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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-23-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49596 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-22-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: The View, MSNOW, CNN all figured out the truth of Renee Good . Rogoff libs predictably hold firm. https://youtu.be/B2n-sdw6_1M?si=srv...
 
   Jan-21-26 Niemann vs Abdusattorov, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: A draw in 30 at 100-1 seems reasonable.
 
   Jan-20-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Turn this thing up to 11. Cream-Politician https://youtu.be/vlvA0sMvnqo?si=_b1...
 
   Jan-20-26 C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks for the live game.
 
   Jan-20-26 Memorable Quotes chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <troller> on a live game: <Aravindh seems in prep after 15.g4 but engine is not impressed. Weird position though, looks to me both players are worse.> C Aravindh vs Niemann, 2026
 
   Jan-19-26 D Ghizdavu vs I Roebuck, 1966 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "Sears Roebuck"
 
   Jan-18-26 E Moskow vs A Lesiege, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Moskow Under Lesiege"
 
   Jan-18-26 A Erigaisi vs Praggnanandhaa, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I had no idea on the pun until I googled it.
 
   Jan-15-26 Julien Song (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 90 minute games today and tomorrow. Next day the rapids. Fourth day the blitz. Am I the only one with no audio on the chess.com stream?
 
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Music (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Do yourself a favor and spend three minutes listening to this nice flute driven piece. Nestor Torres-Cute https://youtu.be/Eor1meJSZPs?si=duk...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 218 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Reposting Ragh's Round 11 Picks **

Ragh's picks for round 11

Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 0-1 29
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 29
Kramnik - Carlsen 1-0 29
Hao - Smeets 1/2 29
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 29
Aronian - Ponomariov 0-1 29
Shirov - Giri 1/2 29

Jan-26-11  WinKing: Round 11

Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 0-1 44
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 57
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 37
Hao - Smeets 1/2 49
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 38
Aronian - Ponomariov 1/2 63
Shirov - Giri 1/2 40

Jan-26-11  morfishine: <Ohiochessfan> I appreciate your response. I wanted to note that while others have been steady and dedicated over the past 6-weeks or so, you stand above them and the reason is this: You have stuck to working within the system. I've noted your efforts to use the ER properly; I also noted that there was some frustration in not getting results back to you. What I've really noticed is how you quickly work lines presented on the general kbitz, stringing out variations, all within hours (sometimes less than half and hour) and thats just from following the posts. Others do this too, but you do it faster and without complaint or criticism. I understand what you are saying about the "senior analysts". Two things come to mind: If they are really "senior analysts" and truly care about the "goings on" here, and if there is a problem, then they should address the problem (ie: draw or not to draw). The second thing is this propensity to Drift in and out, disappearing for a couple of weeks, then showing up and saying "We are riding a dead horse" or "Why is this game still going on" irks me; And I have a thick skin. They know the situation we are in. For chrissakes, if they are are senior, act senior.

Your analysis has been excellent. I still recall your line some moves back where you said "This at least looks visually appealing". That was a very good line. I think my lines have been average at best and mostly refuted, but I think my ideas have been good. I appreciate the compliment. Best, Morfishine

Jan-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Two things come to mind: If they are really "senior analysts" and truly care about the "goings on" here, and if there is a problem, then they should address the problem (ie: draw or not to draw).>

For sure <Tabanus> and <imag> would speak up if we entered dangerous territory.

<The second thing is this propensity to Drift in and out, disappearing for a couple of weeks, then showing up and saying "We are riding a dead horse" or "Why is this game still going on" irks me; >

I don't care for that, though there's sort of a point. I almost pleaded for us not to play g3. I don't believe in begging for votes, so I didn't. And I knew it wouldn't have mattered anyway. But I think I might have had a little room to talk if 10 moves later we were pulling up a bunch of 0.00 lines. Of course, that's pretty much what did happen. I think some who come back and do that are still smarting from having their suggested moves rejected, and seeing the resultant drawish position forseen by them being played out far longer than they think reasonable.

Jan-26-11  wordfunph: Round 11:

Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 1/2 32
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 0-1 48
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 32
Hao - Smeets 1-0 36
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 35
Aronian - Ponomariov 1-0 45
Shirov - Giri 1/2 37

Jan-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Vachier-Lagrave-Anand 1/2 36
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 40
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 18
Hao - Smeets 1/2 44
Grischuk - l'Ami 1/2 35
Aronian - Ponomariov 1/2 54
Shirov - Giri 1/2 31
Jan-26-11  Winter: Round 11:
Vachier-Lagrave – Anand 1/2 45
Nepomniachtchi – Nakamura 1-0 46
Kramnik – Carlsen 1-0 48
Hao – Smeets 1-0 47
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 45
Aronian – Ponomariov 1-0 43
Shirov – Giri 1-0 46
Jan-27-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen: Round eleven

Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 1/2 31
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 30
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 39
Hao - Smeets 1/2 30
Grischuk - l'Ami 1/2 34
Aronian - Ponomariov 0-1 30
Shirov - Giri 1/2 33

Jan-27-11  chesstoplay: Hey < OCF >

I think the Aneta effort is lost.

Another ~ 3000 votes showed up overnight for one of the others in the vote.

I really have tried for <Honza> and his family, but am feeling frustrated and down about keeping on keeping on...

Thanks for your help and for being another vote cheerleader!

Jan-27-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Yeah, I have been thinking the same thing. If that keeps up, there will be 10's of thousands of votes.
Jan-27-11  chessmoron: Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 1/2 39
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 37
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 43
Hao - Smeets 1-0 40
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 32
Aronian - Ponomariov 1/2 34
Shirov - Giri 1/2 41
Jan-27-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...
Jan-27-11  SloVice: Round 11:

Vachier-Lagrave – Anand 1-0 35
Nepomniachtchi – Nakamura 1/2 33
Kramnik – Carlsen 1/2 30
Hao – Smeets 1-0 37
Grischuk - l'Ami 1/2 41
Aronian – Ponomariov 1-0 33
Shirov – Giri 1/2 31

Jan-28-11  lostemperor: Round 11:
Vachier-Lagrave - Anand 1/2 32
Nepomniachtchi - Nakamura 1/2 41
Kramnik - Carlsen 1/2 38
Hao - Smeets 1-0 44
Grischuk - l'Ami 1-0 40
Aronian - Ponomariov 1/2 34
Shirov - Giri 1-0 36
Jan-28-11  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2011: <Round 11> ♔ Results

<Aronian-Ponomariov, 1/2-1/2 in 64 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '63']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '54']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===
<Grischuk-L'Ami, 1/2-1/2 in 24 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '41']]
===
<Nepomniachtchi-Nakamura, 0-1 in 44 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '48']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===

<Shirov-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '29']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SloVice', '1/2-1/2', '31'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

===
<Vachier.Lagrave-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '32'], ['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Kramnik-Carlsen, 0-1 in 85 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Hao-Smeets, 1/2-1/2 in 108 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '49']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-28-11  chessmoron: Moves Ranker - <Round 11>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

72, WinKing, 1, 7, 2
56, OhioChessFan, 6, 4, 1
54, SloVice, 4, 6, 0
54, wordfunph, 2, 4, 2
46, Ragh, 5, 3, 1
44, jessicafischerqueen, 2, 4, 1
38, Winter, 1, 5, 0
31, chessmoron, 1, 4, 0
20, lostemperor, 1, 1, 1
16, Bobwhoosta, 3, 1, 0
0, MrMelad, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 11>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

79, chessmoron, 7, 3, 6, 6
69, OhioChessFan, 3, 7, 2, 7
63, jessicafischerqueen, 5, 1, 4, 6
58, lostemperor, 4, 9, 6, 1
53, Ragh, 1, 1, 4, 5
52, Winter, 4, 9, 0, 5
38, wordfunph, 5, 8, 1, 2
27, SloVice, 4, 3, 1, 2
21, WinKing, 4, 3, 1, 1
14, Bobwhoosta, 0, 4, 0, 1
2, MrMelad, 0, 1, 0, 0
14, Bobwhoosta, 0, 4, 0, 1
2, MrMelad, 0, 1, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - <Round 11>

Score, UserID

125, OhioChessFan
110, chessmoron
107, jessicafischerqueen
99, Ragh
93, WinKing
92, wordfunph
90, Winter
81, SloVice
78, lostemperor
30, Bobwhoosta
2, MrMelad

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 11>

Score,UserID

11, OhioChessFan
10, SloVice
10, WinKing
9, Ragh
8, wordfunph
6, jessicafischerqueen
6, Winter
5, chessmoron
4, Bobwhoosta
3, lostemperor
0, MrMelad

Jan-28-11  WinKing: Round 12

Anand - Giri 1-0 47
Ponomariov - Shirov 1/2 38
l'Ami - L. Aronian 0-1 48
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 40
Carlsen - Hao 1-0 64
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 45

Jan-28-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Anand - Giri 1-0 34
Ponomariov - Shirov 1/2 22
l'Ami - Aronian 0-1 40
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 20
Carlsen - Hao 1/2 49
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 25
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 44
Jan-28-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Reposting Ragh's Round 12 picks**

Ragh's picks for round 12:

Anand - Giri 1-0 29
Ponomariov - Shirov 1/2 29
l'Ami - Aronian 1/2 29
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 29
Carlsen - Hao 1-0 29
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 29
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 29

Jan-28-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen: Round 12

Anand - Giri 1-0 30
Ponomariov - Shirov 1/2 30
l'Ami - Aronian 1/2 32
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 32
Carlsen - Hao 1/2 32
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 39
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 32

Jan-28-11  wordfunph: Round 12

Anand - Giri 1/2 35
Ponomariov - Shirov 1-0 45
l'Ami - Aronian 0-1 44
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 30
Carlsen - Hao 1-0 45
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 32
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 38

Jan-28-11  cormier: Chubby Checker from 1:20 to 4:00 minutes ... http://www.radio-canada.ca/audio-vi... ..... tks
Jan-29-11  chessmoron: Anand - Giri 1-0 32
Ponomariov - Shirov 1/2 40
l'Ami - Aronian 1/2 40
Smeets - Grischuk 1/2 42
Carlsen - Hao 1-0 43
Nakamura - Kramnik 1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Nepomniachtchi 1/2 26
Jan-29-11  lostemperor: Round 12
Anand – Giri 1-0 40
Ponomariov – Shirov 1/2 27
l'Ami – Aronian 0-1 43
Smeets – Grischuk 1/2 31
Carlsen – Hao 1-0 40
Nakamura – Kramnik 1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave – Nepomniachtchi 1/2 31

Round 13
Nepomniachtchi – Anand 1/2 27
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 37
Hao – Nakamura 1/2 21
Grischuk – Carlsen 1/2 33
Aronian – Smeets 1-0 38
Shirov - l'Ami 1-0 36
Giri – Ponomariov 1/2 40

Jan-29-11  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2011: <Round 12> ♔ Results

<Carlsen-Hao, 1-0 in 29 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Ragh', '1-0', '29']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '43']]

===

<L'Ami-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 46 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '29']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Kramnik, 1/2-1/2 in 20 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '25']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '29']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '32']]

===

<Smeets-Grischuk, 0-1 in 47 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Vachier.Lagrave-Nepomniachtchi, 1-0 in 36 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Anand-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 50 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===

<Ponomariov-Shirov, 1/2-1/2 in 71 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

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