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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 117 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings in $,UserID
84.66,SloVice
53.74,SwitchingQuylthulg
33.07,ooda
14.01,OhioChessFan
11.78,mark jc. Garado
4.10,Ragh
0.54,Penguincw
-0.44,Diademas
-1.63,wordfunph
-3.29,YouRang
-4.40,Ibelox
-5.11,WannaBe
-5.69,Golden Executive
-6.80,Robin01
-11.82,rogge
-13.04,Ezzy
-13.11,Dim Weasel
-15.76,moronovich
-15.86,siamesedream
-19.40,CHESSBOOKIE
-24.02,lostemperor
-28.48,WinKing
-33.05,ELORATINGS

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results (would be JACKPOTS and Semi-Jackpots!):

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice

$23.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Kamsky-equal-Karjakin, SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, SloVice + SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Gashimov-equal-Navara, mark jc. Garado + wordfunph

$11.50,Gelfand-above-Karjakin, Penguincw + SloVice

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Since my predictions was far from my my wish list it is fine with me to tighten my bottom place. The good news is I cannot go down further and only up with 7 rounds to go!
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Better late than never!

Also, one round I have a chance for medals, the next I fade. :(

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Re: Absolute ranker, looks like it's you and/or me <lostemperor>... =)
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Im not giving up yet! ;)
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <<<Round 7 - Saturday the 21st

Karjakin, S. - Topalov, V. 1-0
Carlsen, M. - Gelfand, B. 1-0
Kamsky, G. - Navara, D. 1-0 >

Standings after round 7

1. Aronian, L.
Carlsen, M. 5
3. Radjabov, T. 4½
4. Caruana, F.
Giri, A.
Ivanchuk, V.
Nakamura, H. 4
8. Van Wely, L. 3½
9. Kamsky, G.
Karjakin, S.
Topalov, V. 3
12. Gelfand, B. 2½
13. Gashimov, V. 2
14. Navara, D. 1½>

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATASTEEL PREDICTION GAME STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
72,SloVice
70,SwitchingQuylthulg
66,ooda
~~~~~
66,Ragh
63,Robin01
62,mark jc. Garado
62,rogge
62,wordfunph
61,OhioChessFan
58,moronovich
58,YouRang
57,Diademas
57,ELORATINGS
57,Golden Executive
56,Dim Weasel
53,Ibelox
52,CHESSBOOKIE
52,Penguincw
51,WinKing
49,Ezzy
48,siamesedream
45,WannaBe
42,lostemperor

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
824,SwitchingQuylthulg
803,SloVice
797,ooda
~~~~
794,Ragh
763,wordfunph
752,rogge
747,mark jc. Garado
746,Robin01
743,Diademas
742,OhioChessFan
722,Golden Executive
720,Dim Weasel
709,moronovich
700,YouRang
689,ELORATINGS
685,CHESSBOOKIE
683,WinKing
676,Ibelox
664,Penguincw
651,Ezzy
630,siamesedream
607,lostemperor
589,WannaBe

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID
78.27,SloVice
72.26,SwitchingQuylthulg
22.63,mark jc. Garado
~~~~
19.38,ooda
11.58,Ragh
6.70,rogge
0.32,OhioChessFan
-0.10,YouRang
-1.81,wordfunph
-3.91,Diademas
-4.90,Robin01
-5.76,WannaBe
-7.87,Ibelox
-8.43,Golden Executive
-10.42,Penguincw
-13.76,Dim Weasel
-13.85,moronovich
-19.06,Ezzy
-20.05,CHESSBOOKIE
-22.11,lostemperor
-25.56,ELORATINGS
-26.57,WinKing
-27.00,siamesedream

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Would be JACKPOTS and Semi-jackpots!:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice

$23.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Kamsky-equal-Karjakin, SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, SloVice + SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Gashimov-equal-Navara, mark jc. Garado + wordfunph

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <lostemperor: $11.50,Gashimov-equal-Navara, mark jc. Garado + wordfunph>

Something fishy here - Gashimov is half a point ahead of Navara!

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh wait SwitchingQuylthulg>. I forgot to change Navara and he is still on shared 13th spot. Thanks!
Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

ABSOLUTE RANKER~7

Score,UserID
73,SloVice
70,SwitchingQuylthulg
66,Ragh
~~~~
65,ooda
64,Robin01
63,rogge
62,mark jc. Garado
62,wordfunph
61,OhioChessFan
59,YouRang
58,Diademas
58,Golden Executive
58,moronovich
57,ELORATINGS
56,Dim Weasel
53,Ibelox
53,Penguincw
52,CHESSBOOKIE
51,WinKing
49,Ezzy
48,siamesedream
46,WannaBe
42,lostemperor

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
826,SwitchingQuylthulg
804,SloVice
795,ooda
~~~~
795,Ragh
763,wordfunph
757,rogge
747,mark jc. Garado
746,Diademas
746,Robin01
741,OhioChessFan
724,Golden Executive
719,Dim Weasel
712,moronovich
706,YouRang
695,ELORATINGS
689,CHESSBOOKIE
687,WinKing
683,Ibelox
671,Penguincw
652,Ezzy
636,siamesedream
609,lostemperor
594,WannaBe

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings in $,UserID
79.55,SloVice
73.53,SwitchingQuylthulg
19.38,ooda
~~~~
12.86,Ragh
11.13,mark jc. Garado
7.98,rogge
1.18,YouRang
0.32,OhioChessFan
-2.63,Diademas
-3.62,Robin01
-4.48,WannaBe
-6.59,Ibelox
-7.15,Golden Executive
-9.14,Penguincw
-12.58,moronovich
-13.31,wordfunph
-13.76,Dim Weasel
-17.78,Ezzy
-18.77,CHESSBOOKIE
-20.83,lostemperor
-24.29,ELORATINGS
-25.29,WinKing
-25.72,siamesedream

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice

$23.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Kamsky-equal-Karjakin, SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, SloVice + SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-21-12  Ragh: <lostemperor> Well said about Giri. Its his choice after all. May be he has passion for knowledge in areas other than just Chess.

Coming to this prediction game, I see I am doing rather OK here at the half way point of the tournament.. touch wood!!

Jan-21-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks <Switch> for improving my score, slightly. :)
Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <<<ROUND 8 UPDATE>

One decisiver
Giri, A. - Gashimov, V. 0-1>

Standings after round 8

1. Aronian, L.
Carlsen, M. 5½
3. Radjabov, T. 5
4. Caruana, F.
Ivanchuk, V.
Nakamura, H. 4½
7. Giri, A.
Van Wely, L. 4
9. Kamsky, G.
Karjakin, S.
Topalov, V. 3½
12. Gashimov, V.
Gelfand, B. 3
14. Navara, D. 2 >

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATASTEEL PREDCTION GAME STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
69,SloVice
69,SwitchingQuylthulg
64,rogge
~~~~
62,OhioChessFan
62,Ragh
62,wordfunph
62,YouRang
61,ooda
60,Golden Executive
59,mark jc. Garado
59,Robin01
58,moronovich
57,ELORATINGS
56,Dim Weasel
54,Diademas
54,Penguincw
53,CHESSBOOKIE
52,WinKing
49,Ezzy
49,Ibelox
47,WannaBe
44,siamesedream
43,lostemperor

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
819,SwitchingQuylthulg
785,SloVice
767,ooda
~~~~
765,Ragh
764,wordfunph
753,rogge
729,OhioChessFan
728,Robin01
725,mark jc. Garado
723,Golden Executive
719,YouRang
717,Diademas
717,Dim Weasel
713,ELORATINGS
710,moronovich
695,CHESSBOOKIE
692,WinKing
672,Penguincw
654,Ibelox
643,Ezzy
613,siamesedream
613,WannaBe
602,lostemperor

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings in $,UserID
69.74,SloVice
52.41,SwitchingQuylthulg
20.32,Diademas
~~~~
12.48,YouRang
11.50,ooda
10.72,Ragh
7.87,WannaBe
3.25,mark jc. Garado
2.04,rogge
1.87,OhioChessFan
-5.60,Golden Executive
-6.63,Ibelox
-7.59,Penguincw
-8.93,moronovich
-11.50,Robin01
-12.21,Dim Weasel
-12.98,ELORATINGS
-15.13,CHESSBOOKIE
-16.24,Ezzy
-19.42,wordfunph
-21.65,WinKing
-25.77,siamesedream
-28.54,lostemperor

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results
(Would be JACKPOTS/Semi-Jackpots!):

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice

$23.00,Caruana-equal-Ivanchuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas

$23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Kamsky-equal-Karjakin, SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, SloVice + SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A tight race between <SloVice> and <SwitchingQuylthulg> at the top! At the bottom for me, the only way is up with 5 rounds to go :)
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