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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 63 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jul-22-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the order according to Elo and Chessbookie:

<ELO>
1. Carlsen
2. Alekseev, Dominguez
4. Bacrot
5. Onischuk
6. Pelletier

<CHESSBOOKIE>
1. Carlsen
2. Alekseev
3. Dominguez
4. Onischuk
5. Bacrot
6. Pelletier
See: Biel: Winner

Jul-23-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Two decisive games in Biel. Carlsen - Bacrot 1-0 and Onischuk - Pelletier 1-0

ROUND 3 BIEL 2008

Standings
1.Carlsen
2.Alekseev, Onischuk
4.Dominguez
5.Bacrot, Pelletier

Jul-23-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ROUND 3 Standings Prediction Game:

Maximum score: 15

Score,UserID
13,cromat
13,ravel5184
11,CHESSBOOKIE
11,kolobok
10,lostemperor
9,brankat
9,Where is my mind
9,whiteshark
9,wolfmaster
9,Xenon Oxide
9,YouRang
8,ELO
8,rogge
8,suenteus po 147
8,SwitchingQuylthulg
7,amadeus
7,Aurora
7,nimh
7,percyblakeney
7,Stonehenge
5,micartouse
1,NakoSonorense

Jul-23-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Upsets? The surprise players ranking so far:

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
93,Onischuk
69,Bacrot
49,Dominguez
30,Alekseev
30,Pelletier
8,Carlsen

Jul-25-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Back to square one. Two decisive games yesterday. Biel standings are the same as round 1. The fight for first place is still fierce (as for last place) with Carlsen and Alekseev leading with 3 points followed by Onischuk and Dominguez with 2.5.
Jul-25-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the Biel Summer Quiz Question: which former world champion candidate has the longest losing streak? You may post your guesses here.

Gl.

Jul-25-08  wolfmaster: <lostemperor> Just a shot in the dark, but possibly Miroslav Filip?
Jul-26-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <wolfmaster> nope, not Miroslav Filip. Someone more recent. Thanks for your try! Anymore tries? Test your chess knowledge here. The one with the first correct answer is declared Winner Chess Question Summer 2008:)

Clue: this person has a losing streak of 10.

Jul-26-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Standings Biel halfway:

1. Carlsen, Alekseev 3.5
3. Onischuk, Dominguez 3
5. Bacrot 1.5
6. Pelletier 0.5

Jul-26-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Game Halfway Standings

maximum score: 15

Score,UserID
13,CHESSBOOKIE
13,cromat
13,kolobok
12,lostemperor
11,Stonehenge
10,ELO
9,Aurora
9,ravel5184
9,whiteshark
9,Xenon Oxidide
8,rogge
8,SwitchingQuylthulg
7,brankat
7,percyblakeney
7,Where is my mind
7,wolfmaster
7,YouRang
5,amadeus
5,micartouse
5,nimh
4,suenteus po 147
1,NakoSonorense

Jul-26-08  wolfmaster: <lostemperor> Well, since I'm the only one (so far) who's guessed, I'll guess again. Johann Hjartarson?
Jul-26-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <wolfmaster> Johann Hjartarson? Interesting indeed! He sure fits the profile. A candidate who besides very successful wins has had a fair share of losses also. Now before I go on, could you tell if there are any other reasons why you picked him? I would have asked this anyway:)
Jul-26-08  kolobok: for 1 time i am i n1 place nice usually i am dead last in your contests :)
Jul-26-08  wolfmaster: <lostemperor> Nothing more than a wild guess :)
Jul-26-08  ravel5184: Well, I'm not doing so badly after all!
Jul-27-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <kolobok>, <ravel5184> you're not the only ones having difficulties here. But persevere and you will prevail!:)
Jul-27-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: A major earthquake in Biel in round 6. carlsen, Dominguez and Bacrot won!

Standings after 6 rounds:

1. Carlsen
2. Dominguez
3. Alekseev
4. Onischuk
5. Bacrot
6. Pelletier

Jul-27-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Game Standings after the smoke clouds of round 6:

Maximum score: 15

Rank,Score,UserID
13,Aurora
13,CHESSBOOKIE
13,kolobok
12,ELO
12,SwitchingQuylthulg
11,cromat
10,lostemperor
9,percyblakeney
9,Stonehenge
9,Where is my mind
9,whiteshark
9,Xenon Oxide
9,YouRang
8,rogge
7,brankat
7,ravel5184
7,wolfmaster
5,amadeus
5,NakoSonorense
5,nimh
4,suenteus po 147
3,micartouse

Jul-27-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Summer Chess Question 2008:

<Which Grandmaster, a former world champion candidate, has the longest losing streak?>

The answer:
Johann Hjartarson

Winner of the Summer Chess Question 2008: <wolfmaster> Good sleuthing!!

Johann Hjartarson has a losing streak of 10 classical games. In 1989 Hjartarson lost the last six games of Linares followed by the first 4 games of VSB Amsterdam tournament. A record streak in negative sense!(?)

Jul-29-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ROUND 7 All games decided again. Alekseev, Dominguez and Bacrot won!

1. Dominguez 5
2. Alekseev, Carlsen 4.5
4. Bacrot 3.5
5. Onischuk 3
6. Pelletier 0.5

Jul-29-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Game Standings
Maximum score: 15

Score,UserID
13,ELO
12Aurora
12,Stonehenge
10,CHESSBOOKIE
10,kolobok
10,whiteshark
9,lostemperor
9,rogge
9,SwitchingQuylthulg
8,brankat
8,cromat
8,percyblakeney
8,wolfmaster
8,Xenon Oxide
6,amadeus
6,micartouse
6,NakoSonorense
6,ravel5184
6,Where is my mind
4,YouRang
2,nimh
1,suenteus po 147

Three rounds to go!

Jul-29-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction deviations per player:

109,Dominguez
49,Bacrot
49,Onischuk
40,Pelletier
34,Carlsen
30,Alekseev

Jul-30-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Some small changes in round 8. Projected update after round 10.
Jul-30-08  YouRang: Message for you in my forum.
Aug-01-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Winner of Biel 2008 Alekseev and Dominguez!

<Biel Final Standings>

1. Alekseev 6.5
1. Dominguez 6.5
3. Carlsen 6
4. Bacrot 5.5
5. Onischuk 4
6. Pelletier 1.5

Especially Dominguez may come as a surprise. I admit I saw him as the biggest underdog together with Pelletier at first, although he did win a super tournament in Barcelona. If you had him low on the list you may end up in the red because there are only six participants.

Carlsen, inspite of third place, did not disappoint me. From what I saw, he played great chess although sometimes a bit experimental it seems. I wouldn't say that was a sign of weakness. Au contraire!

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