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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-15-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49563 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-15-26 Julien Song (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 90 minute games today and tomorrow. Next day the rapids. Fourth day the blitz. Am I the only one with no audio on the chess.com stream?
 
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Do yourself a favor and spend three minutes listening to this nice flute driven piece. Nestor Torres-Cute https://youtu.be/Eor1meJSZPs?si=duk...
 
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <<OCF> I think we can safely conclude she was doing something more than merely observing.> <saff: She was honking her horn. That's it.> Sigh. She was parked sideways across the road near an ICE operation. What is the most plausible explanation?
 
   Jan-14-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <kl: Today for the first time ever I played a vlack knight to c8> I'm impressed you could keep up with that fact.
 
   Jan-14-26 C Gilberg vs Dickson, 1866 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: <jn> couldn't even grant a one-day reprieve for us before he *ruined* the original pun! Talk about raining on the parade.> Thought the same thing.
 
   Jan-13-26 J Krejcik vs J Thirring, 1898
 
OhioChessFan: "Thirring Victory"
 
   Jan-10-26 J Cesena vs J Dyke, 1979 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Terrific pun.
 
   Jan-09-26 Milwaukee Chess Club vs Charles City Chess Club, 1876
 
OhioChessFan: 15. Rd1 is a wasted tempo. I assume White was trying to outnumber the defenders of d5 but missed the skewer Qc6. In any case, as <tsv> said years ago, the Rook needs to stay on the f file.
 
   Jan-08-26 Shabalov vs E Tate, 1998 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Okay, strained, but nice.
 
   Jan-08-26 Sergei Prokofiev
 
OhioChessFan: Cinderella's Waltz https://youtu.be/YbaY7p5ahZo?featur... A quick (three minutes) but nice listen.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 365 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Anyone want to play with this?

http://www.chessvibes.com/tal-memor...

A copy for <YouRang> would also be nice.

Jun-12-13  Robin01: Round 1 predictions:

Andreikin-Morozevich 0-1 38
Anand-Caruana 1/2 32
Gelfand-Karjakin 1/2 33
Carlsen-Kramnik 1/2 42
Nakamura-Mamedyarov 1-0 61

Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: All games start at 13:00 CET, except round 9 which starts at 11:00 CET.

== Round 1 Thu June 13
Andreikin - Morozevich
Anand - Caruana
Gelfand - Karjakin
Carlsen - Kramnik
Nakamura - Mamedyarov

== Round 2 Fri June 14
Morozevich - Mamedyarov
Kramnik - Nakamura
Karjakin - Carlsen
Caruana - Gelfand
Andreikin - Anand

== Round 3 Sat June 15
Anand - Morozevich
Gelfand - Andreikin
Carlsen - Caruana
Nakamura - Karjakin
Mamedyarov - Kramnik

== Round 4 Mon June 17
Morozevich - Kramnik
Karjakin - Mamedyarov
Caruana - Nakamura
Andreikin - Carlsen
Anand - Gelfand

== Round 5 Tue June 18
Gelfand - Morozevich
Carlsen - Anand
Nakamura - Andreikin
Mamedyarov - Caruana
Kramnik - Karjakin

== Round 6 Wed June 19
Morozevich - Karjakin
Caruana - Kramnik
Andreikin - Mamedyarov
Anand - Nakamura
Gelfand - Carlsen

== Round 7 Fri June 21
Carlsen - Morozevich
Nakamura - Gelfand
Mamedyarov - Anand
Kramnik - Andreikin
Karjakin - Caruana

== Round 8 Sat June 22
Morozevich - Caruana
Andreikin - Karjakin
Anand - Kramnik
Gelfand - Mamedyarov
Carlsen - Nakamura

== Round 9 Sun June 23
Nakamura - Morozevich
Mamedyarov - Carlsen
Kramnik - Gelfand
Karjakin - Anand
Caruana - Andreikin

Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ****Welcome to the Tal Memorial Moves Prediction Contest****

This contest involves picking a game result (1-0 1/2 or 0-1) and the number of moves in the game. As an example, if in a first round game you think Anand with White will defeat Carlsen in 40 moves, your entry would say: Anand-Carlsen 1-0 40

While it is a bit more complicated than the game prediction contest hosted by <YouRang> it isn't <that> much more complicated. I think my profile as written by <chessmoron> does a pretty good job explaining how things work.

A few odds and ends. Scoring mistakes occasionally happen. Let <chessmoron> know, on this forum. Quickly. It really isn't as painful to miss a round as it is in <YouRang> contest. The winners often have rounds they don't score a single point. So don't fret if you miss a round. Pay attention to the matchups and to the tournament strategy. For example, if a player has an insurmountable lead in the last round, you just might expect a very short draw. In general, it's better to be under the number of moves than over because of the scoring system, so keep that in mind. There are a number of other nuances that will occur to you as the tournament progresses.

If you haven't done so, I encourage you to visit www.chessgames.com/~yourang and enter his games prediction contest, www.chessgames.com/~lostemperor and his final standings contest, and www.chessgames.com/~the+last+straw for his first ever ELO prediction contest.

Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Marker of first prediction for <chessmoron> : <Robin01> on page 365
Jun-12-13  WinKing: Round 1 Thu June 13

Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 32
Anand - Caruana 1/2 35
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 35
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 35
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1-0 39

Jun-12-13  whiteshark: Round 1

Andreikin-Morozevich 1-0 45
Anand-Caruana 1/2 53
Gelfand-Karjakin 1-0 57
Carlsen-Kramnik 1/2 47
Nakamura-Mamedyarov 0-1 47

Jun-12-13  twinlark: Round 1

Andreikin - Morozevich 0-1 37
Anand - Caruana 1/2 32
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 29
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 30
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2 41

Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: If anyone hasn't yet entered, I recommend you visit www.chessgames.com/~YouRang and enter his games prediction contest, www.chessgames.com/~lostemperor and his final standings contest, and www.chessgames.com/~The+Last+Straw for his first ever ELO prediction contest. One easy way to enter both my contest and <YouRang> is to make your picks here, copy them, paste them on <YouRang> forum and backspace over the number of moves. A few minutes of work to double your chances of fame and fortune.
Jun-12-13  chessmoron: Andreikin - Morozevich 0-1 35
Anand - Caruana 1/2 33
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 34
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 40
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Jun-12-13  wordfunph: Round 1

Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 44
Anand - Caruana 1/2 36
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 37
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 37
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2 45

Jun-12-13  PinnedPiece: == Round 1 Thu June 13
Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 46
Anand - Caruana 1/2 46
Gelfand - Karjakin 0-1 46
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 46
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1-0 46
Jun-12-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 51
Anand - Caruana 1/2 40
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 37
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 49
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1-0 38
Jun-13-13  The Last Straw: Andreikin-Morozevich 1/2-1/2 41
Anand-Caruana 1/2 33
Gelfand-Karjakin 0-1 44
Carlsen-Kramnik 1/2 56
Nakamura-Mamedyarov 1/2 28
Jun-13-13  lostemperor: Good luck!
Round 1 Thu June 13
Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 46
Anand - Caruana 1/2 35
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 36
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 37
Nakamura-Mamedyarov 1/2 42
Jun-13-13  Golden Executive: Round 1

Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 36
Anand - Caruana 1-0 20
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 34
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 40
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 1:

Andreikin - Morozevich 1/2 36
Anand - Caruana 1/2 41
Gelfand - Karjakin 1/2 34
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 40
Nakamura - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 1 games have started.
Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: In game update:

Vishy lost a horrible game with White to Caruana in 48 moves. Naka likewise lost terribly with White to Mamedyarov in <31> moves. Gelfand/Karjakin was a 39 move draw. The other 2 games look pretty drawish.

Jun-13-13  Ragh: == Round 2 Fri June 14
Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1-0 33
Kramnik - Nakamura 1/2 33
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 34
Caruana - Gelfand 1-0 35
Andreikin - Anand 0-1 33

== Round 3 Sat June 15
Anand - Morozevich 1-0 33
Gelfand - Andreikin 1/2 33
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 33
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 33
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 33

== Round 4 Mon June 17
Morozevich - Kramnik 1/2 33
Karjakin - Mamedyarov 1/2 33
Caruana - Nakamura 1/2 33
Andreikin - Carlsen 0-1 33
Anand - Gelfand 1/2 33

== Round 5 Tue June 18
Gelfand - Morozevich 1/2 33
Carlsen - Anand 1/2 33
Nakamura - Andreikin 1-0 33
Mamedyarov - Caruana 0-1 33
Kramnik - Karjakin 1/2 33

Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: And the final update: Carlsen won another endgame in 72 moves after several poor moves by Kramnik. Andreikin/Moro was a draw in 48 moves. 8 rounds to go.
Jun-13-13  chessmoron: ♔ Tal 2013: <Round 1> Results ♔

<Anand-Caruana, 0-1 in 48 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Andreikin-Morozevich, 1/2-1/2 in 48 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '46'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['The Last Straw', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '51']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Kramnik, 1-0 in 72 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Gelfand-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '35']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Mamedyarov, 0-1 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['whiteshark', '0-1', '47']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jun-13-13  chessmoron: Round 1 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<None>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <wordfunph> and <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, PinnedPiece, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, whiteshark, 1, 0, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0
0, The Last Straw, 0, 0, 0
0, twinlark, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

6, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, The Last Straw, 0, 0, 1, 0
5, WinKing, 0, 0, 1, 0
2, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, twinlark, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, whiteshark, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID

13, lostemperor
13, wordfunph
9, OhioChessFan
7, PinnedPiece
5, The Last Straw
5, WinKing
3, whiteshark
0, chessmoron
0, Golden Executive
0, Robin01
0, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, twinlark

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 1>

Score,UserID

1, lostemperor
1, OhioChessFan
1, PinnedPiece
1, whiteshark
1, wordfunph
0, chessmoron
0, Golden Executive
0, Robin01
0, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, The Last Straw
0, twinlark
0, WinKing

Jun-13-13  chessmoron: Morozevich-Mamedyarov 1/2 35
Kramnik-Nakamura 1-0 40
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 42
Caruana-Gelfand 1/2 35
Andreikin-Anand 1/2 28
Jun-13-13  WinKing: Round 2 Fri June 14

Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 40
Kramnik - Nakamura 1/2 40
Karjakin - Carlsen 0-1 47
Caruana - Gelfand 1-0 47
Andreikin - Anand 0-1 47

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