -19.09,Ibelox -19.67,Ragh -23.34,lostemperor

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results (Would be JACKPOTS/Semi-Jackpots!): Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas $23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Gelfand-equal-Topalov, SloVice $23.00,Giri-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang $11.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, SloVice + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Gashimov-equal-Giri, moronovich + rogge $11.50,Gashimov-equal-Topalov, ELORATINGS + rogge $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Kamsky-above-Topalov, mark jc. Garado + YouRang

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: <SloVice> catches up <SwitchingQuylthulg> again at pole positions, with <YouRang>, <WannaBe> and <wordfunph> on their tails!

Jan-25-12		lostemperor: Predictions deviations per player: Deviation,Player 145,Topalov 129,Van Wely 114,Ivanchuk 106,Caruana 97,Karjakin 95,Giri 68,Radjabov 58,Gashimov 51,Carlsen 47,Gelfand 46,Nakamura 45,Kamsky 30,Aronian 25,Navara

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: THE GRAND FINAL HAS BEGUN <<<ROUND 11 UPDATE> 6 DECISIVE GAMES! Round 11 - Friday the 27th Carlsen, M. - Topalov, V. 1-0 Kamsky, G. - Nakamura, H. ½-½ Van Wely, L. - Karjakin, S. 0-1 Gashimov, V. - Radjabov, T. 0-1 Ivanchuk, V. - Gelfand, B. 0-1 Aronian, L. - Navara, D. 0-1 Caruana, F. - Giri, A. 1-0> Standings after round 11 1. Aronian, L. 7½ 2. Carlsen, M. Radjabov, T. 7 4. Caruana, F. Ivanchuk, V. 6½ 6. Nakamura, H. 6 7. Kamsky, G. Karjakin, S. 5½ 9. Gelfand, B. Van Wely, L. 5 11. Gashimov, V. Giri, A. Topalov, V. 4 14. Navara, D. 3½ >

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: PREDICITON GAME STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 65,SwitchingQuylthulg 64,SloVice 62,YouRang ~~~~ 61,ELORATINGS 61,Golden Executive 61,rogge 61,wordfunph 59,Dim Weasel 58,CHESSBOOKIE 58,OhioChessFan 57,ooda 57,Ragh 56,moronovich 56,Penguincw 56,Robin01 55,mark jc. Garado 55,WinKing 53,Ezzy 52,WannaBe 49,Diademas 46,Ibelox 43,siamesedream 42,lostemperor

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 794,SwitchingQuylthulg 775,wordfunph 759,rogge 759,YouRang ~~~~ 749,ELORATINGS 726,SloVice 725,Dim Weasel 723,moronovich 715,WinKing 709,CHESSBOOKIE 706,Ragh 703,mark jc. Garado 700,Golden Executive 697,ooda 693,Robin01 691,OhioChessFan 689,Penguincw 666,Ezzy 657,Diademas 649,Ibelox 627,lostemperor 623,WannaBe 599,siamesedream

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 11 Earnings in #,UserID 41.16,SloVice 38.74,SwitchingQuylthulg 35.00,YouRang ~~~~ 21.13,rogge 12.85,WannaBe 4.77,Ibelox 3.95,ooda -2.00,moronovich -2.39,OhioChessFan -3.17,mark jc. Garado -5.31,Penguincw -6.24,ELORATINGS -6.78,Dim Weasel -7.78,Ragh -8.91,Diademas -10.15,CHESSBOOKIE -10.17,Golden Executive -10.81,Ezzy -13.53,lostemperor -15.21,Robin01 -18.15,siamesedream -18.41,WinKing -18.61,wordfunph

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice $23.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, SwitchingQuylthulg $23.00,Gelfand-above-Topalov, Ibelox $23.00,Giri-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Kamsky-equal-Karjakin, SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang $11.50,Gashimov-equal-Giri, moronovich + rogge $11.50,Gashimov-equal-Topalov, ELORATINGS + rogge $11.50,Gelfand-equal-Van Wely, SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Kamsky-above-Topalov, mark jc. Garado + YouRang

Jan-27-12		lostemperor: Still a tight race at the top. <SwitchingQuylthulg> holds the lead at the Absolute and Square rankers, while <SloVice> keeps the initiative at the pair bettings! That things change with two rounds to go is shown. It is all up to the players of Tatasteell chess tournament!

Jan-28-12		Penguincw: Round 12 update? The penultimate round, IMO, is the most important round of any tournament. It can often decide the winner, and in Tata, here it does.

Jan-29-12		lostemperor: Oh, after visiting Wijk aan Zee yesterday, my internet connection was broken last night because of some technicallity. Now already at the start of the penultimate round it is only tense to wait till today's results and the Final Standings will be settled!:)

Jan-29-12		Penguincw: I see why you might not do the penultimate round. It's going to look similar to today at this rate. :-\

Jan-29-12		lostemperor: <Penguincw> it is because my internet connection failed yesterday! Although sometimes when I expect a lot of draws in the last round I occasionally do it what I happen to expect now but that aside.

Jan-29-12		lostemperor: Aronian secure first place in round 12 and stayed that! <<<TATASTEEL CHESS TOURNAMENT 2012 FINAL> Round 12 - Saturday the 28th Topalov, V. - Giri, A. 1-0 Gelfand, B. - Aronian, L. 0-1 Nakamura, H. - Van Wely, L. 1-0 Round 13 - Sunday the 29th Kamsky, G. - Topalov, V. 1-0 Caruana, F. - Gelfand, B. 1-0> Final Standings after round 13 1. Aronian, L. 9 2. Carlsen, M. Caruana, F. Radjabov, T. 8 5. Ivanchuk, V. Nakamura, H. 7½ 7. Kamsky, G. 7 8. Karjakin, S. 6½ 9. Van Wely, L. 5½ 10. Gashimov, V. Gelfand, B. Topalov, V. 5 13. Giri, A. Navara, D. 4½ >

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