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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 212 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-09-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: 1.Kramnik
2.So
2.Caruana
4.Nakamura
4.Aronian
4.Giri
4.Maxime Vachier Lagrave
8.Anand
9.Adams
10.Topalov

What an even field.Almost everyone can win !

Good luck to all the players.In London and on CG.

Dec-09-16  Golden Executive: Round 1 Games have started
Dec-09-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive>, enjoy the tournament all!
Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <LONDON CHESS CLASSIC

<Round 1 started vigourously<

Aronian - Adams 1-0
Nakamura - So 0-1
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2
Caruana - Anand 1/2
Kramnik - Topalov 1-0

<standings:
1. So
1. Kramnik
1. Aronian
4. Anand
4. Caruana
4. Giri
4. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Topalov
8. Adams
8. Nakamura>
>
>
>

Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 1

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

38,lostemperor
36,scout118
35,moronovich
35,YouRang
~~~~
34,WannaBe
31,Golden Executive
31,SwitchingQuylthulg
29,offramp
29,paavoh
26,whiteshark
26,WinKing
24,Penguincw
24,wordfunph
21,Keyser Soze
21,OhioChessFan
19,rogge
14,chessmoron
10,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
307,scout118
300,lostemperor
298,YouRang
~~~~
291,WannaBe
288,moronovich
273,SwitchingQuylthulg
269,Golden Executive
255,offramp
251,paavoh
251,WinKing
222,whiteshark
221,Penguincw
216,Keyser Soze
207,OhioChessFan
206,wordfunph
204,rogge
152,chessmoron
144,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID

$50.69,WannaBe
$28.41,YouRang
$19.87,scout118
~~~~
$8.66,lostemperor
$3.27,moronovich
$3.17,Golden Executive
$3.03,rogge
$0.69,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-5.23,WinKing
$-5.73,paavoh
$-6.62,Penguincw
$-6.77,offramp
$-10.55,wordfunph
$-12.74,Keyser Soze
$-14.09,OhioChessFan
$-14.41,whiteshark
$-18.11,alfamikewhiskey
$-23.56,chessmoron

Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, WannaBe

$18.00,Caruana-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, rogge

$18.00,Kramnik-equal-So, WannaBe

$18.00,Nakamura-equal-Topalov, YouRang

$9.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, Penguincw + scout118

$9.00,Kramnik-above-Caruana, moronovich + WannaBe

Dec-10-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <WannaBe: Alright, here we go, Triple Clown title is mine!!> Not yet near my friend <;)
Dec-10-16  Captain Hindsight: <Round 1 Games have started>

I hate being late, but I'm so good at it.

Dec-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 2 UPDATE

<Three more deciders!

<Kramnik - Aronian 1/2
Topalov - Caruana 0-1
Anand - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
Giri - Nakamura 1/2
So - Adams 1-0

<standings:
1. So
2. Kramnik
2. Aronian
2. Anand
2. Caruana
6. Giri
7. Vachier-Lagrave
7. Nakamura
9. Adams
9. Topalov>
>
>
>

Dec-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 2

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

47,scout118
36,offramp
34,Golden Executive
34,paavoh
~~~~
33,lostemperor
33,moronovich
33,WannaBe
32,SwitchingQuylthulg
32,WinKing
32,YouRang
31,Penguincw
29,whiteshark
29,wordfunph
27,Keyser Soze
26,OhioChessFan
20,rogge
14,chessmoron
8,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

328,scout118
295,offramp
289,lostemperor
~~~~
288,moronovich
285,Golden Executive
283,YouRang
278,WinKing
277,paavoh
263,SwitchingQuylthulg
263,WannaBe
254,Keyser Soze
245,whiteshark
241,wordfunph
237,Penguincw
225,OhioChessFan
211,rogge
172,chessmoron
113,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$57.65,scout118
$21.11,Penguincw
$16.60,Golden Executive
~~~~
$4.08,lostemperor
$3.65,offramp
$1.65,WinKing
$1.63,YouRang
$1.14,WannaBe
$-2.20,moronovich
$-4.24,Keyser Soze
$-5.14,OhioChessFan
$-6.40,paavoh
$-8.68,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-9.82,wordfunph
$-11.49,whiteshark
$-18.87,alfamikewhiskey
$-19.17,rogge
$-21.50,chessmoron

Dec-11-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, Penguincw + scout118

$9.00,Caruana-equal-Kramnik, Penguincw + scout118

$6.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, chessmoron + Penguincw + scout118

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Caruana, Golden Executive + Penguincw + scout118

$6.00,Giri-above-Nakamura, alfamikewhiskey + lostemperor + YouRang

$6.00,Giri-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp + OhioChessFan

$6.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, Golden Executive + moronovich + scout118

$6.00,So-above-Caruana, Golden Executive + scout118 + WannaBe

Dec-11-16  Golden Executive: <Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

328,scout118>

Almost perfect, amazing!

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <LONDON ROUND 3 UPDATE

<One decisive game

<Aronian-So 1/2
Adams-Giri 1/2
Nakamura-Anand 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave-Topalov 1/2
Caruana-Kramnik 1/2

<standings:
1. So
2. Kramnik
2. Aronian
2. Caruana
5. Anand
5. Giri
5. Nakamura
8. Vachier-Lagrave
9. Adams
9. Topalov>
>
>
>

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

42,scout118
40,offramp
38,Golden Executive
~~~~
37,moronovich
37,paavoh
36,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,lostemperor
33,YouRang
32,whiteshark
31,Keyser Soze
31,Penguincw
31,WinKing
30,WannaBe
28,OhioChessFan
28,wordfunph
23,rogge
17,chessmoron
8,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

320,scout118
311,offramp
306,moronovich
~~~~
301,paavoh
297,Golden Executive
295,lostemperor
286,YouRang
276,Keyser Soze
272,whiteshark
270,SwitchingQuylthulg
268,WinKing
248,WannaBe
240,Penguincw
239,OhioChessFan
239,wordfunph
224,rogge
177,chessmoron
124,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 3

Earnings,UserID

$31.23,scout118
$16.93,Golden Executive
$12.56,offramp
~~~~
$11.15,SwitchingQuylthulg
$9.86,Penguincw
$1.00,paavoh
$0.59,Keyser Soze
$-0.37,moronovich
$-0.68,lostemperor
$-2.90,WannaBe
$-3.13,YouRang
$-3.32,WinKing
$-4.08,whiteshark
$-4.81,OhioChessFan
$-4.87,wordfunph
$-15.84,rogge
$-20.03,alfamikewhiskey
$-23.30,chessmoron

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Caruana-equal-Kramnik, Penguincw + scout118

$6.00,Anand-equal-Giri, Golden Executive + offramp + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Anand-equal-Nakamura, Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Caruana, Golden Executive + Penguincw + scout118

$6.00,Giri-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp + OhioChessFan

$6.00,So-above-Caruana, Golden Executive + scout118 + WannaBe

Dec-12-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A fierce battle is going on between former feud friends <offramp> and <Golden Executive> :)
Dec-12-16  Golden Executive: <lostemperor: A fierce battle is going on between former feud friends <offramp> and <Golden Executive> :)>

Yeah! lol.

Dec-13-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Nakamura strikes again but my pc where the calculating software houses' server is down :(
Dec-13-16  Golden Executive: <lostemperor: Nakamura strikes again but my pc where the calculating software houses' server is down :(>

Ouch! bad news certainly.

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