User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 128 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-22-13		OhioChessFan: Of course Large Payoff Pairs is most important.

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: <WinKing> In basic I like new ideas like yours and I posted a short comment at your forum:)

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: <round 10 update < Round 10 - Wednesday the 23rd van Wely, L. - Giri, A. ½-½ Caruana, F. - Nakamura, H. 0-1 Aronian, L. - Wang, H. 1-0 Carlsen, M. - L'Ami, E. 1-0 Harikrishna, P. - Hou, Y. 0-1 Anand, V. - Karjakin, S. ½-½ Sokolov, I. - Leko, P. 0-1 < standings: 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 2. Aronian 2. Nakamura 5. Karjakin 5. Leko 7. Harikrishna 7. Van Wely 9. Caruana 10. Wang Hao 10. Giri 12. Hou YiFan 13. L'ami 14. Sokolov>>>

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: Absolute Ranker Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 76,WinKing 72,moronovich 70,chessmoron 70,WannaBe 70,wordfunph ~~~~~~ 69,lostemperor 68,Aurora 68,cromat 67,Jim Bartle 67,SloVice 66,Beholder 66,Karposian 66,rogge 65,Golden Executive 64,jussu 64,NakoSonorense 64,OhioChessFan 64,Penguincw 64,Robin01 63,Diademas 62,SwitchingQuylthulg 61,blade2012 59,MarshKnight 59,wtwz 58,dumbgai 58,King Sacrificer 57,Ibelox 54,YouRang 51,orcafan

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: Square ranker Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 859,WinKing 843,moronovich 832,wordfunph ~~~~ 831,chessmoron 818,Aurora 814,Jim Bartle 808,lostemperor 805,Beholder 804,WannaBe 800,rogge 800,SloVice 797,Golden Executive 796,cromat 795,Karposian 789,Diademas 789,Robin01 783,NakoSonorense 780,OhioChessFan 767,jussu 760,SwitchingQuylthulg 758,wtwz 757,Penguincw 755,blade2012 753,dumbgai 747,MarshKnight 741,Ibelox 719,King Sacrificer 702,YouRang 634,orcafan

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: Earnings,UserID $38.86,Penguincw $23.29,Robin01 $20.72,WinKing ~~~~ $19.34,Jim Bartle $14.97,rogge $8.61,chessmoron $5.17,jussu $4.95,moronovich $3.42,wordfunph $2.59,Golden Executive $0.41,OhioChessFan $-0.29,Diademas $-1.28,Aurora $-1.69,NakoSonorense $-2.42,SloVice $-2.73,cromat $-2.99,Beholder $-5.35,dumbgai $-5.65,King Sacrificer $-6.74,WannaBe $-7.25,MarshKnight $-7.71,lostemperor $-8.15,orcafan $-10.55,wtwz $-12.22,Ibelox $-12.95,Karposian $-14.38,blade2012 $-15.62,YouRang $-24.38,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, rogge $29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu $14.50,Van Wely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe $9.67,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, Diademas + WinKing + wtwz $9.67,Hou YiFan-above-Sokolov, King Sacrificer + orcafan + Robin01 $9.67,Karjakin-equal-Leko, Jim Bartle + jussu + NakoSonorense $9.67,L'ami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: <WinKing> still holding the initiative at the Absolute and Square ranker. <Penguincw> back at the top the in the Pair Betting ranker with the final 3 rounds to go!

Jan-23-13		lostemperor: PREDICTION STATICTICS Total deviations per player (absolute): Deviation,Player 160,Caruana 113,Wang Hao 106,Van Wely 89,Anand 86,Harikrishna 68,Sokolov 67,Leko 66,Giri 50,Nakamura 49,Karjakin 47,Hou YiFan 34,Aronian 25,L'ami 23,Carlsen

Jan-24-13		lostemperor: <WinKing> this morning I thought about your idea you posted and come with an idea of a rating system I posted on your forum! I know I need to get a life<;)

Jan-24-13		WinKing: Thanks for weighing in at my forum <lostemperor>. Hopefully we can get more members involved in the discussions.

Jan-24-13		NakoSonorense: Revised predictions for Tata 2013: 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 2. Aronian 2. Nakamura 5. Karjakin 5. Leko 7. Harikrishna 7. Van Wely 9. Caruana 10. Wang Hao 10. Giri 12. Hou YiFan 13. L'ami 14. Sokolov>>>

Jan-24-13		NakoSonorense: Whattaya mean it doesn't work like that?

Jan-24-13		Penguincw: < <Penguincw> back at the top the in the Pair Betting ranker with the final 3 rounds to go! > Awesome! If only I can hang on for my first medal in this contest.

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: <ROUND 11 UPDATE< Round 11 - Friday the 25th Leko, P. - van Wely, L. 1-0 Karjakin, S. - Sokolov, I. 1-0 Hou, Y. - Anand, V. ½-½ L'Ami, E. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½ Wang, H. - Carlsen, M. ½-½ Nakamura, H. - Aronian, L. 0-1 Giri, A. - Caruana, F. 1-0 < standings: 1. Carlsen 2. Aronian 3. Anand 4. Nakamura 4. Leko 4. Karjakin 7. Harikrishna 8. Van Wely 8. Giri 10. Wang Hao 10. Caruana 12. Hou YiFan 13. L'ami 14. Sokolov>>>

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: PREDICTIN STANDINGS AFTER 11 ROUNDS Absolute Ranker Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 73,WinKing 73,wordfunph 72,chessmoron ~~~~ 70,Aurora 70,lostemperor 69,Golden Executive 69,moronovich 69,SloVice 68,jussu 67,Jim Bartle 67,Karposian 67,WannaBe 66,cromat 65,Robin01 65,SwitchingQuylthulg 64,Beholder 64,Diademas 63,blade2012 63,NakoSonorense 63,rogge 61,Penguincw 61,wtwz 60,dumbgai 59,OhioChessFan 58,King Sacrificer 58,MarshKnight 56,Ibelox 55,YouRang 44,orcafan

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: Square Ranker 11 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 848,WinKing 828,moronovich 824,chessmoron ~~~~ 823,wordfunph 811,Aurora 806,Beholder 794,lostemperor 793,Jim Bartle 786,Robin01 784,Golden Executive 780,Karposian 780,SloVice 779,WannaBe 778,Diademas 775,cromat 774,NakoSonorense 774,rogge 770,jussu 756,dumbgai 754,blade2012 753,Penguincw 751,OhioChessFan 750,SwitchingQuylthulg 745,wtwz 729,Ibelox 720,MarshKnight 696,King Sacrificer 693,YouRang 583,orcafan

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker 11 Earnings,UserID $41.35,Beholder $38.43,Penguincw $19.54,jussu ~~~~ $17.87,chessmoron $17.70,Jim Bartle $16.34,WinKing $15.35,WannaBe $12.81,SloVice $12.62,Robin01 $5.12,NakoSonorense $4.16,moronovich $-2.81,OhioChessFan $-4.14,blade2012 $-4.42,cromat $-6.36,YouRang $-7.13,wordfunph $-7.32,Aurora $-8.53,Karposian $-9.28,King Sacrificer $-9.41,lostemperor $-10.42,MarshKnight $-11.28,Ibelox $-11.52,Diademas $-12.11,Golden Executive $-12.25,rogge $-16.02,dumbgai $-19.95,SwitchingQuylthulg $-20.54,wtwz $-27.80,orcafan

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Beholder $29.00,Giri-equal-Van Wely, SloVice $29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw $29.00,Leko-equal-Nakamura, WannaBe $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu $9.67,Hou YiFan-above-Sokolov, King Sacrificer + orcafan + Robin01 $9.67,Karjakin-equal-Leko, Jim Bartle + jussu + NakoSonorense $9.67,L'ami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: <WinKing> is getting company from <wordfunph> at the top of the Absolute ranker, while holding himself at the Square ranker. <Beholder> edges <Penguincw> at the Pair Bettings. It is a tense finish where all medal positions are still up for grasp!

Jan-26-13		lostemperor: <ROUND 12 NO UPDATE <Round 12 - Saturday the 26th van Wely, L. - Caruana, F. 1-0 Aronian, L. - Giri, A. ½-½ Carlsen, M. - Nakamura, H. 1-0 Harikrishna, P. - Wang, H. ½-½ Anand, V. - L'Ami, E. 1-0 Sokolov, I. - Hou, Y. 0-1 Leko, P. - Karjakin, S. ½< Magnus Carlsen 9.5/12 (+7 -0 =5) Viswanathan Anand 8/12 (+4 -0 =8) Levon Aronian 8/12 (+5 -1 =6) Sergey Karjakin 7/12 (+3 -1 =8) Peter Leko 7/12 (+3 -1 =8) Hikaru Nakamura 6.5/12 (+3 -2 =7) Pentala Harikrishna 6/12 (+2 -2 =8) Loek Van Wely 6/12 (+4 -4 =4) Anish Giri 5.5/12 (+1 -2 =9) Wang Hao 5/12 (+2 -4 =6) Yifan Hou 5/12 (+3 -5 =4) Fabiano Caruana 4.5/12 (+2 -5 =5) Erwin L'Ami 3.5/12 (+0 -5 =7) Ivan Sokolov 2.5/12 (+0 -7 =5) >>> I will refrain from posting a Round 12 update to keep things in suspense just in case it will be all or a lot of draws tomorrow. Till after the Final Round!

Jan-26-13		Jim Bartle: That's OK. I'm out of contention anyway. I staked everything on Anand winning, the only person to do so, and he's fallen off the pace. At least I'm doing better than orcafan, who pulled off the difficult "maximum error": his pick for last place ended up clear first.

Jan-26-13		WannaBe: Wow, I am sucking, here!!

Jan-26-13		Penguincw: < I will refrain from posting a Round 12 update > Well, it's worth the wait. :)

Jan-27-13		lostemperor: I will attend some kind of choir concert this evening also and may not be back untill Monday:)

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