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Jan-17-09
 | | lostemperor: Standings after 1(!) round will soon follow. Thanks and enjoy! |
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| Jan-17-09 | | just a kid: Is it too late to post your standings predictions? |
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Jan-17-09
 | | lostemperor: <just a kid> yes, sorry. But you can post them and still participate only excluded for the final prizes if you want! |
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Jan-17-09
 | | lostemperor: An exciting first round as always! :)
Standings after one round
1.Karjakin, Smeets
3.Radjabov, Carlsen, Aronian, Adams Stellwagen Wang Yue VanWely Dominguez Movesian Kamsky 13.Morozevich, Ivanchuk
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 101 (91 + 10 bonus)
Score,UserID
34,suenteus po 147
28,DCP23
26,SwitchingQuylthulg
23,imag
22,nimh
22,Ragh
22,yalie
21,cu8sfan
20,lostemperor
20,percyblakeney
18,chancho
18,chessmoron
18,iron maiden
18,OhioChessFan
18,YouRang
16,armenoid
16,Chnebelgrind
16,Robin01
16,TheGladiatres
15,amadeus
14,rogge
12,CHESSBOOKIE
10,Appaz
10,Aurora
10,capybara
9,ELO
8,kellmano
8,NakoSonorense |
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| Jan-18-09 | | positionalgenius: Oops! sorry.:)
1.Carlsen
2.Aronian
3.Morozevich
4.Radjabov
5.Wang yue
6.Adams
7.Ivanchuk
8.Kamsky
9.Dominiguez
10.Karjakin
11.van wely
12. Movsesian
13.stellewagen
14.smeets |
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Jan-19-09
 | | lostemperor: ROUND 2:
Corus Standings
1. Karjakin, Smeets, Movsesian 1½
4. Stellwagen, Carlsen, Aronian, Ivanchuk, Kamsky, Dominguez, Morozevich, Radjabov 1 12. van Wely, Adams, Wang 1/2
Prediction Standings after 2 rounds:
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation
Maximum score: 101
Score,UserID
43,CHESSBOOKIE
43,SwitchingQuylthulg
41,Ragh
41,YouRang
40,ELO
39,Chnebelgrind
39,kellmano
39,NakoSonorense
39,rogge
39,yalie
37,Appaz
37,Aurora
37,capybara
37,OhioChessFan
37,TheGladiatres
36,amadeus
36,cu8sfan
35,armenoid
35,chancho
35,chessmoron
33,DCP23
33,lostemperor
31,iron maiden
29,Robin01
28,imag
27,percyblakeney
27,positionalgenius
27,suenteus po 147
25,nimh |
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Jan-19-09
 | | lostemperor: <YouRang> I still use your old version of the CONMAN since I had some problems getting your new one working. It's probably me and I try to figure it out. I will let you know. |
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| Jan-19-09 | | ahmadov: Oh my God! I missed this contest as well... :( |
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Jan-19-09
 | | SwitchingQuylthulg: <ahmadov> Don't forget this passage, which I believe occurs in both the Bible and the Qur'an (at least, it definitely should): <[...] But the Lord was mightily displeased, for His creation kept bothering him with trivial matters so He couldn't concentrate on solving chess; and so it was that He called all the angels to a meeting to see if the problem couldn't be solved somehow. All morning they sat there, talking and pondering, but none of them came up with a solution without too many defects. And the Lord grew ever more displeased. At noon it came to pass that Gabriel the Archangel silenced all the others, and spake thusly: 'I see that the Great Genius, the most imaginative of us all, is not here with us; most probably he has yet again overslept, you all know what he is sometimes like. But we should forgive him that, for being a genius is hard work, and go wake him up and see if he can solve our Problem.' And so the angels did, with renewed hope.
The Great Genius listened solemnly to the angels as they explained the Problem to him. 'The solution,' he said immediately after they had finished, 'is very simple.' The angels cheered, for they liked simple solutions; the complicated ones always worried them. 'All that need be done,' the Genius continued, 'is for the Lord to make people's brains more effective, so they can take care of such trivial matters on their own.' And when the Lord heard of this solution, He was quick to see its advantages, and so He set to work; and when He was finished, He bribed the Great Genius to go down and inform the people of the new situation; for truly it had to be said that people were still slow on the uptake and couldn't be expected to figure it out on their own. And so the Genius went and spoke to all the people of the Earth. 'Do not bother the Lord your God with trivial matters like chess prediction contests any longer, for He like all bosses everywhere hates doing detailed and unimportant paperwork and has therefore given you brains so you're capable yourself.' And then he'd lower his voice to a whisper: 'Between you and me, the Lord is a touchy character, and will make you forget all the future contests for first offense. Just a healthy warning.' And this is why human brains are good enough for doing paperwork, but not much more.> |
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Jan-19-09
 | | lostemperor: <ahmadov> I did warn you but it was one month ago! Maybe, just maybe <SwitchingQuylthulg> has a true message there! :-) |
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| Jan-19-09 | | Ragh: <And so the Genius went and spoke to all the people of the Earth. 'Do not bother the Lord your God with trivial matters like chess prediction contests any longer..> Unbelievable that these chess prediction contests hold immense theological significance. |
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Jan-20-09
 | | lostemperor: Hear ye, during this Corus this forum will try to answer a non trivial matter of how deep does a chess champion thinks? A question that has been asked for ages but chess champions have always been secretive about. The champion in question will be Gari Kasparov. Especially also for people who do not engaged in such trivial matters as chess prediction contest:) More during the rest day.. |
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Jan-20-09
 | | lostemperor: ROUND 3 UPDATES: Ivanchuk and Morozevich lost again after winning yesterday. Radjabov and Kamsky were the winners! 1. Karjakin
1. Kamsky
1. Smeets
1. Radjabov
1. Movsesian 2
6. Stellwagen
6. Carlsen
6. Aronian
6. Dominguez 1½
10. Ivanchuk
10. van Wely
10. Adams
10. Morozevich
10. Wang
PREDICTION STANDINGS AFTER 3 ROUNDS:
Maximum score: 101
Rank,Score,UserID
39,suenteus po 147
37,DCP23
37,Ragh
37,SwitchingQuylthulg
35,Chnebelgrind
31,armenoid
31,chancho
31,chessmoron
31,yalie
31,YouRang
29,CHESSBOOKIE
29,NakoSonorense
29,rogge
27,Aurora
26,cu8sfan
26,ELO
25,Appaz
25,kellmano
25,lostemperor
25,OhioChessFan
23,iron maiden
23,nimh
22,amadeus
21,capybara
21,percyblakeney
21,TheGladiatres
20,imag
19,positionalgenius
17,Robin01 |
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Jan-20-09
 | | lostemperor: <suenteus po 147> has been on a roller coaster ride see-sawing up and down the list =) |
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| Jan-20-09 | | Ragh: <lostemperor: <suenteus po 147> has been on a roller coaster ride see-sawing up and down the list =)> just like Morozevich.. |
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Jan-21-09
 | | lostemperor: Roller coaster hit a straight part, at least yesterday, with all draws:) Nine rounds still! |
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Jan-21-09
 | | lostemperor: <CORUS CHESS QUESTION> Seems <yourang> entertainment puzzle has been solved in a minute orso so here a chess puzzle for Corus:): <How many moves does a top chess player, Garry Kasparov, think in advance?> This has been a question people has been asking ever since chess was invented and many world champions have been evasive about it. But Garry Kasparov has finally revealed how many moves deep he thought! This may not be his record but an (high) average of how deep a champion can think. Let’s try an example of the amount of moves a top player thinks from this Corus. The “shocker” 14. Bh6 in Carlsen - Radjabov Carlsen vs Radjabov, 2009 In order to make this move Carlsen has to think probably 13 moves in advanced and perhaps even more. He had to see 14.Bh6 Nxe5 15.Rd1 gxh6 16.Qxe5 Bf6 17.Qe2 Bxc3 18.Bxd5 Qe7 19.Qb5+ Qd7 20 Qb3, Thirteen moves is a high amount. With each move the player has to see all side variations which multiply exponentionaly. For a computer using brute force this will be into billions of possibilities. Do Carlsen or Kasparov in this puzzle usually thinks 13 moves in andvance? Or do they think less or more? Guess the amount of moves/plies Garry Kasparov use to think on an average critical position. I am not talking about Kasparov's record but what he use to do by his own admission. A move for white counting for one move and a move for black also. So if you think 13 is the answer, you post 13. The one closest to Kasparov’s own statement wins this question which has intrigued chess players for ages. Good luck. |
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| Jan-21-09 | | erebdraug: I'd say about 7 on average. (That's my final answer). Although in some positions, intuition can help to see 20 moves further (see the rook sacrifice in Kasparov-Topalov '99) |
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Jan-21-09
 | | lostemperor: <erebdraug> we are talking about Kasparov here. He would be insulted that you give him only 7 moves on an average critical position! Thanks though:-) |
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| Jan-21-09 | | zatara: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B2KK... |
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Jan-21-09
 | | lostemperor: <zatara> very interesting. But like I said champions always are secretive on how many moves they think ahead! I believe Alekhine said he thinks one move more than his opponent. But guess what on one occasion in time Kasparov did gave an exact number of moves he calculated during games/a game in that period. And that's why this is so interesting! <erebdraug> has mentioned a relevant point there: <Although in some positions, intuition can help to see 20 moves further (see the rook sacrifice in Kasparov-Topalov '99)> That Kasparov - Topalov game was certainly world famous and maybe a record deep thoughts of Kasparov, so not (necessary) relevant here. I don't know if Kasparov thought 20 moves deep there but at some point intuition is likely to take over. When that does, the moves doesn't count. I am talking about actual moves/plies,what Kasparov once claimed he thinks. I have the time and source of that interview. I need 10 replies at least on this of you chess lovers or the truth will remain out there ;-) |
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| Jan-21-09 | | YouRang: <lostemperor: <erebdraug> we are talking about Kasparov here. He would be insulted that you give him only 7 moves on an average critical position! Thanks though:-)> So much for my plan to guess 6!
How about 9?
Although personally, I'm not sure it's meaningful to state some fixed number. It's probably lower in a highly complicated position and higher in an endgameish position. Perhaps more to the point: He can usually see 1 or 2 moves further than his opponent! :-) |
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| Jan-21-09 | | Ragh: <How many moves does a top chess player, Garry Kasparov, think in advance?> Answer: <<3 to 5 moves>> in normal positions. <<12 to 14>> in positions involving forced moves. <"Normally, I would calculate three to five moves," Kasparov said. "You don't need more.... But I can go much deeper if it is required. For example, in a position involving forced moves, it's possible to look ahead as many as 12 or 14 moves"> http://www.maa.org/mathland/mathlan...
At times, may be, <<15 moves ahead>>. Don't press on further coz, <it irritates Kasparov when people ask him how many moves he can see ahead, since the question implies that great chess talent can be reduced to a trick of memory or math. And even though computers fascinate Kasparov, he reserves his harshest criticism for those who fail to trust their human intuition. Chess is not merely calculation, he notes; it requires creativity, understanding of psychology, exhaustive preparation (Kasparov relished the thought that while he was studying, his rivals were asleep), and sheer competitive drive. But even if you have those, could you visualize the game-winning position <15 moves ahead>, as Kasparov once did?> http://www.portfolio.com/executives... There you go, <lostemperor>, 3 answers to your one question :) |
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| Jan-21-09 | | YouRang: Sometimes I can think 30 plies ahead too, although that's mostly in cases where both sides are shuffling their king back and forth... |
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Jan-21-09
 | | lostemperor: For the record guys, so that we don't have misunderstandings, i stated that a move for white counts for one move and a move for black also. So better we talk about PLY ("or socalled half a move") So the question should be <How many PLIES does a top chess player, Garry Kasparov, think in advance?> What I see from all the Kasparov interviews given above is that Kasparov see a move for white and black as ONE move where I consider them as two moves/plies. So we have a misunderstanding here. In the youtube interview he said he can think up to 10 moves, what would be 20 plies. In the links given by <Ragh> Kasparov said he can think up to 12 - 14 moves, what would indicate 28 PLIES. But these are all records, top players can think on rare occasions as Kasparov also indicates! What I want to know is what he claimed he can usually think! The 15 moves (30 plies) Kasparov is also have claimed to thinking in from his famous Topalov game with the rook sacrifice what <erebdraug> mentioned. I found this link here at a chessgames kibitz on this game http://medlem.spray.se/tal0/replay/... and it said that when Kasparov made 24. Rxd4!! he said that he has thought till move 31 what would be 15 PLIES. But when walking he saw the whole variation in his head up till move 37, 38 what would be 28 till 30 PLIES which corresponds with that claim that Kasparov has thought 30 PLIES/15 moves in advanced although NOT while making the move but while walking. I have that also that I see things clearer when I walk to the toilet! :) So this is NOT relevant since Kasparov was talking that he can think up to 14 moves or 28 PLIES at some positions, what is true but NOT happening very frequently! How many PLIES did Kasparov once claimed he thinks during a chessgame in general. So not his record. He made this claim before the Topalov game of 1999.
So I record 7 PLIES <erebdraug> (right?), 9 PLIES <yourang>. I don't quite have your reply <Ragh> other than the record 28-30 PLIES what I can say is not the answer to what Kasparov claimed he usually thinks. He doesn't usually think 30 PLIES in advance, that's for certain! Maybe only once in his life. Hope I clarify myself more <;) |
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