User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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♙♙♙
♙♙

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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 83 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Nov-05-09		zarg: 1.Carlsen 2.Aronian 3.Kramnik 4.Svidler 5.Anand 6.Gelfand 7.Ivanchuk 8.Leko 9.Morozevich 10.Ponomariov

Nov-05-09		lostemperor: <corbulo> you missed Big Boris Gelfand! Can you post his ranking still.

Nov-05-09		lostemperor: <corbulo> since you forgot him I will put Gelfand 10th at your predictions.

Nov-05-09		lostemperor: ROUND 1. All games drawn! make the following special standings after round 1 (in random order): 1. Anand 1. Aronian 1. Carlsen 1. Kramnik 1. Leko 1. Ivanchuk 1. Gelfand 1. Morozevich 1. Svidler 1. Ponomariov Everyone shared first/last!

Nov-05-09		lostemperor: PREDICTION RANKINGS AFTER ROUND 1 Nothing much to say in the predictions'rankings except that after these rare result <SwitchingQuylthulg> drew first blood! Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 34,SwitchingQuylthulg 29,kellmano 26,DCP23 26,firebyrd 26,jessicafischerqueen 26,lostemperor 26,moronovich 26,nimh 26,OhioChessFan 26,Ragh 26,SloVice 26,suenteus po 147 26,Thorski 26,yalie 25,Aurora 25,chancho 25,CHESSBOOKIE 25,chessmoron 25,corbulo 25,ELO 25,Ezzy 25,Jafar219 25,NakoSonorense 25,offramp 25,positionalgenius 25,Robin01 25,rogge 25,TheGladiatres 25,Where is my mind 25,Winter 25,YouRang 25,zarg

Nov-05-09		lostemperor: The big money winners after round 1 in the PAIR BETTING RANKER: Earnings$,UserID 207.97,SwitchingQuylthulg 100.47,corbulo 89.34,lostemperor 52.73,suenteus po 147 50.14,DCP23 28.73,kellmano 17.57,Thorski 13.80,yalie 11.70,Ragh 10.14,jessicafischerqueen 10.07,firebyrd -4.87,SloVice -11.53,Aurora -12.33,Robin01 -13.93,TheGladiatres -16.52,moronovich -17.36,Where is my mind -17.63,ELO -17.63,offramp -19.27,nimh -32.60,OhioChessFan -39.00,chancho -39.00,CHESSBOOKIE -39.00,chessmoron -39.00,Ezzy -39.00,Jafar219 -39.00,NakoSonorense -39.00,positionalgenius -39.00,rogge -39.00,Winter -39.00,YouRang -39.00,zarg Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $32.00,Anand-equal-Leko, SwitchingQuylthulg $32.00,Anand-equal-Morozevich, Thorski $32.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, corbulo $32.00,Aronian-equal-Ponomariov, suenteus po 147 $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Gelfand, suenteus po 147 $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, corbulo $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Svidler, DCP23 $32.00,Gelfand-equal-Kramnik, SwitchingQuylthulg

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: The funny but interesting PAIR BETTINGS look at every possible pair of players in the tournament. So if Gelfand finishes ahead of Aronian and you are the only one to predict this correctly, you will get $1 from every participant. There must be 39 possible pairs in this tournament. Since every one shares first place in Moscow after the first round you will have only losses if you didn't have shared rankings in your predictions. Things can be totally different after today's round I suppose. This looks a bit like the Betting Ranker in <YouRang>'s Prediction Contest. What is not so surprising since he came up this Pair Betting idea!:)

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: A detail is that virtual contestant ELO (the live ratings of October 21 as given) and CHESSBOOKIE do participate as real persons, in the Pair Bettings. Hopefully they are not so unorthodox in their expectations as to take away money in case you have a "jackpot". For the platform these virtual contestants can only get honourary medals however.

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: <CHESSBOOKIE> is the betting odds order of the ChessBookie game: 1. Carlsen 2. Anand 3. Kramnik 4. Aronian 5. Ivanchuk 6. Morozevich 7. Leko 8. Svidler 9. Ponomariov 10. Gelfand For the exact odds check Tal Memorial: Winner. A detail here; in the leaderboard of the Bookie Game <SwitchingQuylthulg> happens to be leading with 13,341 chess bucks:)

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: The average predictions here: AvgRnk,Player,HighestRank,LowestRank 2.22,Carlsen,1.0,10.0 2.97,Aronian,1.0,7.0 3.42,Kramnik,1.0,6.0 3.48,Anand,1.5,8.5 6.34,Ivanchuk,2.0,10.0 6.55,Morozevich,1.0,10.0 6.81,Leko,3.0,10.0 6.91,Svidler,2.5,10.0 7.45,Gelfand,2.5,10.0 8.84,Ponomariov,6.0,10.0 Enjoy the tournament and the contest all, especially those who participate!

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: <ROUND 2 UPDATE> All games drawn again! Everything stays the same :)

Nov-06-09		lostemperor: Gives me opportunity to post the SQUARE RANKER I'have been saving for another drawn day :-) This is if your predictions deviations is squared. <SQUARE RANKER AFTER 2 ROUNDS>: Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 276,SwitchingQuylthulg 265,lostemperor 258,corbulo 254,DCP23 253,kellmano 252,Ragh 251,jessicafischerqueen 251,SloVice 251,suenteus po 147 251,Thorski 251,yalie 250,Aurora 250,ELO 250,firebyrd 250,moronovich 250,offramp 249,nimh 249,Robin01 249,TheGladiatres 249,Where is my mind 248,chancho 248,CHESSBOOKIE 248,chessmoron 248,Ezzy 248,Jafar219 248,NakoSonorense 248,OhioChessFan 248,positionalgenius 248,rogge 248,Winter 248,YouRang 248,zarg

Nov-06-09		OhioChessFan: Hey, I'm just like Carlsen. Tied for last!.

Nov-07-09		lostemperor: Well Carlsen is not last anymore now :)

Nov-07-09		lostemperor: Three decisive games today! Round 3: Morozevich - Kramnik 0-1 Gelfand - Carlsen 1/2 Aronian - Leko 1-0 Ivanchuk - Ponomariov 1/2 Anand - Svidler 1-0

Nov-07-09		lostemperor: <ROUND 3> standings: 1-3 Anand 1-3 Aronian 1-3 Kramnik 4-7 Carlsen 4-7 Gelfand 4-7 Ivanchuk 4-7 Ponomariov 8-10 Leko 8-10 Morozevich 8-10 Svidler

Nov-07-09		lostemperor: <TAL MEMORIAL PREDICTION STANDINGS ROUND 3> The initiative for <Ezzy> and <suenteus po 147> Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 38,Ezzy 38,suenteus po 147 37,yalie 32,lostemperor 32,Winter 32,YouRang 31,chancho 31,firebyrd 30,OhioChessFan 29,Aurora 29,Ragh 29,rogge 29,SwitchingQuylthulg 29,zarg 28,CHESSBOOKIE 28,chessmoron 28,corbulo 28,ELO 28,nimh 28,offramp 28,Where is my mind 27,positionalgenius 25,NakoSonorense 25,TheGladiatres 24,moronovich 23,SloVice 19,kellmano 18,Thorski 17,jessicafischerqueen 15,DCP23 14,Jafar219 14,Robin01

Nov-07-09		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER: Earnings,UserID 78.33,suenteus po 147 48.39,corbulo 22.09,yalie 16.99,SwitchingQuylthulg 15.65,lostemperor 10.16,ELO 10.16,offramp 8.14,firebyrd 6.46,Ezzy -0.26,DCP23 -0.87,YouRang -1.43,nimh -2.03,positionalgenius -3.49,chessmoron -3.53,chancho -6.35,SloVice -7.57,OhioChessFan -7.63,NakoSonorense -8.19,Aurora -8.78,moronovich -8.87,Winter -9.44,Ragh -10.53,kellmano -10.82,Where is my mind -11.14,zarg -12.58,rogge -12.88,Thorski -13.66,jessicafischerqueen -14.00,CHESSBOOKIE -16.87,TheGladiatres -18.18,Jafar219 -27.24,Robin01 Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Gelfand, suenteus po 147 (Jackpot) $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, corbulo (Jackpot) $16.00,Aronian-equal-Kramnik, corbulo + kellmano (Semi-Jackpot) $10.67,Gelfand-equal-Ivanchuk, DCP23 + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg $10.67,Morozevich-below-Ponomariov, positionalgenius + suenteus po 147 + SwitchingQuylthulg

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: <ROUND 4 UPDATE> Kramnik beats Svidler Standings: Actual standings: 1. Kramnik 2. Aronian 2. Anand 4-7 Carlsen 4-7 Gelfand 4-7 Ivanchuk 4-7 Ponomariov 8-9 Leko 8-9 Morozevich 10. Svidler

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: TAL MEMORIAL 2009 PREDICTION STANDINGS 4 Absolute Ranker: <Ezzy> on pole position. Maximum score: 50 Score,UserID 38,Ezzy 37,suenteus po 147 37,yalie 33,YouRang 32,chancho 32,lostemperor 31,Winter 30,firebyrd 29,OhioChessFan 28,Aurora 28,corbulo 28,ELO 28,offramp 27,CHESSBOOKIE 27,chessmoron 27,nimh 27,Ragh 27,rogge 27,SwitchingQuylthulg 27,Where is my mind 27,zarg 26,positionalgenius 24,NakoSonorense 24,TheGladiatres 23,moronovich 23,SloVice 19,kellmano 17,DCP23 17,Thorski 16,Jafar219 16,jessicafischerqueen 15,Robin01

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: <Square Ranker 4> Here <suenteus po 147> took the small lead. Square Ranker Maximum score: 330 Score,UserID 304,suenteus po 147 302,yalie 300,Ezzy 286,lostemperor 279,chancho 279,YouRang 273,Winter 271,OhioChessFan 267,chessmoron 264,corbulo 264,firebyrd 260,Aurora 258,CHESSBOOKIE 257,Ragh 257,Where is my mind 255,ELO 255,nimh 255,offramp 255,positionalgenius 247,SwitchingQuylthulg 246,rogge 240,zarg 234,SloVice 231,TheGladiatres 230,moronovich 216,NakoSonorense 204,Thorski 200,jessicafischerqueen 189,kellmano 182,DCP23 182,Robin01 171,Jafar219

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: <Pair Betting Ranker 4> Earnings,UserID 66.84,suenteus po 147 26.35,yalie 20.39,corbulo 14.17,Ezzy 12.40,firebyrd 10.82,lostemperor 6.31,chancho 5.31,DCP23 4.99,SwitchingQuylthulg 4.22,chessmoron 3.40,YouRang 2.77,positionalgenius -0.24,ELO -0.24,offramp -0.63,OhioChessFan -1.69,Winter -5.17,nimh -5.50,NakoSonorense -6.55,Where is my mind -6.73,jessicafischerqueen -6.82,CHESSBOOKIE -8.34,Jafar219 -8.47,zarg -8.78,moronovich -10.62,SloVice -11.30,TheGladiatres -12.19,Aurora -12.58,rogge -13.44,Ragh -14.74,Thorski -19.53,Robin01 -24.40,kellmano Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Gelfand, suenteus po 147 $32.00,Carlsen-equal-Ivanchuk, corbulo $10.67,Gelfand-equal-Ivanchuk, DCP23 + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg $10.67,Morozevich-below-Ponomariov, positionalgenius + suenteus po 147 + SwitchingQuylthulg $8.00,Leko-below-Ponomariov, chessmoron + firebyrd + suenteus po 147 + yalie $8.00,Ponomariov-above-Svidler, firebyrd + suenteus po 147 + yalie + YouRang

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: Tomorrow is a rest day. Five rounds to go!

Nov-08-09		lostemperor: Svidler last after all after 4 rounds :o)

Nov-08-09		Where is my mind: Thats a surprise! OK... not to everyone.Svidler has played both Kramnik and Anand with black,so it can only get easier from here ;-)

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