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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 127 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS

Absolute ranker

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
71,WannaBe
68,WinKing
67,Aurora
67,Beholder
67,Diademas
67,SloVice
67,wordfunph
66,moronovich
66,wtwz
64,Jim Bartle
64,Robin01
64,rogge
63,blade2012
63,chessmoron
63,Ibelox
62,cromat
62,Golden Executive
62,Karposian
62,lostemperor
61,dumbgai
61,MarshKnight
61,SwitchingQuylthulg
60,OhioChessFan
58,NakoSonorense
54,jussu
54,King Sacrificer
53,Penguincw
49,YouRang
48,orcafan

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Suare Ranker

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
829,WinKing
811,moronovich
798,Aurora
783,chessmoron
782,rogge
782,wordfunph
780,WannaBe
772,Jim Bartle
769,Beholder
768,Robin01
767,SloVice
766,Ibelox
765,lostemperor
764,Diademas
764,OhioChessFan
758,cromat
758,Karposian
758,wtwz
749,Golden Executive
748,SwitchingQuylthulg
745,NakoSonorense
743,dumbgai
741,MarshKnight
734,blade2012
723,Penguincw
717,jussu
683,King Sacrificer
662,YouRang
596,orcafan

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker

Earnings,UserID
$90.26,WannaBe
$41.17,Penguincw
$28.87,OhioChessFan
$19.76,WinKing
$11.33,Jim Bartle
$9.31,SloVice
$8.61,Ibelox
$8.27,orcafan
$8.09,Robin01
$0.10,blade2012
$-0.84,Diademas
$-1.04,Beholder
$-5.31,moronovich
$-5.49,wtwz
$-7.15,Aurora
$-7.94,NakoSonorense
$-10.37,jussu
$-11.16,MarshKnight
$-12.44,rogge
$-12.49,wordfunph
$-13.73,chessmoron
$-13.77,dumbgai
$-14.47,Karposian
$-14.77,lostemperor
$-15.02,cromat
$-16.71,King Sacrificer
$-17.47,Golden Executive
$-18.75,YouRang
$-26.86,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$29.00,Giri-equal-Hou, WannaBe

$29.00,Harikrishna-above-Leko, OhioChessFan

$29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle

$14.50,Giri-equal-Lami, orcafan + WannaBe

$14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw

$14.50,Hou-equal-Lami, NakoSonorense + WannaBe

$14.50,VanWely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe

$14.50,VanWely-equal-Wang, SloVice + WannaBe

$14.50,Wang-above-Caruana, Ibelox + Penguincw

$9.67,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, Diademas + WinKing + wtwz

$9.67,Hou-above-Sokolov, King Sacrificer + orcafan + Robin01

$9.67,Lami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

$9.67,Leko-equal-VanWely, orcafan + SloVice + WannaBe

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Today new round (7) new chances. Probably no coincidence <WannaBe> is leading the betting rankers here and in YouRang chessforum <;)
Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 7 UPDATE<

Saturday the 19th
Anand, V. - van Wely, L. 1-0
Sokolov, I. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½
Leko, P. - Carlsen, M. ½-½
Karjakin, S. - Aronian, L. ½-½
Hou, Y. - Caruana, F. ½-½
L'Ami, E. - Giri, A. ½-½
Wang, H. - Nakamura, H. 0-1
<

standings:
1. Carlsen
1. Anand
3. Karjakin
3. Nakamura
5. Aronian
5. Harikrishna
7. Leko
8. Caruana
8. Van Wely
8. Wang Hao
11. Giri
11. Lami
11. Hou YiFan
14. Sokolov>
>
>

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 7

Absolute Ranker

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
71,WinKing
69,moronovich
68,WannaBe
67,chessmoron
67,Jim Bartle
67,rogge
67,wordfunph
66,Aurora
66,Beholder
65,Diademas
65,SloVice
64,lostemperor
63,MarshKnight
62,cromat
62,Ibelox
62,Karposian
62,OhioChessFan
62,Robin01
62,wtwz
61,blade2012
61,Golden Executive
60,NakoSonorense
59,SwitchingQuylthulg
57,dumbgai
57,jussu
57,Penguincw
54,King Sacrificer
51,YouRang
49,orcafan

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
842,WinKing
821,moronovich
805,Aurora
801,Jim Bartle
799,rogge
798,chessmoron
794,wordfunph
785,OhioChessFan
782,WannaBe
779,cromat
779,lostemperor
777,Beholder
775,SloVice
774,Karposian
773,Diademas
769,Robin01
766,Golden Executive
766,Ibelox
766,NakoSonorense
758,wtwz
750,MarshKnight
749,SwitchingQuylthulg
745,Penguincw
741,blade2012
740,jussu
735,dumbgai
691,King Sacrificer
684,YouRang
616,orcafan

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker

Earnings,UserID
$70.68,WannaBe
$34.63,Penguincw
$29.22,OhioChessFan
$17.21,Jim Bartle
$12.54,Beholder
$11.48,WinKing
$6.23,Robin01
$6.16,NakoSonorense
$5.05,moronovich
$5.04,chessmoron
$3.74,orcafan
$2.89,blade2012
$-2.56,jussu
$-2.75,MarshKnight
$-3.61,Ibelox
$-5.45,SloVice
$-6.10,rogge
$-8.17,cromat
$-11.07,Aurora
$-12.28,Karposian
$-14.43,Diademas
$-15.13,wordfunph
$-15.63,dumbgai
$-15.66,King Sacrificer
$-15.79,lostemperor
$-16.55,YouRang
$-17.01,wtwz
$-20.10,Golden Executive
$-22.59,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$29.00,Giri-equal-Hou YiFan, WannaBe

$29.00,Harikrishna-above-Leko, OhioChessFan

$29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle

$14.50,Giri-equal-Lami, orcafan + WannaBe

$14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw

$14.50,Hou YiFan-equal-Lami, NakoSonorense + WannaBe

$14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu

$14.50,Van Wely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe

$14.50,Van Wely-equal-Wang Hao, SloVice + WannaBe

$9.67,Hou YiFan-above-Sokolov, King Sacrificer + orcafan + Robin01

$9.67,Lami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 8 UPDATE<

Round 8 - Sunday the 20th
van Wely, L. - Nakamura, H. ½-½
Giri, A. - Wang, H. ½-½
Caruana, F. - L'Ami, E. 1-0
Aronian, L. - Hou, Y. 1-0
Carlsen, M. - Karjakin, S. 1-0
Harikrishna, P. - Leko, P. ½-½
Anand, V. - Sokolov, I. ½-½

<
Actual standings:
1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Aronian
3. Nakamura
5. Karjakin
5. Harikrishna
7. Leko
7. Caruana
9. Van Wely
9. Wang Hao
11. Giri
12. L'ami
12. Sokolov
12. Hou YiFan>
>
>

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICITON STANDINGS

Absolute Ranker 8

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
79,WinKing
75,moronovich
74,chessmoron
74,Jim Bartle
73,Aurora
73,cromat
73,wordfunph
71,Karposian
71,lostemperor
71,SloVice
70,Beholder
70,Golden Executive
70,WannaBe
69,Diademas
69,OhioChessFan
69,rogge
67,blade2012
67,SwitchingQuylthulg
66,NakoSonorense
65,jussu
65,MarshKnight
65,Robin01
65,wtwz
64,dumbgai
64,Penguincw
63,Ibelox
61,King Sacrificer
58,YouRang
50,orcafan

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker 8

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
869,WinKing
842,Aurora
841,moronovich
840,chessmoron
839,Jim Bartle
832,wordfunph
828,cromat
826,OhioChessFan
822,lostemperor
820,Karposian
817,NakoSonorense
816,Golden Executive
816,rogge
811,SloVice
807,WannaBe
804,Diademas
797,Beholder
794,SwitchingQuylthulg
791,jussu
789,Robin01
785,Penguincw
782,wtwz
781,blade2012
775,Ibelox
769,MarshKnight
767,dumbgai
732,YouRang
725,King Sacrificer
621,orcafan

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker 8

Earnings,UserID
$46.77,NakoSonorense
$41.17,WannaBe
$32.04,OhioChessFan
$29.27,WinKing
$23.06,Jim Bartle
$11.29,Penguincw
$7.42,moronovich
$5.88,chessmoron
$5.34,blade2012
$4.64,Beholder
$1.50,jussu
$-1.21,cromat
$-1.58,lostemperor
$-1.63,Diademas
$-3.00,SloVice
$-4.20,wtwz
$-7.01,Aurora
$-7.04,wordfunph
$-10.65,Robin01
$-10.70,Ibelox
$-11.44,Karposian
$-15.16,rogge
$-16.03,orcafan
$-16.92,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-17.32,dumbgai
$-18.37,King Sacrificer
$-19.26,Golden Executive
$-21.47,MarshKnight
$-25.38,YouRang

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$29.00,Harikrishna-above-Leko, OhioChessFan

$29.00,Harikrishna-equal-Karjakin, NakoSonorense

$14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle

$14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw

$14.50,Hou YiFan-equal-L'ami, NakoSonorense + WannaBe

$14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu

$14.50,Van Wely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe

$14.50,Van Wely-equal-Wang Hao, SloVice + WannaBe

$9.67,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, Diademas + WinKing + wtwz

$9.67,Caruana-equal-Leko, Beholder + moronovich + WinKing

Jan-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: After 8 rounds and exciting games <WinKing> is leading the Absolute and Square Rankers. <NakoSonorense> is holding the most bucks for the restday:)
Jan-20-13  NakoSonorense: Can I just take the cookie jar now and run?
Jan-21-13  WinKing: To <chessmoron>/<OhioChessFan>, <lostemperor>, & <YouRang>,

I have been working for some time on a way to get more members to play your games(all of them). In my forum is an experimental idea that may encourage them to try all of the games. All of you have a list of HOF'ers & I think all members that play your games like it (I know I do). My idea tries to tie all three of your contests together by offering titles just as there are in the game of chess. The only way to get these titles (GM, IM & M) is to participate in all of the contests. Like I said this idea is experimental & could be changed around or scrapped entirely. I would like feedback from all of you to see what you think. I would do all the bookkeeping & keep it up to date.

I would also like feedback from any player/members. If you don't like it don't be afraid to say so. I have thick skin. ;)

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I will have a look at it <WinKing> and get back on it.
Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 9 UpDATE<

Round 9 - Tuesday the 22nd
Sokolov, I. - van Wely, L. 0-1
Leko, P. - Anand, V. ½-½
Karjakin, S. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½
Hou, Y. - Carlsen, M. 0-1
L'Ami, E. - Aronian, L. ½-½
Wang, H. - Caruana, F. ½-½
Nakamura, H. - Giri, A. ½-½

<
standings:
1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Aronian
3. Nakamura
5. Karjakin
5. Harikrishna
7. Leko
7. Caruana
7. Van Wely
10. Wang Hao
11. Giri
12. L'ami
13. Sokolov
13. Hou YiFan>
>
>

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 9

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
74,WinKing
70,cromat
70,moronovich
70,SloVice
70,WannaBe
69,Aurora
69,Beholder
69,chessmoron
69,Jim Bartle
69,wordfunph
68,OhioChessFan
67,Diademas
67,Karposian
66,Golden Executive
66,lostemperor
66,SwitchingQuylthulg
65,blade2012
64,NakoSonorense
64,rogge
63,MarshKnight
63,wtwz
62,Ibelox
62,jussu
62,Penguincw
62,Robin01
61,dumbgai
58,YouRang
56,King Sacrificer
50,orcafan

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
851,WinKing
825,Aurora
825,moronovich
822,chessmoron
820,Jim Bartle
818,wordfunph
808,cromat
806,OhioChessFan
804,SloVice
801,WannaBe
799,Karposian
799,lostemperor
797,Golden Executive
795,rogge
793,Diademas
793,NakoSonorense
789,Beholder
775,SwitchingQuylthulg
773,blade2012
773,Robin01
768,jussu
766,wtwz
762,Penguincw
754,MarshKnight
753,dumbgai
753,Ibelox
720,YouRang
698,King Sacrificer
608,orcafan

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair betting Ranker

Earnings,UserID
$33.69,OhioChessFan
$29.11,WinKing
$27.27,NakoSonorense
$22.90,Jim Bartle
$18.01,WannaBe
$12.95,Penguincw
$8.15,blade2012
$7.26,moronovich
$6.29,Beholder
$5.72,chessmoron
$3.15,jussu
$0.44,cromat
$-1.14,Robin01
$-1.74,lostemperor
$-4.81,Diademas
$-5.02,SloVice
$-5.36,Aurora
$-7.20,wordfunph
$-7.38,wtwz
$-9.05,Ibelox
$-9.79,Karposian
$-10.15,MarshKnight
$-10.20,orcafan
$-14.06,YouRang
$-15.32,rogge
$-15.67,dumbgai
$-18.53,King Sacrificer
$-19.42,Golden Executive
$-20.10,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$29.00,Harikrishna-above-Leko, OhioChessFan

$29.00,Harikrishna-equal-Karjakin, NakoSonorense

$14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle

$14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw

$14.50,Leko-above-Wang Hao, chessmoron + jussu

$14.50,Van Wely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe

$9.67,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, Diademas + WinKing + wtwz

$9.67,Caruana-equal-Leko, Beholder + moronovich + WinKing

$9.67,L'ami-above-Sokolov, MarshKnight + Robin01 + YouRang

$9.67,Leko-equal-Van Wely, orcafan + SloVice + WannaBe

Jan-22-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Got a tie for second in the Standard Ranker (The one that I care about the most) and not in the running in the others...

Typical, sounds about right.

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