|
< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 123 OF 285 ·
Later Kibitzing> |
Oct-10-12
 | | lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS ON FINAL STANDINGS MASTERS
Standings after round 7:
ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation
Maximum score: 18
Score,UserID
13,chessmoron
13,Ezzy
12,SwitchingQuylthulg
12,YouRang
11,Aurora
11,rogge
11,wordfunph
10,Barok Espinosa
10,Golden Executive
10,NGambit
10,Penguincw
10,whiteshark
10,WinKing
9,Diademas
9,lostemperor
9,OhioChessFan
8,King Sacrificer
8,WannaBe |
|
Oct-10-12
| | lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7*
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation
Maximum score: 70
Score,UserID
63,chessmoron
62,YouRang
61,SwitchingQuylthulg
60,Ezzy
58,whiteshark
56,Penguincw
55,rogge
54,Aurora
54,Barok Espinosa
54,wordfunph
52,NGambit
52,WinKing
50,lostemperor
48,Diademas
47,OhioChessFan
46,King Sacrificer
45,Golden Executive
43,WannaBe
*this ranker is destined for this 6 men tournament to be the major ranker |
|
Oct-10-12
| | lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7:
Earnings,UserID
$16.99,NGambit
$11.52,chessmoron
$7.65,King Sacrificer
$2.57,whiteshark
$2.52,Ezzy
$2.35,YouRang
$0.10,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-0.57,Penguincw
$-1.83,WinKing
$-2.15,Aurora
$-3.11,Barok Espinosa
$-3.44,wordfunph
$-4.40,rogge
$-4.94,Diademas
$-5.67,WannaBe
$-5.69,lostemperor
$-5.69,OhioChessFan
$-6.22,Golden Executive |
|
Oct-10-12
| | lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, NGambit
$9.00,Caruana-above-Aronian, chessmoron + King Sacrificer $4.50,Caruana-above-Anand, King Sacrificer + SwitchingQuylthulg + whiteshark + YouRang $3.60,Caruana-above-Karjakin, chessmoron + Ezzy + NGambit + Penguincw + whiteshark $2.57,Anand-above-Karjakin, Barok Espinosa + chessmoron + Ezzy + NGambit + Penguincw + WannaBe + WinKing $2.25,Carlsen-above-Aronian, Aurora + chessmoron + Diademas + Ezzy + Golden Executive + King Sacrificer + wordfunph + YouRang |
|
Oct-10-12
| | lostemperor: We're back in business ;-) |
|
Oct-10-12
 | | WannaBe: Wow, time to turn my monitor upside-down again. |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Things are heating up in the 9th round today with three white wins in Bilbao of Carlsen, Caruana and Karjakin inspite of Anand, Aronian and Vallejo respectively! The final rankings will be set after todays final round. |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: <Here the final reults of <Bilbao Masters Tournament:< 1 Fabiano Caruana 16
2 Magnus Carlsen 16
3 Levon Aronian 10
4 Sergey Kariakin 9
5 Viswanathan Anand 8
6 Francisco Vallejo 5> >> |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Due to only six participants in Bilbao I mentioned to use the Square Ranker to be the major Ranker. Sort of as a tie-breaker. Here the deviation of the predicitons is squared |
|
| Oct-13-12 | | rogge: Ehm, isn't it
1 Carlsen
2 Caruana ?
(or 1-2 Carlsen-Caruana ?) |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Ah yes of course. I had it put in correct but copied the standings from the official site. Besides everyone should have one point more since the last round (draws) is not yet included. Thanks! |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Official site now updated the FINAL standings
1 Fabiano Caruana 17
2 Magnus Carlsen 17
3 Levon Aronian 11
4 Sergey Kariakin 10
5 Viswanathan Anand 9
6 Francisco Vallejo 6 |
|
| Oct-13-12 | | rogge: Lol, Caruana is still #1. Ok :) |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Darn, right sorry:
1-2 Fabiano Caruana 17
1-2 Magnus Carlsen 17
3 Levon Aronian 11
4 Sergey Kariakin 10
5 Viswanathan Anand 9
6 Francisco Vallejo |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: But I believe you got my drift! ;-) |
|
| Oct-13-12 | | rogge: Anyways, thanks for hosting the competition, fun as always :) |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: The difficulty of this tournament, even with only 6 perticipants does not warrant a tie breaker since the winners were few also. So I decide to use the absolute ranker as the usual medal ranker. however there is a best predictor on tie break in the square ranker!;) |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: <FINAL PREDICITON STANDINGS BILBAO MASTERS 2012> Absolute Ranker
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation
Maximum score: 18
Score,UserID
♔14,SwitchingQuylthulg
♔14,YouRang
♖12,rogge
♖12,whiteshark
♖12,wordfunph
~~~~~~
11,Aurora
11,chessmoron
11,Ezzy
10,Golden Executive
10,King Sacrificer
10,lostemperor
10,WinKing
9,Barok Espinosa
9,Diademas
9,OhioChessFan
8,NGambit
8,Penguincw
8,WannaBe |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER>
(The tie-breaker!)
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation
Maximum score: 70
Score,UserID
65,YouRang
64,SwitchingQuylthulg
62,whiteshark
~~~~~~~~
58,rogge
58,wordfunph
57,chessmoron
56,King Sacrificer
54,Aurora
54,Ezzy
54,lostemperor
50,Barok Espinosa
50,OhioChessFan
50,Penguincw
50,WinKing
49,Golden Executive
48,Diademas
44,NGambit
37,WannaBe |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER
Earnings,UserID
♔$14.41,NGambit
♕$9.65,King Sacrificer
♖$8.95,chessmoron
~~~~~~
$4.57,whiteshark
$4.35,YouRang
$2.10,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-0.05,Ezzy
$-1.44,wordfunph
$-2.15,Aurora
$-2.40,rogge
$-3.14,Penguincw
$-3.69,lostemperor
$-3.69,OhioChessFan
$-4.22,Golden Executive
$-4.40,WinKing
$-4.94,Diademas
$-5.69,Barok Espinosa
$-8.24,WannaBe |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, NGambit
$9.00,Caruana-above-Aronian, chessmoron + King Sacrificer $4.50,Caruana-above-Anand, King Sacrificer + SwitchingQuylthulg + whiteshark + YouRang $3.60,Caruana-above-Karjakin, chessmoron + Ezzy + NGambit + Penguincw + whiteshark $2.25,Carlsen-above-Aronian, Aurora + chessmoron + Diademas + Ezzy + Golden Executive + King Sacrificer + wordfunph + YouRang $2.00,Karjakin-above-Anand, Golden Executive + King Sacrificer + lostemperor + OhioChessFan + rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg + whiteshark + wordfunph + YouRang |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners!!
♔♔<YouRang>,
♔♕<SwitchingQuylthulg> ♔<NGambit>
♕<King Sacrificer> ♖♖<whiteshark>
♖<rogge>
♖<wordfunph>
♖<chessmoron>
(only one (gold) medal is given according rules)
<YouRang> proved it is not a coincidence he is leading the Hall of Fame by adding one more Gold! <SwitchingQuylthulg> again showed to keep up the pace. Welcome to <NGambit> into the Hall of Fame. It has been a long while since someone new succeeded doing this. Maybe more new predictors will try this huge challenge to get into the Hall of Fame next time! |
|
| Oct-13-12 | | YouRang: Woo hoo! More gold! :-)
I wish I could figure out what I'm doing right in your contest, and use some of that in mine. Thanks <lostemperor> for running the final standings prediction contest. |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: If I follow <YouRang> chess forum: Wijk aan Zee TataSteel tournament is the next top tournament in January. |
|
Oct-13-12
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> I am disapointed, looking at this succes, you did not win a medal in the game prediction contest at your own forum. But I see you broke the organizer's curse of not being able to win in his own game this year! ;) |
|
 |
|
|
< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 123 OF 285 ·
Later Kibitzing> |
|
|
|
Kibitzing
