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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 150 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-21-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score,UserID

452,lostemperor
443,wtwz
422,Diademas
~~~~
415,chessmoron
404,Ibelox
401,FairyPromotion
399,wordfunph
398,moronovich
396,moulicules
395,WannaBe
388,WinKing
373,Golden Executive
370,ashishshukla299
362,SwitchingQuylthulg
350,Aurora
326,OhioChessFan
313,Karposian
283,Penguincw

Jan-21-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$35.59,lostemperor
$34.14,Diademas
$19.43,wtwz
~~~~
$18.58,wordfunph
$11.12,FairyPromotion
$5.99,Ibelox
$3.39,chessmoron
$-0.92,ashishshukla299
$-2.07,Karposian
$-6.57,WinKing
$-7.38,WannaBe
$-8.23,moronovich
$-10.24,moulicules
$-12.76,Aurora
$-14.61,OhioChessFan
$-17.59,Golden Executive
$-22.50,Penguincw
$-25.36,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-21-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Caruana-equal-Dominguez, Karposian

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Diademas

$18.00,Dominguez-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Dominguez-equal-Giri, wtwz

$18.00,Harikrishna-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Nakamura-equal-Rapport, FairyPromotion

$18.00,So-above-Gelfand, wordfunph

$9.00,So-above-Nakamura, ashishshukla299 + wordfunph

$9.00,Van-above-Naiditsch, chessmoron + Diademas

Jan-21-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Aronian holds the lead 0.5 point ahead of Karjakin and 1 point before three men, Caruana, Dominguez and Giri. In the prediction standings <wtwz> and your contest manager <lostemperor> took pole positions.

Three rounds, two restdays and a lot of fighting games to go!

Jan-22-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predictions' players' statictics:

Deviations per player:

Deviation,Player
134,Gelfand
116,Nakamura
84,Giri
70,Van Wely
52,Naiditsch
46,Karjakin
40,Rapport
40,Harikrishna
39,Dominguez
30,So
29,Caruana
17,Aronian

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 9 UPDATE

<The players moved south to Eindhoven for a day but the show must go on! <

Round 9 - Thursday the 23rd
Rapport, R. - Giri, A. ½-½
Nakamura, H. - Caruana, F. ½-½
Naiditsch, A. - Harikrishna, P. 0-1
So, W. - Van Wely, L. 1-0
Gelfand, B. - Dominguez, L. ½-½
Aronian, L. - Karjakin, S. 1-0

< standings:
1. Aronian
2. Giri
2. Caruana
2. Dominguez
2. Karjakin
6. Harikrishna
6. So
8. Van Wely
9. Rapport
9. Nakamura
11. Gelfand
12. Naiditsch>
>
>
>

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 9

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

43,lostemperor
42,Diademas
41,chessmoron
~~~~
40,wtwz
39,moulicules
36,moronovich
36,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,Ibelox
35,WannaBe
33,ashishshukla299
33,WinKing
32,Golden Executive
31,wordfunph
30,FairyPromotion
29,OhioChessFan
27,Aurora
27,Karposian
25,Penguincw

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 9

Score,UserID

457,lostemperor
439,wtwz
420,Diademas
~~~~~~
411,wordfunph
409,chessmoron
403,moulicules
398,FairyPromotion
398,moronovich
397,Ibelox
388,WinKing
385,WannaBe
378,ashishshukla299
376,Golden Executive
371,SwitchingQuylthulg
352,Aurora
332,OhioChessFan
325,Karposian
289,Penguincw

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 9

Earnings,UserID

$34.62,lostemperor
$27.17,Diademas
$19.23,chessmoron
~~~~~~
$17.62,wordfunph
$12.47,wtwz
$10.16,FairyPromotion
$-1.75,Karposian
$-1.88,ashishshukla299
$-2.09,Ibelox
$-8.73,WinKing
$-9.19,moronovich
$-10.66,WannaBe
$-11.20,moulicules
$-13.18,Penguincw
$-13.72,Aurora
$-14.28,OhioChessFan
$-16.04,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-18.55,Golden Executive

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Caruana-equal-Dominguez, Karposian

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Diademas

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin, chessmoron

$18.00,Dominguez-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Dominguez-equal-Giri, wtwz

$18.00,Harikrishna-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Nakamura-equal-Rapport, FairyPromotion

$18.00,Sow-above-Gelfand, wordfunph

$9.00,Dominguez-equal-Karjakin, Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg

$9.00,So-above-Nakamura, ashishshukla299 + wordfunph

$9.00,Van Wely-above-Naiditsch, chessmoron + Diademas

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Your humble servant here at the prediction game is leading in the three rankers what is rare, if not the first time, and I was surprised to see this today.

Two more rounds will set the record straight!

Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: There must be a bug in the calculating software somewhere..
Jan-24-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: if(username == lostemperor)
total = total + 100000;
Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <;)
Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 10 UPDATE<

Black is also O.K. and score 5 out of 6!<

Round 10 - Saturday the 25th
Giri, A. - Karjakin, S. ½-½
Dominguez, L. - Aronian, L. 0-1
Van Wely, L. - Gelfand, B. 0-1
Harikrishna, P. - So, W. ½-½
Caruana, F. - Naiditsch, A. 0-1
Rapport, R. - Nakamura, H. 0-1

<standings:
1. Aronian 8
2. Karjakin 6
2. Giri 6
4. Dominguez 5½
4. Caruana 5½
4. Harikrishna 5½
4. So 5½
8. Nakamura 4½
9. Van Wely 4
10. Rapport 3½
10. Gelfand 3½
12. Naiditsch 2½>
>
>
>

Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS 10

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72

Score,UserID

45,Diademas
43,lostemperor
43,wtwz
~~~~~~
40,chessmoron
39,moulicules
36,moronovich
36,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,ashishshukla299
35,Ibelox
33,WannaBe
33,WinKing
33,wordfunph
32,Golden Executive
30,FairyPromotion
29,OhioChessFan
28,Penguincw
27,Karposian
25,Aurora

Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 10

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

Score,UserID

463,wtwz
461,lostemperor
441,Diademas
~~~~~~
425,chessmoron
424,wordfunph
418,moulicules
408,moronovich
398,Ibelox
397,WinKing
391,ashishshukla299
389,Golden Executive
382,FairyPromotion
379,SwitchingQuylthulg
369,WannaBe
345,OhioChessFan
339,Aurora
317,Karposian
299,Penguincw

Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$36.84,wordfunph
$34.21,lostemperor
$14.76,Diademas
~~~~~~
$8.69,FairyPromotion
$6.05,chessmoron
$5.76,moronovich
$5.29,wtwz
$3.49,Ibelox
$-0.66,ashishshukla299
$-3.45,Karposian
$-9.15,WinKing
$-11.08,WannaBe
$-11.38,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-11.61,moulicules
$-13.73,Golden Executive
$-14.14,Aurora
$-15.98,OhioChessFan
$-23.88,Penguincw

Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$18.00,Caruana-equal-Dominguez, Karposian

$18.00,Dominguez-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Gelfand-equal-Rapport, FairyPromotion

$18.00,Giri-above-Dominguez, wordfunph

$18.00,Harikrishna-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,So-above-Gelfand, wordfunph

~~~~~~

$9.00,Dominguez-equal-Harikrishna, moronovich + SwitchingQuylthulg

$9.00,So-above-Nakamura, ashishshukla299 + wordfunph

$9.00,Van Wely-above-Naiditsch, chessmoron + Diademas

Jan-25-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Some players were setting the record straight in Wijk aan Zee as somewhat reflected here also. As it turned out there may not be a bug in the calculation software (;>

Three leaders in the different rankings! One round to go..

Jan-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <FINAL UPDATE TATA STEEL CHESS 2014<

Three more wins in an interesting tournament. A clear win for Levon Aronian inspite a last round loss against Van Wely!<

Round 11 - Sunday the 26th
Nakamura, H. - Giri, A. ½-½
Naiditsch, A. - Rapport, R. 1-0
So, W. - Caruana, F. ½-½
Gelfand, B. - Harikrishna, P. 1-0
Aronian, L. - Van Wely, L. 0-1
Karjakin, S. - Dominguez, L. ½-½<

standings:
1. Aronian
2. Karjakin
2. Giri
4. Dominguez
4. Caruana
4. So
7. Harikrishna
8. Van Wely
8. Nakamura
10. Gelfand
11. Rapport
11. Naiditsch>
>
>
>

Jan-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS 2014

ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72

Score,UserID

♔45,wtwz
♕44,Diademas
♕44,lostemperor
~~~~~~
43,chessmoron
39,moulicules
38,moronovich
37,ashishshukla299
36,WannaBe
36,wordfunph
35,Ibelox
35,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,WinKing
34,Golden Executive
32,OhioChessFan
30,FairyPromotion
28,Karposian
28,Penguincw
25,Aurora

Jan-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

Score,UserID

471,wtwz
461,lostemperor
444,Diademas
~~~~~~
443,wordfunph
437,chessmoron
416,moulicules
413,moronovich
412,WinKing
411,ashishshukla299
400,Golden Executive
391,Ibelox
391,WannaBe
381,SwitchingQuylthulg
379,FairyPromotion
361,OhioChessFan
351,Aurora
320,Karposian
309,Penguincw

Jan-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKINGS FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$41.27,wordfunph
♕$36.39,lostemperor
♖$10.48,chessmoron
~~~~~~
$9.87,Diademas
$9.72,wtwz
$3.77,ashishshukla299
$1.17,Ibelox
$-0.43,moulicules
$-3.52,Karposian
$-4.72,WinKing
$-4.76,moronovich
$-9.30,Golden Executive
$-11.47,WannaBe
$-11.55,OhioChessFan
$-12.89,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-14.53,Aurora
$-15.26,FairyPromotion
$-24.27,Penguincw

Jan-26-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Dominguez, Karposian

$18.00,Dominguez-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,Giri-above-Dominguez, wordfunph

$18.00,Harikrishna-above-Gelfand, lostemperor

$18.00,So-above-Gelfand, wordfunph

~~~~~~

$9.00,Naiditsch-equal-Rapport, moulicules + SwitchingQuylthulg

$9.00,So-above-Nakamura, ashishshukla299 + wordfunph

$9.00,Van Wely-above-Naiditsch, chessmoron + Diademas

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