User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 213 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Dec-14-16		lostemperor: Up and running. Just a temporary break down of my server so i could not post live round 4 rankings <Round 4 Monday 12 Dec Caruana-Aronian 1/2 Kramnik-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Topalov-Nakamura 0-1 Anand-Adams 1/2 Giri-So 1/2 <Round 5 Tuesday 13 Dec Aronian-Giri 1/2 So-Anand 1/2 Adams-Topalov 1-0 Nakamura-Kramnik 1/2 Vachier-Lagrave-Caruana 1/2 < standings: 1. So 2. Caruana 2. Aronian 2. Kramnik 2. Nakamura 6. Giri 6. Anand 8. Vachier-Lagrave 8. Adams 10. Topalov >>>>

Dec-14-16		lostemperor: predictions standings absolute ranker 5 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 44,offramp 39,scout118 38,paavoh ~~~~ 37,Golden Executive 35,moronovich 34,whiteshark 33,Keyser Soze 31,SwitchingQuylthulg 30,Penguincw 29,lostemperor 29,OhioChessFan 28,YouRang 27,WinKing 27,wordfunph 26,WannaBe 24,rogge 20,chessmoron 6,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-14-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 319,offramp 309,paavoh 303,scout118 ~~~~ 300,moronovich 297,Golden Executive 291,whiteshark 282,Keyser Soze 263,lostemperor 258,YouRang 257,WinKing 253,SwitchingQuylthulg 242,OhioChessFan 242,wordfunph 239,Penguincw 230,WannaBe 224,rogge 186,chessmoron 111,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-14-16		lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 5 Earnings,UserID $33.07,offramp $21.24,Penguincw $21.00,scout118 ~~~~ $13.50,Golden Executive $4.20,WinKing $2.45,moronovich $1.98,Keyser Soze $1.62,OhioChessFan $-0.18,paavoh $-3.98,whiteshark $-7.65,SwitchingQuylthulg $-7.85,wordfunph $-7.92,lostemperor $-8.42,WannaBe $-10.37,YouRang $-10.84,alfamikewhiskey $-19.45,rogge $-22.41,chessmoron

Dec-14-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Adams-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp $9.00,Caruana-equal-Kramnik, Penguincw + scout118 $6.00,Anand-equal-Giri, Golden Executive + offramp + SwitchingQuylthulg $6.00,Aronian-equal-Caruana, Golden Executive + Penguincw + scout118 $6.00,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, OhioChessFan + Penguincw + WannaBe $6.00,Giri-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp + OhioChessFan $6.00,Kramnik-equal-Nakamura, Penguincw + WinKing + wordfunph $6.00,So-above-Caruana, Golden Executive + scout118 + WannaBe

Dec-16-16		lostemperor: <ROUND 6 UPDATE <Great round< Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1-0 Caruana - Nakamura 1-0 Kramnik - Adams 1/2 Topalov - So 0-1 Anand - Giri 1/2 <standings: 1. So 4.5 2. Caruana 4 3. Kramnik 3.5 4. Aronian 3 4. Nakamura 4. Giri 4. Anand 4. Vachier-Lagrave 9. Adams 2.5 10. Topalov 0.5>>>>

Dec-16-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 42,moronovich 42,paavoh 38,offramp 38,scout118 ~~~~ 36,Golden Executive 36,whiteshark 36,WinKing 35,SwitchingQuylthulg 34,lostemperor 33,wordfunph 32,YouRang 28,Keyser Soze 27,rogge 27,WannaBe 26,Penguincw 23,chessmoron 22,OhioChessFan 14,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-16-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 319,moronovich 315,paavoh 310,scout118 ~~~~ 302,offramp 297,WinKing 295,Golden Executive 293,whiteshark 288,lostemperor 280,SwitchingQuylthulg 278,YouRang 266,Keyser Soze 266,wordfunph 252,rogge 248,WannaBe 226,Penguincw 214,chessmoron 208,OhioChessFan 155,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-16-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6 Earnings,UserID $34.95,moronovich $19.20,scout118 $17.46,paavoh ~~~~ $9.13,Golden Executive $8.60,SwitchingQuylthulg $8.50,offramp $2.77,whiteshark $-2.03,wordfunph $-3.74,WinKing $-4.00,Penguincw $-4.42,lostemperor $-6.46,Keyser Soze $-8.37,YouRang $-9.01,chessmoron $-9.74,WannaBe $-13.44,rogge $-17.78,alfamikewhiskey $-21.61,OhioChessFan

Dec-16-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $6.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, chessmoron + Penguincw + scout118 $6.00,Anand-equal-Giri, Golden Executive + offramp + SwitchingQuylthulg $6.00,Anand-equal-Nakamura, Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + wordfunph $6.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, moronovich + paavoh + whiteshark $6.00,Aronian-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, moronovich + paavoh + SwitchingQuylthulg $6.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, Golden Executive + moronovich + scout118 $6.00,So-above-Caruana, Golden Executive + scout118 + WannaBe

Dec-16-16		OhioChessFan: Wow, I'm doing great.

Dec-16-16		WannaBe: A few predictors are standing in the way between me and Triple Clown. But have no fear, still a couple more rounds to go... Never under-estimate the power of the Wabbit.

Dec-16-16		OhioChessFan: Right now, me and <amw> are fighting it out for the Triple Clown.

Dec-16-16		alfamikewhiskey: <ocf> true. I'm "ahead" in 2, and don't feel safe with those few extra -$s

Dec-16-16		Golden Executive: <alfamikewhiskey: <ocf> true. I'm "ahead" in 2, and don't feel safe with those few extra -$s> I think <WannaBe> will come to rescue you in the Pair Betting Ranker.

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: <LONDON ROUND 7 UPDATE <Brilliant Nakamura <Aronian-Anand 1/2 Giri-Topalov 1/2 So-Kramnik 1/2 Adams-Caruana 1/2 Nakamura-Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 <standings: 1. So 2. Caruana 3. Kramnik 3. Nakamura 5. Aronian 5. Giri 5. Anand 8. Vachier-Lagrave 8. Adams 10. Topalov>>>>

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 44,offramp 42,paavoh 37,moronovich ~~~~ 36,whiteshark 35,scout118 34,Golden Executive 32,Keyser Soze 32,wordfunph 31,WinKing 29,SwitchingQuylthulg 28,lostemperor 27,OhioChessFan 27,Penguincw 27,rogge 27,YouRang 24,chessmoron 22,WannaBe 10,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 7 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 318,paavoh 317,offramp 304,moronovich ~~~~ 299,whiteshark 297,scout118 285,Golden Executive 280,Keyser Soze 269,WinKing 265,wordfunph 254,lostemperor 249,SwitchingQuylthulg 241,YouRang 233,rogge 232,Penguincw 225,OhioChessFan 205,WannaBe 203,chessmoron 126,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7 Earnings,UserID $29.62,offramp $15.11,paavoh $10.02,whiteshark ~~~~ $8.95,moronovich $7.15,scout118 $7.05,Golden Executive $6.03,Keyser Soze $2.82,wordfunph $-2.36,WinKing $-4.40,Penguincw $-4.55,alfamikewhiskey $-6.12,OhioChessFan $-6.86,lostemperor $-9.34,chessmoron $-10.81,YouRang $-11.10,SwitchingQuylthulg $-13.76,rogge $-17.44,WannaBe

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $9.00,Adams-equal-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp $6.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, chessmoron + Penguincw + scout118 $6.00,Anand-equal-Giri, Golden Executive + offramp + SwitchingQuylthulg $6.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, moronovich + paavoh + whiteshark $6.00,Giri-above-Vachier-Lagrave, alfamikewhiskey + offramp + OhioChessFan $6.00,Kramnik-equal-Nakamura, Penguincw + WinKing + wordfunph $6.00,So-above-Caruana, Golden Executive + scout118 + WannaBe

Dec-17-16		lostemperor: <WannaBe: A few predictors are standing in the way between me and Triple Clown. But have no fear, still a couple more rounds to go... Never under-estimate the power of the Wabbit.> You reached one of your three goals (at least for now <:)

Dec-18-16		lostemperor: <LONDON CHESS CLASSIC FINAL UPDATE <Congratulations to WESLEY SO magnificent winner of London (correctly predicted by <Golden Executive> and <scout118>) and the Grand Chess Tour!! <Round 8 Saturday 17 Dec Nakamura-Aronian 1/2 Vachier-Lagrave-Adams 1/2 Caruana-So 1/2 Kramnik-Giri 1/2 Topalov-Anand 0-1 <Round 9 Sunday 18 Dec Aronian-Topalov 0-1 Anand-Kramnik 1/2 Giri-Caruana 1/2 So-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 Adams-Nakamura 1/2 <Final standings: 1. So 6 2. Caruana 5.5 3. Kramnik 5 3. Nakamura 3. Anand 6. Giri 4.5 7. Aronian 4 7. Vachier-Lagrave 7. Adams 10. Topalov 2>>>>>

Dec-18-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS FINAL ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID ♔39,offramp ♕38,paavoh ♖35,scout118 ~~~~ 34,wordfunph 33,moronovich 33,whiteshark 32,WinKing 31,Golden Executive 28,Keyser Soze 26,Penguincw 25,OhioChessFan 25,SwitchingQuylthulg 24,lostemperor 24,YouRang 23,rogge 23,WannaBe 22,chessmoron 10,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-18-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID ♔302,paavoh ♕301,offramp ♖291,scout118 ~~~~ 287,moronovich 285,whiteshark 278,WinKing 275,wordfunph 266,Golden Executive 260,Keyser Soze 233,SwitchingQuylthulg 232,lostemperor 225,rogge 222,Penguincw 218,YouRang 209,chessmoron 201,OhioChessFan 199,WannaBe 122,alfamikewhiskey

Dec-18-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL Earnings,UserID ♔$26.02,wordfunph ♕$20.70,offramp ♖$9.93,paavoh ~~~~ $8.08,WinKing $5.36,chessmoron $3.77,moronovich $2.60,scout118 $1.18,Keyser Soze $-1.15,whiteshark $-1.87,Golden Executive $-2.95,Penguincw $-4.10,alfamikewhiskey $-6.47,OhioChessFan $-8.48,SwitchingQuylthulg $-9.94,rogge $-12.49,lostemperor $-13.74,WannaBe $-16.44,YouRang

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