User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 129 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-27-13		King Sacrificer: Caruana blasted my predictions. Thanks <lostemperor> for running this great contest. It was fun.

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: <FINAL UPDATE TATASTEEL CHESS 2013 < Round 13 - Sunday the 27th Karjakin, S. - van Wely, L. 1-0 Hou, Y. - Leko, P. ½-½ L'Ami, E. - Sokolov, I. ½-½ Wang, H. - Anand, V. 1-0 Nakamura, H. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½ Giri, A. - Carlsen, M. ½-½ Caruana, F. - Aronian, L. ½-½ < Final standings: 1. Carlsen 2. Aronian 3. Anand 3. Karjakin 5. Leko 6. Nakamura 7. Harikrishna 8. Van Wely 8. Giri 8. Wang Hao 11. Hou YiFan 12. Caruana 13. L'ami 14. Sokolov>>>

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: FINAL PREDICTION STANDINGS Absolute Ranker Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID ♔72,Aurora ♔72,WinKing ♖71,chessmoron ♖71,wordfunph ~~~~ 70,moronovich 69,SloVice 68,lostemperor 67,Robin01 67,WannaBe 66,Golden Executive 66,jussu 66,Karposian 64,Beholder 64,cromat 64,Diademas 64,Jim Bartle 64,rogge 62,dumbgai 62,SwitchingQuylthulg 61,blade2012 61,wtwz 60,NakoSonorense 59,Penguincw 58,King Sacrificer 58,MarshKnight 57,Ibelox 57,OhioChessFan 51,YouRang 44,orcafan

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Final Square Ranker Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 839,WinKing 821,moronovich* 806,wordfunph ~~~~ 804,chessmoron 797,Aurora 797,Beholder 787,Robin01 779,lostemperor 765,WannaBe 763,Jim Bartle 760,rogge 759,Golden Executive 759,Karposian 757,Diademas 757,NakoSonorense 755,SloVice 751,dumbgai 748,cromat 742,Penguincw 741,jussu 738,Ibelox 738,SwitchingQuylthulg 738,wtwz 727,blade2012 727,OhioChessFan 709,MarshKnight 693,King Sacrificer 662,YouRang 577,orcafan

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Final Pair Betting Ranker Earnings,UserID ♔$46.13,Penguincw ♕$40.77,jussu ♖$36.17,SloVice ~~~~ $26.21,Beholder $21.48,Robin01 $14.09,WinKing $9.97,chessmoron $8.75,WannaBe $6.28,Ibelox $2.18,OhioChessFan $1.23,Jim Bartle $0.44,wordfunph $-2.93,moronovich $-4.26,Aurora $-4.53,Golden Executive $-7.16,dumbgai $-9.12,King Sacrificer $-9.25,lostemperor $-10.06,cromat $-11.59,Karposian $-11.72,blade2012 $-13.29,Diademas $-13.48,MarshKnight $-14.25,YouRang $-15.31,rogge $-17.48,wtwz $-18.60,NakoSonorense $-23.02,SwitchingQuylthulg $-27.64,orcafan

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Beholder $29.00,Giri-equal-Van Wely, SloVice (JACKPOT!) $29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw (JACKPOT!) $29.00,Leko-above-Nakamura, jussu (JACKPOT!) $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu $14.50,Van Wely-equal-Wang Hao, SloVice + WannaBe $14.50,Wang Hao-above-Caruana, Ibelox + Penguincw $9.67,Hou YiFan-above-Sokolov, King Sacrificer + orcafan + Robin01 $9.67,L'ami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Missed chances: $0.00,Harikrishna-above-Caruana, (0 winners) $0.00,Harikrishna-above-Wang Hao, (0 winners) $0.00,Hou YiFan-above-Caruana, (0 winners) $0.00,Van Wely-above-Caruana, (0 winners)

Jan-27-13		YouRang: Congrats to the winners, especially <WinKing>, <Aurora> and <Penguincw>. Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting. Thanks also <orcafan> for your uplifting performance. ;-)

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Congratulations to the Winners of TataSteel Chess 2013 ♔<WinKing>, <Aurora>♔ and <Penguincw> ♔!!! <jussu>♕♖ and <moronovich>* ♕! Bronze goes to <chessmoron>♖, <wordfunph>♖ and <SloVice>♖! *although there is no set of medals awarded in the Square ranker because of the same winner <WinKing> (Double Crown!) I decide to award a medal to the person, <moronovich>, who has won second place and otherwise got no medal in the other rankers. This is new and has to be counted back for passed tournaments also. This may take some while when I will sum up the non-gold medal winners

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: Thanks for your participation, enthusiasm or just for watching. Next contest will be, and I get this from <YouRang>'s forum: < possibly ....... The Candiates Tournament for the World Championship 2013 in London. About the World Chess Championship Candidates tournament: March 14-April 1, 2013 -- 8 player double round robin (14 rounds). Players: •Levon Aronian (ARM) •Magnus Carlsen (NOR) •Boris Gelfand (ISR) •Alexander Grischuk (RUS) •Vassily Ivanchuk (UKR) •Vladimir Kramnik (RUS) •Teimour Radjabov (AZE) •Peter Svidler (RUS) >

Jan-27-13		WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you for hosting and tallying up the totals! Good fun, as always.

Jan-27-13		Penguincw: Awesome! Congratz to the winners, thanks for hosting, and I'll see you in one and a half month. :)

Jan-28-13		lostemperor: Well in case you may want to give it a shot already, the forum is open for the CANDIDATES tournament 2013 predictions: 1. Aronian 2. Carlsen 3. Gelfand 4. Grischuk 5. Ivanchuk 6. Kramnik 7. Radjabov 8. Svidler

Jan-28-13		moronovich: <lostemperor> Thanks for running the contest (and the special medal ;).It was fun and I am looking forward to the candidates and will cheer for Magnus ! Till then : all the best.

Jan-28-13		WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting & running yet another exciting contest. Congratulations to all the medal winners! Winning medals here is no easy task. I feel Caissa was kind to me this time around in bestowing me with a gold. Thanks for the congrats <YouRang>. Is it true you have won 5! gold here? That's truly amazing.

Jan-28-13		WinKing: I have updated the lists for all Hall of Famers(Gold medalists) in all three contests. Check my forum for details.

Jan-28-13		cromat: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting and Congrats to the winners

Jan-29-13		Robin01: Thanks for hosting this.

Jan-31-13		Golden Executive: Better late than never, thanks <LE> for hosting and congratulations to all the winners!

Feb-07-13		King Sacrificer: I would already like to submit my predictions for Candidates. 1. Radjabov 1. Carlsen 3. Kramnik 3. Grischuk 5. Gelfand 5. Aronian 7. Svidler 7. Ivanchuk

Feb-20-13		solskytz: And here are my predictions 1. Carlsen 2. Kramnik 3. Aronian 4. Ivanchuk 5. Radjabov 6. Grischuk 7. Gelfand 8. Svidler

Feb-20-13		Jim Bartle: I predict a really, really good player is going to come in last.

Feb-20-13		WannaBe: Really, <Jim Bartle>, do you have to point me out?! =))

Feb-20-13		Jim Bartle: I thought it was really profound.

Feb-20-13		abhishikt: 1. Magnus Carlsen 2. Vasily Ivanchuk 3. Vladimir Kramnik 3. Levon Aronian 5. Boris Gelfand 6. Teimour Radjabov 7. Peter Svidler 8. Alexander Grischuk

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