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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49344 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
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Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 34 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-13-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: <Ohio> A job, if you're interested. Tabanus goes on holiday before we vote on move 36 -- I think he said he'd be away after Friday. Would you then be able to watch his 36.Qf4 forum for a couple of days? Until Monday, most likely.

I'll check with Tab and give you details tomorrow.

Also: twinlark will take the helm again on Monday for a few days. Then I'll be free to do it thru Christmas and into 2007.

2007. Wow. Did I just say '2007'?
"2007 - A Nickel Odyssey". Far out.

Dec-14-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: <Ohio> Belay that - Tabanus will be available until Monday after all. But you're on top of my list of volunteers if anything else turns up. Thanks.
Dec-14-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: Didn't somebody calculate, around 1890, that if current traffic trends continued all of Manhattan would be knee-deep in horse droppings by about 1930?

Then, of course, Henry Ford got to work and invented the pooper scooper. So now you can ride your horse through the streets of New York in comfort...

Dec-14-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: <Ohio> Thanks for offering to take over the running. Actually, it now seems to me that (a) there's probably not much to be done for a few days, and (b) I'd like more time to focus on the Q+R endings - I think I'm finally getting somewhere. But you know how even the routine info posts eat up time.

So I have a suggestion - I'll make it to <twinlark> as well. If I could finish up tomorrow night (end Friday) it'd be great - leaving one of you two to post the reminders etc from Saturday on.

I'll still be back the following Thursday to run thru Christmas. And you and twinlark can decide between yourselves who exactly takes which days.

Does that sound OK?

Dec-14-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Fine by me. I make a command decision to let Twinlark choose.
Dec-14-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: That's cool. I haven't seen him around this evening/night/morning yet, but no doubt he'll emerge...

He's like the L. Ron Hubbard of the Forum System, really. We should hang a portrait of the dog-in-shades in our rooms, and read his sayings aloud every day...

Dec-14-06  twinlark: I heard that! And in my loud impressive Ron Hubbard-type voice, let me say this:

I'll do it.

I'm happy to roll on with forum coordination till one of you feels like taking over again. I'm on leave, plus I'll be at home all day most days for the next few weeks.

Dec-15-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Tabanus: If you need a permanently redundant forum, please let me know.
Dec-15-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  Domdaniel: And so spake our founder <twinlark>, with the mighty words <I'll do it>!

Look into your hearts. Or buy this little gadget which does the looking itself and beams the result to Forum Org Central. Ask youselves: how often today have YOU said <I'll do it>?

Uh, we're getting a read on that... let's ask the question again...

Dec-16-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It's a shame Nike' co-opted the phrase "Just do it", for that's really the secret of life. As for today, I said "I'll do it" once, when I was deciding whether to give up housecleaning to watch a basketball game.
Dec-16-06  twinlark: That's awesome discipline. What's your secret?
Dec-16-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: LOL, what I meant was, I'd give up the housecleaning.
Dec-16-06  twinlark: I know. Should I repeat my question?
Dec-16-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: My deepest apologies, for underestimating you.
Dec-16-06  twinlark: You're gettng too damned good at insults...I had to think for a few seconds before I realised I'd been sideswiped.
Dec-16-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Oddly enough, I had the same thought about you. You overestimated me somewhere.
Dec-16-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: LOL, does killing that message mean you don't promise to not overestimate me? Errr, ummmmmm, I mean........promise to underestimate me.......
Dec-16-06  twinlark: I don't promise not to never misoverestimate you and nor shall I never promise not to use multiple double negatives.
Dec-19-06  monad: Season's Greetings.
Dec-19-06  twinlark: ***MARKER DIAGRAM FOR WORLD CHALLENGE GAME***


click for larger view

The diagram represents what Black's position would be after 36...Qd7.

<RandomVisitor>'s baseline analysis for this move is:

4. (2.29): 36...Qd7 37.Qxd5 Qc8 38.Rf1 h5 39.Qf3 d5 40.Qxd5 h4 41.Qc5 Qd8 42.Kg1 Re2 43.d5

Dec-19-06  DrKurtPhart: posGM saves

if 36...Qd7 37. Qxd5 Re8 38. b5 axb5 39. Rb3 Rb8 40. a6 b4 41. Re3 Qc7 42. Re6 b3 43. Qg5 d5+ 44. Kg1 Kg8 45. Qxd5 Kg7 46. Qg5 Kg8 47. Re7 Qd6 48. Qh4 h6 49. Qe4 ...


click for larger view

Qxe7 50. Qxe7 b2 and GMAN makes a perpetual whites only choice.

or-

after 57. a8Q


click for larger view

57. ... Re1+

Dec-20-06  dalbertz: White should not play 38. b5. Better is 38. Rc3

Then (Fritz9 evals):

1. (3.09): 38...Re6 39.Rc6 Qe7 40.Rxa6 Qf6 41.Qb3 Qf4+ 42.Qg3 Qxd4 43.b5 Rf6

2. (3.20): 38...Qe7 39.Rc6 Qf6 40.Qxd6 Qf2 41.d5 Re1 42.Rc3 Qd4

3. (3.60): 38...Rb8 39.Rc6 Rb5 40.Qe4 Rxb4 41.Rxa6 g5 42.Rb6 Rxb6 43.axb6 h6 44.Qc2

Dec-20-06  Boomie: I'm dumping my lines on all the forums, so don't feel singled out. The final position here demonstrates why I preferred b4 to Qd8/Qxe8. We have the same rook ending but with our rook behind the a-pawn where it belongs.

36...Qd7 37. Rf1 <37. Qxd5 Qe7 (37...Re8 38. Qc4 (38. Rc3 )) 38. b5 axb5 39. a6 Re1 40. Qc6 (40. Qb7 b4 41. Qxb4) (40. Qxb5 Ra1 41. Rf1 Ra3 42. Qc6)> 37...Qb5 38. Qf4 Qe8 39. b5 <39. Qf3 Qe7> 39...axb5 40. a6 Re7 41. Qf6+ Kg8 42. Qxd6 Rd7 43. Qb6 Qe7 44. Qxb5 Qd6+ 45. Kg1 Kg7 <45...Ra7 46. Rf6 Qxf6 47. Qb8+ Kg7 48. Qxa7+ Kh6 49. Qc5 Qxa6 50. Qxd5 g5 (50...Qa1+ 51. Kh2 Qe1 52. Qe5 Qc3 (52...Qxe5+ 53. dxe5 g5))> 46. Qc5 Qxc5 47. dxc5 Ra7 48. Ra1 Kf6 49. Kf2 Ke5 50. Ke3 d4+ 51. Kd3 Kd5 52. Ra5 g5 53. g3

Dec-20-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** This forum is now hosting proposed move 37. Qf4 **
Dec-20-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Here is the position after proposed move 37. Qf4


click for larger view

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