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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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♙♙♙

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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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♙♙♙

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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 167 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-09-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
3. Aronian
3. So
5. Ding
5. Vachier-Lagrave
5. Giri
5. Ivanchuk
9. Wojtaszek
9. Radjabov
9. Saric
9. Jobava
13. Hou
13. Van Wely
Jan-09-15  Aurora: 1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Aronian
4. Giri
5. Vachier-Lagrave
5. Radjabov
7. So
7. Wojtaszek
7. Ding
10. Ivanchuk
10 Jobava
12. Van Wely
13. Saric
14. Hou
Jan-10-15  Golden Executive:

1.Carlsen
1.Caruana
3.Giri
3.Aronian
3.So
3.Ivanchuk
7.Radjabov
7.Vachier-Lagrave
7.Wojtaszek
7.Jobava
11.Ding
11.Hou
11.Van Wely
11.Saric

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: This tournament is now underway!
Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. Let the show begin!:)
Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: We have a small but strong field of players and will be interesting how the tournament results unfold!
Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 1 TATA STEEL CHESS 2015

<Some hair raising and sometimes inexplicable results!

<Saturday the 10th
Radjabov - Van Wely 1/2
Ivanchuk - Jobava 1-0?!
Vachier-Lagrave - Hou 1-0
Ding - Caruana 0-1
Saric - Aronian 1/2
Giri - Carlsen 1/2
So - Wojtaszek 1/2!?

<Standings:
1. Caruana
1. Ivanchuk
1. Vachier
4. Giri
4. Aronian
4. Sow
4. Carlsen
4. Saric
4. VanWely
4. Radjabov
4. Wojtaszek
12. Ding
12. Jobava
12. Hou>
>
>
>

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS RANKINGS ROUND 1

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
57,cromat
56,Golden Executive
55,Penguincw
~~~~
53,YouRang
52,lostemperor
52,WannaBe
50,Aurora
50,WinKing
49,SwitchingQuylthulg
45,chessmoron
45,wordfunph
42,Robin01
41,OhioChessFan
38,Karposian

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~QUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
726,Golden Executive
721,cromat
716,YouRang
~~~~~~
693,WinKing
690,Penguincw
689,SwitchingQuylthulg
665,WannaBe
664,Aurora
645,chessmoron
645,lostemperor
639,wordfunph
597,Robin01
596,OhioChessFan
564,Karposian

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID

$61.60,Penguincw
$25.86,Golden Executive
$13.48,YouRang
~~~~
$6.33,cromat
$2.67,SwitchingQuylthulg
$1.25,lostemperor
$0.30,WinKing
$-1.79,Karposian
$-4.24,WannaBe
$-7.62,Aurora
$-12.30,wordfunph
$-26.11,chessmoron
$-27.90,Robin01
$-31.52,OhioChessFan

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, Golden Executive

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Radjabov, Karposian

$14.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, Karposian

$14.00,Carlsen-equal-So, wordfunph

$14.00,Ding-equal-Jobava, lostemperor

$14.00,Hou-equal-Jobava, YouRang

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw

$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw

$14.00,Radjabov-equal-VanWely, WannaBe

$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw

$14.00,Saric-equal-So, Penguincw

$14.00,Saric-equal-VanWely, Golden Executive

$14.00,So-equal-Wojtaszek, Aurora

$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Statistics IVANCHUK, VACHIER-LAGRAVE, CARUANA:

Highest prediction on IVANCHUK <Penguincw> (2.5)

Highest prediction on VACHIER-LAGRAVE <Penguincw> (2.5)

Highest prediction on CARUANA <WinKing, YouRang> (1)

Jan-10-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Alright! 5 jackpots to start the tournament. If only I can hang on to them...
Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 2 UPDATE

<The two superstars in the chessgames.com kibitzes, Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So, drew their first encounter!

<
Van Wely - Wojtaszek 1/2
Carlsen - So 1/2
Aronian - Giri 1/2
Caruana - Saric 1-0
Hou - Ding 0-1
Jobava - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Radjabov - Ivanchuk 1/2

<Standings 2
1. Caruana
2. Ivanchuk
2. Vachier
4. VanWely
4. Aronian
4. So
4. Carlsen
4. Ding
4. Giri
4. Radjabov
4. Wojtaszek
12. Saric
12. Jobava
14. Hou>
>
>
>

Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' RANKINGS AFTER 2 ROUNDS

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

61,Aurora
61,WannaBe
60,cromat
~~~~
57,Golden Executive
57,Penguincw
57,SwitchingQuylthulg
55,YouRang
54,WinKing
53,OhioChessFan
52,lostemperor
52,wordfunph
50,chessmoron
48,Robin01
43,Karposian

Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2

Score,UserID

758,cromat
746,SwitchingQuylthulg
737,Golden Executive
~~~~
736,YouRang
732,Aurora
730,WinKing
728,WannaBe
725,Penguincw
702,wordfunph
698,chessmoron
692,OhioChessFan
663,lostemperor
646,Robin01
618,Karposian

Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$36.12,Penguincw
$15.27,Golden Executive
$13.76,WannaBe
~~~~~~
$11.55,Aurora
$5.85,SwitchingQuylthulg
$1.92,cromat
$-0.85,wordfunph
$-1.10,YouRang
$-1.19,Karposian
$-2.34,lostemperor
$-7.38,WinKing
$-22.01,chessmoron
$-24.03,OhioChessFan
$-25.55,Robin01

Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, Golden Executive
$14.00,Aronian-equal-Radjabov, Karposian
$14.00,Carlsen-equal-Giri, Karposian
$14.00,Carlsen-equal-So, wordfunph
$14.00,Ding-equal-Radjabov, lostemperor
$14.00,Ding-equal-VanWely, Golden Executive
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Radjabov-equal-VanWely, WannaBe
$14.00,So-equal-Wojtaszek, Aurora
$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw

Jan-11-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Wesley So's page is leading Magnus Carlsen's by about 91,075 kibitzes though! Maligayang bati <;)
Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 3 UPDATE

<A round with upsets!

<Ivanchuk - Van Wely 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Radjabov 1/2
Ding - Jobava 1-0
Saric - Hou 1/2
Giri - Caruana 1/2
So - Aronian 1-0
Wojtaszek - Carlsen 1-0

<standings:
1. Caruana
1. Ivanchuk
3. Vachier
3. Sow
3. Ding
3. Wojtaszek
7. Giri
7. Radjabov
9. Aronian
9. Carlsen
9. VanWely
9. Saric
13. Jobava
13. Hou>
>
>
>

Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' RANKINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

56,SwitchingQuylthulg
51,wordfunph
50,Golden Executive
50,WannaBe
~~~~
49,Penguincw
48,OhioChessFan
47,Aurora
47,cromat
45,lostemperor
45,WinKing
45,YouRang
41,chessmoron
37,Karposian
35,Robin01

Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

682,SwitchingQuylthulg
664,wordfunph
644,Golden Executive
~~~~
623,cromat
619,Penguincw
618,OhioChessFan
611,Aurora
601,WinKing
589,YouRang
576,WannaBe
551,lostemperor
547,Karposian
537,chessmoron
475,Robin01

Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 3

Earnings,UserID

$65.27,Penguincw
$12.20,YouRang
$8.40,Aurora
~~~~~~
$6.30,Golden Executive
$3.80,cromat
$2.22,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-2.83,WinKing
$-3.15,OhioChessFan
$-3.31,wordfunph
$-5.41,WannaBe
$-12.25,chessmoron
$-12.98,Karposian
$-24.51,lostemperor
$-33.76,Robin01

Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Ding-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Ding-equal-Vachier, SwitchingQuylthulg
$14.00,Hou-equal-Jobava, YouRang
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Ivanchuk-above-Giri, Penguincw
$14.00,Saric-above-Jobava, Penguincw
$14.00,Saric-equal-VanWely, Golden Executive
$14.00,Sow-equal-Wojtaszek, Aurora
$14.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Penguincw
$14.00,Vachier-equal-Wojtaszek, Golden Executive

Jan-12-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: My apologies for Sow instead of So from Wesley So. I Needed Three letters of each player to put in the CONMAN calculating program and So was one letter short though the program could probably handle 2 characters also
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