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Jul-02-20
 | | beatgiant: <alexmagnus>
<two peaks>
That's another interesting question which I could tackle in another month. But I don't think it will change my current analysis much. My next step was to look at the number of 28 through 36 year olds among the top players during the 1920's and 1930's to find post-WWI evidence of a lost generation. If 27 and 37 are the real peaks, it might shift the period of the effect by a year or two at most. |
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Aug-02-20
 | | alexmagnus: The August list finally has some, even though very slight, changes, due to the Biel tournament. Therefore my regional lists can be updated.
European Union:
1. Vachier-Lagrave 2778
2. Giri 2764
3. Rapport 2760
4. Duda 2753
5. Topalov 2735
6. Navara 2719
7. Wojtaszek 2717
8. Vallejo 2710
9. Anton 2688
10. Almasi 2687
Former Soviet Union:
1. Nepomniachtchi 2787
2. Grischuk 2777
3. Aronian 2773
4. Radjabov 2765
5. Mamedyarov 2764
6. Karjakin 2752
7. Andreikin 2726
8. Svidler 2723
9. Vitiugov 2722
10. Artemiev 2716
Former British Empire:
1. Caruana 2835
2. So 2770
3. Dominguez 2758
4. Anand 2753
5. Nakamura 2736
6. Harikrishna 2732
7. Vidit 2726
8. Xiong 2709
9. Adams 2706
10. Sadler 2694
Asia:
1. Ding 2791
2. Wang 2763
3. Anand 2753
4-5. Harikrishna 2732
4-5. Wei 2732
6. Vidit 2726
7-8. Le 2709
7-8. Yu 2709
9. Bu 2705
10. Li 2683
Born later than the world champion:
1. Caruana 2835
2. Ding 2791
3. So 2770
4. Giri 2764
5. Rapport 2760
6. Duda 2753
7. Wei 2732
8. Firouzja 2728
9. Vidit 2726
10. Artemiev 2716 |
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Aug-02-20
 | | alexmagnus: Nuclear powers:
1. Caruana 2835
2. Ding 2791
3. Nepomniahcthi 2784
4. Vachier-Lagrave 2778
5. Grischuk 2777
6. So 2770
7. Wang 2763
8. Dominguez 2758
9. Anand 2753
10. Karjakin 2752 |
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Aug-02-20
 | | beatgiant: <alexmagnus>
OK I will update my regional lists too, and post some more of my conclusions about the lost generation effect in the 1930's, when time permits. |
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Aug-03-20
 | | beatgiant: As noted above, changes are few this time, so I called out each one as noticed. Post-Communist (except USSR, China):
1. Rapport 2760
2. Duda 2753
3. Topalov 2735
4. Navara 2719
5. Wojtaszek 2717
6. Le 2709
7. Almasi 2687
8. Leko 2663
9. Berkes 2661
10. Lupulescu 2656
Change: Wojtaszek down 2 points
Latin America:
1. Cori 2652
2-3. Granda Zuniga 2630
2-3. Pichot 2630
4. Mareco 2629
5. Delgado Ramirez 2621
6. Martinez Alcantara 2620
7. Iturrizaga Bonelli 2607
8. Henriquez Villagra 2600
9-10. Bachmann 2599
9-10. Flores 2599
Change: Bruzon Batista changed federation to US and dropped off list Middle East:
1. Amin 2686
2. Salem 2682
3-4. Gelfand 2676
3-4. Maghsoodloo 2676
5. Ipatov 2644
6. Sutovsky 2640
7. Nabaty 2635
8. Yilmaz 2630
9. Tabatabaei 2629
10. Adly 2615
No change
Old Guard:
1. Anand 2753
2. Topalov 2735
3. Svider 2723
4. Adams 2706
5. Sadler 2694
6. Almasi 2687
7. Ivanchuk 2678
8. Gelfand 2676
9. Kamsky 2674
10. Malakhov 2669
Change: Adams up 5 points
Semi-EU:
1. Carlsen 2863
2. Adams 2706
3. Sadler 2694
4. McShane 2680
5. Jones 2670
6. Howell 2663
7. Short 2626
8. Tari 2625
9. Christiansen 2616
10. Hammer 2608
11. Milov 2605
12. Pelletier 2581
13. Gretarsson 2579
14. Studer 2573
15. Bogner 2571
Changes: Adams up 5, Tari down 9, Christiansen up 4, Studer down 7 points |
|
Oct-01-20
 | | alexmagnus: October:
European Union:
1. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
2. Giri 2764
3. Rapport 2759
4. Duda 2757
5. Topalov 2735
6. Vallejo 2721
7. Navara 2707
8. Wojtaszek 2705
9. Almasi 2687
10. Anton 2681
Former Soviet Union:
1. Nepomniachtchi 2784
2. Grischuk 2777
3. Mamedyarov 2770
4. Aronian 2767
5. Radjabov 2765
6. Karjakin 2752
7. Andreikin 2726
8. Svidler 2723
9. Vitiugov 2722
10. Artemiev 2716
Former British Empire:
1. Caruana 2828
2. So 2770
3. Dominguez 2758
4. Anand 2753
5. Nakamura 2736
6. Harikrishna 2732
7. Vidit 2726
8. Adams 2716
9. Xiong 2709
10. Sadler 2694
Asia:
1. Ding 2791
2. Wang 2763
3. Anand 2753
4-5. Harikrishna 2732
4-5. Wei 2732
6. Vidit 2726
7-8. Le 2709
7-8. Yu 2709
9. Bu 2705
10. Li 2683
Born later than the world champion:
1. Caruana 2828
2. Ding 2791
3. So 2770
4. Giri 2764
5. Rapport 2759
6. Dubov 2757
7. Wei 2732
8. Firouzja 2728
9. Vidit 2726
10. Artemiev 2716
Nuclear powers:
1. Caruana 2828
2. Ding 2791
3-4. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
3-4. Nepomniachtchi 2784
5. Grischuk 2777
6. So 2770
7. Wang 2763
8. Dominguez 2758
9. Anand 2753
10. Karjakin 2752 |
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Oct-31-20
 | | beatgiant: I haven't been able to post as often as I like, but my Halloween-themed list was well received last year, so I'm putting up a new one now. Criteria: Active on the Nov. 2020 FIDE list, name can be somehow connected with Halloween, and not already featured in my 2019 Halloween list. Happy Halloween, but make sure you don't accept "Pascal's Wager" with #6! 1. Trikas 1005
2. Orr 2080
3. Triet 1628 (Vo, Minh Triet)
4. Pankin, Y. 2133
5. Masker, E. 2002
6. Hell, Pascal 2155
7. Fier, A. 2558
8. Wolf, Man. 2005
9. Gravemaker 2111
10. Bludsky 1163 |
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Oct-31-20
 | | OhioChessFan: I give up. What's the Halloween reference?
4. Pankin, Y. 2133 |
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Oct-31-20
 | | OhioChessFan: Upon further review, pumpkin>punkin>pankin? |
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Oct-31-20
 | | beatgiant: <OhioChessFan>
I agree some of these are pretty tenuous, so I'd better post the explanations. 1-3 are supposed to suggest "trick or treat."
4, you guessed it, "pumpkin."
5 is supposed to suggest mask wearing.
6 speaks for itself.
7 is supposed to suggest "fear."
8 is supposed to suggest "wolf man" or "wolfman," both of which have been used as titles of werewolf-themed horror movies. Yes it's a bit of a stretch - the player's name is actually Manfred Wolf. 9 speaks for itself.
10 is supposed to suggest "bloody." |
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Nov-01-20
 | | alexmagnus: November:
European Union:
1. Vachier-LAgrave 2784
2. Giri 2764
3. Rapport 2759
4. Duda 2743
5. Topalov 2735
6. Vallejo 2710
7. Wojtaszek 2705
8. Navara 2697
9. Cheparinov 2688
10. Almasi 2687
Former Soviet Union:
1. Nepomniachtchi 2784
2. Aronian 2781
3. Grischuk 2777
4. Mamedyarov 2770
5. Radjabov 2765
6. Kramnik 2753
7. Karjakin 2752
8. Andreikin 2726
9. Svidler 2723
10. Vitiugov 2722
Former British Empire:
1. Caruana 2823
2. So 2770
3. Dominguez 2758
4. Anand 2753
5. Nakamura 2736
6. Harikrishna 2732
7. Vidit 2726
8. Adams 2716
9. Xiong 2709
10. Sadler 2694
Asia:
1. Ding 2791
2. Wang 2763
3. Anand 2753
4-5. Harikrishna 2732
4-5. Wei 2732
6. Vidit 2726
7-8. Le 2709
7-8. Yu 2709
9. Bu 2705
10. Li 2683
Born later than the world champion:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3. So 2770
4. Giri 2764
5. Rapport 2759
6. Firouzja 2749
7. Duda 2743
8. Wei 2732
9. Vidit 2726
10-12. Le 2709
10-12. Xiong 2709
10-12. Yu 2709
Nuclear powers:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3-4. Nepomniachtchi 2784
3-4. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
5. Grischuk 2777
6. So 2770
7. Wang 2763
8. Dominguez 2758
9-10. Anand 2753
9-10. Karjakin 2753 |
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Nov-30-20
 | | beatgiant: Since this is the last month with the UK in the Semi-EU, I'm not sure it will continue to be an interesting category going forward, since it will be reduced to a subset of Nordic/Baltic plus Switzerland. To mark the end of this era, I'm posting an extended Semi-EU list this time. Decmeber 2020 Semi-EU
Qualifications: active player from Norway, Iceland, Switzerland, or (until end of this month) the UK 1. Carlsen 2862
2. Adams 2716
3. Sadler 2694
4. McShane 2674
5. Jones 2670
6. Howell 2658
7. Short 2626
8. Tari 2618
9. Christiansen 2610
10. Hammer 2608
11. Milov 2607
12. Studer 2588
13. Pelletier 2581
14. Bogner 2577
15. Gretarsson 2576
16. Hawkins 2570
17-18. Nunn 2568
17-18. Urkedal 2568
19. Georgiadis 2553
20. Agdestein 2552
21. Fontaine 2550
22. Pert 2548
23. Stefansson 2536
24. Hjartarson 2525
25. Lie, K. 2520
26. Danielsen 2517
27. Olafsson 2511
28. Steingrimsson 2510
29. Turner 2509
30. Gordon 2506 |
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Dec-01-20 | | Everett: Amazing that Adams is still #2 |
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Dec-03-20
 | | alexmagnus: December:
European Union:
1. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
2. Giri 2764
3. Rapport 2759
4. Duda 2743
5. Topalov 2735
6. Vallejo 2710
7. Wojtaszek 2705
8. Navara 2697
9. Almasi 2687
10. Ragger 2680
Former Soviet Union:
1. Nepomniachtchi 2784
2. Aronian 2781
3. Grischuk 2777
4. Mamedyarov 2770
5. Radjabov 2765
6. Kramnik 2753
7. Karjakin 2752
8. Andreikin 2725
9. Svidler 2723
10. Vitiugov 2720
Former British Empire:
1. Caruana 2823
2. So 2770
3. Dominguez 2758
4. Anand 2753
5. Nakamura 2736
6. Harikrishna 2732
7. Vidit 2726
8. Adams 2716
9. Xiong 2709
10. Sadler 2694
Asia:
1. Ding 2791
2. Wang 2763
3. Anand 2753
4-5. Harikrishna 2732
4-5. Wei 2732
6. Vidit 2726
7-8. Le 2709
7-8. Yu 2709
9. Bu 2705
10. Li 2683
Born later than the world champion:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3. So 2770
4. Giri 2764
5. Rapport 2759
6. Firouzja 2749
7. Duda 2743
8. Wei 2732
9. Vidit 2726
10. Artemiev 2711
Nuclear powers:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3-4. Nepomniachtchi 2784
3-4. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
5. Grischuk 2777
6. So 2770
7. Wang 2763
8. Dominguez 2758
9-10. Anand 2753
9-10. Kramnik 2753 |
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Dec-07-20
 | | beatgiant: Post-Communist (ex. USSR, China):
1. Rapport 2759
2. Duda 2743
3. Topalov 2735
4. Le 2709
5. Wojtaszek 2705
6. Navara 2697
7. Almasi 2687
8. Berkes 2673
9. Leko 2663
10. Cheparinov 2660
Chaparinov appears because he switched his federation back from Georgia to Bulgaria. I'm not sure when that happened. Latin America:
1. Cori 2652
2-3. Granda Zuniga 2630
2-3. Pichot 2630
4. Mareco 2629
5. Delgado Ramirez 2621
6. Martinez Alcantara 2620
7. Iturrizaga Bonelli 2607
8. Henriquez Villagra 2600
9-10. Bachmann 2599
9-10. Flores 2599 |
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Dec-07-20
 | | beatgiant: Middle East:
1. Amin 2690
2. Salem 2682
3-4. Gelfand 2676
3-4. Maghsoodloo 2676
5. Ipatov 2644
6. Nabaty 2638
7. Sutovsky 2636
8. Yilmaz 2630
9. Tabatabaei 2629
10. Adly 2615 |
|
Dec-07-20
 | | beatgiant: Christmas themed:
1. Merry 2427
2. Santarius 2378
3. Weissmann 2111*
4. Carol Querol, S. 2020
5. Noel 2012
6. Stockinger 1881
7. Reinders 1829
8. Holliday 1801
9. Hohos 1609
10. Tannenbaum 1418
11. Miracle 1379
12. Gifty 1177
*I did not find three Weissmann, but I did find two Weissmann and one Weissman Honorable mention: Wenceslas G. 1978 |
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Dec-07-20
 | | saffuna: <*I did not find three Weissmann, but I did find two Weissmann and one Weissman> !!! |
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Jan-01-21
 | | beatgiant: Jan. 2021
With the advent of Brexit, I will stop following the semi-EU. Norway is covered by the Nordic/Baltic, the UK is in Former British Empire and I will add Switzerland to my Rest of World list. I also decided to add players with federation listed as "FID" to my Rest of World list. I don't have much time to post here but I'm at least putting up my usual basic lists. Post-Communist (ex. USSR, China):
1. Rapport 2759
2. Duda 2743
3. Topalov 2735
4. Le 2709
5. Wojtaszek 2705
6. Navara 2697
7. Almasi 2687
8. Berkes 2673
9. Leko 2663
10. Cheparinov 2658
Latin America:
1. Cori 2652
2-3. Granda Zuniga 2630
2-3. Pichot 2630
4. Mareco 2629
5. Delgado Ramirez 2621
6. Martinez Alcantara 2620
7. Iturrizaga Bonelli 2607
8. Henriquez Villagra 2600
9-10. Bachmann 2599
9-10. Flores 2599
Middle East:
1. Amin 2693
2. Salem 2682
3-4. Gelfand 2676
3-4. Maghsoodloo 2676
5. Ipatov 2644
6. Nabaty 2638
7. Sutovsky 2636
8. Yilmaz 2630
9. Tabatabaei 2629
10. Adly 2615
Nordic/Baltic:
1. Carlsen 2862
2. Grandelius 2663
3. Kovalenko 2643
4. Tari 2625
5. Nielsen 2618
6. Christiansen 2612
7. Hammer 2608
8. Hellers 2592
9. Andersen 2579
10-11. Gretarsson 2576
10-11. Nyback 2576
Is it in poor taste to point out that Hammer got hammered in the rankings since the last time I posted this list? Rest of World (eligibility: FIDE, Switzerland plus some non-EU European microstates, non-Latin Carribbean and South American countries, non-Mideast or former British Empire part of Africa, Indonesia plus non-former British Empire part of Oceania) 1. Firouzja 2749
2. Milov 2607
3. Pelletier 2581
4. Studer 2579
5. Bogner 2577
6. Hamdouchi 2561
7. Georgiadis 2553
8-9. Fontaine 2550
8-9. Megaranto 2550
10. Bellahcene 2510 |
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Jan-01-21
 | | beatgiant: Old Guard
1-2. Anand 2753
1-2. Kramnik* 2753
3. Topalov 2735
4. Adams 2716
5. Svidler 2714
6. Sadler 2694
7. Almasi 2687
8. Ivanchuk 2678
9. Gelfand 2676
10-11. Kamsky 2665
10-11. Malakhov 2665
*Kramnik returned to the active list because of speed chess events. I rolled the cutoff birth year to 1981, but the highest-rated 1981-born player, Sasikiran (2647), didn't make it this time. |
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Jan-01-21
 | | beatgiant: With the new year, it would be a good time to revisit our wunderkinds list. I take the criticism that it can swing wildly every January due to lack of month of birth info. Unfortunately, the FIDE profiles I use for generating these lists do not include the month of birth. So before I do all the laborious calculations, I'll wait a bit to see if any other kibitzer here can suggest a quick fix to the month of birth problem. |
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Jan-07-21
 | | alexmagnus: January:
European Union:
1. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
2. Giri 2764
3. Rapport 2759
4. Duda 2743
5. Topalov 2735
6. Vallejo 2710
7. Wojtaszek 2705
8. Navara 2697
9. Almasi 2687
10. Ragger 2680
Former Soviet Union:
1. Nepomniachtchi 2789
2. Aronian 2781
3. Grischuk 2777
4. Mamedyarov 2770
5. Radjabov 2765
6. Karjakin 2757
7. Kramnik 2753
8. Andreikin 2725
9. Vitiugov 2715
10. Svidler 2714
Former British Empire:
1. Caruana 2823
2. So 2770
3. Dominguez 2758
4. Anand 2753
5. Nakamura 2736
6. Harikrishna 2732
7. Vidit 2726
8. Adams 2716
9. Xiong 2709
10. Sadler 2694
Asia:
1. Ding 2791
2. Wang 2763
3. Anand 2753
4-5. Harikrishna 2732
4-5. Wei 2732
6. Vidit 2726
7-8. Le 2709
7-8. Yu 2709
9. Bu 2705
10. Li 2683
Born later than the world champion:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3. So 2770
4. Giri 2764
5. Rapport 2759
6. Firouzja 2749
7. Duda 2743
8. Wei 2732
9. Vidit 2726
10. Dubov 2710
Nuclear powers:
1. Caruana 2823
2. Ding 2791
3. Nepomniachtchi 2789
4. Vachier-Lagrave 2784
5. Grischuk 2777
6. So 2770
7. Wang 2763
8. Dominguez 2758
9. Karjakin 2757
10-11. Anand 2753
10-11. Kramnik 2753 |
|
Jan-17-21
 | | beatgiant: Nobody posted a fix for the wunderkind month of birth problem, so I'll just do two lists: first list pretending they were all born in January, and second list pretending they were all born in December. This makes a difference of 1 point in our wunderkind index. The truth is somewhere between, but anyone who wants to find out is welcome to go research the real months of birth and post an accurate list. For those who may have missed it, and also to make sure I'm consistent with what we previously defined and make fewer miscalculations, I'll explain the definition here again. By eyeballing the rating lists, we came up with some age-based rating targets to be considered an exceptionally strong junior. The targets increase 50 rating points per year. To be specific: Age 8 - 2200
Age 9 - 2250
Age 10 - 2300
... and so on, all the way to Age 18 - 2700.
If a junior is rated 50 points above the target, this reflects "one year ahead of schedule" and receives a "wunderkind index" of 1. Thus, we take (actual rating minus target rating)/50. Also to help me make fewer miscalculations, or at least make it easy for others to correct me, I show my work. At this time, I will reveal that generating this list is a pretty error-prone process for me ;-) |
|
Jan-17-21
 | | beatgiant: Wunderkinder (Jan. 2021, assuming all born in January) 1. Firouzja, elo 2749, b. 2003, "age 18," target 2700, index (2749-2700)/50 = 0.98 2. Gukesh, elo 2563, b. 2006, "age 15," target 2550, index (2563-2550)/50 = 0.26 3. Finek, elo 2361, b. 2010, "age 11," target 2350, index (2361-2350)/50 = 0.22 4. Praggnanandhaa, elo 2608, b. 2005, "age 16," target 2600, index (2608-2600)/50 = 0.16 |
|
Jan-17-21
 | | beatgiant: Wunderkinder (Jan. 2021, assuming all born in December) The above players keep their places by adding 1 to their scores, viz: 1. Firouzja, 1.98
2. Gukesh 1.26
3. Finek 1.22
4. Praggnanandhaa 1.16
and we get the following additions:
5. Mendonca, elo 2538, b. 2006, "age 14," target 2500, index (2538-2500)/50 = 0.76 6. Abdusattorov, elo 2627, b. 2004, "age 16," target 2600, index (2627-2600)/50 = 0.54 7. Nihal, elo 2620, b. 2004, "age 16," target 2600, index (2620-2600)/50 = 0.4 8. Mishra, elo 2357, b. 2009, "age 11," target 2350, index (2357-2350)/50 = 0.14 |
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