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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-15-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49558 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <<OCF> I think we can safely conclude she was doing something more than merely observing.> <saff: She was honking her horn. That's it.> Sigh. She was parked sideways across the road near an ICE operation. What is the most plausible explanation?
 
   Jan-14-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Victor Wooten shreds the bass. https://youtu.be/tygz5q9G2no?si=YvK...
 
   Jan-14-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <kl: Today for the first time ever I played a vlack knight to c8> I'm impressed you could keep up with that fact.
 
   Jan-14-26 C Gilberg vs Dickson, 1866 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: <jn> couldn't even grant a one-day reprieve for us before he *ruined* the original pun! Talk about raining on the parade.> Thought the same thing.
 
   Jan-13-26 J Krejcik vs J Thirring, 1898
 
OhioChessFan: "Thirring Victory"
 
   Jan-10-26 J Cesena vs J Dyke, 1979 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Terrific pun.
 
   Jan-09-26 Milwaukee Chess Club vs Charles City Chess Club, 1876
 
OhioChessFan: 15. Rd1 is a wasted tempo. I assume White was trying to outnumber the defenders of d5 but missed the skewer Qc6. In any case, as <tsv> said years ago, the Rook needs to stay on the f file.
 
   Jan-08-26 Shabalov vs E Tate, 1998 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Okay, strained, but nice.
 
   Jan-08-26 Sergei Prokofiev
 
OhioChessFan: Cinderella's Waltz https://youtu.be/YbaY7p5ahZo?featur... A quick (three minutes) but nice listen.
 
   Jan-06-26 Atterdag chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I forgot the different understanding of right, left, liberal, conservative in different countries. Even within the US, they don't mean the same thing as they did 30 years ago.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 366 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-13-13  Robin01: I thought I was under 6 on the <Gelfand-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.> game.
Jun-13-13  Robin01: Predictions:
== Round 2 Fri June 14
Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1-0 44
Kramnik - Nakamura 1/2 44
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 43
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 42
Andreikin - Anand 1/2 39

== Round 3 Sat June 15
Anand - Morozevich 0-1 45
Gelfand - Andreikin 1/2 35
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 61
Nakamura - Karjakin 1-0 40
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 34

== Round 4 Mon June 17
Morozevich - Kramnik 1/2 32
Karjakin - Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Caruana - Nakamura 1-0 50
Andreikin - Carlsen 0-1 51
Anand - Gelfand 1/2 33

Jun-13-13  chessmoron: <Robin01> Your prediction <Gelfand-Karjakin 1/2 33> was beaten out by <lostemperor> (36) and <WinKing> (35). They were the closest under for the actual number of moves for the game, which was (39).
Jun-13-13  whiteshark: Round 2, Fri June 14

Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 45
Kramnik - Nakamura 1-0 35
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 66
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 55
Andreikin - Anand 0-1 44

Jun-13-13  Robin01: <chessmoron>Okay; thanks. I was looking at it wrong.
Jun-13-13  lost in space: Round 2,
Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1:0 40
Kramnik - Nakamura 1-0 63
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 51
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 60
Andreikin - Anand 1/2 65
Jun-13-13  The Last Straw: Morozevich-Mamedyarov 1/2 39
Kramnik-Nakamura 1/2 44
Karjakin-Carlsen 0-1 33
Caruana-Gelfand 1/2 42
Andreikin-Anand 1/2 38
Jun-13-13  wordfunph: Round 2, Fri June 14

Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 35
Kramnik - Nakamura 1/2 36
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 44
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 45
Andreikin - Anand 1/2 43

Jun-13-13  PinnedPiece: == Round 2 Fri June 14
Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 34
Kramnik - Nakamura 1-0 34
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 34
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 34
Andreikin - Anand 0-1 34

== Round 3 Sat June 15
Anand - Morozevich 1-0 36
Gelfand - Andreikin 1-0 36
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 35
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 55
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 35

Jun-13-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 41
Kramnik - Nakamura 1-0 36
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 47
Caruana - Gelfand 1/2 35
Andreikin - Anand 1/2 39
Jun-14-13  Golden Executive: Round 2

Morozevich - Mamedyarov 1/2 36
Kramnik - Nakamura 1-0 35
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 40
Caruana - Gelfand 1-0 40
Andreikin - Anand 0-1 40

Jun-14-13  lostemperor: Round 2:
Morozevich-Mamedyarov 1/2 44
Kramnik-Nakamura 1-0 44
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 30
Caruana-Gelfand 1/2 44
Andreikin-Anand 1/2 40
Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 2:

Morozevich - Mamedyarov 0-1 13
Kramnik - Nakamura 1/2 41
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 51
Caruana - Gelfand 1-0 41
Andreikin - Anand 1/2 41

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 2 games have started.
Jun-14-13  lostemperor: Allow me to repost the results in simple text

♔Tal Memorial 2013: Amount of moves predictions ♔

ROUND 1 RESULTS

<Anand-Caruana, 0-1 in 48 moves> 0 winners

<Andreikin-Morozevich, 1/2-1/2 in 48 moves>

7 points: PinnedPiece 1/2-1/2 46
7 points: lostemperor 1/2-1/2 46
6 points: wordfunph 1/2-1/2 44
5 points The Last Straw 1/2-1/2 41
2 points: OhioChessFan 1/2-1/2 51

<Carlsen-Kramnik, 1-0 in 72 moves.>--0 winners

<Gelfand-Karjakin 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

7 points: wordfunph 1/2-1/2 37
7 points: OhioChessFan 1/2-1/2 37
6 points: lostemperor 1/2-1/2 36
5 points: WinKing 1/2-1/2 35

<Nakamura-Mamedyarov, 0-1 in 31 moves.>

3 points: whiteshark 0-1 47

Jun-14-13  lostemperor: Like I have said before: I almost always predict two moves lower than what I expect because you get more points if you predict lower than higher the correct amount of moves!
Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 4 Black wins already. I only considered one of them, Anand-Caruana in the first round.
Jun-14-13  chessmoron: ♔ Tal 2013: <Round 1> Results ♔

<Andreikin-Anand, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '28']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['The Last Straw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Caruana-Gelfand, 0-1 in 41 moves.>--No one got it

===

<Karjakin-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Ragh', '1/2-1/2', '34'], ['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

===

<Kramnik-Nakamura, 0-1 in 59 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Morozevich-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jun-14-13  chessmoron: Round 2 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<None>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 12 points <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

14, PinnedPiece, 0, 2, 0
10, whiteshark, 1, 1, 0
7, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0
7, lostemperor, 0, 1, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0
7, Ragh, 0, 1, 0
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, lost in space, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0
0, The Last Straw, 0, 0, 0
0, twinlark, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

18, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0, 3
8, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1, 0
7, The Last Straw, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, WinKing, 0, 0, 1, 0
2, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, chessmoron, 1, 0, 0, 0
1, Robin01, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, lost in space, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, Ragh, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, twinlark, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, whiteshark, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 2>

Score, UserID

25, lostemperor
15, OhioChessFan
14, PinnedPiece
13, wordfunph
10, whiteshark
8, chessmoron
7, Ragh
7, The Last Straw
5, WinKing
2, Golden Executive
1, Robin01
0, lost in space
0, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, twinlark

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 2>

Score,UserID

2, PinnedPiece
2, whiteshark
1, chessmoron
1, lostemperor
1, OhioChessFan
1, Ragh
1, wordfunph
0, Golden Executive
0, lost in space
0, Robin01
0, SwitchingQuylthulg
0, The Last Straw
0, twinlark
0, WinKing

Jun-14-13  chessmoron: Anand - Morozevich 1/2 39
Gelfand - Andreikin 1-0 36
Carlsen - Caruana 1-0 42
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 39
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 29
Jun-14-13  wordfunph: Round 3:

Anand - Morozevich 1-0 45
Gelfand - Andreikin 1-0 45
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 45
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 42
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 35

Jun-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Anand - Morozevich 1/2 42
Gelfand - Andreikin 1/2 47
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 55
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 34
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 0-1 30
Jun-15-13  WinKing: Round 3 Sat June 15

Anand - Morozevich 1-0 40
Gelfand - Andreikin 1-0 40
Carlsen - Caruana 1-0 45
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 45
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 0-1 40

Jun-15-13  twinlark: Round 3:

Anand - Morozevich 1/2 33
Gelfand - Andreikin 0-1 52
Carlsen - Caruana 0-1 76
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 29
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 0-1 56

Jun-15-13  Golden Executive: Round 3:

Anand - Morozevich 1/2 36
Gelfand - Andreikin 1/2 36
Carlsen - Caruana 1/2 36
Nakamura - Karjakin 1/2 36
Mamedyarov - Kramnik 1/2 36

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