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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 55 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-02-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: First the update for the PREDICTION GAME. 'Ll try to update it every day till the end of the tournament now. Thanks for your patience!

Standings after round 9
1.Grishuk
2.Wang Yue, Gashiimov
4.Radjabov, Carlsen, Mamedyarov, Adams
8.Bacrot Kamsky
10.Svidler, Karjakin
12.Cheparinov
13.Inarkiev
14.avara

Maximum score: 191

Rank,Score,UserID
1,142,whiteshark
2t,140,percyblakeney
2t,140,wolfmaster
4t,139,ahmadov
4t,139,rogge
4t,139,SwitchingQuylthulg
7t,138,ELO
7t,138,lostemperor
7t,138,suenteus po 147
10t,136,brankat
10t,136,cromat
12t,134,capybara
12t,134,NakoSonorense
14t,132,Dim Weasel
14t,132,yalie
16t,130,nimh
16t,130,sakii
18t,128,positionalgenius
18t,28,TheGladiatres
20,126,Aurora

Anything can happen with the players in Baku and here still close together!

May-03-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ROUND 11
Standings:
1.Wang Yue(!), Grischuk
3.Gashimov
4.Carlsen, Mamaedyarov, Adams
7.Radjabov, Kamsky
9.Bacrot, Karjakin, Cheparinov
12.Svidler, Inarkiev
14.Navara

Maximum score: 191

Rank,Score,UserID
1,141,rogge
2,139,ahmadov
3t,138,cromat
3t,138,ELO
3t,138,percyblakeney
3t,138,suenteus po 147
7,136,lostemperor
8,135,SwitchingQuylthulg
9t,134,whiteshark
9t,134,wolfmaster
9t,134,yalie
12t,132,brankat
12t,132,NakoSonorense
14t,130,capybara
14t,130,Dim Weasel
14t,130,nimh
14t,130,sakii
18t,128,Aurora
18t,128,TheGladiatres
20,126,positionalgenius

May-03-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ahmadov> there you have it. You're second now. Almost first, like I told you:-) An exciting final to go in Baku!
May-03-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: For the surprise player's ♗♘♙ awards. Here the surprise rankings:

Deviations per player:

198,Gashimov
198,Wang Yue
151,Svidler
104,GrischuK
88,Radjabov
73,Karjakin
64,Kamsky
51,Adams
48,Mamedyarov
47,Navara
42,Carlsen
40,Bacrot
26,Cheparinov
19,Inarkiev

May-03-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square ranker: Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation

Maximum score: 819

Rank,Score,UserID
1,517,SwitchingQuylthulg
2,499,rogge
3,480,percyblakeney
4t,472,nimh
4t,472,wolfmaster
6,466,suenteus po 147
7,463,ahmadov
8,446,ELO
9,442,cromat
10,434,whiteshark
11,424,Dim Weasel
12,416,lostemperor
13,410,NakoSonorense
14,408,brankat
15,406,sakii
16t,400,capybara
16t,400,positionalgenius
18,398,yalie
19,370,TheGladiatres
20,332.Aurora

May-04-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: I wonder why I never understood before that the square ranker is the only one that matters :-)
May-04-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I have not forgotten our surprise player and co-winner from Linares <CHESSBOOKIE> the bookie game. See Chess Grand Prix Baku: Winner. It will be included next in the list!

1. Carlsen 6,690 2:1 3.12 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 31 chessbucks

2. Kamsky 3,050 6:1 6.78 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 67 chessbucks

3. Radjabov 2,796 13:2 7.39 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 73 chessbucks

4.Adams 2,044 9:1 10.09 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 100 chessbucks.

5. Karjakin 1,730 11:1 11.92 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 119 chessbucks

6. Mamedyarov 1,450 13:1 14.21 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 142 chessbucks

6. Svidler 1,416 14:1 14.55 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 145 chessbucks

8. Grischuk 837 24:1 24.58 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 245 chessbucks

9. Bacrot 441 46:1 46.61 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 466 chessbucks.

10. Wang Yue 354 57:1 58.05 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 580 chessbucks

11. Cheparinov 309 66:1 66.50 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 665 chessbucks.

12. Navara 208 98:1 98.76 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 987 chessbucks

13. Gashimov 163 125:1 126.01 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 1260 chessbucks.

14. Inarkiev 124 165:1 165.63 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 1656 chessbucks.

A winning 10 chessbuck ticket for <Wang Yue> will pay you out 580 chessbucks!! A <Grischuk> win will give you 245 chessbucks and if <Gashimov> wins, a winning 10 chessbuck ticket will give you 1260 chessbuck$:)

May-04-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg>, I and ahmadov wondered how to pronounce your name!
May-04-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <lostemperor>, are you really sure you want to know how "Quylthulg" is pronounced? Warning: if you try and fail, it may take a couple weeks until you're able to speak normally again. ;-)
May-05-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg> I'm usually pretty good at pronouncing but this time I'll pass:). Meanwhile a lot of decisive games in Baku. I wait to update untill tomorrow after today's last round!
May-05-08  rogge: Don't tell me I was in the lead after round 11... Beginners luck 2 times in a row, I guess :)
May-06-08  ahmadov: <lostemperor: <ahmadov> there you have it. You're second now. Almost first, like I told you:-) An exciting final to go in Baku!> I am impatiently waiting for the final results of your contest :-)
May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The Grand Final in Baku had produced three winners: Gashimov, Wang Yue and Carlsen!

Baku final standings:

1. Gashimov, Wang Yue, Carlsen
4. Mamedyarov, Grischuk
6. Adams, Svidler
8. Radjabov, Kamsky, Karjakin
11.Cheparinov, Navara
13. Bacrot, Inarkiev

May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Winner of the PREDICTION GAME (Absolute Ranker) is no one less than Zahir <Ahmadov>! If he wanted to get back at me for his OTB loss, he succeeded in this with flying colours!! <percyblakeney> and <nimh> got the Silver and Bronze!

Final results:

Rank,Score,UserID
♔50,ahmadov
♕47,percyblakeney
♖45,nimh
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
4t,43,Dim Weasel
4t,43,wolfmaster
6t,42,CHESSBOOKIE
6t,42,SwitchingQuylthulg
8t,41,cromat
8t,41,positionalgenius
8t,41,sakii
8t,41,suenteus po 147
8t,41,whiteshark
13,40,rogge
14t,39,Aurora
14t,39,ELO
16,37,TheGladiatres
17t,35,lostemperor
17t,35,yalie
19,31,capybara
20,29,brankat
21,27,NakoSonorense

May-06-08  ahmadov: <lostemperor: Winner of the PREDICTION GAME (Absolute Ranker) is no one less than Zahir <Ahmadov>! If he wanted to get back at me for his OTB loss, he succeeded in this with flying colours!! <percyblakeney> and <nimh> got the Silver and Bronze!> Hey, great! Very nice news for me!

So it was worth coming to The Hague and getting that promise from you :-))

May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Wow, congrats <ahmadov>, huge leap upwards during the last few days! I guess you also win the Square Ranker and the Surprise Player #1... at least ;-)

Thanks <lostemperor> for organizing.

May-06-08  rogge: And suddenly beginners luck ended :)congrats to the winners!
May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: In the Square Ranker, <nimh> got the Gold, followed by <ahmadov> and <SwitchingQuylthulg> (try to pronounce this on your Sunday afternoon:))!

Rank,Score,UserID
♔549,nimh
♕526,ahmadov
♖526,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
4,495,percyblakeney
5,493,wolfmaster
6,482,CHESSBOOKIE
7,471,Dim Weasel
8t,469,ELO
8t,469,suenteus po 147
10,467,cromat
11,465,yalie
12,464,rogge
13,459,brankat
14t,455,sakii
14t,455,whiteshark
16,425,TheGladiatres
17t,423,Aurora
17t,423,positionalgenius
19,399,lostemperor
20,381,capybara
21,359,NakoSonorense

May-06-08  ahmadov: <lostemperor> let me tell one secret here:

When we met <lost> told me that I usually perform well in his contests, but I could do better if I am not biased towards my countrymen... It seems that my countrymen did not fail me this time ;-)

I think my biggest mistake in this contest was lack of trust in Wang... He is much stronger than I could expect...

May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Are there some sort of tie-break rules in the Square Ranker or why does <ahmadov> get the ♕?
May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: This was a tough tournament with especially a splendid performance of Gashimov and Wang Yue!

<ahmadov>'s Golden Predictions:

1-2. Mamedyarov, Radjabov
3. Carlsen
4. Svidler
5. Grischuk
6. Kamsky
7. Adams
8. Gashimov
9. Karjakin
10. Cheparinov
11. Navara
12. Inarkiev
13. Bacrot
14. Wang Yue

<nimh>'s winning bets for Baku GP:

1. Carlsen 9
2. Mamedyarov 8
3. Kamsky 8
4. Radjabov 7,5
5. Karjakin 7,5
6. Wang Yue 6,5
7. Svidler 6,5
8. Cheparinov 6,5
9. Adams 6
10. Navara 6
11. Grischuk 5,5
12. Gashimov 5
13. Bacrot 5
14. Inarkiev 4

May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ouch <SwitchingQuylthulg>. Thanks for seeing that correctly! Of course you tied ♕ with <ahmadov>. I type to quickly for my brain to follow lately!:)
May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ahmadov: <lostemperor> let me tell one secret here: When we met <lost> told me that I usually perform well in his contests, but I could do better if I am not biased towards my countrymen... It seems that my countrymen did not fail me this time ;-)>Yes, that's is what we discussed. And you explained me why you did what you did. This time you showed your excellent skills!:) <rogge> well done in this tough contest. And I hope all players to come The Hague once if only to play chess with me:-)
May-06-08  ahmadov: <And I hope all players to come The Hague once if only to play chess with me:-)> You mean the players of FIDE Grand Prix? Then, do not expect any win or draw :-)
May-06-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ahmadov> I wouldn't be so sure about that. After all I did beat a fine player like yourself hehehe! Tnx.
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