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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Aug-17-17
Biel 2017 Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
Biel (2017)

Official site: http://bielchessfestival.ch/Homepag...

Live games:
http://www.nrk.no/sport/sjakk/

Alternative live games: http://worldchess.com/broadcasts/eu...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

http://mrwgifs.com/wp-content/uploa... Bold strategy

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 36052 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Aug-16-17 Kasparov vs I Nepomniachtchi, 2017 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Jamboree> I thought the same thing. No question I'd try Rxh7+ before resigning.
 
   Aug-16-17 DeFirmian vs Huebner, 1995 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I think the Monday and Wednesday puzzles got switched this week.
 
   Aug-15-17 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz (Rapid) (2017) (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Enough of the hand wringing. Any of these players could finish first or last. That's the nature of the faster time controls. I didn't want to see Kaspy lose a succession of games, but otherwise, I'm just happy he's participating.
 
   Aug-15-17 Penguincw chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: https://thechive.files.wordpress.co...
 
   Aug-15-17 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Granny has it going on: https://thechive.files.wordpress.co...
 
   Aug-15-17 Kenneth S Rogoff (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: cormier quotes Francis: <There is then another very beautiful sign of the baptismal liturgy that reminds us of the importance of light. At the end of the Rite, the parents if it is a child or the baptized themselves if they are adults are consigned a candle, whose ...
 
   Aug-15-17 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, that is awesome. I wouldn't begin to have the patience to do all that work.
 
   Aug-14-17 Aronian vs Navara, 2017 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I can undestand Qd8, wanting to defend the f Pawn, and keeping an eye on e7, but that was what led to the smashing attack.
 
   Aug-14-17 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks <GE>
 
   Aug-14-17 lostemperor chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda. Just for kicks, I reversed my picks and discovered I'd have won gold in the Absolute Ranker. And I'd have shared all the jackpots <Penguin> hit. Maybe I'll make my picks next time, flip a coin to see if I'll use them or reverse them. Can't do any worse than ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 622 OF 622 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 9:

Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 52
So - Anand 1/2 30
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 31
Svidler - Caruana 1/2 30
Carlsen - Aronian 1/2 54

Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Round 9

Vachier-Lagrave-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 42
So-Anand 1/2 30
Nakamura-Karjakin 1/2 43
Svidler-Caruana 1/2 33
Carlsen-Aronian 1/2 47

Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 8 Recap **

An amazing round, as <WinKing> has moved to the lead in 2 Rankers. <wordfunph> holds the lead in 1, and <GE> continues his long hold on the lead in Bonus Ranker. <bubulli> has hit a #1, so only <OCF> is left with a 0 on the board.

In other news, <OhioChessFan> earned The Dreaded <chessmoron> Glare for missing that round. <OCF> explained, "But moron, I am working strange hours and am not used to them." <chessmoron> glared. <OCF> continued, I am working 10-12 hours a day, and working out at the gym an hour and a half a day." <chessmoron> glared. <OCF> pleaded, "Surely you understand how life can get in the way of this contest!" <chessmoron> glared. <OCF> said, "Uhh, I think I got sick from some doughnuts I ate." <chessmoron> glared.

And we're to the final round. All contestants are primed and ready. Most the Rankers are within reach of someone having a strong round and overtaking the leaders. <chessmoron> is working on his patented glare for anyone who'd have the nerve not to make their predictions this round. The excitement is palpable, and the crowd rises..........

Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Round 9 games have started.
Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I know I'm in a minority, but I do prefer this contest to the Games Prediction Contest. As one example why, a gold medal for picking a grand total of 2 decisive games out of 45? Yawn.
Aug-11-17  chessmoron: ♔ Sinquefield 2017: <FINAL Round> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Aronian, 1-0 in 52 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<MVL-Nepo, 1-0 in 52 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '42']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan32', '1-0', '41'], ['bubuli55', '1-0', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['offramp', '1-0', '58']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '31'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<So-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '30'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

===

<Svidler-Caruana, 1-0 in 44 moves.>--No one got it!

Aug-11-17  chessmoron: FINAL Round Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 7 points: <Golden Executive>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

♔ 52, WinKing, 0, 6, 1
♘ 44, wordfunph, 3, 5, 0
♗ 41, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 4, 1
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~
29, Robin01, 5, 2, 0
27, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 2, 1
27, chessmoron, 0, 1, 2
19, offramp, 4, 1, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 0
13, Golden Executive, 2, 1, 0
13, juan31, 1, 0, 1
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0
7, bubuli55, 0, 1, 0
0, juniper anole, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

♔ 67, Golden Executive, 4, 2, 7, 4
♘ 41, WinKing, 1, 3, 2, 4
♗ 33, chessmoron, 3, 2, 4, 1
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~
32, juan31, 7, 1, 1, 3
26, bubuli55, 1, 1, 1, 3
26, Robin01, 3, 4, 3, 0
24, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 8, 0, 1
23, Penguincw, 4, 1, 1, 2
22, wordfunph, 0, 5, 0, 2
21, OhioChessFan, 3, 1, 2, 1
18, offramp, 4, 2, 2, 0
12, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 2
1, juniper anole, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <FINAL Round>

Score, UserID

♔ 93, WinKing
♘ 80, Golden Executive
♗ 66, wordfunph
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~
60, chessmoron
55, Robin01
53, SwitchingQuylthulg
51, alfamikewhiskey
45, juan31
37, offramp
35, OhioChessFan
33, bubuli55
33, Penguincw
1, juniper anole

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <FINAL Round>

Score,UserID

♔ 8, wordfunph
♘ 7, Robin01
♘ 7, WinKing
♗ 6, SwitchingQuylthulg
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~
5, offramp
4, alfamikewhiskey
3, chessmoron
3, Golden Executive
2, juan31
2, OhioChessFan
2, Penguincw
1, bubuli55
0, juniper anole

Aug-11-17  chessmoron: ♙<WINNER'S CORNER>

♔♔♘♘ <WinKing> Sinq17:StdMvRnk(1) + BonusRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(1) + 1stRanker(2t)

♔♘♗ <wordfunph> Sinq17:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(1)

♔♘ <Golden Executive> Sinq17:BonusRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(2)

♗♗ <SwitchingQuylthulg> Sinq17:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(3)

<Robin01> Sinq17:1stRanker(2t)

<chessmoron> Sinq17:BonusRnk(3)

Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  alfamikewhiskey: Thanks for running the contest and congrats to the winners!
Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Thank you <chessmoron and OhioChessFan> for the contest, congratulations to all.
Aug-11-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  wordfunph: <chessmoron and OhioChessFan> i appreciate all your effort, thanks a bunch!

<all winners> cheers!

Aug-11-17  chessmoron: <In other news, <OhioChessFan> earned The Dreaded <chessmoron> Glare for missing that round.>

What's funny is that until you mentioned it, I was not even aware that you didn't post your prediction for round 8. :D

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks for all the hard work <chessmoron> running three contests in a row. Time for you to take in a little R&R. Thanks <Ohio Chess Fan> for recapping the rounds & hosting the event.

Congratulations to all of the medalists! Special grats to <Golden Executive> & <wordfunph> each picking up a gold medal! I felt like I was up against a 'tag team' trying to win my medals. You guys made me work a little harder this time around. ;)

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Final Recap **

<WinKing> held on to take 2 gold medals. <GE> had a firm hold of the Bonus Ranker gold and never let up. <wordfunph> held off a late charge by several others to take the #1 Ranker gold. <OhioChessFan> is breathing easy after finally hitting a #1 to get the 0's off the scoreboard, and also finding out that <chessmoron> isn't ready to dunk him.

Thanks to everyone for playing, to the starters, and to <chessmoron> for scoring. It was a lot of work to hit those 3 tournaments in quick succession and it's much appreciated.

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Well done to the winners, and thank you to Chessmoron and OhioChessFan for their efforts and calculations!
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed this one guys. Congrats to the winners!
Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < OhioChessFan: I know I'm in a minority, but I do prefer this contest to the Games Prediction Contest. As one example why, a gold medal for picking a grand total of 2 decisive games out of 45? Yawn. >

I think I like this contest better too. Maybe because it's I've earned more medals here, but I do like the smaller numbers (feels like a community here). Each contest is however, unique in its own way.

The contest over at <GE>, well, it might be cheesy to do so, but even if you have a bad tournament, you're still in medal contention. This contest, if you've had a bad tournament, tough luck. But it happens.

But since I actively participate in all 3 contests, obviously I like them all. I may have preferences, but I'm sure that's normal.

Aug-12-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks <chessmoron> for hosting another great tournament, and thanks to <OCF> for making it possible. Congrats to the winners, hope to see you next time.

Normally I would ask when's the next one, but I think you should take a well deserved break now. So I'll ask later.

Aug-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  bubuli55: Congrats to the winners! And thanks OhioChessFan and chessmoron for running the show. I was up against a formidable field. I hope to do better next time.
Aug-13-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Thanks <chessmoron> and <OCF> for the show!

Congratulations to all the winners and particularly to <WinKing> on his double-crown and on this:

$$$$<Gold Leaderboard (10 Golds or more to qualify)>$$$$$

(Updated - Aug. 13, 2017)

1t. - SwitchingQuylthulg - 26G's-cm, 10G's-GE, 9G's-le, 1G-TLS <(46 Golds)>

1t. - WinKing - 32G's-cm, 11G's-GE, 2G's-le 1G-TLS <(46 Golds)>

User: WinKing

Wow, well, now we all know who are the guys to beat next time ;)

See you all at the next contest!

Aug-15-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: I have just taken the time to update chessmoron's HOF. I started from the beginning of OCF's forum the 2009 Corus tournament & went through all of the contests to make sure nothing was missed. Took about 12 hours but I did find a few things that were missing. I have posted it in my forum. Now if we can just get <lostemperor> to up date his HOF we will be all set. <Golden Executive>'s HOF is meticulous no work needed there.
Aug-15-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Here is your history OCF. I did one for everybody. If anyone wants to see theirs just let me know.

♔17♘15♗28 <OhioChessFan>

**********

1 - 1 - 4 = 6

Cor09:StdMvRnk(2t) + StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(1t)//

Dor09:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(3t)//

PSpr09:BonusRnk(3)//

**********

1 - 3 - 3 = 7

Cor10:BonusRnk(1)//

Lin10:StdMvRnk(3)+ 1stRanker(3t)//

Pearl10:StdMvRnk(3) + BonusRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(2) + 1stRanker(2t)//

**********

3 - 0 - 4 = 7

Tat11:StdMvRnk(1) + BonusRnk(3) + StdMv/Bonus(1) + 1stRanker(1)//

Bil11:1stRanker(3t)//

Tal11: BonusRnk(3)//

LCC11:StdMvRnk(3t)//

**********

0 - 1 - 3 = 4

Tat12:1stRanker(2t)//

Biel12:BonusRnk(3t) + 1stRanker(3t)//

Bil12:1stRanker(3t)//

**********

8 - 1 - 3 = 12

Tat13:BonusRnk(2t)//

Cand13:StdMvRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(1) + 1stRanker(1t)//

Nor13:StdMvRnk(1) + BonusRnk(3) + StdMv/Bonus(1) + 1stRanker(1)//

Tal13:StdMv/Bonus(3t) + 1stRanker(3t)//

Dor13:BonusRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(1)//

**********

0 - 1 - 2 = 3

Dor14:StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(3t)//

Sinq14:1stRanker(2t)//

**********

2 - 1 - 3 = 6

Tat15:StdMvRnk(3) + 1stRanker(3)//

Nor15:1stRanker(3)//

LCC15:StdMvRnk(1) + StdMv/Bonus(2) + 1stRanker(1t)//

**********

2 - 4 - 2 = 8

Tata16:StdMvRnk(2) + BonusRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(1) + 1stRanker(2t)//

Cand16:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3t) + 1stRanker(1)//

Nor16:BonusRnk(3)//

**********

0 - 3 - 4 = 7

Gash17:StdMvRnk(2) + StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(2)//

Dor17:BonusRnk(3) + StdMv/Bonus(3t)//

Biel17:StdMv/Bonus(3) + 1stRanker(2t)

**********

60 medals - 17 Golds, 15 Silvers, 28 Bronze

Aug-15-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Wow, that is awesome. I wouldn't begin to have the patience to do all that work.
Aug-15-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Big Pawn: <ohio>, let me know what you think of that book on critical thinking.
Aug-15-17  Nina Myers: <critical thinking.> Give it a try, Big Pawn!
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