User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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♙♙

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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 126 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-12-13		moronovich: 1.Carlsen 2.Nakamura 3.Karjakin,Aronian 5.Anand,Leko,Wang Hao,Caruana 9.Giri. 10.Harikrishna,Van Wely 12.Sokolov 13.Hou Yifan 14.Lámi

Jan-12-13		Penguincw: Games started over an hour ago.

Jan-12-13		lostemperor: Thank you:)

Jan-12-13		lostemperor: Im out for the weekend. There will be a first prediction standings update Monday!:)

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS STANDINGS <ROUND 1 & 2: < 1. Harikrishna 1. Karjakin 3. Aronian 3. Carlsen 3. Anand 3. Nakamura 3. Wang 3. Leko 3. Lami 3. Caruana 3. Van 3. Sokolov 13. Giri 13. Hou>>>

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS ROUND 1 & 2 Absolute Ranker: Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 53,WannaBe 51,Ibelox 50,Aurora 49,rogge 49,wtwz 48,Beholder 48,dumbgai 48,MarshKnight 48,moronovich 48,SloVice 47,Diademas 47,Karposian 47,WinKing 45,SwitchingQuylthulg 44,chessmoron 44,OhioChessFan 44,orcafan 43,blade2012 43,cromat 43,Golden Executive 43,jussu 43,lostemperor 43,YouRang 42,Penguincw 42,wordfunph 41,Jim Bartle 40,Robin01 37,NakoSonorense 36,King Sacrificer

Jan-14-13		OhioChessFan: <Score,UserID 53,WannaBe > In related news, hell froze over.

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: Three decisive games in Round 3 <ROUND 3 <TATA STEEL STANDINGS< 1. Karjakin 2. Anand 2. Harikrishna 2. Carlsen 5. Aronian 5. Nakamura 5. Lami 5. Leko 5. Sokolov 10. Caruana 10. Van Wely 10. Wang 10. Giri 10. Hou>>>

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 3 Absolute Ranker: Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 50,WinKing 49,Aurora 48,Ibelox 48,jussu 48,WannaBe 47,Beholder 47,chessmoron 47,rogge 46,Karposian 46,YouRang 45,Jim Bartle 45,moronovich 44,cromat 44,Diademas 44,Golden Executive 44,lostemperor 44,wordfunph 43,OhioChessFan 43,SloVice 43,wtwz 42,MarshKnight 41,blade2012 41,dumbgai 41,NakoSonorense 41,Penguincw 41,SwitchingQuylthulg 39,Robin01 34,King Sacrificer 25,orcafan

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Earnings,UserID $53.26,WannaBe $50.06,YouRang $32.05,Penguincw $28.29,OhioChessFan $26.66,orcafan $25.81,SloVice $11.74,WinKing $6.71,rogge $4.46,SwitchingQuylthulg $1.85,Beholder $0.44,jussu $-0.02,Ibelox $-0.06,Jim Bartle $-3.48,Diademas $-4.37,chessmoron $-7.66,wtwz $-7.96,NakoSonorense $-8.06,blade2012 $-8.95,moronovich $-12.71,Robin01 $-13.37,dumbgai $-13.98,lostemperor $-14.15,Aurora $-17.86,Karposian $-17.94,cromat $-23.74,wordfunph $-25.32,Golden Executive $-26.45,MarshKnight $-35.25,King Sacrificer

Jan-14-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Anand-equal-Harikrishna, SwitchingQuylthulg $29.00,Aronian-equal-Leko, rogge $29.00,Carlsen-equal-Harikrishna, orcafan $29.00,Giri-equal-Hou, WannaBe $29.00,Giri-equal-Van, SloVice $29.00,Harikrishna-above-Leko, OhioChessFan $29.00,Karjakin-above-Carlsen, orcafan $29.00,Lami-above-Wang, YouRang $29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw $29.00,Leko-equal-Nakamura, WannaBe $29.00,Leko-equal-Sokolov, YouRang $14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Leko-above-Wang, chessmoron + jussu $14.50,Van-equal-Wang, SloVice + WannaBe

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: <ROUND 3 UPDATE< Round 4 - Tuesday the 15th van Wely, L. - L'Ami, E. 1-0 Wang, H. - Hou, Y. 1-0 Nakamura, H. - Karjakin, S. ½-½ Giri, A. - Leko, P. ½-½ Caruana, F. - Sokolov, I. 1-0 Aronian, L. - Anand, V. 0-1 Carlsen, M. - Harikrishna, P. 1-0 < Actual standings: 1. Carlsen 1. Anand 1. Karjakin 4. Harikrishna 4. VanWely 4. Nakamura 4. Wang 4. Leko 4. Caruana 10. Sokolov 10. Aronian 10. Lami 10. Giri 14. Hou>>>

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 4 Absolute Ranker Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 66,WannaBe 65,Aurora 65,rogge 64,Ibelox 64,moronovich 64,WinKing 63,Jim Bartle 63,SloVice 62,blade2012 62,wtwz 61,dumbgai 60,Diademas 60,MarshKnight 59,Beholder 59,cromat 59,Karposian 59,OhioChessFan 58,chessmoron 58,SwitchingQuylthulg 58,wordfunph 57,Golden Executive 57,jussu 56,lostemperor 54,Penguincw 53,NakoSonorense 52,Robin01 49,King Sacrificer 45,YouRang 44,orcafan

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: Square Ranker 4 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 792,rogge 770,Ibelox 763,Jim Bartle 762,MarshKnight 761,SloVice 761,WannaBe 761,wtwz 757,moronovich 754,WinKing 753,Diademas 752,Aurora 752,blade2012 732,cromat 728,Beholder 728,Karposian 726,OhioChessFan 725,dumbgai 723,chessmoron 720,wordfunph 715,Golden Executive 709,SwitchingQuylthulg 707,lostemperor 706,jussu 686,Robin01 675,King Sacrificer 650,NakoSonorense 646,Penguincw 639,YouRang 567,orcafan

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4 Earnings,UserID $123.81,WannaBe $33.10,blade2012 $20.47,Penguincw $15.14,jussu $13.02,orcafan $12.28,WinKing $12.14,Jim Bartle $9.03,Beholder $7.09,moronovich $6.68,SloVice $2.79,Ibelox $1.30,MarshKnight $-2.76,rogge $-3.77,OhioChessFan $-4.16,Diademas $-8.08,wtwz $-8.72,SwitchingQuylthulg $-8.90,dumbgai $-11.90,NakoSonorense $-13.72,wordfunph $-15.57,chessmoron $-16.84,Aurora $-19.58,cromat $-19.81,King Sacrificer $-20.00,Golden Executive $-21.21,Robin01 $-21.27,Karposian $-27.59,lostemperor $-32.98,YouRang

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, blade2012 $29.00,Caruana-equal-Harikrishna, Penguincw $29.00,Harikrishna-equal-Wang, jussu $29.00,Leko-equal-Nakamura, WannaBe $29.00,Nakamura-equal-VanWely, WannaBe $14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle $14.50,Giri-equal-Lami, orcafan + WannaBe $14.50,Giri-equal-Sokolov, orcafan + WannaBe $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Harikrishna-equal-Leko, NakoSonorense + SwitchingQuylthulg $14.50,VanWely-above-Giri, orcafan + WannaBe $14.50,VanWely-equal-Wang, SloVice + WannaBe

Jan-15-13		lostemperor: Tomorrow restday at a snowy Wijk aan Zee so let's get this party started, like it's 1699!!<WannaBe> is paying the drinks with his $123.81 in the in between Betting standing:)

Jan-15-13		Jim Bartle: It appears "square ranker 4" is clearly the best evaluation method. No question.

Jan-17-13		lostemperor: <ROUND 5 UPDATE< Round 5 - Thursday the 17th Harikrishna, P. - van Wely, L. 1-0 Anand, V. - Carlsen, M. ½-½ Sokolov, I. - Aronian, L. 0-1 Leko, P. - Caruana, F. 1-0 Karjakin, S. - Giri, A. ½-½ Hou, Y. - Nakamura, H. 0-1 L'Ami, E. - Wang, H. 0-1 < standings: 1. Carlsen 1. Anand 1. Karjakin 4. Harikrishna 4. Leko 4. Nakamura 4. Wang 8. Aronian 9. Caruana 9. Giri 9. VanWely 12. Lami 12. Sokolov 14. Hou>>>

Jan-17-13		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 5 Absolute Ranker: Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 69,rogge 69,wtwz 68,Aurora 68,Ibelox 68,moronovich 68,WinKing 67,Jim Bartle 65,Beholder 65,Diademas 65,dumbgai 65,MarshKnight 63,SloVice 63,SwitchingQuylthulg 62,cromat 62,Karposian 62,OhioChessFan 62,Penguincw 62,wordfunph 61,blade2012 61,chessmoron 60,Golden Executive 60,jussu 60,lostemperor 59,WannaBe 58,NakoSonorense 57,Robin01 55,King Sacrificer 46,YouRang 41,orcafan

Jan-17-13		lostemperor: Square Ranker 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 821,WinKing 810,moronovich 808,Ibelox 803,rogge 789,Aurora 782,Beholder 777,Jim Bartle 776,wtwz 770,chessmoron 764,Diademas 764,MarshKnight 763,OhioChessFan 759,wordfunph 757,cromat 757,Karposian 753,dumbgai 752,lostemperor 751,SloVice 749,Penguincw 746,SwitchingQuylthulg 743,blade2012 741,WannaBe 739,Golden Executive 738,Robin01 735,NakoSonorense 730,jussu 692,King Sacrificer 651,YouRang 567,orcafan

Jan-17-13		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5: Earnings,UserID $50.44,Penguincw $29.14,WannaBe $27.63,Ibelox $22.26,jussu $14.47,SloVice $13.19,Jim Bartle $10.84,WinKing $7.09,blade2012 $6.69,Beholder $6.57,OhioChessFan $2.34,MarshKnight $0.63,SwitchingQuylthulg $-0.42,moronovich $-0.96,wtwz $-3.12,Diademas $-3.67,NakoSonorense $-4.59,Aurora $-5.30,rogge $-5.62,dumbgai $-11.82,Robin01 $-11.92,Karposian $-12.46,cromat $-12.98,chessmoron $-13.07,wordfunph $-14.62,King Sacrificer $-15.34,lostemperor $-16.72,Golden Executive $-25.86,YouRang $-32.82,orcafan

Jan-17-13		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $29.00,Giri-equal-VanWely, SloVice $29.00,Harikrishna-equal-Wang, jussu $29.00,Leko-above-Caruana, Penguincw $29.00,Leko-equal-Nakamura, WannaBe $14.50,Anand-above-Aronian, blade2012 + Jim Bartle $14.50,Harikrishna-above-Giri, OhioChessFan + Penguincw $14.50,Harikrishna-equal-Leko, NakoSonorense + SwitchingQuylthulg $14.50,Wang-above-Caruana, Ibelox + Penguincw $9.67,Wang-above-Aronian, Ibelox + King Sacrificer + MarshKnight

Jan-17-13		Penguincw: < PAIR BETTING RANKER 5: Earnings,UserID $50.44,Penguincw $29.14,WannaBe $27.63,Ibelox > Alright!

Jan-19-13		lostemperor: <Round 6 Update< Friday the 18th van Wely, L. - Wang, H. 1-0 Nakamura, H. - L'Ami, E. ½-½ Giri, A. - Hou, Y. 0-1 Caruana, F. - Karjakin, S. ½-½ Aronian, L. - Leko, P. 1-0 Carlsen, M. - Sokolov, I. 1-0 Harikrishna, P. - Anand, V. ½-½ < standings: 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 2. Karjakin 4. Harikrishna 4. Aronian 4. Nakamura 7. Wang Hao 7. Leko 7. Van Wely 10. Caruana 10. Giri 10. Lami 10. Hou YiFan 14. Sokolov>>>

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