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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Oct-19-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49294 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Oct-19-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: They think it's like the 60s and they're reliving the glory years… lolS> Yep, thought that all along.
 
   Oct-19-25 V Mikenas vs Bronstein, 1965 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Spectacular win. I recall a Capa win with a similar back rank theme. Someone help with the specific game?
 
   Oct-18-25 G Skare vs M Jevtic, 2010
 
OhioChessFan: "Skare Tactics"
 
   Oct-17-25 K de Kruif vs P R Plant, 2001 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "Kees To Success"
 
   Oct-17-25 Klovans vs Tal, 1951 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: A little help with the pun?
 
   Oct-16-25 Karpov vs G Needleman, 2005
 
OhioChessFan: "Needleman and the Damage Done"
 
   Oct-16-25 K de Kruif vs A Horton-Kitchlew, 2001 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: We could use a lot more games with those first moves.
 
   Oct-15-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Hunter Greene had a two hitter this year that was just ridiculous. I don't know how the opposition got those hits. I recall watching on TV Dwight Gooden having one of those games he had complete control of his curveball. He'd have one or two a year and it was almost comical. ...
 
   Oct-14-25 S Takacs vs Alekhine, 1927
 
OhioChessFan: Qb1/d3 makes a bad impression. Throwing a tempo away to Alekhine has the expected results.
 
   Oct-14-25 F Oro vs Carlsen, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Faustian Bargain"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 344 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-19-13  WinKing: <Golden Executive: Seems like Lady luck visited Mexico, I hope she stays here for a while!>

Don't forget <GE> there's a little bit of skill there too! Knowing when to pull the trigger on 1-0 or 0-1 can be difficult. Your in the 'zone' right now. Keep it going. ;)

Mar-19-13  SloVice: Round 4:
Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 42
Radjabov - Kramnik 1/2 33
Aronian - Svidler 1-0 41
Gelfand - Ivanchuk 0-1 45
Mar-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 4:

Carlsen - Grischuk 1-0 46
Radjabov - Kramnik 1/2 16
Aronian - Svidler 1-0 46
Gelfand - Ivanchuk 1/2 18

Mar-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  tpstar: Round 4 games have started. =)
Mar-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks <tps> So far, one decisive game as Carlsen beat Grischuk in 37 moves. Aronian-Svidler was a 31 move draw and Gelfand-Chucky drew in 35. Radja-Kramnik looks drawish. 10 rounds to go.
Mar-19-13  chessmoron: ♔ Candidates 2013: <Round 4> Results ♔

<Aronian-Svidler, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['moulicules', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['deave', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<Carlsen-Grischuk, 1-0 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['stunningmove', '1-0', '32']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['SloVice', '1-0', '42'], ['Golden Executive', '1-0', '42'], ['Penguincw', '1-0', '42']]

===

<Gelfand-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['kuroting', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '31']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['moulicules', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

===

<Radjabov-Kramnik, 1/2-1/2 in 50 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['kuroting', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Mar-19-13  chessmoron: Svidler-Gelfand 1/2 28
Kramnik-Aronian 1/2 40
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1/2 39
Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 38
Mar-19-13  twinlark: Round 5

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 32
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 45
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 57
Grischuk - Radjabov 0-1 66

Mar-19-13  WinKing: <<Gelfand-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['kuroting', '1/2-1/2', '35']] >

<bubuli55> also had <Gelfand-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves good for an Exact, 10pts.

Mar-19-13  bubuli55: Thx! WinKing. How about that? :)
Mar-19-13  chessmoron: Round 4 Summary:
Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<kuroting> and <bubuli55>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 7 points <WinKing>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

24, stunningmove, 0, 2, 1
20, kuroting, 1, 1, 1
16, twinlark, 2, 0, 1
13, Golden Executive, 1, 0, 1
13, Robin01, 1, 0, 1
10, bubuli55, 0, 0, 1
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 1
10, moulicules, 1, 0, 1
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
0, deave, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, SloVice, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuythulg, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

24, Golden Executive, 1, 3, 1, 2
23, Penguincw, 4, 1, 1, 2
14, Robin01, 1, 1, 1, 1
13, wordfunph, 0, 1, 1, 1
11, SloVice, 1, 2, 0, 1
11, WinKing, 1, 2, 0, 1
10, twinlark, 3, 1, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, bubuli55, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 0, 0
4, chessmoron, 0, 2, 0, 0
4, moulicules, 0, 2, 0, 0
3, deave, 3, 0, 0, 0
3, kuroting, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, stunningmove, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 4>

Score, UserID

37, Golden Executive
27, Robin01
26, twinlark
24, stunningmove
23, kuroting
23, Penguincw
16, bubuli55
14, chessmoron
14, lostemperor
14, moulicules
13, wordfunph
13, OhioChessFan
11, SloVice
11, WinKing
3, deave
0, SwitchingQuylthulg

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 4>

Score,UserID

3, kuroting
3, stunningmove
3, twinlark
2, Golden Executive
2, moulicules
2, Robin01
1, bubuli55
1, chessmoron
1, lostemperor
1, OhioChessFan
0, deave
0, Penguincw
0, SloVice
0, SwitchingQuythulg
0, WinKing
0, wordfunph

Mar-19-13  WinKing: <bubuli55: Thx! WinKing. How about that? :)>

Way to go <bubuli55>! The fastest way to climb the ladder is to hit a few of those 'Exacts'. :)

Mar-19-13  moulicules: ROUND 5
Svidler-Gelfand 1/2 37
Kramnik-Aronian 1/2 31
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 0-1 41
Grischuk-Radjabov 1/2 39
Mar-19-13  bubuli55: < WinKing > haha high five! If its only that easy :) Thanks again for looking out for me :) good luck!
Mar-19-13  wordfunph: Round 5

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 36
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 36
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 42
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 36

Mar-19-13  bubuli55: == Round 5 on Wed 2013/03/20
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 41
Svidler - Gelfand 1-0 41
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2-1/2 41
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 41
Mar-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 5:

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 38
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2-1/2 35
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 41
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 37

Mar-19-13  deave: Round 5:

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2-1/2 40
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2-1/2 33
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 34
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 34

Mar-19-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Svidler - Gelfand 1-0 30
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 55
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 49
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 28
Mar-20-13  WinKing: Round 5

Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 45
Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 45
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 45
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 45

Mar-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 5
Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 43
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 34
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 44
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 44
Mar-20-13  Golden Executive: Round 5

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 36
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 36
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 36
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 36

---

<WinKing: <Golden Executive: Seems like Lady luck visited Mexico, I hope she stays here for a while!>

Don't forget <GE> there's a little bit of skill there too! Knowing when to pull the trigger on 1-0 or 0-1 can be difficult. Your in the 'zone' right now. Keep it going. ;)>

<WinKing> Yes, you are right my friend, in the long run I think the skill thing tends to be the dominant part.

As usual, your comments are always welcomed.

Mar-20-13  SloVice: Round 5:
Svidler - Gelfand 1-0 41
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 33
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 41
Grischuk - Radjabov 1/2 33
Mar-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 5:

Svidler - Gelfand 1/2 21
Kramnik - Aronian 1/2 40
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 49
Grischuk - Radjabov 1-0 27

Mar-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  tpstar: Round 5 games have started. =)
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