chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing
 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum

OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
http://www.chessgames.com/perl/ches...

Official site: http://

Live games:
http://www.nrk.no/sport/sjakk/

Alternative live games: http://worldchess.com/broadcasts/eu...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 20 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Oct-22-06  jepflast: I've spent a while analyzing this as above: <19.Bg5 Nh5 20.Nd4 d5 21.Bxe7 Qxe7 22.Nce2 Qe3+ 23.Qxe3 Rxe3 24.g4 Ng7 25.Ra3>

Aside from 22. g4, suggested by Dionyseus, I didn't find an improvement on Rybka's line. What I did find was that black has no option on his 22nd except the text, and the continuation is really not bad for white: 25...gxf5 26. gxf5 Nh5 27. Rc3 Rae8 28. Nf4 Nxf4 29. Rxf4 Rc8 with a promising-looking position. I have not yet found a winning continuation, but the position evaluates well in the computer.

So, to conclude, if you don't like 22.g4 or find something wrong with it, 22. Nce2 may just get the job done.

Also, this line up to move 22 is what I would call the critical line at this point for 19. Bg5.

Oct-22-06  Boomie: I'm sure this is due to the inadequacy of Fritz 8, but I am finding a good line for white using 22. Nc2 instead of 22. Nce2 as in the Rybka line.

19. Bg5 Nh4 20. Ne4 d5 21. Bxe7 Qxe7 22. Nc2 Qd8

(22...Qh4 23. d4 Nf6 24. g3 Qh5 25. fxg6 Qxg6 0.97)

23. d4 Ng7 24. fxg6 fxg6 25. Nb4 Nf5 26. Rf3 Rc8 27. Qf2 Qd6 28. Nd3 Re4! 29. Nxe4 dxe4 30. Rxf5 gxf5 31. Nf4 Bb5 0.45

I dragged the line out to include the charming 28...Re4. Although black has better pawns, his king is exposed and this is by no means the endgame.

We should strive to create such a position rather than enter an endgame. We will get waxed in an endgame as our computers become virtually useless then.

In the Rybka line with 22. Nce2, I prefer 25. Rad1 to Ra3.

19. Bg5 Nh4 20. Ne4 d5 21. Bxe7 Qxe7 22. Nce2 Qe3+ 23. Qxe3 Rxe3 24. g4 Ng7 25. Rad1 Rae8 26. Ng3 and it's hard to see how black can make progress.

Oct-22-06  chessarmenia: well, if he plays 19.Ng4, 20.h3 should be fine because if he moves his knight to e5, we can play d4, moving the knight again, followed by d5, attacking the bishop, and after that, i think we'll be fine.
Oct-22-06  chessarmenia: Any computer analysis would be helpful; I'm just spitting out the best idea I have off the top of my head.
Oct-22-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Open Defence: <Chessarmenia> some of them might be sleeping in a bit after all night analysis.. hopefully one of them should be awake soon :)
Oct-22-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <thorsson> says:
If you like Bg5 you need to find improvements in this line:

19.Bg5 Nh5 20.Nd4 d5 21.Bxe7 Qxe7 22.Nce2 Qe3+ when White has a small advantage, but not as big as the 19.Bb6 lines.

Oct-22-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <scuk> posts Chessmaster10 lines: FYI i have let CMX choose what it considers to be the 3 best moves. I know CMX may not be as strong as other engines, but it may add to the knowledge on here already, I think it's finding are pretty much as you would expect:

score 0.57 = 19.Bg5 Nh5 20.Bxe7 Qxe7 21.Rae1 Qh4 22.Ne4 Bxe4 23.dxe4 Rac8 24.fxg6 hxg6 25.Qxd6 Rxe4

score 0.58 = Bg5 Nh5 20.Nd4 f6 21.Be3 d5 22.Rf3 Bb4 23.Qf2 g5 24.Rh3 Ng7 25.Kh1 Rac8

<ughaibu> says: Returning to one of Dioynseus' "simple" defenses, 19.Bg5 Ng4 20.d4 Bb5 "21.f6, black is up a pawn. 21...Bxf1 22.Rxf1 Bf8 23.h3 h6 24.hxg4 hxg5 25.Qxg5 Qe6", after 26.Nd5 how is back meant to defend this? 26....Rac8 27.Rf3 etc.

Dionyseus resonds to <ughaibu> : <21.h3 also hits the eye.>

19.Bg5 Ng4 20.d4 Bb5 21.h3 and black gets a simple draw, for example 21...Bxf1 22.Rxf1 f6 23.hxg4 fxg5 24.f6 Bxf6 25.Rxf6 Qxg4 26.d5 Qh4 27.Re6 g4, white has nothing, draw.

<Rookfile> says:

As I explained earlier, I'm more inclined to trade dark squared bishops if white can keep everything else on, and maybe refrain from fxg6 at all.

19. Bg5 Nh5 20. Nd4 Bxg5 21. Qxg5 accomplishes this for white.

Oct-22-06  Thorsson: <OhioChessFan> AFAICS all the White claims for advantage ignore one of the FIRST TWO MOVES that I give as best for Black.

Why is that?

Oct-22-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Preliminary summary of 19. Bg5 **

There's a lot of engine analysis to wade through. For now, I will post what I consider as the leading for and against 19. Bg5 Kibitzer viewpoints.

<thorsson> says:
If you like Bg5 you need to find improvements in this line: 19.Bg5 Nh5 20.Nd4 d5 21.Bxe7 Qxe7 22.Nce2 Qe3+ when White has a small advantage, but not as big as the 19.Bb6 lines.

<Rookfile> says:
As I explained earlier, I'm more inclined to trade dark squared bishops if white can keep everything else on, and maybe refrain from fxg6 at all.

19. Bg5 Nh5 20. Nd4 Bxg5 21. Qxg5 accomplishes this for white.

Oct-22-06  Boomie: This line seems to be holding up pretty well on Fritz 8:

19. Bg5 Nh5 20. Nd4 d5 21. Bxe7 Qxe7 22. Nce2 Qe3+ 23. Qxe3 Rxe3 24. g4 Ng7 25. Rad1 Rae8 26. Ng3 0.67/16

The Rybka line gives 25. Rh3 but I prefer Rad1.

Oct-22-06  RandomVisitor: My 19.Bg5 Nh5 best line:

19. Bg5 Nh5 20.Nd4 d5 21.Bxe7 Qxe7 22.Nce2 Qe3+ 23.Qxe3 Rxe3 24.g4 Ng7 25.Ra3

(23-ply) Sliding forward and extending the old analysis

1. (0.27): 22.Nce2 Qe3+ 23.Qxe3 Rxe3 24.g4 Ng7 25.Ra3 Rc8 26.Kf2 Rh3 27.Kg2 Re3 28.Rb3 gxf5

2. = (0.13): 22.Rf2 Qe3 23.Qxe3 Rxe3 24.Rd1 Rae8 25.g4 Ng7 26.Nc2 Rh3 27.fxg6 hxg6 28.Kg2 Rh6

(27-ply) Again sliding forward and extending the analysis

1. (0.35): 25...Ne8 26.Nf4 g5 27.Nh5 Rc8 28.Kf2 Rh3 29.Kg2 Re3 30.Rc1 Bd7 31.Rxc8 Bxc8 32.Rc3

2. (0.35): 25...gxf5 26.gxf5 Nh5 27.Rb3 Rae8 28.Kf2 Kh8 29.Rg1 h6 30.Rg4 Nf6 31.Rg3 R3e7 32.Nf4

3. (0.38): 25...Rc8 26.Rb3 gxf5 27.gxf5 Nh5 28.Kg2 Kf8 29.f6 Bd7 30.Rf3 Re5 31.Rxb7 Bg4 32.Rf2

Oct-22-06  RandomVisitor: Please note that 19.Bg5 Qd8!? is an unexpected resource for black, also analyzed on my forum.
Oct-22-06  JoeWms: <Boomie> Your profile.

Your fluid writing impressed me. A bit of jealousy here, too. The light sprinkle of whimsy and wordplay was nice.

Come visit and post on my funny farm, too.

(Thanks for the space, Ohio.)

Oct-22-06  ajile: I like the positions with us getting a pawn anchored at f6. Note that in the endgame this pawn severely hampers Black getting his king into the center of the board.
Oct-22-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Nasruddin Hodja> says:

By contrast, 19. Bg5 is not so easy for black to refute. Black could try to answer with ... Qd8, but then that really opens it up for 20. Rae1 with the extremely nasty threat of sacrificing the exchange and getting rid of black's best defender with 21. Rxe7! So 19. ... Qd8 isn't satisfactory, imo.

That only leaves the main Rybka line with ... Nh5. I don't want to go into all the lines, but a few things stand out. First, there is nothing that forces us to play Bxe7. Let black play ... Bxg5, allowing our queen to come into the endgame immediately. Instead, we take the extra tempo to centralize the Nb3 now that we have the maximum pressure on the dark squares. Second, in several of the lines after exchanges there is the possibility of keeping the black Nh5 out of the game with g3.

In short, 19. Bb6 and 19 Bg5 may both be about equal, but 19. Bg5 seems more intuitive and consistent to me.

Oct-23-06  noctiferus: <ohio>
about what you asked on Twinlark forum

I'm back for a
quick scan by shredder10 18ply no sliding:

2. ± (0.72): 27...d5 28.Nd6 Re6 29.Qxf7+ Qxf7 30.Nxf7 Nc5 31.d4 Nb3 32.Ng5 Re2 33.Rf6 Nxd4 34.Rxg6+ Kh8 35.Nf3 Nxf3+ 36.gxf3 c5 37.Rg2

4. ± (1.07): 27...f5 28.Nxd6 Re6 29.Nc4 Qc5+ 30.Kh1 Qd5 31.Nb6 Qxd3

Oct-23-06  noctiferus: noctiferus: <Ohio and Twinlark mail exchange: I am bewildered at the explosion of the Bb6 lines. How was Rybka missing it? - asking something similar myself and it came down to the discovery of Rf3 by RV at a critical moment> posted now to Twinlark forum
I am temporarily back on a blitzkrieg (reading most of analyses, but unable to provide active participation due to professional duties). Because it looks a quiet moment in both forums, most of analyses completed, may I post a consideration for the forecoming analyses?

About ..Rf3 in Monad trap, my Rybka 1.2.n (**) burst out with this suggestion quite early (at 17 or 18 ply).

Could later evidence be due to 2.1.o changes???
According to CEGt extensive testing (http://www.husvankempen.de/nunn/), it seems that on single process machines the old Rybka 1.2.f performs better than 2.1o (something was lost in the upgrade?) I did similar analysis, on smaller samples using paired test comparisons(*), and got the same results. May I suggest that somebody, who bought Rybka, could download 1.2.f too, in order to avoid possible anomalous choices by 2.1.o?

(* I would like to have a weaker but faster result than Elo rating as CEGT: if we are interested in ranking engines, a powerful test is : eng A better or equal eng B, pairing test results on the same positions after "last book move": paired tests allow smaller test sample, with same significance)

(** Rybka 1.2.n is a private Raijlic version, based on 1.2.f . After short paired tests, I like it more than 1.2.f, but this is feeling, no statistical evidence behind)

Oct-23-06  Marco65: <OhioChessFan> 19...Qd8 discarded by virtue of 20.Rae1 and 21.Rxe7 (analysis of <Nasruddin Hodja>)? That's misleading if you can't report more of that analysis, I can't see how and apparently neither Rybka can (RandomVisitor's page doesn't feature 20.Rae1 as the main line).
Oct-23-06  monad: I can't see Black playing Qd8 after 19.Bg5???
That would be a gift. What am I missing here?

Oct-23-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Monad> and <Marco65> I try to just share what others are saying without endorsing/rejecting the proposed lines.
Oct-24-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: A very sad news story:

Elvis Loses Top-Earning Dead Celeb Crown

Rock 'n' roll legend Elvis Presley ceded his crown to Nirvana lead singer Kurt Cobain on Forbes.com's list as the top-earning dead celebrity. The list, published on Tuesday, said grunge rocker Cobain earned $50 million between October 2005 and October 2006. Presley wound up in the No. 2 slot with $42 million, down from last year's $45 million.

Forbes.com bases its dollar amounts on licensing deals for using the deceased celebrities' work or image in advertising or elsewhere.

This was Cobain's first time on the list in its six years of publication. Presley has ruled the roost since its inception, said Forbes.com staff writer Lacey Rose.

Cobain's coup was due to his widow, actress and singer Courtney Love , who sold a 25-percent stake in the Seattle grunge group's song catalog to New York music publishing company PrimeWave.

Ranked after Presley is "Peanuts" cartoon strip creator Charles Schulz at $35 million. Rounding out the top five were Beatle John Lennon at $24 million and groundbreaking physicist Albert Einstein at $20 million, whose estate profited from such licensing deals as the popular "Baby Einstein" educational videos.

Other celebrities on the list include Theodore Geisel, better known as children's book author Dr. Seuss; rhythm & blues pioneer Ray Charles, silver screen legend Marilyn Monroe and reggae superstar Bob Marley. Past top earners include songwriter Irving Berlin and actor Marlon Brando.

Oct-24-06  YouRang: Compared to Elvis, Cobain will just be a flash in the dead-pan.
Oct-26-06  twinlark: ***MARKER DIAGRAM FOR 20...Ne5***

White has just moved 20.Nd4 and this workshop will analyse and discuss variations arising from a possible response by Black of 20...Ne5:


click for larger view

Oct-26-06  technical draw: I don't think black will play 20...Ne5 until he clears the King file. However if 20..Ne5 then 21.Qf4 is not possible. (Nxd).
Oct-26-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I am still trying to figure out what my quesetion was supposed to mean! Got to get away for a few hours. Maybe I'll figure it out by then.
Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 849)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 20 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
  3. No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
  6. No trolling.
  7. The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
  8. Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

Blow the Whistle

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.


NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

Participating Grandmasters are Not Allowed Here!

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
   
Home | About | Login | Logout | F.A.Q. | Profile | Preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | New Kibitzing | Chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | Notable Games | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | Privacy Notice | Contact Us

Copyright 2001-2025, Chessgames Services LLC