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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-05-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
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3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49334 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-05-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: White to play and draw: [DIAGRAM]
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: Brown commie promises brown immigrants <free stuffs> paid for by white people. Got it.> This is so bad that even <HeMateMe!> is worried about government spending for the first time in his life.
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
   Nov-03-25 Memorable Quotes chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: From Chessgames - Politics <perfidious wrote: I claim no familiarity with Edward Teller but was amused to read that he blamed Jane Fonda for his 1979 heart attack. > <johnlspouge: I am sure it wasn't your intention, but my imagination took a prurient turn here.>
 
   Nov-03-25 B Jacobsen vs I Hausner, 1969
 
OhioChessFan: "Bo Jac Horseman"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 254 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Sep-23-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 15K! Congrats, Elvis! =)
Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: *** Welcome to the 2011 Bilbao Moves Prediction Contest ***
Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Welcome to the Moves Prediction Contest. The contest involves picking a game result (1-0 1/2 or 0-1) and the number of moves in the game. As an example, if in a first round game you think Carlsen will defeat Anand in 40 moves, your entry would say Carlsen-Anand 1-0 40 While it is a bit more complicated than the game prediction contest hosted by <YouRang> it isn't <that> much more complicated. I think my profile as written by <chessmoron> does a pretty good job explaining how things work.

A few odds and ends. I think <chessmoron> does this by hand and mistakes occasionally happen. Let him know, on this forum. Quickly. It really isn't as painful to miss a round as it is in <YouRang> contest. The winners often have rounds they don't score a single point. So don't fret if you miss a round. If you are used to putting in 5 or 6 rounds at a time, which is fine in <YouRang> contest, I'd politely ask you to play just one round at a time. I understand that sometimes that won't be possible, and I personally try to repost picks made in advance. Pay attention to the matchups and to the tournament strategy. For example, if a player has an insurmountable lead in the last round, you just might expect a very short draw. In general, it's better to be under the number of moves than over because of the scoring system, so keep that in mind. There are a number of other nuances that will occur to you as the tournament progresses.

Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I am waiting to see if lostemperor chessforum is going to host a Final Standings Contest.
Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: If you stop by for the Moves Prediction Contest, I encourage you to also visit User: YouRang for the Games Prediction Contest. An easy way to enter both contests is to make your predictions here, copy them, paste them on <YouRang> forum, and backspace over the number of moves. 30 seconds max, and you have twice the chance of winning fame and fortune.
Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Here are the participants and ELO

1 Anand, Viswanathan 2817

2 Carlsen, Magnus 2823

3 Aronian, Levon 2807

4 Ivanchuk, Vassily 2765

5 Nakamura, Hikaru 2753

6 Vallejo Pons, Francisco 2716

Sep-25-11  twinlark: <Ohio> G'day and happy 15,000th birthday.

My guess for round 1:

Nakamura-Ivanchuk 1-0 45
Anand-Carlsen 1/2-1/2 26
Aronian-Vallejo 1/2-1/2 30

Sep-25-11  wordfunph: thanks sir <OCF>..

ronda uno:

Nakamura-Ivanchuk 1/2 35
Anand-Carlsen 1/2 36
Aronian-Vallejo 1-0 44

Sep-25-11  chessmoron: Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 40
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 42
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 37
Sep-25-11  WinKing: Predictions Round 1:

Nakamura - Ivanchuk - 1/2 32
Anand - Carlsen - 1/2 32
Aronian - Vallejo - 1/2 32

Sep-25-11  SloVice: Round 1:

Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 33
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 33
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 38

Sep-25-11  Ragh: == Round 1, Sao Paulo Mon Sep26

Nakamura - Ivanchuk, 1/2 29
Anand - Carlsen, 1-0 30
Aronian - Vallejo, 1/2 31

== Round 2, Sao Paulo Tue Sep27

Ivanchuk - Vallejo, 1-0 55
Carlsen - Aronian, 1/2 26
Nakamura - Anand, 0-1 47

== Round 3, Sao Paulo Wed Sep28

Anand - Ivanchuk, 1/2 33
Aronian - Nakamura, 1/2 32
Vallejo - Carlsen, 0-1 41

== Round 4, Sao Paulo Thu Sep30

Ivanchuk - Carlsen, 1/2 29
Nakamura - Vallejo, 1/2 28
Anand - Aronian, 1/2 29

== Round 5, Sao Paulo Fri Oct1

Aronian - Ivanchuk, 1/2 29
Vallejo - Anand, 0-1 39
Carlsen - Nakamura, 1/2 28

Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: Round 1

Nakamura - Ivanchuk, 1/2 34
Anand - Carlsen, 1-0 40
Aronian - Vallejo, 1/2 36

Round 2
Ivanchuk - Vallejo, 1/2 44
Carlsen - Aronian, 1/2 36
Nakamura - Anand 1/2 37

Sep-25-11  NakoSonorense: Round 1

Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 33
Anand - Carlsen 1-0 39
Aronian - Vallejo 1/2 35

Sep-25-11  Golden Executive:

Round 1

Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 31
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 31
Aronian - Vallejo 1/2 31

Sep-25-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen: <Ohio> thanks very much for including me in the invite list, but I'm sorry to say I have too much at work to play this time around.

Hi <McLovin>!

Sep-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: As posted by <YouRang> and <Ragh> here are the pairings for the first 5 rounds:

The first half pairings are below:

== Round 1, Sao Paulo Mon Sep26
Nakamura - Ivanchuk
Anand - Carlsen
Aronian - Vallejo

== Round 2, Sao Paulo Tue Sep27
Ivanchuk - Vallejo
Carlsen - Aronian
Nakamura - Anand

== Round 3, Sao Paulo Wed Sep28
Anand - Ivanchuk
Aronian - Nakamura
Vallejo - Carlsen

== Round 4, Sao Paulo Thu Sep30
Ivanchuk - Carlsen
Nakamura - Vallejo
Anand - Aronian

== Round 5, Sao Paulo Fri Oct1
Aronian - Ivanchuk
Vallejo - Anand
Carlsen - Nakamura

Sep-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It appears <lostemperor> is not hosting a Final Standings Contest. If anyone here has not yet done so, I encourage you to visit <YouRang> forum and enter the Games Prediction Contest.
Sep-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Chancho> I encourage you to enter <YouRang> contest also.
Sep-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 41
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 38
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 40
Sep-26-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I may have a personal duel with <YouRang> to see who misspells Bilbao the most.
Sep-26-11  onesax: Nakamura - Ivanchuk 0-1 42
Anand - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 30
Aronian - Vallejo 1/2-1/2 55
Sep-26-11  Boratco: Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 60
Anand - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 75
Aronian - Vallejo 1/2-1/2 45
Sep-26-11  Artsemthon: Nakamura - Ivanchuk 1/2 54
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 34
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 33
Sep-26-11  Robin01: Predictions, Rounds 1-5:

== Round 1, Sao Paulo Mon Sep26
Nakamura - Ivanchuk 0-1 44
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 45
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 54

== Round 2, Sao Paulo Tue Sep27
Ivanchuk - Vallejo 1/2 42
Carlsen - Aronian 1/2 42
Nakamura - Anand 0-1 66

== Round 3, Sao Paulo Wed Sep28
Anand - Ivanchuk 1-0 36
Aronian - Nakamura 0-1 38
Vallejo - Carlsen 0-1 37

== Round 4, Sao Paulo Thu Sep30
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 43
Nakamura - Vallejo 1-0 35
Anand - Aronian 1/2 41

== Round 5, Sao Paulo Fri Oct1
Aronian - Ivanchuk 0-1 55
Vallejo - Anand 1/2 44
Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0 45

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