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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 168 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 4 UPDATE

<Another fine round in Wijk aan Zee!

<Van Wely - Carlsen 0-1
Aronian - Wojtaszek ½-½
Caruana - So ½-½
Hou - Giri ½-½
Jobava - Saric 0-1
Radjabov - Ding 0-1
Ivanchuk - Vachier-Lagrave1-0

<l standings:
1. Ivanchuk
2. Caruana
2. Ding
4. So
4. Wojtaszek
6. Carlsen
6. Giri
6. Vachier
6. Saric
10. Radjabov
10. Aronian
12. VanWely
13. Hou
14. Jobava>
>
>
>

Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA CHESS 2015 PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

57,SwitchingQuylthulg
53,wordfunph
50,Golden Executive
50,OhioChessFan
50,Penguincw
~~~~
44,cromat
44,lostemperor
41,Aurora
40,WannaBe
40,YouRang
39,WinKing
37,Karposian
35,chessmoron
31,Robin01

Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

715,SwitchingQuylthulg
703,wordfunph
675,Penguincw
~~~~~~
643,OhioChessFan
639,Golden Executive
598,cromat
582,Aurora
560,WannaBe
558,WinKing
554,lostemperor
552,YouRang
524,Karposian
475,chessmoron
431,Robin01

Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Earnings,UserID

$102.71,Penguincw
$29.11,Karposian
$15.74,OhioChessFan
~~~~~~
$8.58,wordfunph
$3.89,cromat
$1.39,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-5.18,Aurora
$-13.01,WinKing
$-14.65,YouRang
$-15.12,WannaBe
$-21.61,Golden Executive
$-24.40,chessmoron
$-29.81,lostemperor
$-37.63,Robin01

Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Radjabov, Karposian

$14.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, Karposian

$14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw

$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw

$14.00,Saric-above-Radjabov, Penguincw

$14.00,Sow-equal-Wojtaszek, Aurora

$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$14.00,Wojtaszek-above-Vachier, Karposian

Jan-14-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Man, I'm getting rich everywhere! First over at <YouRang>'s contest, and now here, 7 jackpots, some of them looking like keeps (ex. Ivanchuk > Aronian). Too bad this isn't real money...
Jan-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 5 UPDATE

<Again a great chess day, now from rainy Rotterdam!

<Vachier-Lagrave - Van Wely ½-½ Ding - Ivanchuk ½-½
Saric - Radjabov 0-1
Giri - Jobava 1-0
So - Hou ½-½
Wojtaszek - Caruana 1-0
Carlsen - Aronian 1-0

<Standings:
1. Ivanchuk
2. Wojtaszek
2. Ding
4. So
4. Caruana
4. Carlsen
4. Giri
8. Vachier
8. Radjabov
10. Saric
11. Aronian
11. VanWely
11. Hou
14. Jobava>
>
>
>

Jan-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS TATA STEEL CHESS 2015
ROUND 5

Score,UserID

55,wordfunph
52,Golden Executive
50,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~~~
48,Penguincw
47,cromat
47,OhioChessFan
42,Aurora
42,Karposian
42,lostemperor
42,YouRang
41,WannaBe
41,WinKing
35,chessmoron
30,Robin01

Jan-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

677,wordfunph
666,SwitchingQuylthulg
635,Golden Executive
~~~~~~
632,Penguincw
630,OhioChessFan
617,cromat
594,Aurora
573,Karposian
538,WinKing
532,YouRang
519,lostemperor
514,WannaBe
456,chessmoron
418,Robin01

Jan-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$108.88,Penguincw
$32.39,Karposian
$21.52,wordfunph
~~~~~~
$12.81,OhioChessFan
$2.50,cromat
$-5.55,YouRang
$-7.38,Golden Executive
$-10.65,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-12.41,Aurora
$-20.05,WannaBe
$-26.31,lostemperor
$-26.90,WinKing
$-31.66,chessmoron
$-37.19,Robin01

Jan-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, Karposian
$14.00,Carlsen-equal-So, wordfunph
$14.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Caruana-equal-So, Karposian
$14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw
$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Players' statistics:

Highest predition on WOJTASZEK standing 2-3 after 5 rounds --> <karposian> (7th)

Highest predition on DING standing 2-3 after 5 rounds --> <OhioChessFan> (5th)

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I thought that Ding was my ticket to success. But Chucky's wins have just killed me.
Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Woo hoo! 8 jackpots. That's gotta be some kind of record...
Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 6 UPDATE

<Only three decisive games :)

<Van Wely, L. - Aronian, L. ½-½ Caruana, F. - Carlsen, M. 0-1
Hou, Y. - Wojtaszek, R. ½-½
Jobava, B. - So, W. 0-1
Radjabov, T. - Giri, A. ½-½
Ivanchuk, V. - Saric, I. ½-½
Vachier-Lagrave, M. - Ding, L. 1-0

<standings:
1. Ivanchuk
2. Wojtaszek
2. So
2. Carlsen
5. Ding
5. Vachier
5. Giri
8. Caruana
8. Radjabov
10. Saric
11. Van Wely
11. Aronian
11. Hou
14. Jobava>
>
>
>

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS TATA STEEL 2015

ABSOLUTE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

59,wordfunph
57,SwitchingQuylthulg
52,Golden Executive
52,Penguincw
~~~~~~
46,cromat
46,OhioChessFan
45,Aurora
45,lostemperor
45,WinKing
44,Karposian
44,WannaBe
43,YouRang
39,chessmoron
34,Robin01

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score,UserID

698,wordfunph
678,SwitchingQuylthulg
670,Golden Executive
~~~~
663,Penguincw
644,cromat
611,OhioChessFan
604,Karposian
600,Aurora
576,WinKing
567,YouRang
552,lostemperor
526,WannaBe
492,chessmoron
449,Robin01

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 6
Earnings,UserID

$92.29,Penguincw
$37.09,wordfunph
$21.95,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$21.21,Karposian
$6.40,cromat
$-4.66,OhioChessFan
$-7.57,Aurora
$-15.28,Golden Executive
$-17.17,WinKing
$-18.81,YouRang
$-21.51,WannaBe
$-26.25,lostemperor
$-29.39,chessmoron
$-38.29,Robin01

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Carlsen-equal-So, wordfunph
$14.00,Ding-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg
$14.00,Giri-above-Caruana, Karposian
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw
$14.00,So-above-Caruana, wordfunph
$14.00,So-equal-Wojtaszek, Aurora
$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$14.00,Wojtaszek-above-Vachier, Karposian

Jan-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Shoot, I am closer to last place than first place. Ugh!!
Jan-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Player statistics WESLEY SO 2-4 after 5 rounds

Highest prediction --> <wordfunph> (1-2)

Closest prediction (after round 5) --> <Karposian> <SwitchingQuylthulg> (3-4)

Jan-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 7 UPDATE TATA STEEL CHESS

<Saturday the 17th
Ding, L. - Van Wely, L. 1-0
Saric, I. - Vachier-Lagrave, M. 0-1
Giri, A. - Ivanchuk, V. ½-½
So, W. - Radjabov, T. ½-½
Wojtaszek, R. - Jobava, B. 0-1
Carlsen, M. - Hou, Y. 1-0
Aronian, L. - Caruana, F. ½-½

<standings:
1. Ivanchuk
1. Carlsen
3. Vachier
3. Sow
3. Ding
6. Wojtaszek
6. Giri
8. Caruana
8. Radjabov
10. Saric
10. Aronian
12. VanWely
12. Hou
14. Jobava>
>
>

Jan-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ASOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

62,Penguincw
62,SwitchingQuylthulg
62,wordfunph
~~~~~~
57,Golden Executive
53,lostemperor
53,OhioChessFan
52,WannaBe
50,Aurora
50,cromat
49,WinKing
47,Karposian
44,YouRang
42,chessmoron
39,Robin01

Jan-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER

Score,UserID

758,Penguincw
753,wordfunph
740,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
681,Golden Executive
680,cromat
669,OhioChessFan
658,Aurora
625,WannaBe
624,WinKing
614,Karposian
614,lostemperor
611,YouRang
573,chessmoron
543,Robin01

Jan-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$114.41,Penguincw
$16.93,wordfunph
$9.87,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$2.82,cromat
$2.46,Karposian
$-1.34,OhioChessFan
$-6.39,WannaBe
$-12.33,Aurora
$-15.67,chessmoron
$-18.75,WinKing
$-18.89,YouRang
$-20.02,Golden Executive
$-21.53,lostemperor
$-31.57,Robin01

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