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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-07-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49338 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-07-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Yes. A couple trivial lines. 1. Rb7+ Ka8 2. Ra7+ Kb8 is clearly a repetition. If Black underpromotes, the White Rook draws.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Integ: Brown commie promises brown immigrants <free stuffs> paid for by white people. Got it.> This is so bad that even <HeMateMe!> is worried about government spending for the first time in his life.
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 467 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-18-15  WinKing: ***Unofficial*** leaderboard for Round 8 posted in my forum.
Jan-18-15  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2015: <Round 8> Result ♔

<Ding-Saric, 1-0 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['bubuli55', '1-0', '33']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['kellmano', '1-0', '25']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '38']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '39'], ['juan31', '1-0', '39']]

===

<Hou-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 55 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '46']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42'], ['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['kellmano', '1/2-1/2', '76']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Ivanchuk-So, 0-1 in 26 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['bubuli55', '0-1', '41']]
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '50']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Jobava-Carlsen, 0-1 in 50 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '50']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '0-1', '44'], ['OhioChessFan', '0-1', '44'], ['moulicules', '0-1', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '0-1', '42']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Radjabov-Wojtaszek, 1-0 in 59 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '50']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '42']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['Robin01', '1-0', '38']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Vachier Lagrave-Giri, 1-0 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '50']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Van Wely-Caruana, 0-1 in 81 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['john barleycorn', '0-1', '55']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '0-1', '50']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['kellmano', '0-1', '45']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-18-15  moulicules: Round 9:
Saric - van Wely 1/2-1/2 40
Giri - Ding 1/2-1/2 41
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 40
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 47
Carlsen - Radjabov 1/2 49
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 41
Caruana - Hou 1-0 46
Jan-18-15  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<wordfunph>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 17 points: <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

48, Penguincw, 1, 5, 1
47, kellmano, 3, 4, 1
38, WinKing, 0, 4, 1
34, wordfunph, 1, 3, 1
31, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 1
30, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 2
30, Robin01, 1, 1, 2
28, Karposian, 0, 4, 0
28, lostemperor, 0, 4, 0
24, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 1
24, juan31, 0, 2, 1
23, bubuli55, 2, 1, 1
21, twinlark, 0, 3, 0
10, john barleycorn, 1, 1, 0
10, moulicules, 0, 0, 1
7, chessmoron, 0, 1, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

50, moulicules, 1, 3, 5, 3
48, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 1, 3, 5
45, chessmoron, 4, 4, 3, 3
44, john barleycorn, 2, 4, 2, 4
44, lostemperor, 1, 3, 5, 2
39, WinKing, 1, 2, 2, 4
38, Golden Executive, 2, 4, 2, 3
38, kellmano, 4, 4, 4, 1
37, Robin01, 1, 4, 2, 3
34, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 2, 3
28, Karposian, 2, 2, 2, 2
24, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0, 3
18, Penguincw, 2, 2, 0, 2
16, juan31, 2, 2, 2, 0
15, bubuli55, 1, 1, 0, 2
5, twinlark, 0, 0, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

85, kellmano
79, SwitchingQuylthulg
77, WinKing
72, lostemperor
67, Robin01
66, Penguincw
64, OhioChessFan
62, Golden Executive
60, moulicules
58, wordfunph
56, Karposian
54, john barleycorn
52, chessmoron
40, juan31
38, bubuli55
26, twinlark

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

8, kellmano
7, Penguincw
5, WinKing
5, wordfunph
4, bubuli55
4, Karposian
4, lostemperor
4, OhioChessFan
4, Robin01
4, SwitchingQuylthulg
3, Golden Executive
3, juan31
3, twinlark
2, john barleycorn
1, chessmoron
1, moulicules

Jan-18-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Great round of picking by <wordfunph>.

Looks like both Moves Rankers are a horse race between, um, a horse and a penguin.

Jan-18-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 8 Update **

In a tournament that is harder to predict than the next stupid comment from a Kardashian, we have a couple of new leaders. <Penguincw> took time off from antagonizing Batman to take the lead in Moves Ranker. <MolecularTheory> has quietly moved to the top of the Bonus Ranker. <Kellamanjaro> has taken the lead in Moves+Bonus Ranker while maintaining his lead in Moves #1 Ranker. <Switcheroo> has decided to replace his supercomputer he's used to make picks with an abacus. <THE> <OhioChessFan> is mired in mediocrity in the middle of every ranker. <chessmoron> has gotten out of the cellar so <THE> <OhioChessFan> can't even laugh about that any more. Rest day tomorrow, needed more by the contestants here than in the tournament. 5 rounds to go.

Jan-18-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Menkey Update **

The Menkey scored 7 points that round with a guess of Hou-Aronian 1/2-1/2 48

His updated scores are:

Moves Ranker 35
Bonus Ranker 14
Moves+Bonus Ranker 49
Moves #1 Ranker 5

Jan-18-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 0-1 40
Giri - Ding 1-0 42
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 39
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 38
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 39
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 41
Caruana - Hou 1-0 40

Jan-19-15  twinlark: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1/2 44
Giri - Ding 1/2 38
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 55
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1-0 35
Carlsen - Radjabov 1/2 56
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 32
Caruana - Hou 0-1 49

Jan-19-15  wordfunph: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1/2 38
Giri - Ding 1/2 46
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 52
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 34
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 51
Aronian - Jobava 1/2 45
Caruana - Hou 1-0 47

Jan-19-15  Robin01: Round 9:
Saric - van Wely 1/2 35
Giri - Ding 1/2 36
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 0-1 43
Carlsen - Radjabov 1/2 63
Aronian - Jobava 1/2 38
Caruana - Hou 1-0 44
Jan-19-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1-0 40
Giri - Ding 1-0 43
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 26
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1-0 40
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 48
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 42
Caruana - Hou 1-0 47

Jan-19-15  kellmano: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1/2 32
Giri - Ding 0-1 56
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 44
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 0-1 32
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 35
Aronian - Jobava 1/2 69
Caruana - Hou 1/2 54

Jan-19-15  WinKing: Round 9

Saric - Van Wely 1/2 32
Giri - Ding 1/2 43
So - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 45
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 40
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 43
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 43
Caruana - Hou 1-0 50

Jan-19-15  john barleycorn: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1/2 35
Giri - Ding 1-0 40
So - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 40
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 41
Carlsen - Radjabov 1/2 60
Aronian - Jobava 1/2 45
Caruana - Hou 1-0 40

Jan-19-15  chessmoron: Saric - Van Wely 1/2 36
Giri - Ding 1/2 33
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 39
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 35
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 41
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 38
Caruana - Hou 1-0 40
Jan-19-15  Karposian: Round 9:

Saric - Van Wely 1/2 37
Giri - Ding 1-0 50
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 45
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 48
Carlsen - Radjabov 1/2 46
Aronian - Jobava 1/2 44
Caruana - Hou 1-0 49

Jan-19-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Saric - van Wely 1/2 30
Giri - Ding 1/2 40
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 46
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1/2 38
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 45
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 40
Caruana - Hou 1-0 34
Jan-20-15  Golden Executive: Round 9:

Saric - Van Wely 1/2 31
Giri - Ding 1-0 40
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 44
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 0-1 36
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 40
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 34
Caruana - Hou 1-0 39

Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 9:

Saric - van Wely 1/2 41
Giri - Ding 1/2 42
So - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 26
Wojtaszek - Ivanchuk 1-0 5
Carlsen - Radjabov 1-0 45
Aronian - Jobava 1-0 6
Caruana - Hou 1/2 5

Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round nine games have started.
Jan-20-15  WinKing: ***Unofficial*** leaderboard for Round 9 posted in my forum.
Jan-20-15  Robin01: == Round 10 - Wednesday the 21st

Van Wely - Hou 1/2 35
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 36
Radjabov - Aronian 0-1 41
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1-0 62
Ding - So 1/2 44
Saric - Giri 0-1 38

Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 10:

Van Wely - Hou 1-0 39
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 40
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 31
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 39
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 0-1 41
Ding - So 1/2 41
Saric - Giri 0-1 40

Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Grr. Two games I missed *each* by 1 move. At least I'm not the only one...

Round 10:

van Wely - Hou 1/2-1/2 35
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 45
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2-1/2 27
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 38
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1-0 35
Ding - So 1/2-1/2 39
Saric - Giri 1/2-1/2 41

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