User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 169 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-17-15		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg $14.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw $14.00,Sow-above-Caruana, wordfunph $14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Jan-17-15		Penguincw: Ooh! Making a bid for a second triple crown! As long as Aronian, Ivanchuk and Caruana (and some others) keep playing the way they do, I'm guaranteed a gold medal. :)

Jan-17-15		lostemperor: With some strong predictions, <Penguincw> is leading in all three rankers halfway the tournament! Shared leading are <SwitchingQuylthulg> and <wordfunph> in the absolute ranker. 6 rounds to go.

Jan-17-15		lostemperor: Right, I posted my round 7 comment before you <Penguincw> but deleted it cause I forgot to mention something in the first part, so it ended up after :):)

Jan-17-15		Penguincw: I probably should've deleted it to make it look normal. :p BTW: I indeed saw you post something after the Largest Payoff Pair Results, and then I posted something. You deleted it, and then posted that post. However, I don't quite see the post number (4295, mine should've been 4296). In other words, even though I remember you posting something before I did, the post numbers weren't affected for some reason. But again, I've been known to have a faulty/bad short term memory. :p Memorable Quotes chessforum Funny how it was exactly a year ago... Did I mention I've been known to have a faulty/bad short term memory?

Jan-17-15		lostemperor: No I cannot remember you mentioned it. I have a good short term memory but after one day I forget most of what I was trying to remember! :()

Jan-18-15		lostemperor: Statistics for ARONIAN shared 10-11 after 7 rounds, the biggest upset so far. Lowest prediction on Aronian --> <Karposian> (5-6)

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS 2015 ROUND 8 UPDATE <Only one draw! <Round 8 - Sunday the 18th Van Wely, L. - Caruana, F. 0-1 Hou, Y. - Aronian, L. ½-½ Jobava, B. - Carlsen, M. 0-1 Radjabov, T. - Wojtaszek, R. 1-0 Ivanchuk, V. - So, W. 0-1 Vachier-Lagrave, M. - Giri, A. 1-0 Ding, L. - Saric, I. 1-0 <standings: 1. Carlsen 2. So 2. Ding 2. Vachier 5. Ivanchuk 6. Radjabov 6. Caruana 8. Wojtaszek 8. Giri 10. Aronian 11. Hou 11. Saric 13. VanWely 14. Jobava>>>>

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS'RANKINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 8 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 64,wordfunph 62,SwitchingQuylthulg 58,Penguincw ~~~~~~ 56,Golden Executive 55,cromat 54,Aurora 54,OhioChessFan 53,lostemperor 53,WinKing 52,Karposian 51,WannaBe 48,chessmoron 48,Robin01 48,YouRang

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 787,wordfunph 774,SwitchingQuylthulg 731,Penguincw ~~~~ 711,Aurora 707,OhioChessFan 700,WannaBe 687,cromat 679,Golden Executive 679,lostemperor 673,WinKing 663,Karposian 658,chessmoron 644,YouRang 636,Robin01

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8 Earnings,UserID $94.91,Penguincw $17.89,wordfunph $5.77,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $-0.89,WannaBe $-1.70,Karposian $-4.39,OhioChessFan $-5.13,chessmoron $-6.82,Aurora $-8.46,cromat $-12.88,WinKing $-15.20,Robin01 $-15.35,Golden Executive $-21.08,lostemperor $-26.67,YouRang

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg $14.00,Hou-equal-Saric, Golden Executive $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw $14.00,So-above-Caruana, wordfunph $14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Jan-19-15		lostemperor: <wordfunph> has the edge in the absolute and square ranker and <Penguincw> still confidently holds the initiative in the pair bettings with eight strong unlikely bets! :)

Jan-19-15		YouRang: Rats. When I entered my predictions, I came SO close to putting Ding near the top and Aronian near the bottom. Regretfully, I chickened out. (yeah right)

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: <YouRang> "Chickening out" happens to me also a lot! But this time I did not have such thing here and was more sure of my predictions then often before. No luck yet though. But I am happy about the results in Tata steel since it is more conform my wish list! <;)

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: Predictions' statistics AverageRank,Player,HighestRank,LowestRank 1.54,Carlsen,1.0,2.5 2.39,Caruana,1.0,6.5 3.18,Aronian,1.0,5.5 5.04,Giri,1.5,7.5 5.57,So,1.5,8.5 6.18,Vachier,2.5,8.5 7.86,Radjabov,4.0,14.0 8.07,Ivanchuk,2.5,13.0 8.79,Ding,5.0,12.5 9.39,Jobava,5.5,12.0 10.46,Wojtaszek,7.0,14.0 11.86,VanWely,8.5,14.0 12.18,Saric,8.5,14.0 12.50,Hou,10.0,14.0 Deviations per player: Deviation,Player 96,Aronian 81,Ding 65,Jobava 58,Caruana 49,Ivanchuk 49,Giri 46,Vachier 39,So 34,Radjabov 32,Wojtaszek 25,Saric 19,Hou 19,VanWely 8,Carlsen

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 9 UPDATE <Saric, I. - Van Wely, L. ½-½ Giri, A. - Ding, L. 1-0 So, W. - Vachier-Lagrave, M. ½-½ Wojtaszek, R. - Ivanchuk, V. ½-½ Carlsen, M. - Radjabov, T. 1-0 Aronian, L. - Jobava, B. 1-0 Caruana, F. - Hou, Y. ½-½ <standings: 1. Carlsen 2. So 2. Vachier-Lagrave 4. Ding 4. Ivanchuk 6. Giri 6. Caruana 8. Wojtaszek 8. Radjabov 10. Aronian 11. Hou 11. Saric 13. VanWely 14. Jobava>>>

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS RANKINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 9 Score,UserID 69,wordfunph 66,SwitchingQuylthulg 64,Penguincw ~~~~ 61,Golden Executive 58,OhioChessFan 57,lostemperor 56,WinKing 55,cromat 55,WannaBe 54,Aurora 52,Karposian 50,YouRang 47,chessmoron 46,Robin01

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 9 Score,UserID 798,wordfunph 792,SwitchingQuylthulg 762,Penguincw ~~~~ 727,OhioChessFan 716,Aurora 714,Golden Executive 711,WannaBe 707,cromat 701,WinKing 698,lostemperor 684,Karposian 673,YouRang 655,chessmoron 627,Robin01

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 9 Earnings,UserID $111.35,Penguincw $22.40,wordfunph $2.51,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $-2.21,Karposian $-7.19,OhioChessFan $-7.34,cromat $-8.02,Golden Executive $-10.97,WannaBe $-11.76,WinKing $-12.18,chessmoron $-16.54,lostemperor $-16.91,Aurora $-17.59,Robin01 $-25.55,YouRang

Jan-20-15		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $14.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Hou-equal-Saric, Golden Executive $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw $14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw $14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw $14.00,So-above-Caruana, wordfunph $14.00,Vachier-Lagrave-above-Aronian, Penguincw $14.00,Vachier-Lagrave-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Jan-20-15		Penguincw: Damn! 9 jackpots. Talk about a money hog, especially when only 3/14 of the competitors are not in the negatives. But keep in mind, unlike other contests, it's almost impossible to control your destiny here. You just have to predict whatever and hope for the best. I've finished first in all 3 contests and all also last in all 3.

Jan-22-15		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 10 UPDATE <Games from The Hague <Van Wely, L. - Hou, Y. 1-0 Jobava, B. - Caruana, F. 0-1 Radjabov, T. - Aronian, L. ½-½ Ivanchuk, V. - Carlsen, M. ½-½ Vachier-Lagrave, M. - Wojtaszek, R. ½-½ Ding, L. - So, W. ½-½ Saric, I. - Giri, A. 0-1 <standings: 1. Carlsen 2. So 2. Vachier 4. Ding 4. Ivanchuk 4. Giri 4. Caruana 8. Wojtaszek 8. Radjabov 10. Aronian 11. VanWely 12. Hou 12. Saric 14. Jobava>>>>

Jan-22-15		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS RANKINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 70,wordfunph 66,SwitchingQuylthulg 64,Golden Executive ~~~~ 63,Penguincw 62,cromat 61,WannaBe 60,Aurora 60,OhioChessFan 59,lostemperor 58,WinKing 55,YouRang 54,Karposian 52,chessmoron 48,Robin01

Jan-22-15		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 800,SwitchingQuylthulg 799,wordfunph 756,Penguincw ~~~~~~ 753,OhioChessFan 752,WannaBe 751,Aurora 743,cromat 740,Golden Executive 731,WinKing 724,lostemperor 720,Karposian 708,YouRang 686,chessmoron 649,Robin01

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